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VITL NASDAQ

Vital Farms, Inc.
1W: +9.7% 1M: -10.1% 3M: -35.2% YTD: -70.0% 1Y: -76.5% 3Y: -18.6% 5Y: -48.1%
$9.05
+0.10 (+1.12%)
After Hours: $9.12 (+0.07, +0.83%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.5%
$7 $8 $9 $10 $11
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products · Tech Score Sell · Power 36 · $384.2M mcap · 35M float · 5.07% daily turnover · Short 36% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 52% of companies Debt: 22.0% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.09 (down 99%), Vital Farms, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $108.2M against a stock market value of $384.2M.
Distance to default 4.97 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $15.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 65.3%; Altman Z'' 2.38. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+5.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-31.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+5.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-31.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-69.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
45%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.7%
33% win 46% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-0.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-28.2%
33% win 57% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-1.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.5%
17% win 55% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-1.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-33.5%
50% win 43% vol
May
20yr
💨
+10.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-45.9%
33% win 77% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+20.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-51.8%
50% win 46% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+6.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-35.1%
33% win 53% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+9.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-29.3%
71% win 64% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+8.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-34.6%
29% win 55% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+6.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-27.7%
14% win 45% vol
Now: -2.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+4.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.1%
50% win 57% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.3%
Midterm
💨
+4.6%
67% win 44% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -69.7%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms