— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0LW9.L (LSE) · $vol 3M · 1WR.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M

WRK NYSE

WestRock Company
1W: +3.6% 1M: -4.6% 3M: +6.1% 1Y: +86.8% 3Y: +4.8% 5Y: +60.1%
$51.51
Last traded 2024-07-05 — delisted
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · $13.3B mcap · 257M float · 1.25% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
41.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 2.0%  ·  5Y Avg: -0.1%
Cost Advantage
44
Intangibles
30
Switching Cost
40
Network Effect
35
Scale ★
63
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. WRK shows a Weak competitive edge (41.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 2.0% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 11Hold: 12Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-05-30 Truist Financial Michael Roxland $35 $57 +22 +6.1% $53.73
2024-05-06 Argus Research David Coleman Initiated $57 — +11.4% $51.16
2024-05-03 RBC Capital Paul Quinn Initiated $49 — -4.1% $51.11
2023-02-02 Deutsche Bank — $58 $34 -24 -4.1% $35.44
2023-02-02 Wells Fargo — $46 $27 -19 -23.5% $35.27
2022-11-11 Truist Financial — $40 $35 -5 -7.3% $37.77
2022-11-11 Wells Fargo — $59 $46 -13 +24.5% $36.95
2022-09-29 Truist Financial — Initiated $40 — +28.7% $31.09
2022-09-16 Jefferies — Initiated $42 — +8.9% $38.58
2022-05-26 Wells Fargo — $66 $59 -7 +24.6% $47.36
2022-05-09 Wells Fargo — Initiated $66 — +23.6% $53.40
2022-01-20 Bank of America Securities George Staphos Initiated $57 — +26.0% $45.24
2021-05-05 Stephens Mark Connelly Initiated $60 — +1.7% $59.00
2021-04-18 Deutsche Bank Kyle White, CFA Initiated $58 — +9.1% $53.16

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 31 Grade C
Profitability
12
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
78
Growth
49
Value
48
Momentum
80
Safety
30
Cash Flow
28
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. WRK scores highest in Momentum (80/100) and lowest in Profitability (12/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.38
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.99
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 34.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 7.09x
Accruals: -4.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. WRK scores 1.38, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. WRK scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. WRK's score of -2.67 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. WRK's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. WRK receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 34.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). WRK's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-8.00x
PEG
-1.53x
P/S
0.66x
P/B
1.31x
P/FCF
79.52x
P/OCF
9.96x
EV/EBITDA
8.55x
EV/Revenue
1.12x
EV/EBIT
22.33x
EV/FCF
130.39x
Earnings Yield
1.42%
FCF Yield
1.26%
Shareholder Yield
2.44%
Graham Number
$24.58
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. WRK currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $24.58 per share, 110% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.904
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.213
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.050
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.702
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.754
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. WRK's ROE of 1.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.702), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.90 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$6.05
Price/Value
8.30x
Margin of Safety
-730.37%
Premium
730.37%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with WRK's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. WRK trades at a 730% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $6.05, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -8.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$51.51
Median 1Y
$49.09
5th Pctile
$26.11
95th Pctile
$92.32
Ann. Volatility
37.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
ROE 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 6.6% -6.2% -5.9% -6.3% -5.5% 7.5% 7.7% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 7.0% -11.7% -13.2% -15.4% -15.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.87%
ROA 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.5% -2.3% -2.3% -2.4% -2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 2.7% -4.3% -5.0% -5.9% -6.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.68%
ROIC 5.2% 4.9% 4.8% 4.5% -1.0% -1.1% -1.3% -0.9% 4.8% 5.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.2% 4.4% -3.3% -4.0% -6.1% -6.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.04%
ROCE 5.8% 5.4% 5.4% 5.0% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.5% 7.7% 7.1% 7.3% 6.5% 5.4% 5.3% 4.9% 4.4% 4.43%
Gross Margin 23.2% 17.1% 18.1% 18.2% 18.2% 17.1% 16.9% 19.3% 19.6% 16.1% 18.6% 21.0% 19.6% 15.5% 17.4% 19.9% 17.6% 16.4% 16.5% 17.3% 17.34%
Operating Margin 10.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% -23.6% 5.3% 4.4% 7.9% 9.2% 5.5% 1.1% 9.8% 8.5% 3.4% -37.8% 7.0% -0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 5.2% 5.15%
Net Margin 6.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% -25.9% 3.5% 2.5% 5.2% 6.4% 3.7% 0.7% 6.8% 6.4% 0.9% -38.0% 3.9% 2.2% -0.5% 0.3% 1.7% 1.71%
EBITDA Margin 18.3% 14.4% 15.4% 15.8% 17.2% 15.0% 13.7% 16.4% 17.7% 13.3% 15.4% 17.2% 17.5% 11.6% 14.1% 14.8% 13.8% 12.4% 12.9% 13.1% 13.14%
FCF Margin 5.1% 5.5% 4.9% 5.6% 6.2% 9.0% 9.5% 9.4% 7.8% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 5.4% 5.0% 4.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.86%
OCF Margin 12.6% 13.3% 12.3% 12.7% 11.8% 13.4% 13.2% 12.9% 12.2% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 9.6% 9.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 8.2% 6.8% 6.85%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.39%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.63%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.38%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.20%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.03%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.97%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.22%
CROIC snapshot only 0.90%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.93%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.07%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.07%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.21%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
P/E Ratio 9.59 11.46 7.75 8.57 -11.90 -15.55 -17.90 -20.58 14.80 12.69 14.67 10.44 7.93 10.65 -6.05 -5.13 -5.48 -6.13 41.81 70.58 -7.998
P/S Ratio 0.45 0.54 0.36 0.37 0.47 0.60 0.73 0.73 0.66 0.57 0.58 0.46 0.35 0.41 0.35 0.35 0.44 0.53 0.66 0.68 0.655
P/B Ratio 0.71 0.84 0.57 0.57 0.77 0.96 1.15 1.15 1.06 0.94 1.01 0.84 0.66 0.75 0.78 0.72 0.90 1.04 1.27 1.33 1.308
P/FCF 8.79 9.72 7.45 6.67 7.52 6.65 7.69 7.71 8.47 11.07 9.69 7.54 6.47 8.10 8.75 10.79 13.18 14.42 27.53 79.52 79.522
P/OCF 3.58 4.05 2.94 2.96 3.97 4.47 5.49 5.65 5.44 6.08 5.64 4.47 3.71 4.23 3.88 4.07 4.94 5.73 8.02 9.96 9.958
EV/EBITDA 6.02 7.02 5.97 6.13 6.68 7.29 8.28 7.90 7.19 6.74 6.49 5.49 4.75 5.70 5.53 5.67 6.67 7.22 8.34 8.55 8.553
EV/Revenue 0.99 1.14 0.98 0.98 1.05 1.15 1.28 1.23 1.14 1.03 1.02 0.88 0.76 0.89 0.84 0.83 0.91 1.00 1.13 1.12 1.118
EV/EBIT 11.72 14.01 11.82 12.64 14.51 15.47 17.94 16.33 14.16 13.32 12.10 9.89 8.48 10.43 10.50 11.45 15.04 16.37 20.08 22.33 22.328
EV/FCF 19.32 20.64 20.16 17.45 16.83 12.79 13.50 13.06 14.54 20.02 17.15 14.35 13.86 17.70 20.74 25.46 26.83 27.31 47.37 130.39 130.389
Earnings Yield 10.4% 8.7% 12.9% 11.7% -8.4% -6.4% -5.6% -4.9% 6.8% 7.9% 6.8% 9.6% 12.6% 9.4% -16.5% -19.5% -18.2% -16.3% 2.4% 1.4% 1.42%
FCF Yield 11.4% 10.3% 13.4% 15.0% 13.3% 15.0% 13.0% 13.0% 11.8% 9.0% 10.3% 13.3% 15.5% 12.3% 11.4% 9.3% 7.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 1.26%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.050
EV/OCF snapshot only 16.328
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.588
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 52.488
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.44%
Graham Number snapshot only $24.58
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.45 1.44 1.75 1.80 1.69 1.60 1.52 1.49 1.55 1.57 1.53 1.46 1.53 1.51 1.53 1.49 1.42 1.55 1.34 1.28 1.275
Quick Ratio 0.83 0.80 1.07 1.03 1.00 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.90 0.94 1.00 1.02 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.85 0.80 0.798
Debt/Equity 0.86 0.95 1.03 0.94 0.98 0.91 0.90 0.85 0.79 0.79 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.92 1.10 1.02 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.90 0.899
Net Debt/Equity 0.85 0.94 0.98 0.92 0.96 0.89 0.87 0.80 0.76 0.76 0.78 0.76 0.75 0.88 1.06 0.99 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.85 0.852
Debt/Assets 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.35 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.334
Debt/EBITDA 3.33 3.77 3.97 3.89 3.78 3.59 3.68 3.43 3.10 3.11 2.94 2.70 2.61 3.22 3.31 3.37 3.54 3.58 3.68 3.52 3.521
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.28 3.71 3.76 3.79 3.69 3.50 3.56 3.23 3.00 3.01 2.82 2.61 2.53 3.09 3.20 3.27 3.39 3.40 3.49 3.34 3.337
Interest Coverage 3.60 3.48 3.63 3.47 3.22 3.33 3.28 3.51 4.04 4.10 4.82 5.62 5.94 5.47 4.63 3.79 2.93 2.65 2.24 1.96 1.965
Equity Multiplier 2.58 2.62 2.70 2.58 2.71 2.63 2.62 2.57 2.51 2.49 2.52 2.52 2.49 2.63 2.93 2.81 2.72 2.64 2.67 2.69 2.695
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.097
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.130
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.052
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.019
Defensive Interval snapshot only 488.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.66 0.60 0.59 0.58 0.60 0.59 0.59 0.61 0.65 0.67 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.702
Inventory Turnover 7.43 6.87 6.92 6.81 6.99 6.75 6.86 6.95 7.30 7.32 7.64 7.64 7.68 7.16 7.20 6.99 7.20 6.62 6.57 6.59 6.586
Receivables Turnover 8.70 8.40 7.94 7.93 8.11 8.60 7.57 7.88 7.93 8.48 7.70 7.84 8.07 8.18 7.47 7.44 7.70 7.84 6.91 7.23 7.228
Payables Turnover 8.25 8.53 8.60 8.91 8.23 8.35 8.28 8.70 8.07 8.31 8.22 8.16 7.88 7.83 7.83 7.67 7.64 7.42 7.42 7.24 7.239
DSO 42 43 46 46 45 42 48 46 46 43 47 47 45 45 49 49 47 47 53 50 50.5 days
DIO 49 53 53 54 52 54 53 53 50 50 48 48 48 51 51 52 51 55 56 55 55.4 days
DPO 44 43 42 41 44 44 44 42 45 44 44 45 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 50.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 47 54 56 59 53 53 57 57 51 49 51 50 46 49 53 54 50 52 59 55 55.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.731
Operating Cycle snapshot only 105.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 41.489
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.379
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue 12.3% 10.0% 5.1% -0.6% -3.9% -4.5% -3.7% 2.1% 6.6% 9.9% 15.4% 15.5% 13.4% 10.0% 4.4% -1.1% -4.5% -5.7% -7.9% -7.6% -7.63%
Net Income -54.7% -5.3% 0.3% -6.7% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 12.7% -7.0% -2.6% -2.5% -2.7% -3.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.13%
EPS -54.7% -5.4% 0.0% -7.4% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 18.2% -3.3% -2.6% -2.5% -2.7% -3.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.13%
FCF -33.8% -18.9% -23.3% -0.5% 16.1% 55.9% 87.6% 71.6% 34.0% -37.2% -27.4% -25.3% -20.9% 6.7% -29.0% -47.4% -40.8% -31.3% -45.9% -75.6% -75.58%
EBITDA 5.3% 2.5% 2.1% -4.7% -8.8% -6.9% -9.5% -0.3% 7.6% 6.4% 17.6% 18.0% 14.1% 11.5% 0.9% -9.5% -18.4% -16.2% -18.0% -17.1% -17.07%
Op. Income 23.3% 5.4% 1.6% -11.2% -1.2% -1.2% -1.2% -1.2% 6.0% 5.8% 4.3% 6.5% 3.6% -7.2% -1.7% -1.8% -2.1% -2.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.40%
OCF Growth snapshot only -26.50%
Asset Growth snapshot only -6.19%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.08%
Debt Growth snapshot only -13.45%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.09%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 9.67%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 8.3% 9.1% 8.4% 7.2% 5.8% 4.7% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.4% 5.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 1.83%
Revenue 5Y — — — 47.6% 22.4% 11.7% 5.3% 4.4% 5.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.8% 7.4% 6.8% 6.2% 5.2% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4% 1.4% 1.38%
EPS 3Y — 83.1% 65.3% 21.9% — — — — -24.9% -2.5% -2.8% 3.7% 3.4% -1.8% — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — 22.1% — — — — — 43.2% 32.9% 16.9% 6.0% -14.3% — — — — -18.5% -26.0% -26.03%
Net Income 3Y — 84.1% 66.5% 22.7% — — — — -24.0% -1.5% -2.1% 3.6% 3.1% -2.2% — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — 37.8% — — — — — 44.5% 34.0% 17.1% 5.9% -14.5% — — — — -18.5% -26.0% -25.96%
EBITDA 3Y 10.1% 11.1% 11.8% 10.7% 7.4% 5.5% 2.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 2.8% 3.9% 3.9% 3.3% 2.4% 2.1% 0.1% -0.2% -0.9% -4.0% -3.99%
EBITDA 5Y — — — 45.5% 21.1% 11.4% 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 6.3% 8.3% 9.8% 8.8% 6.8% 4.9% 2.1% -0.8% -1.1% -2.1% -3.4% -3.40%
Gross Profit 3Y 11.1% 12.5% 9.9% 8.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 2.8% 4.0% 3.2% 3.2% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 4.4% 3.7% 0.0% 0.04%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — 45.3% 19.6% 9.6% 4.3% 3.7% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 8.1% 8.0% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% -1.6% -1.60%
Op. Income 3Y 50.7% 47.9% 43.7% 44.3% — — — — 1.9% -1.8% -5.9% -2.7% -3.9% -5.9% — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — 37.0% — — — — 24.0% 23.8% 19.4% 25.6% 9.7% 8.6% — — — — -18.2% -22.4% -22.42%
FCF 3Y 1.8% 3.6% -3.6% -2.3% -0.9% 19.4% 19.2% 16.1% 1.0% -7.4% 1.5% 8.4% 7.2% 1.5% -1.1% -12.3% -14.4% -22.8% -34.6% -54.2% -54.21%
FCF 5Y — — — 47.6% 29.3% 20.6% 20.3% 14.9% 10.4% 1.7% 4.1% 3.6% 0.6% 2.7% -2.7% -9.3% -13.6% -10.2% -16.7% -30.4% -30.36%
OCF 3Y 11.0% 13.2% 9.1% 8.0% 2.9% 10.5% 8.5% 5.3% -2.0% -8.4% -4.1% -2.3% -4.4% -5.9% -4.9% -7.4% -4.1% -8.0% -11.9% -17.5% -17.49%
OCF 5Y — — — 53.3% 26.0% 14.9% 10.2% 6.6% 6.2% 1.5% 3.7% 3.8% 1.2% 3.1% 1.2% -2.3% -5.5% -4.9% -7.5% -10.7% -10.74%
Assets 3Y 9.4% 10.6% 10.5% 6.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% -1.8% -1.6% -2.1% -2.0% -0.6% -3.1% -2.4% -1.6% -2.5% -2.5% -3.5% -3.53%
Assets 5Y — — — 22.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 4.6% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 3.0% 2.5% 3.8% 2.1% 2.3% 1.6% -2.7% -2.6% -3.0% -3.04%
Equity 3Y 6.3% 7.4% 5.8% 4.9% 0.9% -1.2% -1.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% -0.2% -1.1% -0.8% -0.8% -5.7% -5.1% -1.8% -2.5% -3.1% -5.1% -5.06%
Book Value 3Y 5.3% 6.7% 5.1% 4.2% 0.6% -1.9% -2.3% -0.9% -0.6% -0.7% -0.9% -0.9% -0.4% -0.4% -5.1% -4.7% -1.5% -1.6% -2.1% -4.0% -3.95%
Dividend 3Y 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% -4.5% -10.0% -16.8% -24.5% -19.4% -13.2% -4.6% 6.7% 5.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% 4.70%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.94 0.99 0.99 0.83 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.90 0.90 0.85 0.79 0.57 0.36 0.364
Earnings Stability 0.42 0.36 0.29 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.05 0.19 0.64 0.61 0.44 0.32 0.19 0.21 0.215
Margin Stability 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.944
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.98 1.00 0.97 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.25 0.95 1.00 0.93 — — — — — — — — 0.88 0.93 — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.19 -0.14 -0.14 -0.12 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.06 -0.13 -0.15 -0.24 -0.24 0.06 0.05 0.049
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.016
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.038
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% — — — — 5.4% 5.5% 4.7% 5.8% 5.9% 4.7% — — — — 0.1% -1.2% -1.20%
Internal Growth Rate 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% — — — — 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% — — — — 0.0% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.68 2.83 2.64 2.90 -3.00 -3.48 -3.26 -3.64 2.72 2.09 2.60 2.34 2.14 2.52 -1.56 -1.26 -1.11 -1.07 5.21 7.09 7.088
FCF/OCF 0.41 0.42 0.39 0.44 0.53 0.67 0.71 0.73 0.64 0.55 0.58 0.59 0.57 0.52 0.44 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.29 0.13 0.125
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.888
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.524
CapEx/Revenue 7.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.1% 5.6% 4.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.4% 5.6% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 5.99%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.743
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.11 -0.11 -0.12 -0.12 -0.05 -0.04 -0.041
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.098
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.904
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Dividend Yield 5.7% 4.8% 7.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.30%
Dividend/Share $1.81 $1.82 $1.83 $1.57 $1.32 $1.05 $0.79 $0.82 $0.87 $0.93 $0.98 $1.01 $1.01 $1.03 $1.05 $1.07 $1.09 $1.12 $1.14 $1.17 $1.18
Payout Ratio 54.2% 54.7% 55.9% 52.8% — — — — 27.9% 28.5% 32.7% 28.1% 27.5% 32.6% — — — — 97.3% 1.6% 1.64%
FCF Payout Ratio 49.7% 46.4% 53.7% 41.1% 31.5% 17.5% 12.6% 13.0% 16.0% 24.9% 21.6% 20.3% 22.4% 24.8% 31.3% 40.8% 41.0% 39.6% 64.1% 1.9% 1.85%
Total Payout Ratio 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.3% — — — — 72.8% 61.8% 82.4% 1.1% 92.8% 96.6% — — — — 1.0% 1.7% 1.72%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.12 0.10 0.12 -0.05 -0.22 -0.39 -0.54 -0.44 -0.30 -0.08 0.26 0.20 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.132
Buyback Yield 21.2% 19.3% 29.8% 20.9% 11.0% 7.4% 9.7% 4.0% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 7.7% 8.2% 6.0% 4.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
Net Buyback Yield 21.0% 19.1% 29.4% 20.5% 10.7% 7.3% 9.6% 3.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.2% 7.4% 8.0% 5.8% 4.1% 0.1% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 26.7% 23.9% 36.6% 26.6% 14.9% 9.9% 11.2% 5.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.4% 10.1% 11.4% 8.9% 7.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.33%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.78 1.32 1.34 1.26 1.46 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.78 0.78 1.09 1.03 0.97 0.97 0.87 0.90 0.904
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.72 -0.41 -0.39 -0.45 -0.32 0.72 0.75 0.60 0.65 0.64 0.57 -0.67 -0.92 -1.39 -1.46 0.32 0.21 0.213
EBIT Margin 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.050
Asset Turnover 0.66 0.60 0.59 0.58 0.60 0.59 0.59 0.61 0.65 0.67 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.702
Equity Multiplier 2.40 2.63 2.67 2.60 2.64 2.62 2.66 2.58 2.60 2.56 2.57 2.54 2.50 2.56 2.71 2.66 2.60 2.63 2.80 2.75 2.754
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.33 $3.32 $3.27 $2.98 $-2.66 $-2.56 $-2.67 $-2.38 $3.12 $3.25 $3.00 $3.59 $3.68 $3.15 $-4.85 $-5.50 $-6.39 $-6.68 $1.18 $0.71 $0.71
Book Value/Share $45.04 $45.50 $44.13 $44.98 $40.87 $41.40 $41.39 $42.57 $43.40 $43.83 $43.64 $44.51 $44.47 $44.93 $37.73 $38.94 $39.09 $39.49 $38.82 $37.72 $39.46
Tangible Book/Share $1.25 $2.04 $1.43 $2.66 $3.85 $5.17 $5.97 $7.62 $8.90 $9.39 $9.29 $9.70 $10.09 $10.15 $10.29 $11.93 $12.62 $13.11 $13.02 $12.41 $12.41
Revenue/Share $70.59 $70.74 $69.99 $68.20 $67.58 $66.30 $65.72 $67.39 $69.71 $72.30 $76.30 $81.37 $82.90 $82.69 $82.64 $80.64 $78.75 $77.85 $75.03 $73.68 $79.37
FCF/Share $3.63 $3.91 $3.40 $3.83 $4.20 $5.99 $6.21 $6.36 $5.45 $3.73 $4.54 $4.97 $4.52 $4.14 $3.35 $2.62 $2.66 $2.84 $1.79 $0.63 $2.68
OCF/Share $8.92 $9.38 $8.62 $8.64 $7.96 $8.91 $8.70 $8.68 $8.48 $6.79 $7.81 $8.38 $7.88 $7.92 $7.54 $6.94 $7.09 $7.15 $6.13 $5.05 $7.14
Cash/Share $0.59 $0.60 $2.46 $1.12 $0.97 $0.96 $1.25 $2.04 $1.08 $1.09 $1.36 $1.19 $1.01 $1.62 $1.42 $1.22 $1.53 $1.90 $1.91 $1.78 $1.54
EBITDA/Share $11.65 $11.49 $11.48 $10.90 $10.59 $10.50 $10.13 $10.52 $11.02 $11.08 $11.99 $12.97 $13.19 $12.84 $12.55 $11.75 $10.70 $10.75 $10.14 $9.64 $9.64
Debt/Share $38.84 $43.29 $45.64 $42.38 $40.08 $37.69 $37.33 $36.03 $34.12 $34.47 $35.18 $34.96 $34.39 $41.29 $41.55 $39.62 $37.84 $38.49 $37.34 $33.92 $33.92
Net Debt/Share $38.25 $42.69 $43.18 $41.26 $39.11 $36.73 $36.08 $33.99 $33.03 $33.38 $33.83 $33.78 $33.38 $39.68 $40.13 $38.40 $36.31 $36.59 $35.43 $32.15 $32.15
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.383
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.411
Piotroski F-Score 7 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 7 6 9 8 8 5 4 5 2 5 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.59 -2.79 -2.74 -2.76 -2.82 -3.03 -2.91 -2.84 -2.57 -2.39 -2.55 -2.61 -2.65 -2.66 -3.09 -3.14 -3.19 -3.31 -2.71 -2.67 -2.666
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.992
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 7.75%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-40.44
EVA snapshot only $-1445559306.30
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 39.63 43.34 42.77 42.39 42.63 45.31 45.23 42.87 44.43 43.96 46.78 49.44 51.47 50.14 46.46 43.67 39.71 41.13 39.02 34.88 34.877
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.795
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 23
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 24

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms