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ALEC NASDAQ

Alector, Inc.
1W: -6.2% 1M: -6.2% 3M: +20.4% YTD: +19.6% 1Y: +24.5% 3Y: -64.8% 5Y: -92.2%
$2.10
+0.27 (+14.75%)
After Hours: $2.09 (-0.01, -0.48%)
Weekly Expected Move ±11.0%
$1 $2 $2 $2 $2
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $204.3M mcap · 92M float · 2.73% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 13.8% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.03 (down 98%), Alector, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $32.8M against a stock market value of $204.3M.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $9.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 79.7%; Altman Z'' -15.59. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
⛈️
Stormy
-20.7% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-56.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-20.7%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-56.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+37.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
87%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.3%
43% win 66% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+6.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.4%
50% win 69% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-5.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-31.4%
12% win 94% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-11.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-51.5%
50% win 76% vol
May
20yr
💨
-2.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-58.2%
38% win 75% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-6.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-47.0%
50% win 74% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-8.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-49.5%
75% win 104% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
-5.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-50.2%
50% win 106% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-6.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-54.5%
25% win 83% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-20.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-55.7%
38% win 87% vol
Now: +13.5%
Nov
20yr
⛈️
-31.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-59.1%
43% win 99% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+7.7%
Midterm
💨
+8.7%
71% win 65% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +37.2%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms