AES NYSE
The AES Corporation
1W: +0.4%
1M: +1.1%
3M: +2.7%
YTD: +5.2%
1Y: +8.5%
3Y: +26.0%
5Y: -23.8%
$15.03
+0.01 (+0.03%)
Pre-Market: $14.99 (-0.04, -0.27%)
Weekly Expected Move ±0.3%
$15
$15
$15
$15
$15
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 55% of companies Debt: 75.0% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.62 (down 89%), The AES Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $32.12B against a stock market value of $10.72B.
Distance to default 4.63 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $17.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.0%; Altman Z'' 0.24. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.62 (down 89%), The AES Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $32.12B against a stock market value of $10.72B.
Distance to default 4.63 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $17.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.0%; Altman Z'' 0.24. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
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Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+3.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+13.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Tracking typical
20yr Avg YTD
+3.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+13.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+5.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
47%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
-1.6%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
45% win
34% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-3.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.4%
50% win
37% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
-0.9%
Midterm
☁️
+0.1%
55% win
47% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
-0.6%
Midterm
☁️
-0.9%
65% win
34% vol
May
20yr
💨
+0.4%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
50% win
40% vol
Jun
20yr
⛅
+2.5%
Midterm
⛅
+1.1%
50% win
35% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+3.1%
Midterm
⛅
+4.7%
55% win
33% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+2.5%
Midterm
☀️
+10.3%
45% win
32% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+2.3%
Midterm
☀️
+7.3%
50% win
34% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+3.1%
Midterm
☀️
+12.8%
62% win
47% vol
Now:
+0.9%
Nov
20yr
💨
+4.3%
Midterm
☀️
+18.2%
55% win
44% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+2.1%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
55% win
33% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +5.2%