Also trades as: YPFD.BA (BUE) · $vol 11M
YPF NYSE
YPF Sociedad Anónima
1W: -2.9%
1M: -5.5%
3M: -1.2%
YTD: +35.7%
1Y: +83.1%
3Y: +290.5%
5Y: +987.0%
$48.46
-0.78 (-1.58%)
After Hours: $48.41 (-0.05, -0.09%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.5%
$46
$48
$51
$53
$55
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 58% of companies Debt: 35.2% of company value Bonds: $88.0M held by 130 funds, 267 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $2.20 (down 96%), YPF Sociedad Anónima would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $10.50B against a stock market value of $19.30B.
Distance to default 4.37 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $5.68B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.8%; Altman Z'' 1.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $10.50B against a stock market value of $19.30B.
Distance to default 4.37 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $5.68B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.8%; Altman Z'' 1.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
🌧️
Rainy
-2.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+5.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-2.1%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+5.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+35.7%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
46%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
-0.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.1%
55% win
50% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-4.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.9%
35% win
44% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
-3.4%
Midterm
☁️
-0.9%
55% win
72% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-5.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.9%
45% win
53% vol
May
20yr
💨
-1.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.7%
70% win
48% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-3.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.9%
40% win
46% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-3.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.4%
50% win
40% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
-4.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.0%
35% win
50% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-6.6%
Midterm
☁️
+0.8%
45% win
46% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
-2.8%
Midterm
☀️
+5.6%
48% win
46% vol
Now:
-1.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+9.0%
Midterm
☀️
+11.0%
65% win
57% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
💨
+1.3%
55% win
40% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +35.7%