— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

AFT NYSE

Apollo Senior Floating Rate Fund Inc.
1W: -0.1% 1M: +2.1% 3M: +5.4% 1Y: +28.6% 3Y: +30.0% 5Y: +51.8%
$14.86
Last traded 2024-07-22 — delisted
NYSE · Financial Services · Asset Management · $231.4M mcap

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
35.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -14.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.2%
Cost Advantage ★
43
Intangibles
39
Switching Cost
33
Network Effect
19
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AFT has No discernible competitive edge (35.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -14.1% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 44 Grade A
Profitability
70
Balance Sheet
59
Earnings Quality
77
Growth
2
Value
85
Momentum
41
Safety
15
Cash Flow
88
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AFT scores highest in Cash Flow (88/100) and lowest in Growth (2/100). An overall grade of A places AFT among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.09
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.84
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.77
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 45.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.09x
Accruals: -4.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AFT scores 1.09, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AFT scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AFT's score of -2.84 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AFT's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AFT receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 45.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AFT's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
6.43x
PEG
0.06x
P/S
7.05x
P/B
0.99x
P/FCF
5.22x
P/OCF
5.22x
EV/EBITDA
11.30x
EV/Revenue
17.44x
EV/EBIT
7.95x
EV/FCF
7.85x
Earnings Yield
9.15%
FCF Yield
19.14%
Shareholder Yield
20.50%
Graham Number
$19.67
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 6.4x earnings, AFT trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 9.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $19.67 per share, suggesting a potential 32% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.484
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
2.195
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.041
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.665
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AFT's ROE of 7.3% is driven by EBIT Margin (2.195) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$9.73
Price/Value
1.29x
Margin of Safety
-28.58%
Premium
28.58%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AFT's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AFT trades at a 29% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $9.73, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 6.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.86
Median 1Y
$15.56
5th Pctile
$11.51
95th Pctile
$21.03
Ann. Volatility
17.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
ROE 17.9% 10.6% 10.3% 1.3% 4.1% 12.3% 11.5% 19.2% 14.2% 4.0% 7.2% 10.8% -0.9% 14.6% 13.6% 9.0% 7.1% 0.7% 2.3% 7.3% 7.27%
ROA 11.2% 6.8% 6.5% 0.9% 2.6% 7.6% 7.0% 11.5% 8.5% 2.4% 4.4% 6.5% -0.5% 8.7% 7.9% 5.3% 4.1% 0.4% 1.4% 4.4% 4.37%
ROIC 9.5% 15.1% 14.4% 52.4% 24.4% 10.9% 10.5% 10.6% 11.1% 12.1% 14.0% 14.0% 12.2% 13.0% 9.8% 8.9% -0.2% 10.0% -6.4% -14.1% -14.10%
ROCE 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -6.7% -5.2% 6.7% 10.1% 10.09%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 82.4% 79.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 79.3% 86.6% 86.1% 86.15%
Operating Margin 76.9% 76.1% 77.8% 77.4% 79.1% 78.8% 77.1% 77.8% 80.1% 80.1% 1.4% 86.5% 77.4% 75.3% 71.6% 70.1% 91.3% 57.9% 1.7% 97.6% 97.55%
Net Margin 74.7% -28.5% 77.4% -1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 66.1% 44.3% 32.8% -59.3% 1.2% 1.3% -2.2% 2.8% 1.5% 34.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 95.0% 94.97%
EBITDA Margin -2.2% -1.0% -0.3% -1.8% 48.7% 58.5% -11.0% -33.5% -47.3% -1.4% 1.4% -4.0% -3.0% 2.0% 75.5% -35.2% 56.6% -30.2% 2.7% -2.8% -2.77%
FCF Margin 1.0% 79.6% 73.3% 1.0% 46.9% 65.7% 79.7% 44.6% 76.8% 71.0% 78.1% 81.7% 71.4% 59.8% 59.9% 57.5% 4.6% 5.5% 3.1% 2.2% 2.22%
OCF Margin 1.0% 79.6% 73.3% 1.0% 46.9% 65.7% 79.7% 44.6% 76.8% 71.0% 78.1% 81.7% 71.4% 59.8% 59.9% 57.5% 4.6% 5.5% 3.1% 2.2% 2.22%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.26%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.60%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.56%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -13.62%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -12.87%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.06%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.23%
CROIC snapshot only 11.23%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -2.79%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.06%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 24.97%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
P/E Ratio 2.34 3.73 4.21 29.45 10.81 4.19 4.48 2.80 3.90 13.01 7.67 5.46 -59.97 4.44 5.21 8.35 9.93 100.51 31.68 10.93 6.433
P/S Ratio 2.12 2.09 2.36 2.14 2.29 2.62 2.67 2.64 2.71 2.45 2.60 2.83 2.56 3.35 4.03 4.47 30.47 33.59 17.66 11.61 7.051
P/B Ratio 0.42 0.42 0.46 0.45 0.46 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.60 0.59 0.65 0.71 0.76 0.72 0.73 0.78 0.83 0.989
P/FCF 2.08 2.63 3.22 2.09 4.89 3.99 3.35 5.92 3.53 3.45 3.33 3.47 3.58 5.59 6.73 7.78 6.62 6.08 5.67 5.22 5.224
P/OCF 2.08 2.63 3.22 2.09 4.89 3.99 3.35 5.92 3.53 3.45 3.33 3.47 3.58 5.59 6.73 7.78 6.62 6.08 5.67 5.22 5.224
EV/EBITDA 32.35 -19.60 -22.38 -6.04 -8.11 -30.43 -26.71 30.35 -55.11 -7.52 -22.36 -33.84 -6.51 47.00 -49.68 -34.00 24.26 -20.06 13.35 11.30 11.298
EV/Revenue 4.05 4.16 4.69 4.21 4.57 4.78 4.96 4.96 4.89 4.51 4.85 5.08 4.54 5.72 6.32 6.85 54.80 54.79 30.26 17.44 17.443
EV/EBIT — — 23.89 21.06 22.99 24.15 — — — — — — — — — — -12.14 -14.45 12.69 7.95 7.946
EV/FCF 3.97 5.22 6.40 4.11 9.75 7.27 6.22 11.12 6.36 6.35 6.21 6.22 6.35 9.56 10.54 11.92 11.90 9.92 9.71 7.85 7.850
Earnings Yield 42.8% 26.8% 23.8% 3.4% 9.2% 23.9% 22.3% 35.8% 25.7% 7.7% 13.0% 18.3% -1.7% 22.5% 19.2% 12.0% 10.1% 1.0% 3.2% 9.1% 9.15%
FCF Yield 48.1% 38.0% 31.0% 47.9% 20.4% 25.1% 29.9% 16.9% 28.3% 29.0% 30.0% 28.9% 27.9% 17.9% 14.9% 12.9% 15.1% 16.4% 17.7% 19.1% 19.14%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.064
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.832
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.850
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 37.557
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 11.298
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 20.50%
Graham Number snapshot only $19.67
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Current Ratio 1.55 1.38 0.26 1.28 1.45 1.43 1.09 1.16 1.20 0.93 0.92 1.10 1.05 0.79 0.96 0.99 1.19 1.86 3.11 6.08 6.082
Quick Ratio 1.55 1.38 0.26 1.28 1.45 1.43 1.09 1.16 1.20 0.93 0.92 1.10 1.05 0.79 -0.01 0.99 1.19 1.86 3.11 6.08 6.082
Debt/Equity 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.57 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.58 0.59 0.56 0.55 0.555
Net Debt/Equity 0.38 0.41 0.45 0.43 0.46 0.43 0.44 0.46 0.44 0.46 0.50 0.48 0.46 0.46 0.40 0.40 0.57 0.46 0.55 0.42 0.418
Debt/Assets 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.28 0.29 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.350
Debt/EBITDA 20.18 -12.31 -12.70 -3.89 -4.32 -16.08 -13.86 15.63 -28.43 -4.12 -11.23 -16.65 -3.26 20.34 -22.10 -14.79 10.93 -9.86 5.66 5.01 5.013
Net Debt/EBITDA 15.43 -9.72 -11.11 -2.98 -4.04 -13.74 -12.34 14.18 -24.51 -3.44 -10.35 -14.99 -2.84 19.48 -17.97 -11.80 10.77 -7.76 5.56 3.78 3.780
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -30.92 -5.40 3.34 3.21 3.211
Equity Multiplier 1.60 1.65 1.63 1.70 1.61 1.59 1.63 1.63 1.72 1.77 1.69 1.67 1.77 1.58 1.75 1.74 1.70 1.67 1.60 1.58 1.584
Cash Ratio snapshot only 5.647
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.258
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.246
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.287
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.041
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.08 — — — 0.22 — —
Receivables Turnover 4.97 2.74 1.54 5.24 2.23 3.40 2.12 2.92 1.32 2.61 2.40 2.21 1.19 2.38 1.46 1.55 0.15 0.53 0.36 0.97 0.970
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.14 0.09 0.13 0.05 0.00 0.06 0.22 0.19 0.28 0.277
DSO 73 133 237 70 163 107 172 125 276 140 152 165 307 153 250 236 2446 687 1026 376 376.2 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 -9 0 4510 — 0 0 1686 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — 5437 2524 4040 2838 7541 — 6232 1656 1936 1317 1317.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — -5285 -2358 -3742 -2685 -2781 — -3786 -969 776 -941 -940.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.525
Capital Intensity snapshot only 22.084
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Revenue — 2.7% 81.9% 21.6% -6.3% -2.7% -2.5% 0.1% 1.0% 2.5% 6.1% 2.2% -4.9% -14.2% -20.9% -22.6% -90.1% -90.1% -77.9% -61.5% -61.48%
Net Income — 83.3% 7.8% -90.8% -78.1% 8.3% 3.5% 12.1% 2.3% -69.1% -39.6% -44.0% -1.1% 2.4% 80.5% -20.0% 8.1% -95.6% -84.1% -23.6% -23.64%
EPS — 82.8% 7.7% -90.8% -78.1% 8.3% 3.5% 12.1% 2.3% -69.1% -39.6% -44.0% -1.1% 2.4% 80.5% -20.0% 8.1% -95.6% -84.1% -23.6% -23.64%
FCF — 1.1% 86.9% 70.2% -57.0% -19.7% 6.1% -56.4% 65.4% 10.7% 4.0% 87.0% -11.5% -27.7% -39.3% -45.5% -36.1% -9.0% 14.8% 48.8% 48.83%
EBITDA — -3.3% -3.4% -6.0% -5.2% 27.9% 13.6% 1.2% 84.1% -2.9% -24.0% -1.9% -6.5% 1.2% 53.6% -3.9% 1.3% -3.2% 4.9% 3.9% 3.95%
Op. Income — 2.6% 77.2% 19.2% -7.0% -1.6% -1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 28.7% 27.0% 18.3% 6.6% -35.0% -41.2% -1.0% -1.1% -53.1% -19.3% -19.35%
OCF Growth snapshot only 48.83%
Asset Growth snapshot only -16.86%
Equity Growth snapshot only -8.63%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.00%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 28.81%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — 54.2% 23.5% 7.5% -3.5% -5.1% -6.5% -7.5% -54.3% -55.7% -43.0% -32.7% -32.70%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -20.9% -20.0% -18.0% -17.99%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — -15.2% -12.3% -12.3% — 4.6% 4.1% 80.2% 11.3% -64.1% -44.3% -30.0% -30.04%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -38.0% -28.0% -16.2% -16.24%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — -15.1% -12.3% -12.3% — 4.6% 4.1% 80.2% 11.3% -64.1% -44.3% -30.0% -30.04%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -38.0% -28.0% -16.2% -16.24%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 42.3% 42.26%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 36.7% 27.5% 27.48%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — 54.2% 21.7% 4.3% -6.6% -8.4% -8.2% -7.5% -62.5% -82.5% -60.4% -47.9% -47.88%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -54.7% -35.6% -29.7% -29.65%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — 54.0% 31.1% 15.4% 3.9% 2.7% -6.1% -8.8% — — -26.8% -15.6% -15.58%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -7.2% -6.1% -6.13%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 24.1% 27.3% 11.6% -14.3% -13.7% -12.5% -23.6% -2.2% -10.0% -10.2% 14.9% 14.92%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.7% 7.5% 2.4% 2.43%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 24.1% 27.3% 11.6% -14.3% -13.7% -12.5% -23.6% -2.2% -10.0% -10.2% 14.9% 14.92%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.7% 7.5% 2.4% 2.43%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — -2.2% -3.6% -2.0% -5.3% -5.4% -0.9% -0.2% -4.7% -6.3% -7.1% -6.5% -6.53%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -5.2% -5.8% -4.5% -4.51%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — -7.5% -6.8% -7.1% -8.5% -4.1% -3.1% -0.9% -6.3% -7.7% -6.5% -5.6% -5.58%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — -7.6% -6.8% -7.1% -8.5% -4.1% -3.1% -0.9% -6.3% -7.7% -6.5% -5.6% -5.58%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — -0.8% 0.6% 0.7% -0.2% -4.2% -5.6% -6.8% -6.5% 0.6% 3.1% 8.8% 8.80%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — 0.72 0.71 0.75 0.62 0.60 0.66 0.70 0.83 0.60 0.43 0.51 0.63 0.00 0.07 0.33 0.329
Earnings Stability — — — — — 0.86 0.96 0.03 0.12 0.04 0.36 0.00 0.51 0.06 0.00 0.02 0.39 0.11 0.32 0.08 0.080
Margin Stability — — — — — 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.95 0.75 0.48 0.66 0.73 0.734
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — 0.97 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.82 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.905
Earnings Smoothness — 0.41 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.44 — 0.00 0.43 0.78 — 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.732
ROE Trend — — — — — 0.04 0.02 0.11 0.03 -0.08 -0.04 0.01 -0.10 0.06 0.04 -0.06 0.01 -0.09 -0.08 -0.02 -0.025
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.09 -0.09 -0.10 -0.03 0.04 -0.40 -0.89 -0.61 -0.49 -0.491
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — -0.42 0.07 -0.43 0.02 -0.02 0.02 0.08 0.10 -0.09 -0.19 -0.06 3.86 4.87 2.43 1.53 1.526
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.5% -2.2% -2.4% -11.7% -9.1% -1.3% -1.9% 5.4% 0.4% -10.1% -6.9% -3.4% — 1.5% 1.2% -2.9% -6.4% -13.6% -12.2% -9.0% -9.02%
Internal Growth Rate 2.9% — — — — — — 3.3% 0.3% — — — — 0.9% 0.7% — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.13 1.42 1.31 14.12 2.21 1.05 1.34 0.47 1.10 3.77 2.30 1.58 -16.75 0.79 0.77 1.07 1.50 16.52 5.59 2.09 2.092
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.092
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.439
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.11 -0.03 -0.00 -0.02 0.06 -0.01 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.09 0.02 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.203
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.934
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Dividend Yield 32.2% 32.5% 29.2% 33.0% 29.7% 26.4% 26.0% 25.7% 24.9% 27.0% 25.5% 24.0% 27.6% 20.2% 17.5% 15.9% 19.1% 20.8% 19.9% 20.5% 13.39%
Dividend/Share $2.59 $2.50 $2.48 $2.49 $2.42 $2.47 $2.43 $2.41 $2.42 $2.42 $2.48 $2.46 $2.41 $2.13 $2.08 $1.99 $1.97 $2.16 $2.28 $2.56 $1.99
Payout Ratio 75.2% 1.2% 1.2% 9.7% 3.2% 1.1% 1.2% 71.9% 97.0% 3.5% 2.0% 1.3% — 89.9% 91.3% 1.3% 1.9% 20.9% 6.3% 2.2% 2.24%
FCF Payout Ratio 66.8% 85.6% 94.0% 68.7% 1.5% 1.1% 86.8% 1.5% 87.9% 93.1% 85.1% 83.3% 98.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.07%
Total Payout Ratio 75.2% 1.2% 1.2% 9.7% 3.2% 1.1% 1.2% 71.9% 97.0% 3.5% 2.0% 1.3% — 89.9% 91.3% 1.3% 1.9% 20.9% 6.3% 2.2% 2.24%
Div. Increase Streak 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — 2.77 1.16 0.59 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.08 0.02 -0.03 0.01 0.22 0.29 0.49 0.493
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 32.2% 32.5% 29.2% 33.0% 29.7% 26.4% 26.0% 25.7% 24.9% 27.0% 25.5% 24.0% 27.6% 20.2% 17.5% 15.9% 19.1% 20.8% 19.9% 20.5% 20.50%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.15 0.13 1.73 1.78 1.00 0.51 1.00 0.27 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) — — 2.83 0.36 1.04 3.16 — — — — — — — — — — -1.33 -0.09 0.88 0.48 0.484
EBIT Margin 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -4.52 -3.79 2.38 2.20 2.195
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.041
Equity Multiplier 1.60 1.57 1.58 1.55 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.67 1.66 1.68 1.66 1.65 1.74 1.67 1.72 1.70 1.73 1.62 1.68 1.67 1.665
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.44 $2.06 $2.02 $0.26 $0.75 $2.24 $2.09 $3.34 $2.50 $0.69 $1.26 $1.87 $-0.15 $2.36 $2.28 $1.50 $1.04 $0.10 $0.36 $1.14 $1.14
Book Value/Share $19.19 $18.30 $18.42 $16.92 $17.53 $18.07 $18.08 $17.86 $17.61 $16.34 $16.87 $16.94 $14.72 $16.15 $16.74 $16.45 $14.41 $14.19 $14.79 $15.03 $15.03
Tangible Book/Share $19.19 $18.30 $18.42 $16.92 $17.53 $18.07 $18.08 $17.86 $17.61 $16.34 $16.87 $16.94 $14.72 $16.15 $16.74 $16.45 $14.41 $14.19 $14.79 $15.03 $15.03
Revenue/Share $3.79 $3.67 $3.60 $3.53 $3.55 $3.57 $3.51 $3.54 $3.59 $3.66 $3.72 $3.61 $3.41 $3.14 $2.94 $2.80 $0.34 $0.31 $0.65 $1.08 $2.11
FCF/Share $3.87 $2.92 $2.64 $3.62 $1.67 $2.35 $2.80 $1.58 $2.75 $2.60 $2.91 $2.95 $2.44 $1.88 $1.77 $1.61 $1.56 $1.71 $2.03 $2.39 $1.45
OCF/Share $3.87 $2.92 $2.64 $3.62 $1.67 $2.35 $2.80 $1.58 $2.75 $2.60 $2.91 $2.95 $2.44 $1.88 $1.77 $1.61 $1.56 $1.71 $2.03 $2.39 $1.45
Cash/Share $2.26 $2.02 $1.20 $2.25 $0.55 $1.32 $0.99 $0.84 $1.25 $1.50 $0.71 $0.90 $1.00 $0.33 $1.55 $1.68 $0.12 $1.77 $0.15 $2.05 $2.05
EBITDA/Share $0.48 $-0.78 $-0.75 $-2.46 $-2.00 $-0.56 $-0.65 $0.58 $-0.32 $-2.20 $-0.81 $-0.54 $-2.38 $0.38 $-0.37 $-0.56 $0.76 $-0.85 $1.47 $1.66 $1.66
Debt/Share $9.59 $9.59 $9.58 $9.58 $8.64 $9.02 $9.03 $9.03 $9.04 $9.05 $9.07 $9.04 $7.76 $7.77 $8.28 $8.34 $8.35 $8.34 $8.34 $8.34 $8.34
Net Debt/Share $7.33 $7.57 $8.38 $7.34 $8.10 $7.70 $8.04 $8.19 $7.80 $7.55 $8.36 $8.14 $6.76 $7.44 $6.73 $6.66 $8.23 $6.56 $8.19 $6.29 $6.29
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.090
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.135
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 5 5 5 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — -3.00 -2.94 -3.01 -0.70 -2.47 -2.78 -0.81 -2.29 -2.23 -2.46 -2.55 -3.07 -2.97 -2.20 -2.44 — -3.27 -2.79 -2.84 -2.841
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.771
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.28%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-6.56
EVA snapshot only $-80015065.50
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'14 Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 51.20 56.84 46.57 56.78 55.34 56.57 58.14 42.27 56.34 51.33 56.95 57.17 58.44 40.34 48.02 48.12 20.45 34.39 44.37 45.32 45.322
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -2.797
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 33
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 31

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