AAL NASDAQ
American Airlines Group Inc.
1W: +4.5%
1M: -12.0%
3M: -20.6%
YTD: -21.2%
1Y: -4.5%
3Y: +6.5%
5Y: -38.5%
$12.62
+0.41 (+3.40%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.5%
$11
$11
$12
$13
$13
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 82% of companies Debt: 81.8% of company value Bonds: $724.6M held by 517 funds, 104 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.16 (down 82%), American Airlines Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $36.27B against a stock market value of $8.08B.
Distance to default 2.47 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $16.66B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 47.5%; Altman Z'' -1.65. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.16 (down 82%), American Airlines Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $36.27B against a stock market value of $8.08B.
Distance to default 2.47 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $16.66B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 47.5%; Altman Z'' -1.65. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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📊 Key Metrics
TTM$61B
Revenue
+12.3% YoY
$-481M
Net Income
-179.9% YoY
$-91M
Free Cash Flow
-110.3% YoY
19.2%
Gross Margin
0.7%
Op. Margin
-1.6%
Net Margin
💰 Income Flow
How revenue becomes profit💵 Cash Flow
Where cash goes🏦 Balance Sheet
Assets = Liabilities + Equity📈 Financial Health
Profitability
ROE11.8%
ROA-0.8%
ROIC3.2%
Valuation
P/E-16.9
P/B-1.9
EV/EBITDA11.5
Leverage
Debt/Equity-8.59
Current Ratio0.53
Interest Cov.1.4x
Quality Scores
Piotroski F5/9
Altman Z0.67
Beneish M-2.89