China government bonds
China's bonds as US funds mark them in their filings (SEC Form N-PORT), by currency. Fund marks as of Jul 2026; they lag the market by about two months.
By currency
| Bonds | Measured against | Count | Spread | 10-year spread | Priced-in 5y odds | 1-month change | Median yield | Held by US funds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNY Own-currency bonds | own currency: yield only, no default number | 138 | — | — | — | — | 1.49% | $4.21B |
| USD Emerging markets, US-dollar bonds | vs US Treasuries | 15 | -24 bp | — | 0.0% | +3 bp | 4.09% | $363.0M |
| EUR Euro bonds of non-euro countries | vs German Bunds | 9 | 7 bp | 10 bp | 0.6% | -11 bp | 3.13% | $5.4M |
Priced-in odds = spread ÷ (1 − 40% recovery) over five years; it includes a risk premium and overstates actual defaults. Own-currency bonds get a yield and no odds: a government can print its own currency.
USD spread history
Median spread vs US Treasuries, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.
EUR spread history
Median spread vs German Bunds, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.
China's CNY curve
Yield to maturity of each CNY bond US funds hold (212 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.
China's EUR curve
Yield to maturity of each EUR bond US funds hold (9 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.
China's USD curve
Yield to maturity of each USD bond US funds hold (28 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.
Who holds China's debt
Fund series holding China's government and government-related bonds in their latest quarterly report: 120 now, 127 a quarter earlier. Names as reported in the filings.
| Fund series | Report | Bonds | Face value | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 100 | $12.32B | $1.93B |
| Six Circles Global Bond Fund | 2026-06-30 | 89 | $12.42B | $1.92B |
| VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND II INDEX FUND | 2026-07-31 | 118 | $12.10B | $1.90B |
| VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND INDEX FUND | 2026-07-31 | 96 | $9.80B | $1.53B |
| PIMCO International Bond Fund (U.S. Dollar-Hedged) | 2026-06-30 | 6 | $6.11B | $952.7M |
| T. Rowe Price International Bond Fund (USD Hedged) | 2026-06-30 | 15 | $3.76B | $504.4M |
| VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 93 | $2.78B | $424.1M |
| iShares Global Government Bond USD Hedged Active ETF | 2026-07-31 | 50 | $1.83B | $284.3M |
| State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 106 | $1.87B | $279.9M |
| iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 9 | $259.3M | $248.5M |
| American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund | 2026-06-30 | 20 | $1.63B | $245.7M |
| AB GLOBAL BOND FUND, INC. | 2026-06-30 | 4 | $1.13B | $164.1M |
| Nuveen International Bond Fund | 2026-06-30 | 12 | $950.5M | $147.7M |
| American Funds Global Balanced Fund | 2026-07-31 | 10 | $893.3M | $136.6M |
| Global Bond Fund | 2026-07-31 | 5 | $686.0M | $108.2M |
| iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 99 | $695.9M | $106.6M |
| Franklin International Aggregate Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 6 | $660.0M | $105.2M |
| Capital World Bond Fund | 2026-06-30 | 18 | $583.3M | $91.8M |
| BNY Mellon Global Fixed Income Fund | 2026-06-30 | 1 | $526.0M | $77.3M |
| PIMCO Emerging Markets Local Currency and Bond Fund | 2026-06-30 | 7 | $490.0M | $74.3M |
ETFs holding China's bonds
From each ETF's own latest N-PORT report, as a share of its net assets. A holdings list, not a recommendation.
| ETF | Report | Bonds | Value | % of net assets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAGG iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 100 | $1.93B | 17.24% |
| BNDX VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND INDEX FUND | 2026-07-31 | 96 | $1.53B | 1.25% |
| EMLC VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 93 | $424.1M | 8.71% |
| EBND State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 106 | $279.9M | 12.38% |
| EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 9 | $248.5M | 1.70% |
| LEMB iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 99 | $106.6M | 14.89% |
| FLIA Franklin International Aggregate Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 6 | $105.2M | 13.71% |
| BWX State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 74 | $61.5M | 4.57% |
| VWOB VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND | 2026-07-31 | 15 | $61.2M | 0.92% |
| PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF | 2026-07-31 | 3 | $37.9M | 2.74% |
| CGIB Capital Group International Bond ETF (USD-Hedged) | 2026-06-30 | 4 | $24.3M | 8.81% |
| IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 28 | $23.8M | 0.06% |
| CBON VanEck China Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 25 | $14.7M | 61.82% |
| BWZ State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Short Term International Treasury Bond ETF | 2026-06-30 | 20 | $13.4M | 4.54% |
| XEMD BondBloxx JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets 1-10 Year Bond ETF | 2026-07-31 | 9 | $11.9M | 1.41% |
Sources: fund holdings and fund-reported marks from SEC Form N-PORT (published about 60 days after each month-end); 13F filings; House and Senate periodic transaction reports and OGE Form 278-T; Treasury yields from FRED. Findings from filings, not advice. How each number is computed.