Also trades as: 0HC3.L (LSE) · $vol 0M
ALK NYSE
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
1W: +4.5%
1M: -9.5%
3M: -21.6%
YTD: -30.3%
1Y: -17.9%
3Y: +12.2%
5Y: -36.9%
$35.91
+0.96 (+2.75%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$30
$32
$34
$36
$38
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 80% of companies Debt: 64.5% of company value Bonds: $206.3M held by 222 funds, 134 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.16 (down 88%), Alaska Air Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $7.30B against a stock market value of $4.01B.
Distance to default 2.64 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $3.52B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 51.7%; Altman Z'' -0.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.16 (down 88%), Alaska Air Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $7.30B against a stock market value of $4.01B.
Distance to default 2.64 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $3.52B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 51.7%; Altman Z'' -0.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
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Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+1.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+12.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+1.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+12.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-30.3%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
52%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.7%
65% win
40% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+1.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.9%
50% win
39% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-0.1%
Midterm
☀️
+6.3%
50% win
59% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-0.2%
Midterm
☀️
+11.8%
50% win
52% vol
May
20yr
💨
-1.0%
Midterm
☀️
+12.4%
55% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-2.9%
Midterm
☀️
+6.1%
40% win
45% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-2.0%
Midterm
☀️
+8.2%
45% win
50% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
-2.4%
Midterm
☀️
+6.7%
40% win
42% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
-1.4%
Midterm
☀️
+8.0%
50% win
37% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+1.7%
Midterm
☀️
+15.6%
57% win
52% vol
Now:
-7.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+9.7%
Midterm
☀️
+25.2%
80% win
45% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.2%
70% win
38% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -30.3%