— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: VOLARA.MX (MEX) · $vol 2M

VLRS NYSE

Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
1W: -5.7% 1M: -1.7% 3M: -30.4% YTD: -29.0% 1Y: -5.0% 3Y: -11.1% 5Y: -71.0%
$6.49
+0.08 (+1.25%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.0%
$6 $6 $6 $7 $7
NYSE · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 35 · $746.0M mcap · 87M float · 0.610% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
27.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 0.3%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.2%
Cost Advantage
37
Intangibles
18
Switching Cost
23
Network Effect
24
Scale ★
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. VLRS has No discernible competitive edge (27.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 0.3% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$8
Low
$9
Avg Target
$11
High
Based on 3 analysts since Jul 21, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 11Hold: 6Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$9.23
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-08-23 BTG Pactual — Initiated $9 — +30.2% $6.91
2026-08-11 Goldman Sachs Joao Frizo $12 $8 -4 -4.5% $8.06
2026-08-05 UBS — Initiated $11 — +28.7% $8.55
2026-06-18 Jefferies Alejandro Anibal Initiated $10 — +15.2% $8.68
2026-06-14 Banco Santander — Initiated $9 — +10.7% $8.04
2026-05-06 HSBC — Initiated $8 — +0.3% $7.48
2026-04-17 Evercore ISI — $12 $10 -2 +21.9% $8.21
2026-02-10 Barclays — $11 $12 +1 +14.6% $10.47
2026-01-26 Goldman Sachs — Initiated $12 — +22.0% $9.59
2025-12-21 Bradesco — Initiated $12 — +26.4% $9.49
2025-12-19 Barclays — $9 $11 +2 +13.5% $9.70
2025-12-18 Barclays — $7 $9 +2 +13.2% $7.95
2025-10-21 Cantor Fitzgerald Tom Fitzgerald Initiated $8 — +17.6% $6.80
2025-10-14 Barclays — Initiated $7 — +2.5% $6.83
2025-09-29 Evercore ISI Duane Pfennigwerth Initiated $12 — +78.3% $6.73
2024-05-24 Morgan Stanley Jens Spiess Initiated $12 — +50.6% $7.97
2024-04-23 Deutsche Bank Michael Linenberg Initiated $12 — +30.9% $9.16

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. VLRS receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 C- C
2026-07-23 C C-
2026-03-02 C- C
2026-02-24 C C-
2026-02-23 C- C
2026-02-17 C C-
2026-02-12 C- C
2026-01-26 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 16 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
26
Earnings Quality
34
Growth
40
Value
19
Momentum
40
Safety
15
Cash Flow
41
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. VLRS scores highest in Cash Flow (41/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.47
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.65
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.75
Bankruptcy prob: 2.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 14.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -4.89x
Accruals: -19.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. VLRS scores 0.47, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. VLRS scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. VLRS's score of -3.65 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. VLRS's implied 2.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. VLRS receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 14.7/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-4.06x
PEG
0.05x
P/S
0.23x
P/B
11.09x
P/FCF
1.91x
P/OCF
1.17x
EV/EBITDA
9.67x
EV/Revenue
1.25x
EV/EBIT
50.52x
EV/FCF
7.32x
Earnings Yield
-17.45%
FCF Yield
52.29%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. VLRS currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.820
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-2.812
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.025
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.575
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
35.609
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-116.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. VLRS's ROE of -116.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 35.61x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$6.49
Median 1Y
$5.27
5th Pctile
$2.01
95th Pctile
$13.65
Ann. Volatility
58.7%
Analyst Target
$9.23
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
7,098
+2.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$428,008
Rev: $3,038,000,000
Profit / Employee
$-14,652
NI: $-104,000,000
SGA / Employee
$20,287
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -17.9% 46.8% 59.6% -16.4% -28.4% -29.2% -48.4% -24.7% -66.3% 3.3% 50.7% 50.6% 85.1% 41.5% 14.2% -11.5% -21.3% -33.1% -47.5% -1.2% -1.17%
ROA 4.8% 2.9% 2.5% -0.8% -1.7% -1.9% -2.3% -1.0% -2.7% 0.2% 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 2.3% 0.8% -0.6% -1.1% -1.8% -2.2% -3.3% -3.28%
ROIC 9.7% 13.7% 14.1% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 1.4% 3.4% 3.4% 7.8% 8.4% 8.7% 10.1% 8.7% 6.5% 5.1% 3.6% 2.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.30%
ROCE 14.3% 9.7% 9.9% 3.5% -0.2% 1.9% 1.3% 4.4% 3.9% 6.4% 10.2% 10.9% 14.0% 11.8% 9.3% 7.2% 5.3% 5.2% 4.9% 2.3% 2.32%
Gross Margin 31.8% 28.0% 1.8% 2.9% 11.2% 15.4% 4.0% 15.1% 13.7% 27.1% 17.1% 11.0% 19.9% 36.5% -0.9% 1.0% 9.8% 12.3% -0.3% -6.8% -6.75%
Operating Margin 24.6% 21.7% -5.5% -2.9% 4.6% 7.3% -4.2% 6.5% 4.6% 18.3% 13.5% 9.1% 15.5% 14.0% -1.5% -3.2% 8.7% 7.2% -2.7% -11.5% -11.53%
Net Margin 11.8% -1.4% -8.7% -7.1% 5.2% -2.7% -9.7% 0.8% -4.6% 12.4% 4.3% 1.4% 4.6% 5.5% -7.5% -9.1% 0.8% 0.5% -9.2% -14.8% -14.78%
EBITDA Margin 35.6% 1.9% -3.2% -5.4% 4.8% 9.3% -5.2% 8.3% 3.1% 19.1% 14.2% 13.5% 18.8% 20.2% 24.0% 21.6% 10.8% 32.3% 20.8% -12.1% -12.11%
FCF Margin 28.0% 35.4% 38.4% 30.6% 25.5% 21.4% 20.7% 20.1% 21.4% 22.4% 23.3% 28.1% 31.2% 34.7% 29.7% 22.5% 17.8% 12.8% 16.1% 17.1% 17.09%
OCF Margin 30.1% 35.4% 38.4% 30.6% 25.5% 21.4% 20.7% 20.1% 21.4% 22.4% 23.3% 28.1% 31.2% 34.7% 32.3% 26.5% 25.3% 22.4% 24.9% 27.9% 27.86%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -82.66%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -58.15%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.54%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.36%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.24%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.67%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 29.51%
CROIC snapshot only 18.10%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.28%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -6.96%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.43%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 15.89 19.65 22.65 -37.25 -12.03 -12.15 -14.19 -34.42 -6.27 139.86 7.74 6.40 3.82 6.88 14.29 -17.82 -13.47 -0.99 -6.71 -5.73 -4.056
P/S Ratio 1.31 0.94 0.86 0.46 0.30 0.34 0.48 0.52 0.25 0.34 0.26 0.23 0.23 0.28 0.20 0.18 0.28 0.03 0.27 0.33 0.229
P/B Ratio 11.20 6.65 8.22 5.70 3.26 4.15 8.84 9.45 6.04 4.51 3.12 2.59 2.29 2.38 1.91 2.17 3.19 0.39 4.02 15.84 11.091
P/FCF 4.68 2.66 2.24 1.52 1.18 1.60 2.33 2.61 1.16 1.50 1.13 0.81 0.73 0.80 0.66 0.81 1.57 0.27 1.66 1.91 1.913
P/OCF 4.35 2.66 2.24 1.52 1.18 1.60 2.33 2.61 1.16 1.50 1.13 0.81 0.73 0.80 0.61 0.69 1.11 0.15 1.07 1.17 1.173
EV/EBITDA 7.47 9.34 11.06 17.60 -553.65 55.83 99.65 29.35 26.57 17.19 10.15 8.94 6.84 7.17 6.12 5.60 6.90 4.67 5.73 9.67 9.671
EV/Revenue 2.30 1.84 1.64 1.27 1.10 1.14 1.26 1.33 1.08 1.18 1.14 1.12 1.13 1.21 1.17 1.18 1.31 1.05 1.24 1.25 1.250
EV/EBIT 12.70 15.34 14.91 31.96 -553.65 55.83 99.65 29.35 26.57 17.19 10.15 9.21 7.00 8.16 9.90 13.46 19.97 16.46 22.18 50.52 50.518
EV/FCF 8.22 5.19 4.28 4.16 4.30 5.32 6.11 6.60 5.05 5.29 4.92 3.97 3.64 3.48 3.93 5.23 7.37 8.20 7.75 7.32 7.315
Earnings Yield 6.3% 5.1% 4.4% -2.7% -8.3% -8.2% -7.0% -2.9% -15.9% 0.7% 12.9% 15.6% 26.2% 14.5% 7.0% -5.6% -7.4% -1.0% -14.9% -17.4% -17.45%
FCF Yield 21.4% 37.5% 44.6% 65.9% 84.7% 62.6% 42.9% 38.3% 85.9% 66.8% 88.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 63.6% 3.8% 60.4% 52.3% 52.29%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.047
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 39.881
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.488
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 32.728
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 346.746
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.73 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.75 0.75 0.67 0.66 0.71 0.77 0.73 0.70 0.73 0.78 0.75 0.69 0.67 0.73 0.67 0.64 0.645
Quick Ratio 0.72 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.74 0.74 0.66 0.65 0.70 0.76 0.72 0.69 0.72 0.77 0.74 0.68 0.66 0.72 0.66 0.64 0.636
Debt/Equity 11.18 8.68 10.39 13.52 11.60 12.70 18.61 18.27 25.89 14.61 13.22 12.73 11.64 10.61 12.15 14.92 14.75 14.66 18.46 56.75 56.750
Net Debt/Equity 8.47 6.31 7.48 9.94 8.63 9.67 14.32 14.46 20.15 11.41 10.49 10.06 9.08 8.02 9.41 11.82 11.75 11.72 14.79 44.73 44.733
Debt/Assets 0.69 0.68 0.66 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.68 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.66 0.659
Debt/EBITDA 4.25 6.25 7.32 15.21 -540.29 51.30 80.07 22.42 26.26 15.77 9.85 9.00 7.01 7.32 6.57 5.97 6.82 5.65 5.62 9.06 9.061
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.22 4.55 5.27 11.18 -401.86 39.06 61.60 17.75 20.44 12.32 7.82 7.11 5.46 5.53 5.09 4.73 5.43 4.52 4.50 7.14 7.143
Interest Coverage 2.73 1.91 1.71 0.60 -0.03 0.30 0.19 0.65 0.56 1.02 1.66 1.64 2.06 1.59 1.16 0.84 0.61 0.62 0.57 0.26 0.262
Equity Multiplier 16.15 12.72 15.75 21.03 17.66 19.03 28.45 27.84 38.24 21.21 19.43 18.94 17.16 15.63 18.06 22.08 21.77 21.43 27.31 86.13 86.132
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.349
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.370
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.212
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.146
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3641.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.58 0.60 0.67 0.63 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.66 0.64 0.61 0.58 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.57 0.575
Inventory Turnover 85.26 67.48 112.51 152.41 168.55 114.97 196.34 171.58 177.04 143.72 173.47 161.09 152.34 150.47 152.91 158.65 160.63 169.46 173.61 171.28 171.280
Receivables Turnover 24.75 83.08 18.00 12.31 15.97 45.84 13.29 11.00 13.23 44.36 11.37 12.59 14.28 51.85 17.78 13.24 15.82 19.56 20.98 11.98 11.980
Payables Turnover 10.90 10.80 20.37 19.18 19.02 15.83 21.99 16.04 13.62 12.42 15.11 13.49 12.19 12.47 15.64 13.15 11.77 16.13 19.08 14.60 14.602
DSO 15 4 20 30 23 8 27 33 28 8 32 29 26 7 21 28 23 19 17 30 30.5 days
DIO 4 5 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2.1 days
DPO 33 34 18 19 19 23 17 23 27 29 24 27 30 29 23 28 31 23 19 25 25.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -14 -24 6 13 6 -12 13 13 3 -19 10 4 -2 -20 -0 2 -6 -2 0 8 7.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.936
Operating Cycle snapshot only 32.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.032
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.778
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 63.3% 1.1% 1.4% 70.1% 39.6% 28.2% 22.1% 20.2% 17.5% 14.6% 9.5% 4.5% 0.8% -3.6% -7.4% -6.8% -6.7% -3.4% 2.5% 9.1% 9.13%
Net Income 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% -1.3% -1.4% -1.8% -2.1% -46.9% -86.2% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 2.5% 15.1% -62.4% -1.3% -1.3% -1.8% -3.9% -5.1% -5.06%
EPS 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% -1.3% -1.4% -1.8% -2.1% -47.0% -86.3% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 2.5% 15.1% -61.9% -1.3% -1.3% -9.3% -4.0% -5.1% -5.13%
FCF 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 27.2% -22.4% -34.2% -21.1% -1.5% 19.7% 23.3% 46.4% 47.1% 49.3% 18.3% -25.5% -46.9% -64.4% -44.6% -17.2% -17.18%
EBITDA 2.6% 2.1% 89.1% -45.8% -1.0% -86.7% -89.6% -24.9% 25.0% 2.9% 8.8% 1.9% 3.1% 1.4% 56.8% 56.9% 6.6% 29.0% 16.6% -32.9% -32.93%
Op. Income 4.0% 3.6% 3.1% 5.3% -56.5% -89.2% -89.3% -55.1% -10.2% 4.1% 7.2% 2.3% 2.9% 84.6% -16.6% -43.5% -66.8% -75.8% -70.3% -94.4% -94.37%
OCF Growth snapshot only 14.76%
Asset Growth snapshot only 4.42%
Equity Growth snapshot only -73.23%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.82%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.17%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 12.5% 15.8% 18.7% 17.4% 17.1% 16.7% 18.4% 28.9% 38.9% 44.4% 48.3% 28.8% 18.2% 12.3% 7.4% 5.4% 3.4% 2.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.03%
Revenue 5Y 9.7% 12.3% 14.7% 14.8% 15.7% 16.4% 17.3% 18.4% 18.5% 17.9% 17.4% 15.2% 13.7% 11.9% 11.0% 15.8% 20.3% 22.9% 25.4% 16.8% 16.77%
EPS 3Y — — 16.4% — — — — — — — — — 6.5% 5.7% -23.1% — — — — — —
EPS 5Y -4.4% -12.1% 3.4% — — — — — — — 13.5% 12.5% 11.2% -4.3% 1.2% — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — 22.0% — — — — — — — — — 6.2% 5.7% -23.5% — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y -1.6% -9.6% 6.4% — — — — — — — 16.8% 15.7% 14.3% -1.5% 3.9% — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 43.0% 32.7% 28.3% -16.0% — -51.3% -54.3% -23.3% -8.2% 17.3% 24.3% 5.5% -3.8% 6.6% 16.8% 50.4% — 1.3% 1.6% 44.9% 44.85%
EBITDA 5Y 18.0% 9.6% 25.1% 29.6% — 89.2% -29.5% -0.8% -8.8% 3.7% 16.5% 5.1% 9.8% 1.0% 7.9% 15.4% 27.7% 37.4% 28.5% 4.3% 4.34%
Gross Profit 3Y — — 92.1% 18.1% — -38.8% -28.9% 20.3% 1.2% — — -1.9% -10.3% -11.2% -18.0% 3.2% 7.6% -8.3% -10.0% -29.5% -29.52%
Gross Profit 5Y -3.3% 24.5% 1.3% 45.2% 30.4% — — — — — 34.5% 17.2% — -8.5% -5.8% 17.8% 58.1% — — -26.9% -26.93%
Op. Income 3Y — — 3.8% 56.3% -1.9% -41.9% -42.7% 8.1% — — — 1.1% 14.9% 0.7% -9.8% -6.1% 5.0% 31.7% 26.7% -53.0% -53.04%
Op. Income 5Y 12.8% 22.6% 48.4% 46.7% 47.9% 89.0% — — — — 1.5% 41.1% 26.9% 13.2% 5.2% 18.3% — — — -21.7% -21.74%
FCF 3Y — — 3.0% 75.4% 49.2% 26.8% 39.8% — — — — — 22.6% 11.5% -1.4% -4.9% -8.4% -14.0% -6.9% -3.3% -3.32%
FCF 5Y 43.6% — — — — — — — — — 1.2% 44.2% 36.9% 29.5% 31.9% — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 92.3% 2.0% 80.6% 42.7% 21.7% 8.3% 13.6% 19.1% 38.1% 53.0% 94.8% 32.5% 19.6% 11.5% 1.4% 0.4% 3.0% 3.7% 7.7% 13.8% 13.79%
OCF 5Y 35.3% 75.5% — — — 64.8% 48.8% 56.6% 52.6% 90.9% 36.7% 27.4% 21.2% 17.8% 18.3% 16.8% 24.0% 27.3% 49.6% 18.5% 18.52%
Assets 3Y 46.9% 52.2% 10.4% 12.1% 12.0% 10.2% 16.5% 17.7% 17.9% 14.5% 17.9% 13.3% 14.4% 12.5% 11.9% 8.3% 8.9% 8.1% 6.6% 6.9% 6.94%
Assets 5Y 29.8% 30.1% 29.7% 32.2% 31.5% 31.1% 30.0% 32.6% 34.0% 35.3% 12.3% 11.6% 11.8% 11.3% 14.0% 13.8% 13.3% 10.5% 11.5% 9.5% 9.49%
Equity 3Y -21.7% -12.3% 11.4% -0.4% 5.9% -6.6% — — — 20.0% 70.3% 16.4% 12.1% 5.0% 6.9% 6.5% 1.6% 3.9% 8.1% -26.6% -26.61%
Book Value 3Y -25.3% -16.4% 6.3% -5.0% 1.0% -10.9% — — — 15.9% 70.3% 16.4% 12.3% 5.0% 7.4% 6.6% 1.7% 1.2% 8.6% -26.3% -26.27%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.37 0.30 0.29 0.54 0.57 0.54 0.53 0.76 0.79 0.76 0.72 0.82 0.90 0.91 0.85 0.80 0.74 0.70 0.67 0.70 0.699
Earnings Stability 0.02 0.07 0.03 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.53 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.10 0.14 0.05 0.07 0.01 0.15 0.151
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.04 0.29 0.43 0.85 0.52 0.13 0.00 0.24 0.238
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.81 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.09 — — — — — —
ROE Trend — 0.81 — — — 0.20 0.63 -0.16 -1.18 0.03 0.53 0.62 1.22 0.50 0.24 -0.19 -0.05 -0.58 -0.87 -2.90 -2.904
Gross Margin Trend 0.43 0.15 0.23 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.08 -0.17 -0.15 -0.11 -0.06 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.04 0.01 -0.03 -0.12 -0.12 -0.13 -0.127
FCF Margin Trend 0.92 1.06 1.19 0.73 0.81 0.82 0.89 0.42 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 0.03 0.08 0.13 0.08 -0.02 -0.09 -0.16 -0.10 -0.08 -0.082
Sustainable Growth Rate — 46.8% 59.6% — — — — — — 3.3% 50.7% 50.6% 85.1% 41.5% 14.2% — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 5.0% 3.0% 2.6% — — — — — — 0.2% 2.3% 2.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.65 7.37 10.10 -24.57 -10.19 -7.60 -6.08 -13.19 -5.39 93.36 6.86 7.87 5.21 8.65 23.45 -25.80 -12.18 -6.55 -6.28 -4.89 -4.885
FCF/OCF 0.93 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.92 0.85 0.70 0.57 0.65 0.61 0.613
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.997
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.155
CapEx/Revenue 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 4.0% 7.5% 9.6% 8.8% 10.8% 10.77%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.030
Accruals Ratio -0.13 -0.18 -0.23 -0.20 -0.19 -0.16 -0.17 -0.15 -0.17 -0.15 -0.13 -0.16 -0.15 -0.18 -0.17 -0.15 -0.15 -0.14 -0.16 -0.19 -0.193
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.101
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.587
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.69 0.78 0.76 0.48 0.37 0.60 0.62 0.63 1.26 1.05 0.74 0.74 0.71 0.69 0.71 0.74 0.55 0.88 0.94 0.82 0.820
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.66 0.51 0.45 -0.65 34.33 -2.29 -4.31 -0.54 -0.78 0.03 0.40 0.40 0.52 0.39 0.16 -0.16 -0.58 -0.61 -0.75 -2.81 -2.812
EBIT Margin 0.18 0.12 0.11 0.04 -0.00 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.12 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.02 0.025
Asset Turnover 0.58 0.60 0.67 0.63 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.66 0.64 0.61 0.58 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.57 0.575
Equity Multiplier -376.31 16.33 23.39 20.80 16.94 15.42 20.68 24.10 24.73 20.14 22.78 22.29 23.28 17.86 18.70 20.42 19.24 18.06 21.73 35.61 35.609
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.37 $0.91 $0.80 $-0.28 $-0.58 $-0.69 $-0.88 $-0.41 $-1.08 $0.07 $0.96 $0.99 $1.66 $1.08 $0.37 $-0.27 $-0.53 $-8.93 $-1.08 $-1.63 $-1.63
Book Value/Share $1.95 $2.70 $2.21 $1.80 $2.14 $2.01 $1.41 $1.48 $1.12 $2.08 $2.38 $2.45 $2.76 $3.13 $2.74 $2.18 $2.25 $22.62 $1.80 $0.59 $0.59
Tangible Book/Share $1.88 $2.59 $2.11 $1.70 $2.05 $1.90 $1.30 $1.36 $1.00 $1.94 $2.22 $2.27 $2.57 $2.91 $2.52 $1.96 $1.98 $19.35 $1.46 $0.23 $0.23
Revenue/Share $16.63 $19.04 $21.14 $22.14 $23.21 $24.40 $25.82 $26.62 $27.29 $27.96 $28.28 $27.80 $27.67 $26.96 $26.54 $25.96 $25.71 $261.16 $27.24 $28.67 $28.67
FCF/Share $4.66 $6.74 $8.11 $6.77 $5.92 $5.23 $5.33 $5.35 $5.83 $6.26 $6.58 $7.82 $8.63 $9.35 $7.89 $5.85 $4.57 $33.40 $4.37 $4.90 $4.44
OCF/Share $5.01 $6.74 $8.11 $6.77 $5.92 $5.23 $5.33 $5.35 $5.83 $6.26 $6.58 $7.82 $8.63 $9.35 $8.57 $6.88 $6.50 $58.56 $6.77 $7.99 $8.39
Cash/Share $5.29 $6.39 $6.43 $6.44 $6.37 $6.11 $6.04 $5.62 $6.45 $6.66 $6.49 $6.55 $7.09 $8.11 $7.50 $6.78 $6.76 $66.57 $6.60 $7.11 $7.11
EBITDA/Share $5.13 $3.75 $3.14 $1.60 $-0.05 $0.50 $0.33 $1.20 $1.11 $1.93 $3.19 $3.47 $4.59 $4.54 $5.07 $5.46 $4.88 $58.70 $5.92 $3.71 $3.71
Debt/Share $21.79 $23.44 $22.99 $24.35 $24.88 $25.57 $26.18 $26.96 $29.09 $30.40 $31.42 $31.23 $32.16 $33.22 $33.28 $32.59 $33.24 $331.65 $33.27 $33.58 $33.58
Net Debt/Share $16.49 $17.04 $16.56 $17.90 $18.51 $19.47 $20.14 $21.34 $22.64 $23.74 $24.93 $24.67 $25.07 $25.11 $25.78 $25.82 $26.48 $265.08 $26.66 $26.47 $26.47
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.472
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.823
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 9 6 6 5 6 5 5 8 7 5 7 8 6 3 3 3 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.61 -3.26 -3.48 15.08 -1.73 -1.83 -2.89 -3.48 -3.10 -3.41 -3.48 -3.21 -3.77 -3.70 -14.20 2.08 -2.29 -1.76 -1.80 -3.65 -3.646
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.749
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 3.03%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-37.25
EVA snapshot only $-301602480.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 29.07 25.94 34.60 17.29 25.06 16.15 15.85 13.91 15.59 18.40 21.70 22.34 24.87 22.02 20.10 16.00 14.78 15.71 16.29 14.72 14.725
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.278
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 11
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 1

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms