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AF NYSE

Astoria Financial Corp.
1W: +3.4% 1M: +10.9% 3M: +6.7% 1Y: +49.1% 3Y: +73.5% 5Y: +116.3%
$21.50
Last traded 2017-09-29 — delisted
NYSE · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 4.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 6.1%
Cost Advantage
41
Intangibles
59
Switching Cost
32
Network Effect
22
Scale
25
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AF has No discernible competitive edge (38.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 4.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 48 Grade A
Profitability
62
Balance Sheet
49
Earnings Quality
89
Growth
28
Value
51
Momentum
62
Safety
65
Cash Flow
86
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AF scores highest in Earnings Quality (89/100) and lowest in Growth (28/100). An overall grade of A places AF among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
2.89
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.55
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.58
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 55.6/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.56x
Accruals: -0.3%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. AF scores 2.89, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AF scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AF's score of -2.55 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AF's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AF receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 55.6/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
30.28x
PEG
-3.20x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
1.26x
P/FCF
19.34x
P/OCF
19.34x
EV/EBITDA
7.00x
EV/Revenue
5.14x
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
15.89x
Earnings Yield
3.31%
FCF Yield
5.17%
Shareholder Yield
1.30%
Graham Number
$16.10
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 30.3x earnings, AF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $16.10 per share, 34% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.628
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
—
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.000
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.022
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
8.492
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AF's ROE of 3.9% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 8.49x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$5.66
Price/Value
3.56x
Margin of Safety
-255.81%
Premium
255.81%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AF trades at a 256% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $5.66, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 30.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.50
Median 1Y
$22.19
5th Pctile
$13.73
95th Pctile
$35.99
Ann. Volatility
27.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
ROE 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 5.3% 4.5% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 3.90%
ROA 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.46%
ROIC 5.6% 6.3% 6.5% 6.3% 7.0% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 9.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 7.9% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 4.9% 4.86%
ROCE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 23.8% 28.6% 25.7% 28.9% 30.7% 36.5% 33.9% 39.4% 34.3% 35.2% 33.7% 37.1% 34.7% 33.0% 33.9% 33.7% 34.3% 33.5% 28.1% 35.8% 35.78%
Net Margin 15.5% 19.4% 16.5% 18.5% 19.6% 23.2% 35.9% 26.0% 22.2% 27.7% 22.5% 36.9% 22.3% 21.8% 22.3% 22.1% 22.3% 19.5% 18.0% 22.9% 22.90%
EBITDA Margin 99.5% 93.5% 88.1% 82.6% 80.1% 83.4% 80.9% 86.6% 81.5% 82.8% 78.3% 79.0% 78.2% 1.0% 77.6% 75.7% 74.6% 73.8% 68.9% 76.6% 76.59%
FCF Margin 51.3% 52.0% 61.4% 46.0% 53.1% 65.0% 53.6% 51.7% 50.0% 39.2% 31.9% 33.1% 27.7% 31.5% 31.3% 30.9% 29.7% 31.7% 33.1% 32.4% 32.36%
OCF Margin 53.7% 53.8% 63.4% 47.6% 55.1% 68.0% 56.6% 55.0% 51.2% 39.2% 31.5% 31.8% 27.7% 31.5% 31.3% 30.9% 29.7% 31.7% 33.1% 32.4% 32.36%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.64%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 4.77%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.52%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.32%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.87%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.74%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.61%
CROIC snapshot only 7.61%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 20.69%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 32.92%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 45.97%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
P/E Ratio 19.64 16.83 16.74 17.46 19.04 20.17 16.09 14.52 13.12 13.70 15.36 14.78 17.31 17.99 18.20 20.73 19.80 26.17 30.62 30.24 30.282
P/S Ratio 2.70 2.57 2.77 3.05 3.52 3.93 3.92 3.81 3.53 3.84 3.78 4.04 4.74 4.66 4.71 4.58 4.38 5.65 6.28 6.26 0.000
P/B Ratio 0.73 0.69 0.66 0.72 0.83 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.76 0.83 0.80 0.84 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.86 1.09 1.20 1.17 1.259
P/FCF 5.27 4.94 4.51 6.62 6.63 6.04 7.31 7.36 7.06 9.80 11.84 12.20 17.10 14.78 15.02 14.82 14.75 17.83 19.00 19.34 19.335
P/OCF 5.03 4.77 4.37 6.40 6.39 5.77 6.93 6.92 6.90 9.80 12.02 12.70 17.10 14.78 15.02 14.82 14.75 17.83 19.00 19.34 19.335
EV/EBITDA 1.44 1.28 1.21 1.75 2.21 2.87 2.92 2.73 2.45 2.77 2.52 2.84 3.57 3.38 3.58 3.76 3.72 5.84 6.88 7.00 6.999
EV/Revenue 1.44 1.25 1.15 1.59 1.91 2.40 2.39 2.26 2.04 2.30 2.08 2.28 2.84 2.84 3.00 3.13 3.06 4.41 5.05 5.14 5.144
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF 2.81 2.41 1.88 3.46 3.59 3.69 4.45 4.36 4.08 5.87 6.50 6.88 10.26 9.02 9.59 10.11 10.31 13.92 15.27 15.89 15.894
Earnings Yield 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 5.7% 5.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 7.3% 6.5% 6.8% 5.8% 5.6% 5.5% 4.8% 5.1% 3.8% 3.3% 3.3% 3.31%
FCF Yield 19.0% 20.3% 22.2% 15.1% 15.1% 16.6% 13.7% 13.6% 14.2% 10.2% 8.4% 8.2% 5.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 6.8% 5.6% 5.3% 5.2% 5.17%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.304
EV/OCF snapshot only 15.894
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.144
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 15.623
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.30%
Graham Number snapshot only $16.10
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Current Ratio — 145.70 — — — 140.08 — — — 261.80 — — — 439.28 — — — 315.14 — — —
Quick Ratio — 145.70 — — — 140.08 — — — 261.80 — — — 439.28 — — — 315.14 — — —
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity -0.34 -0.35 -0.39 -0.35 -0.38 -0.34 -0.34 -0.34 -0.32 -0.33 -0.36 -0.37 -0.39 -0.37 -0.34 -0.29 -0.26 -0.24 -0.24 -0.21 -0.207
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.26 -1.34 -1.69 -1.60 -1.88 -1.83 -1.87 -1.87 -1.79 -1.86 -2.07 -2.19 -2.38 -2.16 -2.03 -1.75 -1.60 -1.64 -1.68 -1.52 -1.515
Interest Coverage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Equity Multiplier 13.16 12.75 11.28 11.16 10.99 10.39 10.12 9.98 9.70 9.90 9.69 9.39 9.17 9.06 8.93 8.86 8.67 8.49 8.32 8.14 8.136
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.975
Defensive Interval snapshot only 967.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.022
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 7.37 7.90 7.80 7.98 7.97 8.59 8.54 8.79 8.93 9.18 8.98 9.07 9.13 9.50 9.21 9.29 9.35 9.48 9.30 9.31 9.311
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 50 46 47 46 46 42 43 42 41 40 41 40 40 38 40 39 39 39 39 39 39.2 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.374
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.898
Capital Intensity snapshot only 43.677
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue -10.5% -7.2% -5.0% -3.0% -1.7% -1.8% 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% -1.7% -2.1% -1.6% -0.6% -0.7% -1.1% -1.4% -2.5% -2.8% -3.5% -3.52%
Net Income -39.5% -21.0% 14.3% 30.5% 32.2% 25.4% 48.0% 52.1% 46.5% 44.0% -0.7% 2.1% 0.1% -8.2% 4.4% -20.0% -20.3% -18.8% -22.9% -9.7% -9.73%
EPS -41.0% -22.8% 12.3% 28.3% 29.9% 23.3% 45.9% 50.0% 44.5% 42.2% -1.9% 0.8% -1.5% -9.6% 3.2% -20.7% -20.7% -19.1% -23.0% -9.9% -9.92%
FCF -36.2% -15.7% 22.6% -31.9% 1.9% 22.9% -12.2% 13.8% -5.3% -39.7% -41.5% -37.3% -45.5% -20.0% -2.5% -7.6% 5.7% -2.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.94%
EBITDA -23.5% -19.0% -13.7% -13.3% -15.6% -16.2% -14.0% -7.9% -2.7% -0.6% -1.0% -4.9% -5.9% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% -12.6% -15.2% -14.8% -14.84%
Op. Income -41.3% -23.6% 10.8% 27.6% 32.6% 28.9% 29.2% 32.9% 27.4% 17.1% 7.8% -2.1% -3.9% -3.5% -3.3% -4.6% -5.5% -4.8% -9.2% -6.1% -6.14%
OCF Growth snapshot only 0.94%
Asset Growth snapshot only -5.78%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.58%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.21%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — -5.0% -3.9% -3.0% -2.1% -1.3% -0.9% -0.8% -0.6% -0.6% -0.8% -1.0% -1.7% -2.2% -2.24%
Revenue 5Y 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% — — — — — — — — — — — -3.7% -3.0% -2.5% -1.9% -1.7% -1.71%
EPS 3Y -26.6% -9.3% -9.1% -13.9% -12.9% -10.1% -7.6% -1.3% 3.5% 10.6% 17.2% 24.7% 22.7% 16.6% 13.9% 6.2% 4.1% 1.3% -8.0% -10.4% -10.39%
EPS 5Y -32.1% -28.3% -27.3% -26.1% -25.9% -22.0% -16.6% -10.0% -5.8% 5.5% 1.5% -0.7% -1.2% -1.4% -4.4% -5.2% -2.8% -0.2% 5.0% 6.7% 6.72%
Net Income 3Y -25.3% -7.7% -7.4% -12.3% -11.2% -8.4% -5.9% 0.5% 5.4% 12.6% 18.9% 26.5% 24.7% 18.4% 15.3% 7.5% 5.3% 2.4% -7.2% -9.7% -9.67%
Net Income 5Y -31.4% -27.5% -26.1% -25.0% -24.7% -20.7% -15.2% -8.5% -4.2% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% -2.9% -3.7% -1.4% 1.3% 6.2% 7.9% 7.91%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — 14.9% -10.9% -16.6% -14.4% -12.3% -9.8% -8.8% -8.2% -5.6% -4.8% -3.5% -2.2% -4.3% -5.2% -6.0% -6.03%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.8% -6.6% -10.8% -9.6% -9.9% -8.8% -7.9% -7.90%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — -61.2% -61.5% -61.7% -61.8% -5.0% -3.9% -3.0% -2.1% -1.3% -0.9% -0.8% -0.6% -0.6% -0.8% -1.0% -1.7% -2.2% -2.24%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% — — — — — — — -43.5% -43.7% -43.8% -44.1% -3.7% -3.0% -2.5% -1.9% -1.7% -1.71%
Op. Income 3Y -23.2% -5.6% -5.3% -10.9% -10.5% -8.1% -10.7% -4.7% -0.3% 4.9% 15.6% 18.4% 17.5% 13.3% 10.4% 7.5% 5.0% 2.5% -1.8% -4.3% -4.31%
Op. Income 5Y -30.8% -26.6% -25.1% -23.8% -23.8% -19.5% -16.7% -10.0% -5.2% 4.9% 3.4% -1.6% -2.6% -2.6% -5.8% -4.2% -2.1% 1.2% 6.3% 8.3% 8.25%
FCF 3Y -9.8% 2.5% 2.8% — — — — -10.5% -14.9% -14.5% -14.3% -21.4% -19.3% -16.0% -20.6% -13.0% -18.3% -22.1% -16.4% -16.4% -16.39%
FCF 5Y -2.3% -2.7% -1.5% -11.6% -5.6% -1.2% -4.9% 2.5% -6.7% -4.4% -11.0% — — — — -16.1% -18.7% -13.3% -8.8% -14.6% -14.64%
OCF 3Y -8.4% 3.7% 3.9% — — — — -9.4% -15.3% -16.2% -17.0% -23.6% -20.5% -17.0% -21.4% -14.0% -19.2% -23.3% -17.8% -18.1% -18.09%
OCF 5Y -1.4% -2.0% -0.8% -11.0% -4.9% -0.3% -3.9% 3.7% -6.2% -4.4% -11.3% — — — — -16.6% -19.3% -14.3% -10.3% -15.4% -15.44%
Assets 3Y 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% -6.5% -5.4% -4.4% -3.9% -2.8% -3.1% -2.8% -3.2% -4.5% -3.9% -3.0% -2.5% -2.3% -2.6% -2.7% -3.0% -3.5% -3.50%
Assets 5Y 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 92.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% -4.9% -4.4% -3.6% -3.2% -2.6% -2.7% -3.1% -3.5% -4.2% -4.24%
Equity 3Y 2.4% 2.3% 5.7% 5.6% 5.5% 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 5.4% 5.5% 5.4% 4.1% 3.6% 3.3% 3.31%
Book Value 3Y 0.6% 0.5% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% 3.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.48%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Revenue Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.53 0.57 0.59 0.62 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.75 0.79 0.83 0.97 0.93 0.935
Earnings Stability 0.87 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.68 0.50 0.42 0.39 0.26 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.03 0.07 0.18 0.28 0.36 0.20 0.198
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.84 0.92 0.94 0.88 0.87 0.90 0.81 0.50 0.81 0.82 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.97 0.98 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.96 0.961
Earnings Smoothness 0.51 0.77 0.87 0.74 0.72 0.77 0.61 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.99 0.98 1.00 0.91 0.96 0.78 0.77 0.79 0.74 0.90 0.898
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.012
Gross Margin Trend — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Margin Trend — — — -0.18 -0.08 0.10 -0.01 -0.04 -0.02 -0.19 -0.26 -0.16 -0.24 -0.21 -0.11 -0.11 -0.09 -0.04 0.01 0.00 0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 5.3% 4.5% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 3.90%
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.46%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.90 3.53 3.83 2.73 2.98 3.49 2.32 2.10 1.90 1.40 1.28 1.16 1.01 1.22 1.21 1.40 1.34 1.47 1.61 1.56 1.564
FCF/OCF 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.564
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.440
CapEx/Revenue 2.4% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.010
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 2.8% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 7.8% 31.1% 40.0% 76.8% 0.0% 69.4% 39.4% 39.44%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 14.4% 13.6% 13.4% 9.7% 12.1% 9.1% 9.3% 8.4% 10.9% 10.9% 13.7% 12.1% 11.9% 0.4% 1.7% 1.9% 3.9% 0.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.30%
Net Buyback Yield 14.4% 5.5% -49.8% -47.9% -37.8% -30.4% 9.3% 8.4% -20.1% -17.9% -27.2% -34.2% -10.7% -22.5% -11.9% -5.0% 3.9% -0.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.30%
Total Shareholder Return 14.4% 5.5% -49.8% -47.9% -37.8% -30.4% 9.3% 8.4% -20.1% -17.9% -27.2% -34.2% -10.7% -22.5% -11.9% -5.0% 3.9% -0.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.30%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.65 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.78 0.69 0.78 0.78 0.75 0.74 0.65 0.66 0.64 0.63 0.63 0.628
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBIT Margin 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.022
Equity Multiplier 13.19 13.17 12.31 12.34 12.01 11.48 10.67 10.54 10.32 10.14 9.90 9.68 9.43 9.47 9.30 9.12 8.92 8.77 8.62 8.49 8.492
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.50 $0.56 $0.59 $0.62 $0.65 $0.69 $0.86 $0.93 $0.94 $0.97 $0.84 $0.93 $0.93 $0.88 $0.87 $0.74 $0.74 $0.71 $0.67 $0.67 $0.67
Book Value/Share $13.59 $13.56 $14.87 $14.90 $15.04 $15.65 $15.82 $16.06 $16.22 $16.06 $16.15 $16.37 $16.49 $16.64 $16.76 $16.89 $17.01 $17.07 $17.14 $17.29 $17.07
Tangible Book/Share $11.65 $11.62 $12.95 $12.99 $13.13 $13.74 $13.93 $14.18 $14.34 $14.18 $14.29 $14.51 $14.63 $14.79 $14.91 $15.05 $15.17 $15.23 $15.30 $15.45 $15.45
Revenue/Share $3.66 $3.65 $3.56 $3.53 $3.53 $3.52 $3.53 $3.53 $3.51 $3.48 $3.43 $3.41 $3.40 $3.40 $3.37 $3.35 $3.33 $3.30 $3.27 $3.22 $3.30
FCF/Share $1.87 $1.90 $2.19 $1.63 $1.88 $2.29 $1.89 $1.83 $1.75 $1.36 $1.09 $1.13 $0.94 $1.07 $1.05 $1.03 $0.99 $1.05 $1.08 $1.04 $1.05
OCF/Share $1.96 $1.96 $2.26 $1.68 $1.95 $2.40 $1.99 $1.94 $1.80 $1.36 $1.08 $1.09 $0.94 $1.07 $1.05 $1.03 $0.99 $1.05 $1.08 $1.04 $1.05
Cash/Share $4.61 $4.80 $5.75 $5.15 $5.71 $5.39 $5.39 $5.48 $5.23 $5.36 $5.84 $6.01 $6.45 $6.18 $5.73 $4.87 $4.39 $4.08 $4.03 $3.59 $4.08
EBITDA/Share $3.67 $3.57 $3.40 $3.22 $3.04 $2.94 $2.88 $2.92 $2.92 $2.89 $2.82 $2.74 $2.70 $2.86 $2.83 $2.79 $2.75 $2.49 $2.39 $2.37 $2.37
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Net Debt/Share $-4.61 $-4.80 $-5.75 $-5.15 $-5.71 $-5.39 $-5.39 $-5.48 $-5.23 $-5.36 $-5.84 $-6.01 $-6.45 $-6.18 $-5.73 $-4.87 $-4.39 $-4.08 $-4.03 $-3.59 $-3.59
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.888
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.856
Piotroski F-Score 3 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 3 4 4 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.52 -2.61 -2.58 -2.63 -2.69 -2.63 -2.61 -2.58 -2.57 -2.54 -2.54 -2.55 -2.53 -2.56 -2.54 -2.52 -2.54 -2.49 -2.55 -2.55 -2.554
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.584
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 0.00%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-119.44
EVA snapshot only $-70811200.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 44.85 53.81 46.51 45.92 46.36 54.97 50.18 52.83 53.21 63.17 59.44 59.00 59.76 70.15 60.09 54.62 55.17 65.93 56.16 55.61 55.614
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.996
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 45
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 39

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms