WMS NYSE
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.
1W: +0.7%
1M: +0.2%
3M: -5.3%
YTD: -12.4%
1Y: -8.6%
3Y: +21.1%
5Y: +20.6%
$130.94
-0.29 (-0.22%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.0%
$123
$126
$130
$134
$138
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 71% of companies Debt: 15.2% of company value Bonds: $108.9M held by 171 funds, 150 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.63 (down 99%), Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.77B against a stock market value of $9.87B.
Distance to default 7.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $810.1M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.9%; Altman Z 4.29. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.63 (down 99%), Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.77B against a stock market value of $9.87B.
Distance to default 7.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $810.1M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.9%; Altman Z 4.29. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+22.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+1.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+22.1%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+1.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-12.4%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
32%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+4.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.7%
67% win
36% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+9.3%
Midterm
☀️
+8.3%
67% win
53% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+8.0%
Midterm
☀️
+8.8%
50% win
54% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+11.6%
Midterm
☀️
+8.2%
67% win
44% vol
May
20yr
💨
+16.2%
Midterm
☀️
+14.6%
75% win
40% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+18.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.8%
75% win
39% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+22.1%
Midterm
⛅
+2.9%
46% win
29% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+25.1%
Midterm
☀️
+18.3%
54% win
41% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+23.9%
Midterm
☀️
+11.4%
54% win
36% vol
Oct
20yr
🌧️
+21.8%
Midterm
☁️
-0.8%
54% win
32% vol
Now:
+3.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+26.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.0%
67% win
50% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-0.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-9.7%
50% win
31% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -12.4%