Also trades as: 0HC3.L (LSE) · $vol 0M
ALK NYSE
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
1W: +4.5%
1M: -9.5%
3M: -21.6%
YTD: -30.3%
1Y: -17.9%
3Y: +12.2%
5Y: -36.9%
$35.91
+0.96 (+2.75%)
After Hours: $36.37 (+0.46, +1.27%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$30
$32
$34
$36
$38
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 80% of companies Debt: 65.2% of company value Bonds: $206.3M held by 222 funds, 134 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.14 (down 88%), Alaska Air Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $7.30B against a stock market value of $3.90B.
Distance to default 2.61 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $3.52B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 52.0%; Altman Z'' -0.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.14 (down 88%), Alaska Air Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $7.30B against a stock market value of $3.90B.
Distance to default 2.61 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $3.52B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 52.0%; Altman Z'' -0.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BEARISH
-64
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
10
Momentum (25%)
20
Volume (20%)
12
Volatility (10%)
0
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$37.05
Price vs SMA 50$39.44
Price vs SMA 200$44.21
EMA 9/21 Cross35.43/36.83
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 32
Supertrend$39.52
Parabolic SAR$32.33
SMA Slope-0.200
RSI43.1
Stochastic K/D36/30
Williams %R-52
CCI-51
TSI vs Signal-28.0
CMO-13.8
ROC-5.00%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF-0.140
MFI37
Force Index-106.9K
Elder Ray Bull-0.78
ALK is trading below its falling 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a downtrend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 43 shows bearish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow negative at -0.140. The squeeze is off with negative momentum, suggesting downward pressure. ADX at 32 confirms a trending market. Price is 40.8% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $37.05 | $1.13 | -3.05% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $39.44 | $3.52 | -8.92% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $44.21 | $8.29 | -18.75% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $35.43 | +$0.49 | +1.38% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $36.83 | $0.91 | -2.47% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $39.38 | $3.46 | -8.79% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $43.80 | $7.88 | -17.99% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $36.28 | $0.36 | -0.99% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $36.00 | $0.08 | -0.22% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $34.63 | +$1.29 | +3.73% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $34.29 | +$1.63 | +4.75% | Bullish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Distribution
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Selling Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
40.8% from high
20-Day
12.2% from high
Bollinger
37th pctile
Donchian
42th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $35.75
Turtle Short Stop: $37.50
S2
$33.90
S1
$34.43
Pivot
$34.89
R1
$35.42
R2
$35.88
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
—
Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji