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ALEC NASDAQ

Alector, Inc.
1W: -6.2% 1M: -6.2% 3M: +20.4% YTD: +19.6% 1Y: +24.5% 3Y: -64.8% 5Y: -92.2%
$2.10
+0.27 (+14.75%)
After Hours: $2.09 (-0.01, -0.48%)
Weekly Expected Move ±11.0%
$1 $2 $2 $2 $2
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $204.3M mcap · 92M float · 2.73% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 13.8% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.03 (down 98%), Alector, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $32.8M against a stock market value of $204.3M.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $9.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 79.7%; Altman Z'' -15.59. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 66.8%
Cost Advantage
34
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
43
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ALEC has No discernible competitive edge (34.1/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 66.8% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$2
Low
$2
Avg Target
$3
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 6, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 9Hold: 3Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$2.25
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-06 Morgan Stanley — $2 $3 +1 +50.8% $1.99
2026-10-06 UBS Graig Suvannavejh Initiated $2 — -24.6% $1.99
2026-05-04 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $2 — -18.4% $2.45
2025-10-22 H.C. Wainwright — Initiated $5 — +55.8% $3.21
2025-10-22 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $2 — -53.3% $3.21
2024-11-19 Goldman Sachs Corinne Jenkins Initiated $4 — -21.3% $5.08

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
2
ROE
5
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ALEC receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (2/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 C+ C
2026-09-21 C C+
2026-09-18 C+ C
2026-09-11 C C+
2026-08-07 D+ C
2026-02-24 C- D+
2026-02-23 D+ C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 13 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
59
Earnings Quality
54
Growth
28
Value
23
Momentum
34
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ALEC scores highest in Balance Sheet (59/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-7.38
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-2.48
Bankruptcy prob: 7.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 1.34x
Accruals: 14.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ALEC scores -7.38, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ALEC scores 1/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ALEC's score of -2.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ALEC's implied 7.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ALEC receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-1.87x
PEG
0.26x
P/S
16.55x
P/B
-22.93x
P/FCF
-1.41x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-0.76x
EV/Revenue
6.02x
EV/EBIT
-0.71x
EV/FCF
-0.53x
Earnings Yield
-52.72%
FCF Yield
-70.85%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. ALEC currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.003
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-8.480
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.050
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.138
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-385.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ALEC's ROE of -385.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.14x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.10
Median 1Y
$1.08
5th Pctile
$0.27
95th Pctile
$4.34
Ann. Volatility
86.6%
Analyst Target
$2.25
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Arnon Rosenthal, Ph.D.
Co-founder, Chief Executive Officer
$678,100 $422,876 $1,995,018
Sara Kenkare-Mitra, Ph.D.
Former President and Head of Research and Development
$614,301 $77,710 $1,575,150
Neil Berkley Financial
ancial Officer and Chief Business Officer
$455,000 $128,135 $1,052,459

CEO Pay Ratio

4:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,995,018
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $524,146
Employees: 103

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
103
-56.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$204,320
Rev: $21,045,000
Profit / Employee
$-1,387,660
NI: $-142,929,000
SGA / Employee
$524,146
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$1,194,806
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -10.2% -12.8% -11.6% 15.3% -46.3% -51.8% -59.7% -59.0% -68.0% -74.8% -66.7% -92.6% -1.1% -91.2% -90.3% -1.0% -1.2% -1.8% -2.4% -3.9% -3.85%
ROA -4.7% -5.6% -4.1% 5.6% -16.1% -16.6% -15.8% -17.9% -18.7% -18.5% -17.4% -25.1% -26.7% -21.8% -23.7% -24.9% -25.3% -37.5% -38.7% -42.1% -42.15%
ROIC 6.9% 7.6% 4.1% -7.2% 23.7% 23.9% 25.6% 31.6% 32.7% 31.9% 33.2% 46.7% 48.2% 46.9% 52.7% 54.0% 50.0% 65.2% 66.8% 66.8% 66.77%
ROCE -4.8% -5.5% -3.6% 4.9% -20.4% -19.9% -22.2% -27.2% -30.9% -34.2% -30.9% -44.3% -49.6% -42.2% -48.9% -49.4% -47.3% -67.3% -64.8% -69.7% -69.72%
Gross Margin 76.4% -2.8% -1.2% 31.7% -2.3% -2.8% -2.1% 17.9% -4.1% 85.1% 85.6% 84.9% 1.0% 14.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% -99.2% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 69.3% -4.0% -1.8% 11.9% -3.2% -3.8% -3.0% -6.4% -5.6% -3.1% -2.8% -3.0% -3.2% -13.4% -12.2% -4.3% -11.5% -6.3% -24.1% -7.3% -7.35%
Net Margin 69.4% -4.0% -1.8% 12.4% -3.1% -3.6% -2.8% 2.4% -4.9% -2.7% -2.3% -2.6% -2.8% -3.8% -11.0% -3.9% -10.6% -6.0% -21.9% -6.9% -6.92%
EBITDA Margin 70.1% -3.9% -1.7% 13.6% -3.1% -3.7% -2.9% -3.8% -5.4% -3.0% -2.6% -2.9% -3.0% -9.5% -11.7% -3.9% -10.3% -5.6% -19.9% -6.3% -6.27%
FCF Margin 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% -18.5% -18.3% -1.7% -1.9% -2.0% -1.9% -2.1% -3.9% -3.6% -2.3% -2.6% -2.7% -2.9% -8.7% -9.4% -11.4% -11.43%
OCF Margin 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% -15.5% -15.2% -1.6% -1.9% -1.9% -1.9% -2.0% -3.9% -3.6% -2.3% -2.6% -2.7% -2.9% -8.7% -9.4% -11.4% -11.41%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -39.53%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -4.45%
Cash ROA snapshot only -78.00%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -7.23%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -8.48%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 7.24%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.97%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.21%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -59.12 -46.33 -40.66 23.14 -5.73 -5.73 -3.82 -3.51 -3.85 -5.16 -4.68 -2.73 -2.84 -1.56 -0.99 -1.22 -2.82 -1.12 -1.90 -1.90 -1.869
P/S Ratio 9.83 8.13 5.14 2.79 5.87 5.72 4.09 4.92 5.65 6.94 5.86 7.94 7.32 1.85 1.38 1.73 4.40 7.63 12.91 16.13 16.555
P/B Ratio 5.79 5.60 4.37 2.91 3.09 3.56 2.81 2.56 3.35 5.02 3.16 2.92 3.79 1.47 1.29 1.97 5.26 5.24 22.90 -22.42 -22.930
P/FCF 6.56 5.70 2.42 1.78 -31.79 -31.25 -2.47 -2.58 -2.86 -3.61 -2.84 -2.02 -2.03 -0.80 -0.53 -0.65 -1.54 -0.87 -1.37 -1.41 -1.411
P/OCF 6.48 5.64 2.41 1.77 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -43.19 -32.08 -15.49 1.80 -0.51 -0.71 0.81 0.57 0.03 -1.13 -0.29 0.16 -0.16 1.36 1.39 1.02 -0.45 0.42 -0.55 -0.76 -0.760
EV/Revenue 6.14 4.81 1.53 0.25 0.51 0.71 -0.90 -0.85 -0.05 1.68 0.42 -0.51 0.45 -1.84 -2.16 -1.57 0.73 -2.81 3.57 6.02 6.025
EV/EBIT -35.35 -26.65 -12.06 2.11 -0.49 -0.68 0.78 0.55 0.03 -1.08 -0.28 0.15 -0.15 1.28 1.31 0.95 -0.42 0.39 -0.51 -0.71 -0.710
EV/FCF 4.10 3.37 0.72 0.16 -2.75 -3.86 0.54 0.45 0.03 -0.88 -0.20 0.13 -0.13 0.80 0.83 0.59 -0.26 0.32 -0.38 -0.53 -0.527
Earnings Yield -1.7% -2.2% -2.5% 4.3% -17.5% -17.5% -26.2% -28.5% -26.0% -19.4% -21.4% -36.6% -35.2% -64.1% -1.0% -82.0% -35.5% -89.0% -52.7% -52.7% -52.72%
FCF Yield 15.3% 17.5% 41.3% 56.1% -3.1% -3.2% -40.5% -38.7% -34.9% -27.7% -35.2% -49.6% -49.3% -1.2% -1.9% -1.5% -65.1% -1.1% -72.8% -70.8% -70.85%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.264
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.091
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 5.93 5.37 6.24 5.54 4.82 7.74 6.91 4.90 3.95 3.18 3.53 3.52 3.29 3.40 3.34 3.78 3.76 3.83 5.25 5.26 5.260
Quick Ratio 5.93 5.37 6.24 5.54 4.82 7.74 6.91 4.90 3.95 3.18 3.53 3.52 3.29 3.40 3.34 3.78 3.76 3.83 5.25 5.26 5.260
Debt/Equity 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.21 0.25 0.29 0.21 0.24 0.29 0.34 0.43 0.55 0.66 1.18 3.33 -3.29 -3.286
Net Debt/Equity -2.17 -2.29 -3.07 -2.65 -2.82 -3.12 -3.43 -3.00 -3.38 -3.80 -2.93 -3.10 -3.55 -2.92 -3.31 -3.76 -4.39 -7.17 -16.56 — —
Debt/Assets 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.161
Debt/EBITDA -1.73 -1.53 -2.07 1.08 -0.34 -0.33 -0.30 -0.27 -0.26 -0.27 -0.27 -0.20 -0.20 -0.31 -0.30 -0.32 -0.34 -0.26 -0.29 -0.30 -0.298
Net Debt/EBITDA 25.90 22.16 36.58 -18.12 5.40 5.07 4.53 3.89 3.56 3.51 3.80 2.61 2.40 2.72 2.28 2.14 2.25 1.55 1.43 1.27 1.274
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 2.54 2.71 3.57 3.08 3.31 3.67 4.09 3.61 4.14 4.64 3.55 3.79 4.34 3.69 4.32 5.01 5.81 9.57 23.11 -20.35 -20.347
Cash Ratio snapshot only 5.047
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.275
FCF to Debt snapshot only -4.835
Defensive Interval snapshot only 455.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.29 0.32 0.33 0.47 0.16 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.09 0.10 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.050
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 249.93 56.04 — — 168.15 26.78 53.50 26.08 — 75.04 41.03 14.13 — — — — — — — — —
Payables Turnover 97.55 48.86 32.62 24.53 60.61 47.08 42.37 43.15 43.12 36.83 25.17 11.76 1.41 17.04 14.10 14.10 9.51 0.00 1.11 0.93 0.926
DSO 1 7 0 0 2 14 7 14 0 5 9 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 4 7 11 15 6 8 9 8 8 10 15 31 259 21 26 26 38 — 328 394 394.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -2 -1 -11 -15 -4 6 -2 6 -8 -5 -6 -5 -259 -21 -26 -26 -38 — -328 -394 -394.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.674
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.080
Capital Intensity snapshot only 14.633
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 7.9% 8.8% 11.6% 13.0% -32.7% -35.5% -44.7% -66.1% -27.7% -27.4% -23.3% -45.8% -36.1% 3.6% -8.4% 46.8% 12.3% -79.1% -79.2% -82.9% -82.91%
Net Income 80.5% 80.9% 85.8% 1.2% -3.1% -2.7% -3.7% -4.9% -3.6% 2.2% 10.4% -12.3% -12.0% 8.7% -2.3% 28.2% 32.0% -20.1% -1.6% -2.2% -2.22%
EPS 82.0% 81.5% 86.3% 1.2% -3.3% -2.6% -3.6% -4.9% -2.0% 4.1% 20.6% 2.9% 2.7% 21.6% 3.4% 30.9% 35.9% -14.6% 8.7% 7.7% 7.75%
FCF 2.9% 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% -1.1% -1.1% -1.4% -1.4% -6.7% -6.6% 4.6% -12.0% -17.0% -23.9% -15.7% 0.8% 11.1% 20.4% 24.7% 26.7% 26.67%
EBITDA 83.2% 83.6% 88.8% 1.2% -3.7% -3.3% -5.2% -4.6% -16.5% -9.9% 0.4% -18.3% -14.4% 6.2% 0.2% 30.1% 36.2% -4.3% 12.8% 12.2% 12.18%
Op. Income 80.3% 80.9% 86.0% 1.2% -3.0% -2.7% -4.0% -5.4% -15.6% -10.1% -1.0% -19.4% -15.9% 4.4% -0.4% 28.2% 33.2% -7.6% 6.5% 5.7% 5.75%
OCF Growth snapshot only 26.61%
Asset Growth snapshot only -43.09%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.14%
Debt Growth snapshot only -17.03%
Shares Change snapshot only 10.81%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 84.7% 76.7% 75.0% 63.0% 66.3% 74.8% 37.1% -32.3% -21.4% -27.0% -35.4% -19.7% -46.0% -47.3% -48.6% -48.59%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 76.6% 34.6% 32.2% 36.5% 31.1% 33.6% 25.4% -0.1% 0.4% -8.3% -8.35%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 47.8% 41.0% 8.8% -29.1% — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — 24.4% 23.1% 23.0% 23.1% 6.5% 7.4% 8.1% 8.4% 13.0% 12.9% -15.5% -16.9% -24.7% -26.3% -26.3% -28.1% -31.6% -34.1% -34.10%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 5.1% 3.6% 2.8% 2.1% -8.0% -9.0% -8.8% -9.7% -11.4% -12.6% -12.57%
Equity 3Y — — 0.2% 5.5% 5.0% 3.3% -22.4% -17.9% -19.4% -20.6% -7.7% -6.6% -29.3% -25.0% -29.3% -37.3% -38.9% -47.7% -61.6% — —
Book Value 3Y — — -6.0% -1.4% -1.8% -3.3% -25.1% -19.7% -21.1% -22.3% -12.7% -12.3% -32.2% -29.6% -33.6% -41.2% -43.2% -51.4% -65.1% — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.78 0.75 0.64 0.63 0.59 0.55 0.45 0.27 0.08 0.07 0.30 0.08 0.02 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earnings Stability 0.09 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.08 0.04 0.19 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.08 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.50 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.89 0.87 0.92 0.99 0.99 0.991
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.35 0.51 0.50 0.91 -0.22 -0.21 -0.24 -0.22 -0.55 -0.60 -0.25 -0.77 -0.63 -0.14 -0.60 -0.72 -0.77 -3.71 -11.09 — —
Gross Margin Trend 4.65 5.17 6.31 6.79 2.00 2.60 3.42 2.61 -0.82 -0.27 0.26 0.36 1.71 1.04 0.78 0.89 0.42 1.01 0.67 0.62 0.617
FCF Margin Trend 7.72 8.20 10.12 9.74 2.52 3.17 2.53 1.71 -2.63 -2.54 -2.30 -3.77 -2.54 -1.25 -0.74 0.26 -0.07 -6.64 -7.07 -8.12 -8.124
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — 15.3% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — 6.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -9.12 -8.22 -16.90 13.06 0.15 0.15 1.52 1.32 1.32 1.41 1.63 1.35 1.39 1.93 1.86 1.87 1.83 1.29 1.38 1.34 1.343
FCF/OCF 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.19 1.20 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.001
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.344
CapEx/Revenue 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 4.8% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.15%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.021
Accruals Ratio -0.48 -0.51 -0.74 -0.68 -0.14 -0.14 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.11 0.15 0.14 0.144
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.345
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -988.950
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -0.1% -0.5% -1.0% -1.4% -1.6% -0.6% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -12.9% -16.3% -15.9% -38.3% 0.0% 0.0% -4.8% -12.4% -8.4% -9.0% -8.98%
Total Shareholder Return -0.1% -0.5% -1.0% -1.4% -1.6% -0.6% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -12.9% -16.3% -15.9% -38.3% 0.0% 0.0% -4.8% -12.4% -8.4% -9.0% -8.98%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.03 0.95 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.003
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 0.97 0.97 1.06 0.97 0.94 0.91 0.89 0.86 0.82 0.80 0.84 0.85 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.89 0.95 0.97 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin -0.17 -0.18 -0.13 0.12 -1.04 -1.03 -1.14 -1.54 -1.66 -1.56 -1.51 -3.39 -3.01 -1.44 -1.65 -1.66 -1.75 -7.16 -7.00 -8.48 -8.480
Asset Turnover 0.29 0.32 0.33 0.47 0.16 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.09 0.10 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.050
Equity Multiplier 2.14 2.29 2.82 2.72 2.87 3.11 3.78 3.30 3.63 4.04 3.82 3.69 4.22 4.18 3.82 4.18 4.82 4.84 6.17 9.14 9.138
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.39 $-0.45 $-0.35 $0.44 $-1.65 $-1.61 $-1.62 $-1.71 $-1.68 $-1.55 $-1.29 $-1.66 $-1.64 $-1.21 $-1.24 $-1.15 $-1.05 $-1.39 $-1.13 $-1.06 $-1.06
Book Value/Share $3.94 $3.69 $3.26 $3.49 $3.06 $2.59 $2.20 $2.35 $1.94 $1.59 $1.91 $1.56 $1.23 $1.29 $0.95 $0.71 $0.56 $0.30 $0.09 $-0.09 $-0.09
Tangible Book/Share $3.94 $3.69 $3.26 $3.49 $3.06 $2.59 $2.20 $2.35 $1.94 $1.59 $1.91 $1.56 $1.23 $1.29 $0.95 $0.71 $0.56 $0.30 $0.09 $-0.09 $-0.09
Revenue/Share $2.32 $2.54 $2.77 $3.64 $1.61 $1.61 $1.51 $1.22 $1.15 $1.15 $1.03 $0.57 $0.64 $1.02 $0.89 $0.81 $0.67 $0.20 $0.17 $0.12 $0.12
FCF/Share $3.48 $3.62 $5.89 $5.70 $-0.30 $-0.30 $-2.51 $-2.33 $-2.26 $-2.21 $-2.12 $-2.25 $-2.30 $-2.35 $-2.31 $-2.15 $-1.93 $-1.79 $-1.57 $-1.42 $-1.42
OCF/Share $3.52 $3.66 $5.92 $5.73 $-0.25 $-0.25 $-2.45 $-2.27 $-2.23 $-2.18 $-2.10 $-2.24 $-2.29 $-2.34 $-2.31 $-2.15 $-1.92 $-1.79 $-1.56 $-1.42 $-1.42
Cash/Share $9.13 $9.02 $10.58 $9.79 $9.18 $8.61 $8.05 $7.54 $7.02 $6.50 $5.99 $5.21 $4.73 $4.20 $3.57 $3.06 $2.84 $2.49 $1.87 $1.55 $1.55
EBITDA/Share $-0.33 $-0.38 $-0.27 $0.51 $-1.60 $-1.60 $-1.66 $-1.81 $-1.84 $-1.72 $-1.47 $-1.85 $-1.82 $-1.38 $-1.38 $-1.25 $-1.10 $-1.38 $-1.09 $-0.99 $-0.99
Debt/Share $0.57 $0.58 $0.57 $0.55 $0.54 $0.52 $0.51 $0.49 $0.48 $0.46 $0.40 $0.37 $0.36 $0.43 $0.41 $0.39 $0.37 $0.35 $0.31 $0.29 $0.29
Net Debt/Share $-8.56 $-8.44 $-10.01 $-9.24 $-8.64 $-8.09 $-7.55 $-7.05 $-6.54 $-6.04 $-5.59 $-4.83 $-4.37 $-3.77 $-3.15 $-2.67 $-2.47 $-2.13 $-1.55 $-1.26 $-1.26
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -7.377
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -14.434
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 7 8 3 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 4 3 2 1 1 1
Beneish M-Score 17.77 -1.46 3.71 -5.70 -7.71 -3.66 -2.42 -1.86 -2.62 -5.09 -4.77 -4.62 -4.04 3.52 -2.75 -1.89 -2.42 -4.60 -3.80 -2.53 -2.532
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -2.484
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.29
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 69.65 66.10 57.59 72.85 48.65 48.36 43.03 42.89 43.25 43.30 43.28 42.97 43.02 42.57 42.71 41.55 41.14 39.31 35.41 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -21.553
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 34
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 30

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