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Not Investment Advice

9729.T JPX

TOKAI Corp.
1W: -1.0% 1M: -1.5% 3M: +8.1% YTD: -4.3% 1Y: +12.4% 3Y: +42.3% 5Y: +17.0%
¥2,478.00 ($15.69)
-32.00 (-1.27%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.7%
¥2376 ¥2443 ¥2510 ¥2577 ¥2644
JPX · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · Tech Score Neutral · Power 48 · ¥77.5B mcap · 14M float · 0.212% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 9729.T receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-08-14 A+ A
2026-08-10 A A+
2026-05-25 A+ A
2026-05-18 A A+
2026-05-13 A- A
2026-05-11 A A-
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 55 Grade B
Profitability
21
Balance Sheet
95
Earnings Quality
76
Growth
28
Value
78
Momentum
61
Safety
100
Cash Flow
65
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 9729.T scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (21/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
4.17
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.54
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.02
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 97.1/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.14x
Accruals: -4.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 9729.T scores 4.17, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 9729.T scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 9729.T's score of -2.54 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 9729.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 9729.T receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 97.1/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 9729.T's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
13.13x
PEG
0.28x
P/S
0.48x
P/B
0.91x
P/FCF
16.58x
P/OCF
7.48x
EV/EBITDA
3.95x
EV/Revenue
0.32x
EV/EBIT
6.53x
EV/FCF
11.46x
Earnings Yield
6.24%
FCF Yield
6.03%
Shareholder Yield
6.09%
Graham Number
$2987.14
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.1x earnings, 9729.T trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 6.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2987.14 per share, suggesting a potential 19% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.618
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.954
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.048
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.367
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.355
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 9729.T's ROE of 5.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.367), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1231.60
Price/Value
1.88x
Margin of Safety
-88.45%
Premium
88.45%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 9729.T's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 9729.T trades at a 88% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1231.60, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 13.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2510.00
Median 1Y
$2443.52
5th Pctile
$1529.71
95th Pctile
$3901.62
Ann. Volatility
27.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 7.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 8.4% 7.7% 7.8% 8.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.30%
ROA 5.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.1% 6.0% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 5.4% 5.6% 5.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.1% 5.6% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9% 3.91%
ROIC 12.2% 12.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.4% 12.8% 13.1% 11.8% 11.0% 11.5% 11.5% 10.9% 10.4% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 8.52%
ROCE 9.7% 9.8% 10.6% 10.8% 10.7% 10.4% 10.4% 9.6% 9.1% 9.1% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.1% 10.3% 10.1% 9.8% 8.8% 8.3% 8.3% 8.33%
Gross Margin 25.1% 26.2% 24.4% 25.9% 25.2% 24.9% 24.0% 24.4% 24.0% 25.7% 23.8% 24.7% 23.9% 24.9% 23.4% 23.3% 22.9% 25.2% 23.2% 24.3% 24.33%
Operating Margin 7.1% 7.4% 5.2% 7.4% 7.4% 6.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.0% 7.0% 4.8% 6.0% 6.1% 6.4% 4.6% 5.5% 5.1% 6.7% 4.8% 5.1% 5.11%
Net Margin 5.1% 5.8% 3.8% 5.5% 5.2% 4.3% 3.8% 6.0% 3.8% 5.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 3.5% 3.5% 0.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.54%
EBITDA Margin 10.6% 10.5% 8.8% 11.4% 10.2% 9.8% 8.9% 9.2% 9.2% 10.2% 8.2% 9.3% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 8.8% 8.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.0% 8.00%
FCF Margin 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.4% -0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.8% 2.76%
OCF Margin 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.0% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 6.12%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.46%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.05%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.74%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.02%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.18%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.22%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 15.35%
CROIC snapshot only 6.93%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.62%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 18.49%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 12.49 13.81 13.05 11.37 10.05 9.45 9.01 9.41 10.76 10.65 10.06 11.29 11.93 12.73 12.24 11.33 12.34 14.72 16.26 16.02 13.134
P/S Ratio 0.54 0.64 0.64 0.57 0.51 0.44 0.42 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.47 0.47 0.51 0.54 0.55 0.49 0.51 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.477
P/B Ratio 0.89 1.03 1.04 0.92 0.82 0.71 0.69 0.73 0.78 0.80 0.76 0.76 0.83 0.86 0.92 0.84 0.89 0.82 0.83 0.85 0.910
P/FCF 11.89 13.78 13.52 11.94 10.43 9.21 8.88 8.72 8.53 8.18 7.14 7.29 7.69 11.05 17.83 35.22 -113.20 69.76 26.65 16.58 16.583
P/OCF 7.67 8.89 8.72 7.70 6.73 5.81 5.48 6.07 6.64 7.24 7.14 7.29 7.69 8.34 8.88 8.27 9.35 8.14 7.82 7.48 7.482
EV/EBITDA 2.94 3.81 3.67 2.97 2.39 1.73 1.50 2.00 2.36 2.49 2.25 2.52 3.20 3.39 3.53 3.20 3.81 3.46 3.79 3.95 3.953
EV/Revenue 0.28 0.37 0.37 0.31 0.24 0.17 0.15 0.19 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.23 0.30 0.32 0.35 0.31 0.36 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.316
EV/EBIT 4.33 5.57 5.27 4.24 3.40 2.49 2.18 3.00 3.64 3.83 3.50 3.89 4.96 5.29 5.37 4.94 5.90 5.60 6.31 6.53 6.533
EV/FCF 6.10 7.93 7.88 6.40 5.00 3.60 3.17 3.67 3.88 3.82 3.16 3.58 4.51 6.59 11.42 22.49 -78.81 44.97 17.94 11.46 11.463
Earnings Yield 8.0% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 10.0% 10.6% 11.1% 10.6% 9.3% 9.4% 9.9% 8.9% 8.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 6.8% 6.2% 6.2% 6.24%
FCF Yield 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 9.6% 10.9% 11.3% 11.5% 11.7% 12.2% 14.0% 13.7% 13.0% 9.1% 5.6% 2.8% -0.9% 1.4% 3.8% 6.0% 6.03%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.279
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.907
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.172
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.324
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 5.841
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 6.09%
Graham Number snapshot only $2987.14
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.56 2.59 2.73 2.68 2.58 2.58 2.57 2.65 2.61 2.66 2.52 2.33 2.47 2.61 2.58 2.52 2.22 2.43 2.50 2.31 2.306
Quick Ratio 2.31 2.34 2.47 2.42 2.33 2.38 2.34 2.40 2.35 2.43 2.28 2.09 2.21 2.37 2.29 2.20 1.95 2.15 2.20 2.04 2.040
Debt/Equity 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.056
Net Debt/Equity -0.43 -0.44 -0.43 -0.43 -0.43 -0.43 -0.44 -0.42 -0.42 -0.42 -0.42 -0.39 -0.34 -0.35 -0.33 -0.30 -0.27 -0.29 -0.27 -0.26 -0.262
Debt/Assets 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.040
Debt/EBITDA 0.25 0.27 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.37 0.375
Net Debt/EBITDA -2.80 -2.81 -2.63 -2.57 -2.59 -2.69 -2.71 -2.76 -2.83 -2.84 -2.84 -2.61 -2.25 -2.29 -1.98 -1.81 -1.66 -1.91 -1.84 -1.77 -1.766
Interest Coverage 221.24 237.24 255.67 282.35 291.47 286.93 298.93 278.90 267.52 293.41 300.58 319.44 343.00 347.50 382.29 380.08 369.62 320.56 290.96 252.83 252.833
Equity Multiplier 1.40 1.39 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.36 1.37 1.36 1.38 1.39 1.36 1.33 1.34 1.33 1.37 1.34 1.33 1.38 1.379
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.052
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 417.800
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.712
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.920
Defensive Interval snapshot only 635.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.20 1.18 1.21 1.21 1.19 1.19 1.21 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.22 1.22 1.24 1.25 1.27 1.31 1.36 1.37 1.367
Inventory Turnover 15.52 16.11 15.64 16.07 16.04 17.99 16.84 16.98 16.67 19.54 16.97 16.44 16.39 19.07 16.93 16.08 16.63 18.96 17.64 17.20 17.205
Receivables Turnover 6.71 6.92 7.30 7.20 6.84 7.03 7.31 7.14 6.88 7.01 7.10 6.91 6.73 6.92 7.03 6.89 6.69 7.03 7.19 7.00 6.998
Payables Turnover 6.77 7.34 7.10 7.80 6.99 7.56 7.19 7.71 7.10 7.72 6.74 7.31 7.33 8.38 7.57 8.27 8.45 10.13 9.65 9.95 9.947
DSO 54 53 50 51 53 52 50 51 53 52 51 53 54 53 52 53 55 52 51 52 52.2 days
DIO 24 23 23 23 23 20 22 21 22 19 22 22 22 19 22 23 22 19 21 21 21.2 days
DPO 54 50 51 47 52 48 51 47 51 47 54 50 50 44 48 44 43 36 38 37 36.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 24 26 22 27 24 24 21 25 24 23 19 25 27 28 25 32 33 35 34 37 36.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.443
Operating Cycle snapshot only 73.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.836
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.745
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -2.2% -2.3% 0.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 5.7% 6.2% 5.9% 6.8% 7.6% 8.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.43%
Net Income -7.9% 4.3% 23.0% 27.8% 21.4% 5.9% 0.5% 0.8% -6.7% 5.2% 4.7% -8.7% 1.2% -4.8% 2.2% 11.1% 4.4% -18.6% -30.7% -28.1% -28.11%
EPS -7.6% 4.7% 23.4% 28.7% 22.3% 6.7% 1.2% 1.2% -6.7% 5.1% 4.7% -8.7% 1.3% -4.8% 3.7% 15.7% 8.7% -15.2% -28.9% -21.3% -21.30%
FCF -13.6% -8.0% -2.0% 4.4% 11.4% 8.5% 5.7% 14.3% 22.1% 33.5% 45.3% 31.0% 24.5% -15.8% -50.2% -76.9% -1.1% -85.1% -38.4% 1.2% 1.16%
EBITDA 0.7% 1.7% 15.9% 19.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% -3.1% -4.4% -1.7% -3.5% 1.8% 6.9% 6.6% 14.8% 14.0% 7.6% -0.3% -9.8% -10.8% -10.84%
Op. Income -8.1% -7.8% 16.8% 19.5% 15.6% 13.1% 3.2% -2.7% -8.9% -4.8% -5.8% -0.2% 6.9% 2.9% 2.9% 1.1% -3.4% 1.5% 4.9% 5.2% 5.25%
OCF Growth snapshot only 12.36%
Asset Growth snapshot only 3.73%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.13%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.34%
Shares Change snapshot only -8.66%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 40.58%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.14%
Revenue 5Y 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 5.2% 5.9% 5.90%
EPS 3Y -3.0% -0.0% 2.5% 5.9% 9.7% 5.7% 5.0% 4.7% 1.8% 5.5% 9.4% 6.0% 4.9% 2.2% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% -5.3% -8.3% -6.0% -5.96%
EPS 5Y 0.3% 1.3% 1.8% 3.1% 3.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 0.8% 2.3% 2.7% 1.9% 4.5% 3.4% 4.7% 3.9% 3.0% -1.1% -0.7% 1.6% 1.61%
Net Income 3Y -3.5% -0.5% 2.0% 5.2% 8.9% 4.9% 4.2% 3.9% 1.4% 5.1% 9.0% 5.6% 4.7% 2.0% 2.4% 0.7% -0.5% -6.6% -9.5% -10.0% -9.99%
Net Income 5Y -0.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 3.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 0.4% 1.9% 2.2% 1.4% 4.1% 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 2.0% -2.1% -1.7% -1.2% -1.24%
EBITDA 3Y 10.6% 12.4% 15.1% 17.8% 20.2% 16.2% 11.9% 6.0% 2.8% 2.8% 5.1% 5.6% 4.9% 4.4% 4.8% 4.0% 3.2% 1.5% -0.0% 1.1% 1.14%
EBITDA 5Y 6.9% 7.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.0% 9.1% 7.9% 8.7% 8.8% 10.0% 12.2% 10.5% 9.2% 6.7% 4.6% 2.9% 3.8% 3.7% 3.68%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.2% 2.8% 2.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 4.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 6.1% 6.11%
Gross Profit 5Y 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.2% 5.22%
Op. Income 3Y -1.8% -1.5% 2.3% 4.5% 6.4% 4.1% 3.5% 0.5% -1.1% -0.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.0% 3.5% -0.0% -0.6% -2.0% -0.2% 0.5% 2.0% 2.02%
Op. Income 5Y -0.2% -0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.1% -0.1% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% -0.0% 0.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.31%
FCF 3Y 3.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 3.4% 5.5% 10.0% 14.6% 16.0% 19.2% 6.8% -8.6% -29.8% — -44.9% -23.6% -13.3% -13.27%
FCF 5Y 0.9% 2.6% 4.4% 6.2% 8.2% 7.3% 6.4% 7.7% 8.8% 10.1% 11.3% 10.6% 10.8% 3.6% -5.7% -19.7% — -30.1% -14.3% -4.9% -4.89%
OCF 3Y -4.5% -3.3% -2.2% -1.1% 0.1% 1.7% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 2.6% 1.5% 1.5% 3.0% 1.4% -0.3% -1.8% -4.5% -3.3% -2.2% 0.2% 0.22%
OCF 5Y 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% -0.3% -0.9% -1.5% -1.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% -0.7% 0.6% 1.8% 2.9% 2.93%
Assets 3Y 3.4% 3.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.8% 4.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.1% 3.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 2.67%
Assets 5Y 4.8% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 3.3% 3.2% 3.6% 3.63%
Equity 3Y 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.7% 5.9% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 4.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 3.5% 2.2% 2.19%
Book Value 3Y 6.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.4% 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.1% 5.6% 5.3% 4.8% 4.9% 6.8% 6.77%
Dividend 3Y -1.2% -0.8% -0.5% -0.1% 0.4% 1.6% 2.7% -6.0% -17.1% -34.9% — — — 23.6% — — — 60.2% 26.6% 13.6% 13.56%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.88 0.85 0.93 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.87 0.88 0.86 0.85 0.87 0.91 0.95 0.948
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.08 0.13 0.24 0.17 0.35 0.21 0.53 0.44 0.28 0.54 0.82 0.77 0.37 0.39 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.012
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.984
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.98 0.91 0.89 0.91 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 1.00 0.98 0.99 0.96 0.98 0.93 0.88 0.89 0.888
Earnings Smoothness 0.92 0.96 0.79 0.76 0.81 0.94 1.00 0.99 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.99 0.95 0.98 0.89 0.96 0.80 0.64 0.67 0.673
ROE Trend -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.018
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.003
FCF Margin Trend -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.012
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.7% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 6.2% 5.4% 4.5% 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.73%
Internal Growth Rate 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 5.5% 4.9% 4.8% 4.1% 3.5% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.06%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.63 1.55 1.50 1.48 1.49 1.63 1.65 1.55 1.62 1.47 1.41 1.55 1.55 1.53 1.38 1.37 1.32 1.81 2.08 2.14 2.141
FCF/OCF 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.70 0.78 0.88 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.23 -0.08 0.12 0.29 0.45 0.451
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.966
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.764
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.9% 5.1% 4.2% 3.4% 3.36%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.062
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.045
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.050
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.290
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 2.97%
Dividend/Share $30.39 $30.32 $30.25 $30.28 $30.33 $31.29 $32.25 $24.66 $17.08 $8.54 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.99 $32.46 $49.95 $66.59 $65.76 $64.95 $70.22 $74.00
Payout Ratio 21.2% 19.6% 18.3% 17.6% 17.3% 19.0% 19.3% 14.2% 10.4% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 17.9% 27.1% 37.0% 47.0% 50.4% 48.5% 48.46%
FCF Payout Ratio 20.2% 19.6% 19.0% 18.5% 17.9% 18.5% 19.0% 13.1% 8.3% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 26.1% 84.4% — 2.2% 82.6% 50.2% 50.17%
Total Payout Ratio 40.8% 34.1% 28.4% 23.9% 20.1% 24.8% 27.8% 21.6% 17.6% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 18.5% 28.1% 38.2% 63.6% 84.6% 97.6% 97.60%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.04 0.08 -0.17 -0.43 -0.72 — — — 0.88 — — — 2.98 0.98 0.31 0.314
Buyback Yield 1.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.07%
Net Buyback Yield 1.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.07%
Total Shareholder Return 3.3% 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 5.2% 6.1% 6.09%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.68 0.69 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.67 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.68 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.618
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.13 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 0.98 1.01 0.92 0.91 0.95 0.954
EBIT Margin 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.048
Asset Turnover 1.20 1.18 1.21 1.21 1.19 1.19 1.21 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.22 1.22 1.24 1.25 1.27 1.31 1.36 1.37 1.367
Equity Multiplier 1.41 1.41 1.39 1.38 1.39 1.38 1.38 1.36 1.38 1.37 1.38 1.37 1.36 1.34 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.34 1.33 1.36 1.355
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $143.40 $154.51 $165.00 $172.20 $175.40 $164.91 $167.05 $174.24 $163.57 $173.33 $174.83 $159.14 $165.68 $165.02 $181.32 $184.10 $180.13 $139.90 $128.95 $144.89 $144.89
Book Value/Share $2015.81 $2068.78 $2075.30 $2119.11 $2146.52 $2187.03 $2195.54 $2248.83 $2266.95 $2317.96 $2324.53 $2369.07 $2385.55 $2447.93 $2407.53 $2496.87 $2508.34 $2518.60 $2536.70 $2737.03 $2762.48
Tangible Book/Share $1973.98 $2026.02 $2033.07 $2078.21 $2107.05 $2142.24 $2149.92 $2199.40 $2216.73 $2269.87 $2277.46 $2323.53 $2341.27 $2405.61 $2366.85 $2427.22 $2329.01 $2359.19 $2379.42 $2557.94 $2557.94
Revenue/Share $3320.72 $3326.73 $3370.00 $3417.59 $3461.72 $3507.27 $3560.20 $3614.49 $3657.15 $3695.61 $3753.10 $3805.45 $3867.31 $3925.99 $4034.93 $4231.65 $4333.80 $4421.19 $4539.01 $5069.87 $5215.02
FCF/Share $150.62 $154.91 $159.19 $164.02 $168.99 $169.30 $169.59 $188.15 $206.29 $225.84 $246.39 $246.52 $257.05 $190.25 $124.44 $59.21 $-19.63 $29.51 $78.67 $139.96 $0.00
OCF/Share $233.47 $240.15 $246.82 $254.34 $262.07 $268.55 $274.99 $270.23 $265.10 $255.24 $246.39 $246.52 $257.05 $252.02 $249.86 $252.19 $237.61 $252.81 $268.07 $310.22 $0.00
Cash/Share $952.02 $993.46 $973.28 $977.97 $987.36 $1026.90 $1034.91 $1010.87 $1020.76 $1050.26 $1036.44 $964.25 $867.19 $899.82 $844.61 $795.36 $744.56 $794.05 $745.80 $868.69 $868.69
EBITDA/Share $311.79 $322.23 $341.60 $353.57 $354.47 $352.87 $357.64 $343.99 $338.90 $346.61 $345.09 $350.27 $362.37 $369.79 $402.21 $415.78 $406.02 $383.83 $371.93 $405.83 $405.83
Debt/Share $79.50 $88.01 $74.65 $69.58 $70.00 $77.23 $66.30 $60.11 $61.80 $65.26 $55.93 $49.54 $50.53 $51.67 $46.65 $41.58 $69.46 $62.56 $60.62 $152.08 $152.08
Net Debt/Share $-872.52 $-905.45 $-898.63 $-908.39 $-917.37 $-949.67 $-968.61 $-950.77 $-958.96 $-984.99 $-980.51 $-914.70 $-816.66 $-848.16 $-797.96 $-753.78 $-675.10 $-731.49 $-685.19 $-716.60 $-716.60
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.171
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 6.805
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 8 8 9 7 6 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 8 8 6 6 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.66 -2.53 -2.58 -2.50 -2.49 -2.49 -2.51 -2.51 -2.54 -2.58 -2.49 -2.49 -2.48 -2.44 -2.49 -2.45 -2.36 -2.54 -2.48 -2.54 -2.543
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.016
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.06%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $892.22
EVA snapshot only $-921234213.07
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 97.54 97.74 97.47 97.41 97.49 94.77 94.41 94.83 94.45 97.39 94.39 94.74 97.45 97.37 97.46 97.33 92.31 97.36 97.11 97.08 97.085
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.245
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 97
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 92

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