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Bonds · Sovereign

Poland government bonds

Poland's bonds as US funds mark them in their filings (SEC Form N-PORT), by currency. Fund marks as of Jul 2026; they lag the market by about two months.

By currency

BondsMeasured againstCountSpread10-year spreadPriced-in 5y odds1-month changeMedian yieldHeld by US funds
PLN Own-currency bonds own currency: yield only, no default number34 — —— —5.07% $2.76B
USD Emerging markets, US-dollar bonds vs US Treasuries12 80 bp 85 bp6.4% +17 bp5.29% $939.7M
EUR Euro bonds of non-euro countries vs German Bunds19 54 bp 58 bp4.4% -7 bp3.58% $378.8M
JPY Other foreign-currency bonds own currency: yield only, no default number1 — —— —— $644K

Priced-in odds = spread ÷ (1 − 40% recovery) over five years; it includes a risk premium and overstates actual defaults. Own-currency bonds get a yield and no odds: a government can print its own currency.

USD spread history

Median spread vs US Treasuries, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

17 bp75 bp133 bpJan 2021Jul 20262021-01-31: 29 bp2021-02-28: 28 bp2021-03-31: 28 bp2021-04-30: 22 bp2021-05-31: 22 bp2021-06-30: 21 bp2021-07-31: 19 bp2021-08-31: 17 bp2021-09-30: 25 bp2021-10-31: 52 bp2021-11-30: 68 bp2021-12-31: 36 bp2022-01-31: 47 bp2022-02-28: 87 bp2022-11-30: 58 bp2022-12-31: 86 bp2023-01-31: 100 bp2023-02-28: 98 bp2023-03-31: 88 bp2023-04-30: 119 bp2023-05-31: 133 bp2023-06-30: 131 bp2023-07-31: 108 bp2023-08-31: 101 bp2023-09-30: 133 bp2023-10-31: 107 bp2023-11-30: 72 bp2023-12-31: 62 bp2024-01-31: 84 bp2024-02-29: 93 bp2024-03-31: 87 bp2024-04-30: 95 bp2024-05-31: 84 bp2024-06-30: 92 bp2024-07-31: 74 bp2024-08-31: 86 bp2024-09-30: 98 bp2024-10-31: 104 bp2024-11-30: 78 bp2024-12-31: 110 bp2025-01-31: 79 bp2025-02-28: 69 bp2025-03-31: 84 bp2025-04-30: 84 bp2025-05-31: 85 bp2025-06-30: 70 bp2025-07-31: 70 bp2025-08-31: 75 bp2025-09-30: 75 bp2025-10-31: 72 bp2025-11-30: 67 bp2025-12-31: 68 bp2026-01-31: 69 bp2026-02-28: 53 bp2026-03-31: 84 bp2026-04-30: 75 bp2026-05-31: 60 bp2026-06-30: 63 bp2026-07-31: 80 bp

EUR spread history

Median spread vs German Bunds, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

44 bp122 bp200 bpJan 2021Jul 20262021-01-31: 55 bp2021-03-31: 48 bp2021-04-30: 44 bp2021-06-30: 64 bp2021-07-31: 58 bp2021-09-30: 64 bp2021-10-31: 62 bp2021-12-31: 86 bp2022-01-31: 61 bp2022-03-31: 120 bp2022-04-30: 110 bp2022-06-30: 167 bp2022-07-31: 176 bp2022-09-30: 186 bp2022-10-31: 200 bp2022-12-31: 104 bp2023-01-31: 104 bp2023-03-31: 171 bp2023-04-30: 140 bp2023-06-30: 153 bp2023-07-31: 99 bp2023-09-30: 141 bp2023-10-31: 114 bp2023-12-31: 125 bp2024-01-31: 112 bp2024-03-31: 131 bp2024-04-30: 96 bp2024-06-30: 124 bp2024-07-31: 101 bp2024-09-30: 112 bp2024-10-31: 90 bp2024-12-31: 99 bp2025-01-31: 77 bp2025-03-31: 83 bp2025-04-30: 77 bp2025-06-30: 77 bp2025-07-31: 68 bp2025-09-30: 69 bp2025-10-31: 68 bp2025-12-31: 73 bp2026-01-31: 63 bp2026-03-31: 70 bp2026-04-30: 59 bp2026-06-30: 61 bp2026-07-31: 54 bp

Poland's EUR curve

Yield to maturity of each EUR bond US funds hold (31 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

2.96%3.68%4.41%0y11y23yBANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 4.0 2027-09-08: 3.05%Republic of Poland Government International Bond 1.375 2027-10-22: 3.01%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 1.625 2028-04-30: 3.24%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 0.375 2028-10-13: 3.25%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 1.0 2028-10-25: 2.96%Republic of Poland 1.0 2029-03-07: 2.96%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 3.0 2029-05-30: 3.19%Republic of Poland Government International Bond 3.0 2030-01-16: 3.26%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 2.0 2030-06-01: 3.37%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 3.63 2030-11-29: 3.37%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 2.88 2031-01-15: 3.39%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 0.5 2031-07-08: 3.58%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 3.125 2031-10-22: 3.42%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 4.0 2032-03-13: 3.62%Republic of Poland Government International Bond 2.75 2032-05-25: 3.56%POLAND 3.125 2032-07-07: 3.55%POLAND GOVT 3.875 2033-02-14: 3.58%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 5.125 2033-02-22: 3.73%Republic of Poland Government International Bond 3.625 2034-01-11: 3.67%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 3.75 2034-06-10: 3.91%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 3.625 2035-01-16: 3.66%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 3.875 2035-03-13: 4.00%Republic of Poland Government International Bond 2.375 2036-01-18: 3.78%POLAND 3.625 2036-06-15: 3.90%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 4.25 2037-03-18: 4.22%Republic of Poland Government International Bond 3.875 2037-07-07: 4.12%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 4.375 2039-03-13: 4.39%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 3.875 2039-10-22: 4.27%POLAND GOVT 4.25 2043-02-14: 4.39%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 2.0 2049-03-08: 4.41%

Poland's PLN curve

Yield to maturity of each PLN bond US funds hold (29 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

2.55%4.16%5.78%0y5y10yPOLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 3.75 2027-05-25: 3.84%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 2.5 2027-07-25: 3.93%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 2.75 2028-04-25: 4.27%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 7.5 2028-07-25: 4.40%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 5.75 2029-04-25: 4.58%Republic of Poland Government Bond 4.75 2029-07-25: 4.59%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 4.75 2029-07-25: 4.65%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 2.75 2029-10-25: 4.70%Poland (Republic of) 5.0 2030-01-25: 4.77%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 5.0 2030-01-25: 4.80%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 4.5 2030-07-25: 4.98%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 1.25 2030-10-25: 4.98%Republic of Poland Government Bond 1.25 2030-10-25: 4.95%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 4.5 2031-01-25: 5.07%POLAND, REPUBLIC OF - STATE TREASURY 4.0 2031-07-25: 5.20%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 4.0 2031-07-25: 5.22%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 1.75 2031-08-25: 2.55%Poland (Republic of) 1.75 2032-04-25: 5.29%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 1.75 2032-04-25: 5.33%Poland (Republic of) 6.0 2033-10-25: 5.50%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 6.0 2033-10-25: 5.48%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 5.0 2034-10-25: 5.60%Poland (Republic of) 5.0 2034-10-25: 5.58%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 5.0 2035-10-25: 5.70%REPUBLIC OF POLAND GOVERNMENT BONDS 10/35 5 5.0 2035-10-25: 5.66%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 5.25 2036-04-25: 5.75%POLAND, REPUBLIC OF - STATE TREASURY 5.25 2036-04-25: 5.78%POLAND GOVERNMENT BOND 2.0 2036-08-25: 3.16%

Poland's USD curve

Yield to maturity of each USD bond US funds hold (20 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

4.56%5.49%6.42%0y15y30yREPUBLIC OF POLAND 5.5 2027-11-16: 4.56%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 6.25 2028-10-31: 4.57%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 6.25 2028-10-31: 4.57%Republic of Poland Government International Bonds 4.625 2029-03-18: 4.60%Republic of Poland Government International Bonds 4.875 2030-02-12: 4.70%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 4.625 2031-04-14: 4.81%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 5.75 2032-11-16: 5.14%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 5.375 2033-05-22: 5.35%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 5.375 2033-05-22: 5.33%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 4.875 2033-10-04: 5.24%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOW 5.75 2034-07-09: 5.44%Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego 5.75 2034-07-09: 5.47%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 5.125 2034-09-18: 5.34%Republic of Poland Government International Bonds 5.375 2035-02-12: 5.41%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 5.375 2036-04-14: 5.56%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 5.5 2053-04-04: 6.29%Republic of Poland Government International Bonds 5.5 2054-03-18: 6.31%BANK GOSPODARSTWA KRAJOWEGO 6.25 2054-07-09: 6.41%REPUBLIC OF POLAND 6.125 2056-04-14: 6.42%

Who holds Poland's debt

Fund series holding Poland's government and government-related bonds in their latest quarterly report: 443 now, 422 a quarter earlier. Names as reported in the filings.

Fund seriesReportBondsFace valueValue
VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND II INDEX FUND2026-07-31 33$4.19B$1.26B
VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND INDEX FUND2026-07-31 33$3.68B$1.12B
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF2026-07-31 16$525.5M$513.4M
VANGUARD TOTAL BOND MARKET II INDEX FUND2026-06-30 12$379.6M$380.3M
VANGUARD TOTAL BOND MARKET INDEX FUND2026-06-30 12$377.7M$377.6M
PIMCO Emerging Markets Local Currency and Bond Fund2026-06-30 8$1.05B$280.0M
VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF2026-06-30 17$1.02B$266.2M
American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 17$915.6M$264.3M
BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities Portfolio2026-06-30 9$671.4M$178.8M
MFS Emerging Markets Debt Fund2026-07-31 10$170.5M$172.9M
VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND2026-07-31 17$162.6M$158.6M
Global Macro Absolute Return Advantage Portfolio2026-07-31 1$555.2M$134.0M
VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM BOND INDEX FUND2026-06-30 5$115.2M$116.6M
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF2026-05-31 12$104.0M$103.4M
State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF2026-06-30 18$385.1M$99.0M
Eaton Vance Emerging Markets Debt Opportunities Fund2026-07-31 1$400.6M$96.7M
T. Rowe Price International Bond Fund (USD Hedged)2026-06-30 4$247.4M$95.6M
New World Fund Inc2026-07-31 4$329.7M$94.0M
VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS BOND FUND2026-06-30 1$88.3M$89.7M
Six Circles Global Bond Fund2026-06-30 17$328.0M$86.4M

ETFs holding Poland's bonds

From each ETF's own latest N-PORT report, as a share of its net assets. A holdings list, not a recommendation.

ETFReportBondsValue% of net assets
BNDX VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND INDEX FUND 2026-07-3133$1.12B 0.92%
EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-07-3116$513.4M 3.52%
BND VANGUARD TOTAL BOND MARKET INDEX FUND 2026-06-3012$377.6M 0.10%
EMLC VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF 2026-06-3017$266.2M 5.46%
VWOB VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND 2026-07-3117$158.6M 2.38%
BIV VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM BOND INDEX FUND 2026-06-305$116.6M 0.22%
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF 2026-05-3112$103.4M 0.08%
EBND State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF 2026-06-3018$99.0M 4.38%
IAGG iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF 2026-07-3139$82.9M 0.74%
BSV VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND INDEX FUND 2026-06-304$43.1M 0.06%
IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF 2026-07-3116$38.8M 0.09%
XEMD BondBloxx JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets 1-10 Year Bond ETF 2026-07-3112$32.2M 3.82%
LEMB iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF 2026-07-3117$32.1M 4.49%
NXUS Nuveen International Aggregate Bond ETF 2026-06-3024$31.2M 0.80%
FLIA Franklin International Aggregate Bond ETF 2026-06-302$25.9M 3.37%

Sources: fund holdings and fund-reported marks from SEC Form N-PORT (published about 60 days after each month-end); 13F filings; House and Senate periodic transaction reports and OGE Form 278-T; Treasury yields from FRED. Findings from filings, not advice. How each number is computed.

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms