Also trades as: 2057.HK (HKSE) · $vol 32M
ZTO NYSE
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
1W: -0.4%
1M: +2.5%
3M: -16.5%
YTD: -6.9%
1Y: +4.3%
3Y: -7.3%
5Y: -28.6%
$20.05
+0.07 (+0.35%)
After Hours: $20.10 (+0.05, +0.27%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.3%
$19
$19
$20
$20
$21
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 78% of companies Debt: 18.0% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.35 (down 98%), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.31B against a stock market value of $15.04B.
Distance to default 9.27 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.53B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 24.5%; Altman Z'' 5.21. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Total debt $3.31B against a stock market value of $15.04B.
Distance to default 9.27 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.53B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 24.5%; Altman Z'' 5.21. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+9.2% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-19.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+9.2%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-19.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-6.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
39%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+1.3%
Midterm
⛅
+3.2%
60% win
34% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+2.5%
Midterm
⛅
+2.0%
80% win
34% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+3.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.5%
60% win
53% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+10.4%
Midterm
⛅
+2.5%
80% win
34% vol
May
20yr
💨
+13.3%
Midterm
☀️
+11.6%
40% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+12.8%
Midterm
☀️
+10.3%
50% win
31% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+12.7%
Midterm
☀️
+7.5%
60% win
34% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+9.8%
Midterm
☀️
+6.0%
40% win
36% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+10.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.0%
50% win
35% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+6.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.1%
36% win
39% vol
Now:
+3.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+10.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.5%
50% win
41% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-2.0%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
50% win
32% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -6.5%