AIR NYSE
AAR Corp.
1W: +0.2%
1M: -13.1%
3M: -26.1%
YTD: +18.4%
1Y: +15.6%
3Y: +72.0%
5Y: +199.4%
$100.08
+2.74 (+2.81%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.5%
$85
$90
$95
$100
$106
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 56% of companies Debt: 19.6% of company value Bonds: $91.2M held by 124 funds, 151 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.93 (down 98%), AAR Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $978.4M against a stock market value of $4.02B.
Distance to default 5.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $439.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.1%; Altman Z 3.67. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.93 (down 98%), AAR Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $978.4M against a stock market value of $4.02B.
Distance to default 5.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $439.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.1%; Altman Z 3.67. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
LEAN BEARISH
-28
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
20
Momentum (25%)
60
Volume (20%)
12
Volatility (10%)
50
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$99.64
Price vs SMA 50$115.02
Price vs SMA 200$118.45
EMA 9/21 Cross98.56/102.13
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 38
Supertrend$106.60
Parabolic SAR$90.69
SMA Slope-0.340
RSI41.6
Stochastic K/D55/42
Williams %R-22
CCI-6
TSI vs Signal-32.1
CMO-16.9
ROC0.65%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF-0.100
MFI45
Force Index-221.4K
Elder Ray Bull-1.57
AIR is trading above its 20-day but below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 42 shows bearish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow negative at -0.100. The Bollinger-Keltner squeeze is ON — price is consolidating and a breakout may be imminent. ADX at 38 confirms a trending market. Price is 35.1% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $99.64 | +$0.36 | +0.36% | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $115.02 | $15.02 | -13.06% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $118.45 | $18.45 | -15.58% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $98.56 | +$1.44 | +1.46% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $102.13 | $2.13 | -2.09% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $111.49 | $11.49 | -10.31% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $112.97 | $12.97 | -11.48% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $99.88 | +$0.12 | +0.12% | Bullish |
| WMA 20 | $98.84 | +$1.16 | +1.17% | Bullish |
| DEMA 21 | $94.68 | +$5.32 | +5.62% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $95.55 | +$4.45 | +4.66% | Bullish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Distribution
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Selling Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
35.1% from high
20-Day
7.2% from high
Bollinger
54th pctile
Donchian
55th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $105.57
Turtle Short Stop: $103.72
S2
$94.77
S1
$96.06
Pivot
$97.30
R1
$98.59
R2
$99.83
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
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Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
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Doji