— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: KELRF (OTC) · $vol 0M

9009.T JPX

Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
1W: -2.1% 1M: -3.7% 3M: +13.1% YTD: +1.5% 1Y: +2.3% 3Y: -30.8% 5Y: +12.7%
¥1,303.00 ($8.26)
-10.50 (-0.80%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.6%
¥1245 ¥1279 ¥1314 ¥1348 ¥1382
JPX · Industrials · Railroads · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · ¥633.4B mcap · 340M float · 0.535% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 05, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 9009.T receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-05-28 B+ B
2026-05-11 A- B+
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-03-02 A- B+
2026-02-18 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 24 Grade C
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
55
Earnings Quality
76
Growth
24
Value
83
Momentum
45
Safety
30
Cash Flow
25
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 9009.T scores highest in Value (83/100) and lowest in Growth (24/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.48
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.22
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.31
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 44.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.86x
Accruals: 0.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 9009.T scores 1.48, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 9009.T scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 9009.T's score of -2.22 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 9009.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 9009.T receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 44.0/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 9009.T's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.48x
PEG
-0.48x
P/S
1.89x
P/B
1.13x
P/FCF
-20.85x
P/OCF
13.74x
EV/EBITDA
10.36x
EV/Revenue
2.71x
EV/EBIT
14.57x
EV/FCF
-33.18x
Earnings Yield
8.48%
FCF Yield
-4.80%
Shareholder Yield
2.79%
Graham Number
$1609.93
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.5x earnings, 9009.T trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1609.93 per share, suggesting a potential 23% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.821
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.945
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.186
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.292
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.133
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
9.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 9009.T's ROE of 9.0% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.292), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$846.47
Price/Value
1.39x
Margin of Safety
-38.81%
Premium
38.81%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 9009.T's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 9009.T trades at a 39% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $846.47, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1313.50
Median 1Y
$1263.44
5th Pctile
$758.50
95th Pctile
$2098.74
Ann. Volatility
30.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -7.7% -5.1% -5.2% -4.1% -0.0% 3.9% 6.9% 7.0% 8.7% 8.1% 9.7% 20.7% 20.9% 19.8% 24.0% 14.6% 14.2% 14.4% 9.7% 9.0% 9.00%
ROA -3.4% -2.2% -2.2% -1.7% -0.0% 1.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 3.3% 4.1% 8.6% 9.0% 8.7% 10.8% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 4.7% 4.2% 4.22%
ROIC -2.1% -1.3% -1.1% -1.0% 0.0% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 3.24%
ROCE -4.0% -2.2% -2.2% -1.5% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.7% 6.4% 14.8% 14.7% 21.5% 19.7% 12.1% 12.0% 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.70%
Gross Margin 6.6% 15.3% 13.7% 20.2% 22.6% 20.2% 23.4% 19.7% 26.9% 26.2% 28.0% 19.7% 31.2% 29.0% 29.9% 21.1% 28.4% 29.0% 29.4% 20.0% 20.03%
Operating Margin -11.7% -2.8% -4.4% 2.7% 5.4% 2.0% 6.1% 2.6% 10.6% 10.1% 11.5% 1.9% 15.7% 12.2% 13.5% 3.9% 12.1% 13.2% 12.9% 2.9% 2.87%
Net Margin -20.9% -6.6% -8.3% 6.0% 7.3% 18.9% 11.1% 5.9% 14.7% 13.9% 20.0% 69.9% 16.6% 10.5% 48.9% 11.4% 15.3% 13.5% 22.5% 6.7% 6.66%
EBITDA Margin -6.5% 10.7% 7.3% 23.3% 23.3% 14.5% 18.6% 20.8% 30.9% 29.3% 36.9% 1.2% 26.1% 1.0% 23.7% 22.6% 29.7% 29.4% 38.2% 7.8% 7.81%
FCF Margin -1.4% -4.7% -8.0% -11.3% -9.3% 0.2% 9.6% 18.3% 24.4% 23.6% 23.0% 17.2% 11.9% 6.8% 1.8% -0.4% -2.6% -4.7% -6.7% -8.2% -8.18%
OCF Margin 19.7% 14.2% 9.3% 4.4% 6.4% 11.7% 17.0% 22.1% 24.4% 23.6% 23.0% 21.8% 20.8% 20.2% 19.2% 17.3% 15.7% 14.1% 12.5% 12.4% 12.40%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.92%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.88%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.23%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.90%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.14%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.49%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.62%
CROIC snapshot only -3.04%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.70%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.59%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.45%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio -6.51 -9.77 -10.24 -11.02 -3607.34 14.84 7.83 8.63 9.82 8.75 9.15 3.83 3.94 2.59 6.09 9.30 9.34 9.16 12.04 11.80 12.483
P/S Ratio 0.95 0.91 0.95 0.80 0.92 0.95 0.85 0.92 1.23 1.01 1.26 1.13 1.17 0.74 2.19 2.04 2.01 2.03 1.89 1.70 1.886
P/B Ratio 0.52 0.52 0.55 0.46 0.57 0.56 0.53 0.59 0.80 0.68 0.85 0.74 0.77 0.48 1.35 1.28 1.25 1.24 1.12 1.02 1.125
P/FCF -68.49 -19.42 -11.93 -7.06 -9.90 530.88 8.92 5.04 5.03 4.27 5.49 6.58 9.85 10.90 124.21 -471.47 -78.31 -43.63 -28.19 -20.85 -20.851
P/OCF 4.82 6.35 10.23 18.30 14.26 8.13 5.03 4.17 5.03 4.27 5.49 5.19 5.62 3.69 11.40 11.76 12.80 14.42 15.11 13.74 13.745
EV/EBITDA -2408.82 37.28 37.86 25.17 14.47 13.79 11.09 11.42 11.44 8.69 8.04 3.91 4.27 2.53 4.84 6.79 7.09 11.76 9.95 10.36 10.365
EV/Revenue 2.39 2.31 2.38 2.26 2.39 2.39 2.20 2.21 2.47 2.19 2.39 2.08 2.20 1.75 3.17 2.91 3.09 3.10 2.99 2.71 2.712
EV/EBIT -16.59 -29.84 -30.95 -42.34 83.86 57.84 31.02 32.42 26.28 16.36 13.13 4.96 5.44 2.99 5.76 8.90 9.20 19.12 15.07 14.57 14.565
EV/FCF -172.18 -49.51 -29.72 -19.94 -25.80 1331.21 23.03 12.09 10.13 9.26 10.38 12.11 18.50 25.66 179.37 -672.91 -120.50 -66.71 -44.54 -33.18 -33.179
Earnings Yield -15.4% -10.2% -9.8% -9.1% -0.0% 6.7% 12.8% 11.6% 10.2% 11.4% 10.9% 26.1% 25.4% 38.6% 16.4% 10.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.3% 8.5% 8.48%
FCF Yield -1.5% -5.1% -8.4% -14.2% -10.1% 0.2% 11.2% 19.8% 19.9% 23.4% 18.2% 15.2% 10.1% 9.2% 0.8% -0.2% -1.3% -2.3% -3.5% -4.8% -4.80%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.039
EV/OCF snapshot only 21.872
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.171
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 26.539
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.79%
Graham Number snapshot only $1609.93
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.54 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.49 0.52 0.54 0.55 0.64 0.54 0.55 0.65 0.52 0.56 0.53 0.55 0.43 0.431
Quick Ratio 0.45 0.45 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.45 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.58 0.45 0.44 0.55 0.43 0.46 0.43 0.44 0.35 0.352
Debt/Equity 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.93 1.01 0.96 0.93 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.65 0.76 0.72 0.73 0.66 0.662
Net Debt/Equity 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.91 0.85 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.76 0.62 0.68 0.66 0.60 0.55 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.60 0.601
Debt/Assets 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.31 0.313
Debt/EBITDA -1592.16 25.19 25.01 17.97 9.88 9.41 7.57 7.37 6.58 5.26 4.33 2.31 2.23 1.64 1.79 2.41 2.81 4.50 4.10 4.25 4.247
Net Debt/EBITDA -1450.56 22.66 22.66 16.26 8.92 8.29 6.80 6.66 5.75 4.68 3.79 1.79 2.00 1.45 1.49 2.03 2.48 4.07 3.65 3.85 3.851
Interest Coverage -12.18 -6.70 -6.69 -4.72 2.65 3.96 7.15 7.11 10.10 14.98 20.80 48.67 48.03 71.17 65.72 39.41 39.11 17.73 21.02 18.06 18.064
Equity Multiplier 2.38 2.39 2.40 2.43 2.53 2.47 2.44 2.45 2.43 2.38 2.34 2.36 2.21 2.18 2.10 2.15 2.12 2.06 2.06 2.12 2.119
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.134
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 25.384
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.093
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.074
Defensive Interval snapshot only 482.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.292
Inventory Turnover 14.29 14.11 14.16 13.51 14.89 14.92 15.48 15.74 16.12 16.91 16.11 16.23 14.58 13.55 12.94 13.86 13.57 11.91 11.11 12.52 12.525
Receivables Turnover 9.53 12.32 10.62 9.90 10.09 10.47 10.06 9.75 11.25 10.29 10.74 9.86 10.84 9.98 10.76 9.97 11.00 10.23 10.28 9.48 9.479
Payables Turnover 9.41 16.13 12.10 12.03 11.75 13.64 11.99 10.64 14.37 13.59 12.43 9.60 14.00 12.79 12.33 8.62 15.09 13.18 11.93 8.39 8.393
DSO 38 30 34 37 36 35 36 37 32 35 34 37 34 37 34 37 33 36 36 39 38.5 days
DIO 26 26 26 27 25 24 24 23 23 22 23 22 25 27 28 26 27 31 33 29 29.1 days
DPO 39 23 30 30 31 27 30 34 25 27 29 38 26 29 30 42 24 28 31 43 43.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 25 33 30 34 30 33 29 26 30 30 27 22 33 35 33 21 36 39 38 24 24.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.438
Operating Cycle snapshot only 67.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.667
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.555
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -24.4% -15.0% -10.1% -4.1% 5.9% 6.6% 13.9% 18.6% 20.5% 23.7% 19.6% 17.5% 14.8% 9.0% 7.9% 7.7% 5.9% 6.3% 5.3% 4.1% 4.11%
Net Income -2.0% -5.2% -1.1% 32.4% 99.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 593.3% 1.2% 51.3% 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% -20.2% -23.2% -18.0% -54.0% -31.4% -31.36%
EPS -2.0% -5.2% -1.1% 32.4% 99.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 589.3% 1.2% 52.6% 2.4% 1.2% 1.8% -3.5% -72.7% -66.6% -72.4% -53.4% -30.9% -30.85%
FCF 38.8% -4.7% -14.9% -6.8% -6.1% 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 161.9% 1.9% 10.6% -44.2% -68.5% -91.7% -1.0% -1.2% -1.7% -5.0% -18.7% -18.70%
EBITDA -1.0% -61.6% -24.8% 1.3% 177.8% 2.0% 2.6% 1.6% 57.5% 79.8% 79.0% 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% -13.4% -10.1% -59.6% -51.6% -36.4% -36.38%
Op. Income -1.6% -2.2% -2.5% 30.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 13.5% 4.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 52.2% 33.7% 42.7% 11.1% 8.3% 1.2% -5.6% -5.65%
OCF Growth snapshot only -25.48%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.01%
Equity Growth snapshot only 9.60%
Debt Growth snapshot only 12.15%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.73%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 70.98%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -6.6% -5.9% -6.4% -6.7% -5.6% -5.3% -3.6% -2.9% -1.2% 3.9% 7.0% 10.2% 13.6% 12.9% 13.7% 14.5% 13.6% 12.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.62%
Revenue 5Y -3.7% -3.3% -3.0% -2.8% -2.2% -1.7% -0.7% 0.1% 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 5.4% 6.8% 8.4% 8.43%
EPS 3Y — — — — — -28.1% -12.4% -12.9% 3.5% 90.4% — — — — — — — 20.1% -11.8% -13.6% -13.55%
EPS 5Y — — — — — -16.7% -6.2% -6.4% -0.8% -1.7% 2.5% 19.4% 13.5% 18.5% -0.2% -9.2% -4.2% 39.8% — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — -28.1% -12.5% -11.9% 3.3% 90.0% — — — — — — — 70.4% 25.1% 21.3% 21.27%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — -16.7% -6.3% -5.8% -1.0% -1.9% 2.3% 19.0% 18.5% 17.5% 23.4% 12.2% 18.2% 72.5% — — —
EBITDA 3Y — -38.1% -37.8% -33.0% -17.9% -16.4% -13.5% -10.4% -4.1% 27.2% 69.2% 1.7% — 1.5% 1.5% 92.9% 56.9% 29.7% 27.2% 21.2% 21.24%
EBITDA 5Y — -22.4% -22.2% -18.4% -8.3% -7.1% -3.3% -0.7% 3.3% 5.0% 9.1% 20.0% 18.9% 25.9% 22.5% 15.0% 16.7% 20.1% 40.9% 59.5% 59.50%
Gross Profit 3Y -34.1% -26.5% -25.2% -23.6% -16.4% -14.3% -9.6% -9.0% -3.8% 12.1% 27.5% 43.4% 62.6% 47.3% 46.0% 43.7% 29.8% 26.2% 19.2% 17.9% 17.85%
Gross Profit 5Y -21.7% -16.6% -15.5% -13.9% -9.2% -7.6% -4.3% -3.6% -1.6% 0.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 12.9% 20.2% 28.5% 28.46%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — -68.3% -51.7% -32.8% -32.3% -19.7% 29.8% — — — — — — 2.2% 1.1% 51.3% 49.2% 49.21%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — -49.3% -34.7% -20.1% -19.7% -13.4% -6.8% -3.0% -3.9% -0.9% -0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 3.4% 29.2% — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — -54.0% — — — — 2.8% 1.3% — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — -54.3% 2.3% 17.4% 27.1% 29.3% 31.1% 26.0% 29.0% 38.0% — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -3.7% -13.3% -25.1% -42.2% -33.1% -17.2% -4.0% 6.7% 11.0% 10.9% 10.0% 7.9% 15.7% 26.7% 44.7% 81.3% 52.8% 19.9% 0.1% -9.5% -9.52%
OCF 5Y -3.0% -8.4% -15.6% -27.3% -20.8% -10.1% -2.0% 4.3% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 6.1% 6.0% 5.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.4% -1.2% -3.9% -4.3% -4.35%
Assets 3Y 4.3% 3.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 3.6% 3.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 5.8% 4.1% 4.9% 6.4% 6.8% 6.6% 5.0% 6.3% 7.0% 6.97%
Assets 5Y 2.9% 2.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.4% 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 3.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7% 5.66%
Equity 3Y 2.2% 0.7% -0.6% -1.3% -2.9% -1.2% -1.5% -1.9% -0.5% 1.7% 3.2% 5.1% 6.7% 8.2% 11.3% 11.3% 13.2% 11.6% 12.4% 12.2% 12.20%
Book Value 3Y 2.4% 0.9% -0.4% -1.2% -2.3% -1.2% -1.4% -3.1% -0.2% 1.9% 3.4% 5.6% -0.8% 9.5% -22.0% -21.8% -20.6% -21.4% -20.8% -20.0% -20.02%
Dividend 3Y 3.3% 1.5% -0.2% -1.9% -0.9% -10.0% -21.0% -37.7% — — — 13.1% — — — 18.1% -1.8% -10.0% -15.1% -15.0% -14.97%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.12 0.30 0.31 0.28 0.26 0.38 0.26 0.13 0.04 0.01 0.06 0.11 0.20 0.21 0.27 0.28 0.36 0.69 0.89 0.97 0.965
Earnings Stability 0.42 0.62 0.64 0.59 0.55 0.50 0.30 0.25 0.13 0.07 0.00 0.09 0.15 0.28 0.41 0.40 0.51 0.78 0.65 0.64 0.639
Margin Stability 0.67 0.72 0.69 0.65 0.64 0.72 0.70 0.66 0.66 0.74 0.71 0.67 0.65 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.85 0.83 0.78 0.71 0.705
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.91 0.93 0.50 0.87 0.875
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — 0.24 0.59 0.00 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.78 0.74 0.80 0.26 0.63 0.628
ROE Trend -0.17 -0.11 -0.09 -0.06 0.00 0.06 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.18 0.16 0.13 0.14 0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.06 -0.08 -0.080
Gross Margin Trend -0.16 -0.10 -0.08 -0.05 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.002
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.05 -0.08 -0.11 -0.08 0.03 0.13 0.23 0.30 0.26 0.22 0.14 0.04 -0.05 -0.15 -0.18 -0.21 -0.20 -0.19 -0.17 -0.166
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — 3.3% 6.6% 6.9% 8.7% 8.1% 9.7% 20.5% 20.4% 19.1% 23.1% 13.5% 13.0% 13.1% 8.4% 7.4% 7.44%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 9.3% 9.7% 9.2% 11.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 4.2% 3.6% 3.61%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.35 -1.54 -1.00 -0.60 -253.02 1.82 1.56 2.07 1.95 2.05 1.67 0.74 0.70 0.70 0.53 0.79 0.73 0.64 0.80 0.86 0.858
FCF/OCF -0.07 -0.33 -0.86 -2.59 -1.44 0.02 0.56 0.83 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.79 0.57 0.34 0.09 -0.02 -0.16 -0.33 -0.54 -0.66 -0.659
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.566
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.474
CapEx/Revenue 21.1% 18.9% 17.3% 15.7% 15.7% 11.5% 7.4% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 9.0% 13.3% 17.5% 17.8% 18.3% 18.7% 19.2% 20.6% 20.58%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.727
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.006
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.052
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.537
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.75%
Dividend/Share $18.03 $17.76 $17.49 $17.22 $17.45 $12.89 $8.59 $4.15 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $6.22 $9.85 $19.09 $8.46 $10.10 $11.78 $13.37 $14.97 $17.28 $23.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — 14.9% 5.5% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 3.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.9% 14.0% 17.3% 17.35%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — 5.3% 6.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 5.7% 14.8% 75.1% — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — 14.9% 5.5% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 19.8% 30.4% 31.8% 44.5% 38.2% 30.3% 33.3% 33.0% 32.97%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.11 0.06 0.00 -0.04 -0.03 -0.26 -0.50 -0.75 — — — 0.43 — — — 3.75 1.75 1.09 0.76 0.71 0.712
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 4.4% 10.4% 4.6% 4.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.32%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 4.4% 10.4% 4.6% 4.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.32%
Total Shareholder Return 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 5.0% 11.7% 5.2% 4.8% 4.1% 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 2.79%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.94 1.04 1.05 1.12 -0.01 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.78 0.80 0.72 0.72 0.71 0.67 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.83 0.82 0.821
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.08 1.15 1.15 1.21 0.62 1.99 1.91 1.91 1.63 1.10 0.95 0.98 1.03 0.69 0.98 0.97 0.91 1.93 0.95 0.94 0.945
EBIT Margin -0.14 -0.08 -0.08 -0.05 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.13 0.18 0.42 0.40 0.59 0.55 0.33 0.34 0.16 0.20 0.19 0.186
Asset Turnover 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.292
Equity Multiplier 2.29 2.33 2.36 2.37 2.45 2.43 2.42 2.44 2.48 2.42 2.39 2.40 2.31 2.27 2.21 2.25 2.16 2.12 2.08 2.13 2.133
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-179.72 $-117.28 $-117.47 $-91.42 $-0.34 $86.43 $156.07 $154.15 $198.05 $193.60 $238.24 $527.27 $430.35 $541.74 $229.78 $144.02 $143.83 $149.70 $107.10 $99.58 $99.58
Book Value/Share $2246.66 $2210.18 $2187.56 $2190.68 $2146.67 $2275.13 $2315.92 $2260.65 $2418.42 $2484.44 $2559.88 $2716.57 $2192.56 $2899.24 $1038.84 $1047.79 $1072.81 $1106.46 $1151.98 $1156.74 $1203.53
Tangible Book/Share $2166.96 $2133.34 $2111.63 $2116.51 $2073.06 $2201.61 $2243.06 $2185.69 $2343.14 $2411.75 $2488.15 $2642.52 $2135.44 $2828.09 $1015.78 $1022.90 $1046.99 $1081.53 $1127.62 $1131.36 $1131.36
Revenue/Share $1232.76 $1265.21 $1260.37 $1261.67 $1322.88 $1346.15 $1431.68 $1444.50 $1582.55 $1679.32 $1726.96 $1783.54 $1449.60 $1886.14 $638.30 $657.33 $668.46 $675.84 $681.62 $689.33 $696.19
FCF/Share $-17.08 $-58.99 $-100.89 $-142.75 $-122.64 $2.42 $136.92 $263.92 $386.29 $396.83 $397.48 $306.72 $172.08 $128.86 $11.27 $-2.84 $-17.15 $-31.43 $-45.72 $-56.35 $0.00
OCF/Share $242.89 $180.29 $117.68 $55.06 $85.18 $157.70 $242.86 $318.63 $386.29 $396.83 $397.48 $388.73 $301.95 $380.48 $122.81 $113.88 $104.92 $95.13 $85.33 $85.49 $0.00
Cash/Share $172.86 $198.42 $185.44 $192.69 $211.09 $260.75 $221.24 $198.11 $281.12 $246.65 $275.16 $496.00 $175.42 $247.30 $126.10 $106.08 $96.90 $76.38 $92.22 $71.30 $89.08
EBITDA/Share $-1.22 $78.33 $79.21 $113.05 $218.69 $233.18 $284.19 $279.44 $342.01 $422.95 $513.09 $949.49 $744.84 $1308.43 $417.55 $281.46 $291.52 $178.31 $204.71 $180.39 $180.39
Debt/Share $1943.75 $1973.12 $1980.77 $2031.40 $2160.82 $2193.72 $2152.33 $2059.75 $2248.93 $2225.56 $2222.25 $2193.69 $1663.08 $2149.14 $747.78 $678.10 $820.36 $801.76 $839.61 $766.03 $766.03
Net Debt/Share $1770.89 $1774.70 $1795.33 $1838.71 $1949.73 $1932.97 $1931.09 $1861.65 $1967.82 $1978.92 $1947.09 $1697.68 $1487.66 $1901.84 $621.69 $572.03 $723.46 $725.38 $747.39 $694.73 $694.73
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.480
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.950
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 4 4 6 7 6 6 7 8 9 7 7 8 7 5 4 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.19 -3.09 -2.67 -2.56 -2.88 -2.40 -2.56 -2.41 -2.58 -2.52 -2.61 -2.26 -2.19 -2.35 -2.18 -2.41 -2.44 -2.31 -2.29 -2.22 -2.222
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.312
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 10.12%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1027.11
EVA snapshot only $-60357259352.24
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 23.00 12.06 11.86 12.04 20.24 26.70 36.32 37.34 39.89 40.54 48.47 53.41 51.70 52.69 59.16 49.61 55.15 43.53 44.65 43.97 43.966
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.649
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 35
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 31

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