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ZKH NYSE

ZKH Group Limited
1W: -4.5% 1M: -40.7% 3M: -41.9% YTD: -54.2% 1Y: -44.2%
$1.69
-0.09 (-5.06%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±9.4%
$1 $2 $2 $2 $2
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 30 · $266.6M mcap · 58M float · 0.362% daily turnover · Short 64% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 75% of companies Debt: 18.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.07 (down 96%), ZKH Group Limited would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $60.2M against a stock market value of $266.6M.
Distance to default 3.04 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $45.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.5%; Altman Z'' 0.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
4
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ZKH receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: D/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 C C+
2026-10-01 C+ C
2026-08-24 C C+
2026-08-14 C+ C
2026-07-01 C C+
2026-04-24 C- C
2026-04-01 C C-
2026-02-20 C+ C
2026-01-03 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
6
Balance Sheet
51
Earnings Quality
47
Growth
67
Value
—
Momentum
64
Safety
—
Cash Flow
38

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.32
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.74
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 52.0/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -2.21x
Accruals: -5.1%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ZKH scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ZKH's score of -2.32 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ZKH's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ZKH receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 52.0/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
268.26x
PEG
0.34x
P/S
0.19x
P/B
0.63x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 268.3x earnings, ZKH is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.016
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.865
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.014
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.319
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.188
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-3.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ZKH's ROE of -3.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.319), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.02 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 718 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1.69
Median 1Y
$0.55
5th Pctile
$0.13
95th Pctile
$2.27
Ann. Volatility
82.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
3,476
-12.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$2,515,210
Rev: $8,742,868,582
Profit / Employee
$-39,107
NI: $-135,934,752
SGA / Employee
$426,345
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$46,320
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 0.6% -2.2% -4.3% -7.1% -8.5% -7.8% -7.5% -5.3% -3.5% -3.46%
ROA 0.3% -1.0% -2.0% -3.2% -3.8% -3.7% -3.5% -2.5% -1.6% -1.58%
ROIC -0.3% -4.8% -7.7% -13.6% -15.9% -13.3% -12.9% -10.8% -8.3% -8.34%
ROCE 0.8% -3.1% -5.2% -8.6% -10.4% -8.5% -8.0% -5.0% -3.9% -3.87%
Gross Margin 17.1% 18.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.1% 17.2% 16.5% 16.7% 17.6% 17.58%
Operating Margin -0.3% -7.0% -3.2% -4.6% -1.4% -4.2% -3.3% -1.1% 0.2% 0.16%
Net Margin 0.8% -4.9% -2.9% -3.6% -1.2% -3.4% -2.5% -0.5% 1.1% 1.09%
EBITDA Margin 1.8% -6.0% -2.7% -3.3% -0.8% -3.5% -1.7% -0.3% 0.6% 0.62%
FCF Margin -3.4% -5.6% -6.0% -6.2% -4.9% -2.7% -0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.69%
OCF Margin -2.4% -4.7% -5.2% -5.5% -4.2% -1.9% 0.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.65%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.87%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.79%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -6.08%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -4.33%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.11%
CROIC snapshot only 9.00%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -1.56%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.18%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 1.68%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 14.28%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.25%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — 268.259
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — 0.188
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — 0.625
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.344
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.73 1.82 1.80 1.81 1.85 1.96 1.90 1.84 1.77 1.772
Quick Ratio 1.56 1.63 1.61 1.62 1.67 1.71 1.66 1.64 1.59 1.585
Debt/Equity 0.26 0.28 0.26 0.23 0.18 0.12 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.138
Net Debt/Equity -0.35 -0.30 -0.33 -0.41 -0.46 -0.43 -0.41 -0.47 -0.44 -0.440
Debt/Assets 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.062
Debt/EBITDA 19.21 -13.44 -6.37 -3.51 -2.05 -1.67 -2.69 -3.11 -4.17 -4.170
Net Debt/EBITDA -26.19 14.29 8.32 6.18 5.31 5.89 6.12 10.60 13.25 13.250
Interest Coverage 4.08 -8.40 -9.80 -12.29 -9.83 -8.78 -8.82 -5.96 -11.00 -10.998
Equity Multiplier 2.30 2.15 2.19 2.19 2.13 2.02 2.09 2.15 2.25 2.246
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.484
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -8.963
Cash to Debt snapshot only 4.178
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.364
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1171.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.33 0.62 0.94 1.31 1.25 1.35 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.319
Inventory Turnover 3.03 5.21 8.06 11.13 11.20 10.43 10.25 10.99 11.29 11.287
Receivables Turnover 0.61 1.18 1.78 2.79 2.47 2.74 2.65 2.75 2.59 2.587
Payables Turnover 0.70 1.51 2.09 2.90 2.67 3.14 2.93 2.85 2.69 2.688
DSO 596 308 205 131 148 133 138 133 141 141.1 days
DIO 120 70 45 33 33 35 36 33 32 32.3 days
DPO 518 242 175 126 136 116 124 128 136 135.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 199 136 75 38 44 52 49 38 38 37.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 28.425
Operating Cycle snapshot only 173.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.166
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.752
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 2.6% 1.1% 33.5% -2.8% -1.2% -1.24%
Net Income — — — — -14.2% -2.5% -68.8% 27.1% 61.3% 61.30%
EPS — — — — -14.0% -2.5% -70.8% -24.9% 60.7% 60.71%
FCF — — — — -4.2% 0.2% 88.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.34%
EBITDA — — — — -7.2% -2.3% -54.7% 36.5% 64.0% 63.99%
Op. Income — — — — -49.0% -1.1% -40.0% 33.6% 49.4% 49.44%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.62%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.57%
Equity Growth snapshot only -6.50%
Debt Growth snapshot only -26.92%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.50%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.74 0.737
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.18 0.184
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.99 0.993
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.004
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.00 -0.001
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.06 0.059
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.6% — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -2.92 2.85 2.51 2.22 1.38 0.69 -0.13 -1.44 -2.21 -2.208
FCF/OCF 1.41 1.19 1.15 1.14 1.17 1.41 -1.55 0.64 0.64 0.638
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.408
CapEx/Revenue 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.96%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.156
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.051
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.033
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.759
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.016
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.75 0.69 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.89 0.91 1.03 0.86 0.865
EBIT Margin 0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.014
Asset Turnover 0.33 0.62 0.94 1.31 1.25 1.35 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.319
Equity Multiplier 2.30 2.15 2.19 2.19 2.22 2.09 2.14 2.17 2.19 2.188
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.13 $-0.43 $-0.83 $-1.34 $-1.64 $-1.50 $-1.42 $-34.62 $-0.65 $-0.65
Book Value/Share $19.99 $19.65 $19.48 $18.82 $18.98 $18.66 $18.46 $630.98 $18.02 $18.02
Tangible Book/Share $19.68 $19.29 $19.18 $18.46 $18.63 $18.32 $18.12 $616.13 $17.63 $17.63
Revenue/Share $15.22 $26.29 $39.91 $53.96 $53.67 $54.30 $53.95 $1864.49 $53.81 $58.70
FCF/Share $-0.52 $-1.46 $-2.41 $-3.36 $-2.64 $-1.47 $-0.29 $31.71 $0.91 $0.91
OCF/Share $-0.37 $-1.23 $-2.09 $-2.96 $-2.26 $-1.04 $0.18 $49.74 $1.42 $1.42
Cash/Share $12.23 $11.51 $11.51 $12.13 $12.06 $10.35 $10.81 $387.52 $10.42 $10.42
EBITDA/Share $0.27 $-0.42 $-0.78 $-1.25 $-1.64 $-1.37 $-1.23 $-28.27 $-0.60 $-0.60
Debt/Share $5.18 $5.58 $4.99 $4.40 $3.36 $2.29 $3.30 $88.01 $2.49 $2.49
Net Debt/Share $-7.06 $-5.93 $-6.52 $-7.73 $-8.69 $-8.06 $-7.51 $-299.51 $-7.92 $-7.92
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 2 1 1 1 4 5 6 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — -3.20 -2.65 -2.74 -2.70 -2.32 -2.325
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.739
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -3.97%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $15.68
EVA snapshot only $-297619356.09
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 47.43 43.00 43.29 42.83 43.97 43.72 44.23 52.25 51.96 51.955
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.985
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 44
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 44

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms