— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

AIMC NASDAQ

Altra Industrial Motion Corp.
1W: +1.4% 1M: +0.9% 3M: +4.0% 1Y: +56.7% 3Y: +245.5% 5Y: +44.0%
$61.98
Last traded 2023-03-27 — delisted
NASDAQ · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · $4.1B mcap · 65M float · 2.08% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
40.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 5.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.7%
Cost Advantage
35
Intangibles
59
Switching Cost
41
Network Effect
28
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AIMC shows a Weak competitive edge (40.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 5.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 7Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-08-26 Loop Capital Markets Scott Graham Initiated $58 — +44.5% $40.13

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 47 Grade B
Profitability
30
Balance Sheet
57
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
58
Value
58
Momentum
78
Safety
50
Cash Flow
29
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AIMC scores highest in Earnings Quality (79/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (29/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.44
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.48
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.24
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 51.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.98x
Accruals: 0.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AIMC scores 2.44, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AIMC scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AIMC's score of -2.48 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AIMC's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AIMC receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 51.2/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AIMC's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
31.78x
PEG
0.09x
P/S
2.08x
P/B
2.02x
P/FCF
56.64x
P/OCF
31.31x
EV/EBITDA
13.65x
EV/Revenue
2.46x
EV/EBIT
19.90x
EV/FCF
69.35x
Earnings Yield
3.25%
FCF Yield
1.77%
Shareholder Yield
0.57%
Graham Number
$36.46
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 31.8x earnings, AIMC commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $36.46 per share, 70% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.671
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.786
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.124
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.498
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.958
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AIMC's ROE of 6.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.498), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$74.54
Price/Value
0.80x
Margin of Safety
19.96%
Premium
-19.96%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AIMC's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AIMC trades at a -20% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $74.54, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 31.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$61.98
Median 1Y
$65.53
5th Pctile
$31.63
95th Pctile
$136.19
Ann. Volatility
45.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
ROE 13.2% 13.7% 13.2% 3.1% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 6.7% -1.4% -1.7% -1.0% -1.3% 7.0% 7.7% 7.4% 1.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 6.4% 6.37%
ROA 5.5% 5.9% 5.7% 1.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% -0.6% -0.8% -0.5% -0.6% 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 3.3% 3.25%
ROIC 9.3% 10.0% 10.0% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% -15.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 11.0% 7.1% 3.7% 3.3% 5.6% 5.60%
ROCE 9.7% 10.7% 10.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 5.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 7.3% 7.30%
Gross Margin 30.9% 33.0% 31.5% 32.3% 36.2% 35.8% 35.4% 35.6% 35.2% 35.8% 37.5% 35.7% 36.4% 36.0% 36.2% 33.6% 35.2% 34.8% 36.2% 36.4% 36.37%
Operating Margin 8.2% 11.8% 9.1% 3.9% 13.8% 12.2% 11.0% 11.8% -22.6% 13.0% 14.9% 12.8% 13.8% 13.4% 13.2% -19.8% 13.2% 12.8% 12.5% 10.8% 10.78%
Net Margin 3.7% 8.0% 5.4% -1.1% 7.3% 6.2% 5.8% 8.4% -26.9% 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.5% -18.7% 8.8% 5.3% 7.2% 4.8% 4.75%
EBITDA Margin 10.0% 15.8% 12.9% 10.5% 20.2% 19.1% 18.3% 18.8% -14.8% 20.4% 22.4% 19.5% 20.6% 20.1% 19.7% -13.5% 19.2% 18.5% 19.1% 15.2% 15.23%
FCF Margin 5.4% 5.5% 7.1% 6.7% 7.6% 8.3% 9.9% 11.1% 11.5% 11.0% 11.6% 13.3% 13.0% 13.8% 12.5% 9.3% 5.5% 3.6% 3.2% 3.6% 3.55%
OCF Margin 9.0% 9.1% 10.4% 9.9% 10.7% 11.1% 12.8% 14.0% 14.1% 13.6% 13.8% 15.2% 15.0% 15.6% 14.4% 11.4% 8.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.4% 6.43%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.16%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.00%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.17%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.78%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.29%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.40%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.34%
CROIC snapshot only 2.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.29%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 9.73%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 3.29%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 19.02%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.79%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
P/E Ratio 25.13 21.96 21.49 43.62 31.08 31.09 20.36 17.86 -45.09 -63.52 -122.33 -140.15 27.32 28.08 24.45 119.65 75.75 121.78 128.76 30.82 31.785
P/S Ratio 1.40 1.29 1.22 1.31 1.35 1.35 0.93 1.24 0.62 1.18 1.38 2.06 2.02 2.27 1.90 1.74 1.30 1.17 1.12 2.01 2.082
P/B Ratio 3.05 2.86 2.72 0.83 1.02 1.18 0.93 1.18 0.63 1.12 1.25 1.78 1.79 2.04 1.73 1.67 1.26 1.18 1.15 1.95 2.015
P/FCF 25.82 23.42 17.29 19.57 17.82 16.28 9.38 11.13 5.39 10.74 11.91 15.56 15.58 16.46 15.20 18.79 23.55 32.52 35.48 56.64 56.638
P/OCF 15.50 14.09 11.78 13.26 12.59 12.13 7.28 8.88 4.41 8.68 9.95 13.56 13.50 14.53 13.24 15.27 16.18 18.45 18.33 31.31 31.310
EV/EBITDA 13.11 11.76 11.27 21.95 16.24 14.14 10.10 10.63 13.10 18.77 18.44 23.42 13.02 13.97 12.41 20.18 16.80 14.71 14.27 13.65 13.649
EV/Revenue 1.66 1.53 1.44 2.62 2.45 2.27 1.72 2.03 1.38 1.98 2.13 2.77 2.70 2.88 2.48 2.39 1.96 1.66 1.59 2.46 2.463
EV/EBIT 19.34 17.06 16.40 38.34 26.51 23.52 17.00 16.78 41.04 64.07 52.33 62.64 19.88 20.77 18.47 44.30 36.67 31.71 31.11 19.90 19.902
EV/FCF 30.61 27.85 20.44 39.12 32.32 27.43 17.34 18.24 12.02 18.04 18.45 20.86 20.80 20.93 19.81 25.69 35.40 45.86 50.06 69.35 69.353
Earnings Yield 4.0% 4.6% 4.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 5.6% -2.2% -1.6% -0.8% -0.7% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 3.2% 3.25%
FCF Yield 3.9% 4.3% 5.8% 5.1% 5.6% 6.1% 10.7% 9.0% 18.5% 9.3% 8.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.6% 5.3% 4.2% 3.1% 2.8% 1.8% 1.77%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.093
EV/OCF snapshot only 38.338
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.916
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 19.935
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.57%
Graham Number snapshot only $36.46
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Current Ratio 2.58 2.58 2.34 2.09 2.06 2.12 2.09 1.96 2.48 2.27 2.33 2.07 2.20 2.29 2.18 2.80 2.90 2.32 2.29 2.22 2.217
Quick Ratio 1.54 1.50 1.35 1.40 1.37 1.41 1.40 1.31 1.80 1.56 1.64 1.49 1.57 1.63 1.50 2.16 2.15 1.45 1.41 1.32 1.319
Debt/Equity 0.68 0.63 0.61 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.88 0.84 0.96 0.88 0.81 0.74 0.73 0.69 0.65 0.74 0.72 0.58 0.58 0.54 0.543
Net Debt/Equity 0.56 0.54 0.49 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.76 0.77 0.76 0.68 0.61 0.60 0.55 0.53 0.61 0.63 0.48 0.47 0.44 0.439
Debt/Assets 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.296
Debt/EBITDA 2.46 2.19 2.16 12.17 8.00 6.33 5.17 4.62 8.95 8.80 7.74 7.20 3.95 3.71 3.57 6.52 6.44 5.16 5.07 3.10 3.097
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.05 1.87 1.74 10.96 7.29 5.75 4.64 4.15 7.22 7.59 6.54 5.95 3.27 2.98 2.89 5.42 5.62 4.28 4.16 2.50 2.502
Interest Coverage 9.85 10.44 10.19 2.81 2.81 2.52 2.37 3.01 0.84 0.74 0.98 1.06 3.34 3.71 3.75 1.08 1.16 1.21 1.21 4.68 4.676
Equity Multiplier 2.27 2.20 2.19 2.35 2.34 2.31 2.30 2.23 2.40 2.27 2.19 2.11 2.09 2.05 2.01 2.08 2.06 1.90 1.90 1.84 1.836
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.554
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.817
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.192
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.064
Defensive Interval snapshot only 388.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.99 1.01 1.01 0.45 0.53 0.63 0.72 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.498
Inventory Turnover 4.29 4.28 4.11 4.24 4.83 5.59 6.25 5.19 4.89 4.82 4.88 5.10 4.97 5.11 5.06 5.12 4.73 4.57 4.36 4.13 4.129
Receivables Turnover 6.20 6.26 6.51 5.70 6.36 7.61 9.12 7.08 6.64 6.59 6.63 6.96 6.84 7.24 7.19 7.85 7.08 6.85 7.04 7.95 7.946
Payables Turnover 10.02 10.39 10.51 6.56 8.02 9.86 11.49 7.13 7.05 7.48 7.59 6.93 6.87 7.40 7.59 7.27 7.14 7.00 7.19 7.39 7.388
DSO 59 58 56 64 57 48 40 52 55 55 55 52 53 50 51 46 52 53 52 46 45.9 days
DIO 85 85 89 86 76 65 58 70 75 76 75 72 73 71 72 71 77 80 84 88 88.4 days
DPO 36 35 35 56 46 37 32 51 52 49 48 53 53 49 48 50 51 52 51 49 49.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 108 108 110 94 87 76 67 71 78 82 82 71 74 73 75 68 78 81 85 85 84.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 6.147
Operating Cycle snapshot only 134.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.313
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.890
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue 21.2% 16.7% 12.5% 34.1% 57.2% 79.9% 1.0% 56.0% 25.9% 4.4% -7.9% -5.9% -1.2% 7.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.9% 5.2% 3.3% 2.4% 2.41%
Net Income 88.0% 64.3% 29.8% -31.3% 22.8% 33.1% 61.0% 2.6% -1.4% -1.4% -1.2% -1.2% 6.3% 5.7% 8.6% 2.1% -74.5% -87.4% -88.4% 3.6% 3.58%
EPS 85.8% 64.5% 29.9% -68.9% -44.3% -40.0% -27.6% 2.6% -1.4% -1.4% -1.2% -1.2% 6.2% 5.6% 8.5% 2.1% -74.5% -87.4% -88.4% 3.5% 3.54%
FCF -8.0% 1.7% 41.0% 64.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 91.5% 38.1% 7.5% 12.0% 11.2% 35.2% 19.0% -22.9% -53.2% -72.4% -73.8% -60.8% -60.83%
EBITDA 45.6% 38.1% 21.3% 22.2% 87.7% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% -11.7% -31.6% -37.3% -41.8% 93.8% 1.1% 89.7% 10.2% -38.2% -42.6% -42.5% 56.3% 56.32%
Op. Income 65.2% 53.7% 28.3% 7.0% 60.7% 84.8% 1.2% 1.6% -55.2% -66.3% -62.4% -65.4% 3.0% 3.6% 2.5% 28.0% -57.7% -60.7% -61.4% 1.4% 1.42%
OCF Growth snapshot only -42.40%
Asset Growth snapshot only -10.99%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.87%
Debt Growth snapshot only -25.72%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.08%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.9% 5.3% 6.7% 16.3% 24.6% 31.8% 37.9% 37.3% 33.9% 29.9% 27.6% 25.3% 25.1% 26.5% 26.5% 17.4% 11.0% 5.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.98%
Revenue 5Y 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 10.2% 13.7% 16.1% 18.2% 17.5% 17.3% 17.0% 17.5% 18.2% 19.2% 20.8% 21.5% 21.8% 21.1% 20.0% 18.7% 17.3% 17.28%
EPS 3Y 5.8% 11.7% 7.4% -26.1% -10.9% -5.8% 5.0% 26.6% — — — — 5.2% 7.4% 7.2% -8.0% -18.9% -36.2% -41.7% -0.6% -0.56%
EPS 5Y 12.4% 13.9% 11.9% -18.2% -8.0% -6.1% -1.3% 5.6% — — — — 8.1% 11.5% 14.5% -15.1% -11.2% -23.8% -28.6% 1.9% 1.85%
Net Income 3Y 9.5% 15.3% 11.2% -0.1% 20.9% 27.5% 42.1% 71.7% — — — — 37.6% 40.7% 40.6% -7.8% -18.5% -35.9% -41.5% -0.1% -0.05%
Net Income 5Y 14.3% 15.9% 13.7% -2.6% 9.1% 11.3% 17.3% 25.9% — — — — 30.2% 34.1% 37.7% 2.0% 4.6% -10.5% -16.0% 19.8% 19.82%
EBITDA 3Y 3.0% 6.4% 7.3% 14.5% 32.5% 42.7% 54.5% 66.8% 34.1% 28.0% 26.5% 21.1% 47.5% 47.4% 46.8% 17.0% 1.8% -6.1% -11.9% 0.1% 0.07%
EBITDA 5Y 6.6% 9.4% 7.0% 11.3% 19.4% 22.1% 25.0% 26.7% 12.6% 12.9% 15.5% 16.9% 31.8% 33.2% 34.4% 24.4% 23.6% 20.5% 17.2% 25.0% 25.04%
Gross Profit 3Y 4.9% 6.6% 8.0% 18.1% 28.5% 36.4% 43.3% 43.5% 39.5% 35.1% 33.0% 31.2% 31.2% 32.4% 32.4% 21.5% 12.8% 6.4% 1.5% 1.8% 1.83%
Gross Profit 5Y 5.5% 6.1% 6.1% 11.8% 16.6% 19.3% 21.8% 21.4% 20.9% 20.6% 21.6% 22.2% 23.3% 24.8% 25.2% 24.9% 24.0% 22.4% 21.0% 20.2% 20.23%
Op. Income 3Y 5.3% 9.5% 10.0% 10.5% 28.0% 37.9% 50.6% 67.7% 5.9% -1.5% 1.7% -1.5% 42.6% 42.4% 42.0% 4.6% -8.6% -15.0% -20.2% 2.4% 2.37%
Op. Income 5Y 2.0% 4.0% 3.8% 3.9% 13.3% 16.7% 20.8% 24.4% -3.4% -3.9% 1.7% 3.8% 30.5% 32.6% 35.1% 15.8% 15.2% 11.8% 7.2% 24.3% 24.31%
FCF 3Y 0.5% 2.9% 5.9% 7.2% 21.9% 26.8% 53.7% 52.4% 57.1% 56.1% 62.1% 68.6% 67.4% 71.7% 53.2% 30.8% -0.1% -19.8% -30.6% -30.3% -30.31%
FCF 5Y 12.6% 13.0% 6.9% 5.0% 8.8% 15.8% 25.4% 29.3% 33.7% 32.4% 29.1% 29.1% 31.0% 30.7% 36.0% 25.0% 15.1% 7.3% 5.8% 7.7% 7.67%
OCF 3Y 1.3% 2.9% 3.8% 10.2% 23.8% 28.1% 50.2% 49.5% 50.6% 48.0% 48.1% 48.2% 48.1% 51.1% 41.2% 23.1% 0.9% -12.2% -20.5% -21.2% -21.24%
OCF 5Y 2.6% 4.1% 7.3% 5.3% 8.8% 14.2% 21.6% 24.8% 26.3% 24.9% 22.5% 24.8% 26.9% 27.1% 31.0% 23.1% 16.2% 11.5% 10.3% 9.2% 9.18%
Assets 3Y 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 90.0% 90.3% 91.8% 90.6% 70.1% 68.7% 65.1% 64.8% 66.0% 64.4% 66.9% 65.8% -1.6% -2.0% -5.4% -5.5% -5.0% -4.97%
Assets 5Y 8.8% 8.6% 8.4% 42.6% 42.9% 42.6% 43.9% 44.3% 44.7% 43.8% 44.5% 46.1% 45.6% 46.8% 46.3% 36.6% 36.3% 32.3% 31.3% 31.9% 31.91%
Equity 3Y 19.1% 17.8% 18.9% 96.8% 95.5% 96.1% 95.3% 89.3% 71.6% 69.9% 70.3% 71.4% 69.0% 70.8% 70.5% 2.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.37%
Book Value 3Y 15.0% 14.1% 14.8% 45.6% 44.0% 44.8% 44.2% 39.6% 31.3% 30.2% 30.3% 31.0% 29.2% 30.4% 30.0% 2.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 0.85%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.38 0.56 0.63 0.59 0.55 0.51 0.49 0.62 0.72 0.74 0.70 0.83 0.89 0.88 0.80 0.88 0.91 0.87 0.74 0.76 0.764
Earnings Stability 0.22 0.39 0.54 0.00 0.35 0.51 0.60 0.43 0.14 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.033
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.945
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.88 0.87 0.91 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.39 0.51 0.74 0.63 0.80 0.72 0.53 0.00 — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.01 0.02 0.01 -0.09 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.01 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.06 0.063
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.002
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.02 0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.077
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.2% 13.7% 13.2% 3.1% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 6.7% — — — — 7.0% 7.7% 7.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 5.3% 5.25%
Internal Growth Rate 5.8% 6.3% 6.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% — — — — 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 2.8% 2.76%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.62 1.56 1.82 3.29 2.47 2.56 2.80 2.01 -10.22 -7.32 -12.30 -10.33 2.02 1.93 1.85 7.83 4.68 6.60 7.02 0.98 0.984
FCF/OCF 0.60 0.60 0.68 0.68 0.71 0.75 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.81 0.84 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.81 0.69 0.57 0.52 0.55 0.553
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.544
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.356
CapEx/Revenue 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 2.87%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.495
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0.00 0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.104
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.598
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.58%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.08 $0.16 $0.25 $0.34 $0.36
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 55.9% 96.5% 17.6% 17.56%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 14.9% 26.6% 32.3% 32.27%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 0.0% 18.6% 61.2% 1.0% 17.6% 17.56%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -4.3% -4.2% -3.6% -4.2% -0.1% -0.5% -0.6% -0.6% -0.3% -0.30%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -4.3% -4.2% -3.6% -4.2% -0.1% -0.3% -0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.27%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.68 0.73 0.74 0.78 0.86 2.20 1.72 12.87 -6.20 0.78 0.80 0.79 3.55 2.30 1.07 0.97 0.67 0.671
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.64 0.64 0.60 0.58 0.67 -0.19 -0.35 -0.02 0.05 0.70 0.73 0.73 0.08 0.14 0.17 0.18 0.79 0.786
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.124
Asset Turnover 0.99 1.01 1.01 0.45 0.53 0.63 0.72 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.498
Equity Multiplier 2.39 2.33 2.30 2.34 2.33 2.29 2.28 2.29 2.37 2.29 2.24 2.17 2.24 2.15 2.10 2.09 2.07 1.98 1.96 1.96 1.958
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.71 $1.85 $1.82 $0.55 $0.96 $1.11 $1.31 $1.97 $-0.38 $-0.49 $-0.30 $-0.39 $2.00 $2.29 $2.24 $0.43 $0.51 $0.29 $0.26 $1.94 $1.94
Book Value/Share $14.13 $14.19 $14.36 $28.69 $29.07 $29.22 $28.91 $29.76 $27.20 $27.95 $29.21 $30.62 $30.50 $31.45 $31.58 $30.59 $30.74 $29.77 $29.18 $30.52 $30.76
Tangible Book/Share $1.45 $1.99 $2.29 $-21.73 $-21.29 $-20.90 $-20.10 $-19.74 $-19.02 $-18.31 $-17.25 $-16.24 $-15.45 $-14.41 $-13.66 $-9.80 $-8.96 $-8.80 $-8.41 $-7.51 $-7.51
Revenue/Share $30.85 $31.48 $32.00 $18.25 $22.01 $25.53 $28.81 $28.39 $27.64 $26.58 $26.42 $26.47 $27.01 $28.31 $28.75 $29.27 $29.70 $29.85 $29.80 $29.66 $29.88
FCF/Share $1.67 $1.73 $2.26 $1.22 $1.67 $2.12 $2.85 $3.16 $3.18 $2.91 $3.05 $3.51 $3.50 $3.90 $3.60 $2.72 $1.64 $1.08 $0.94 $1.05 $1.06
OCF/Share $2.78 $2.88 $3.31 $1.81 $2.36 $2.84 $3.68 $3.96 $3.89 $3.61 $3.66 $4.03 $4.04 $4.42 $4.13 $3.34 $2.39 $1.90 $1.83 $1.91 $1.92
Cash/Share $1.59 $1.31 $1.72 $2.62 $2.37 $2.38 $2.60 $2.59 $5.06 $3.40 $3.68 $3.90 $3.82 $4.25 $3.92 $3.79 $2.81 $2.95 $3.04 $3.18 $3.21
EBITDA/Share $3.89 $4.10 $4.09 $2.18 $3.32 $4.11 $4.90 $5.42 $2.92 $2.80 $3.06 $3.13 $5.60 $5.84 $5.75 $3.46 $3.46 $3.36 $3.31 $5.35 $5.35
Debt/Share $9.57 $8.99 $8.83 $26.52 $26.55 $25.98 $25.32 $25.08 $26.14 $24.67 $23.66 $22.51 $22.12 $21.66 $20.52 $22.56 $22.25 $17.33 $16.82 $16.58 $16.58
Net Debt/Share $7.98 $7.68 $7.10 $23.89 $24.18 $23.60 $22.72 $22.49 $21.08 $21.27 $19.98 $18.61 $18.30 $17.42 $16.60 $18.77 $19.43 $14.38 $13.78 $13.39 $13.39
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.443
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.052
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 7 4 4 4 4 7 4 4 5 5 6 8 6 7 6 7 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.49 -2.62 -2.73 -1.15 -1.21 -1.20 -1.26 -2.71 -2.95 -2.96 -2.87 -2.82 -2.56 -2.49 -2.53 -2.77 -2.60 -2.58 -2.65 -2.48 -2.476
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.236
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-12.77
EVA snapshot only $-126817379.82
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 72.43 74.87 75.11 30.99 31.85 38.00 39.98 44.21 27.99 27.85 33.68 34.86 53.40 52.76 51.47 35.32 34.84 33.70 33.75 51.17 51.172
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 15.856
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 32
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 41

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