W NYSE
Wayfair Inc.
1W: +1.0%
1M: +15.2%
3M: +19.6%
YTD: +6.1%
1Y: +36.0%
3Y: +158.3%
5Y: -53.4%
$112.95
-0.10 (-0.09%)
After Hours: $112.59 (-0.36, -0.32%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.7%
$100
$106
$113
$119
$125
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 68% of companies Debt: 18.3% of company value Bonds: $453.1M held by 357 funds, 194 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.74 (down 98%), Wayfair Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.48B against a stock market value of $15.48B.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.40B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 69.8%; Altman Z'' -7.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.74 (down 98%), Wayfair Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.48B against a stock market value of $15.48B.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.40B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 69.8%; Altman Z'' -7.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+41.2% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-23.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+41.2%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-23.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+6.0%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
68%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+8.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.9%
67% win
68% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+2.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-23.6%
33% win
83% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+0.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-38.1%
42% win
94% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+7.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-37.5%
42% win
83% vol
May
20yr
💨
+24.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-28.4%
75% win
85% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+43.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.1%
75% win
58% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+50.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.2%
50% win
59% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+53.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.2%
42% win
81% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+51.9%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
42% win
54% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+43.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-27.0%
38% win
68% vol
Now:
+10.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
+41.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-25.9%
58% win
82% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-3.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.5%
33% win
60% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +6.0%