USFD NYSE
US Foods Holding Corp.
1W: +1.0%
1M: +8.7%
3M: -0.1%
YTD: +35.9%
1Y: +33.7%
3Y: +170.1%
5Y: +173.3%
$102.59
+1.24 (+1.22%)
After Hours: $101.85 (-0.75, -0.73%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.9%
$93
$97
$101
$105
$109
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 74% of companies Debt: 19.3% of company value Bonds: $401.8M held by 332 funds, 135 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.58 (down 98%), US Foods Holding Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.24B against a stock market value of $21.93B.
Distance to default 8.23 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-27, debt counted $2.69B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 30.1%; Altman Z 4.74. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.58 (down 98%), US Foods Holding Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.24B against a stock market value of $21.93B.
Distance to default 8.23 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-27, debt counted $2.69B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 30.1%; Altman Z 4.74. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+2.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-12.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+2.5%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-12.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+35.9%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
26%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
☀️
+1.9%
Midterm
⛅
+1.0%
70% win
24% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+5.2%
Midterm
☀️
+7.4%
80% win
34% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+0.4%
Midterm
⛅
+2.8%
30% win
72% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+2.4%
Midterm
☀️
+6.7%
80% win
45% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+3.2%
Midterm
⛅
+1.3%
55% win
40% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+3.7%
Midterm
⛅
+2.9%
55% win
37% vol
Jul
20yr
🌧️
+3.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.9%
45% win
31% vol
Aug
20yr
☀️
+4.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.9%
45% win
28% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+2.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.8%
27% win
26% vol
Oct
20yr
☁️
+1.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.9%
45% win
26% vol
Now:
+10.0%
Nov
20yr
💨
+11.5%
Midterm
⛅
+2.3%
90% win
48% vol
Dec
20yr
☀️
+3.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.8%
60% win
23% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +35.9%