Also trades as: 0LK6.L (LSE) · $vol 2M
VLO NYSE
Valero Energy Corporation
1W: -1.5%
1M: +10.2%
3M: +43.3%
YTD: +159.7%
1Y: +148.1%
3Y: +244.9%
5Y: +528.4%
$387.34
-39.42 (-9.24%)
After Hours: $386.92 (-0.42, -0.11%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.5%
$373
$396
$419
$442
$465
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 52% of companies Debt: 22.4% of company value Bonds: $159.4M held by 270 funds, 62 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $14.84 (down 97%), Valero Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $35.42B against a stock market value of $122.88B.
Distance to default 5.37 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $31.14B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 36.7%; Altman Z'' 7.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $14.84 (down 97%), Valero Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $35.42B against a stock market value of $122.88B.
Distance to default 5.37 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $31.14B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 36.7%; Altman Z'' 7.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Income Statement
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Analysis
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Weather
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+9.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+12.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+9.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+12.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+135.7%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
51%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+5.6%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
75% win
41% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+5.9%
Midterm
⛅
+3.0%
50% win
37% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+9.8%
Midterm
☀️
+13.4%
70% win
51% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+11.3%
Midterm
☀️
+26.6%
50% win
45% vol
May
20yr
💨
+11.5%
Midterm
☀️
+27.2%
50% win
38% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+8.3%
Midterm
☀️
+17.1%
35% win
40% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+8.1%
Midterm
☀️
+20.3%
65% win
35% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+8.2%
Midterm
☀️
+19.3%
60% win
37% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+6.4%
Midterm
☀️
+11.2%
50% win
39% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+9.8%
Midterm
☀️
+12.0%
52% win
51% vol
Now:
-0.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
+12.7%
Midterm
☀️
+15.8%
55% win
48% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+3.0%
Midterm
🌫️
+0.4%
60% win
33% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +135.7%