— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 4503.T (JPX) · $vol 92M · ALPMF (OTC) · $vol 0M

ALPMY OTC

Astellas Pharma Inc.
1W: -4.3% 1M: -5.3% 3M: +5.1% YTD: +7.5% 1Y: +29.9% 3Y: +6.2% 5Y: -7.3%
$14.32
-0.12 (-0.83%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$13 $14 $14 $15 $15
OTC · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · Tech Score Sell · Power 44 · $25.7B mcap · 1.79B float · 0.0090% daily turnover · Short 56% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ALPMY receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-10 A- A
2026-07-25 A A-
2026-07-16 A- A
2026-07-01 A A-
2026-05-18 A+ A
2026-05-06 A A+
2026-04-24 A- A
2026-04-01 A A-
2026-03-02 A- A
2026-02-24 A A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A+
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
75
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
72
Value
—
Momentum
96
Safety
—
Cash Flow
90

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.42
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.29
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.68x
Accruals: -6.1%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ALPMY scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ALPMY's score of -2.42 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ALPMY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ALPMY receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ALPMY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.02x
PEG
0.03x
P/S
1.77x
P/B
2.07x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$1989.97
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.0x earnings, ALPMY trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1989.97 per share, suggesting a potential 13796% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.774
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.897
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.196
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.655
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.065
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
18.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ALPMY's ROE of 18.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.655), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$6622.28
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ALPMY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ALPMY actually compounded EPS at 46.6% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. ALPMY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $6622.28, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 11.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.32
Median 1Y
$14.23
5th Pctile
$9.09
95th Pctile
$22.38
Ann. Volatility
26.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 7.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.7% 8.1% 9.7% 9.0% 6.7% 6.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.8% 1.1% 3.5% -3.8% 3.3% 5.2% 8.0% 20.0% 18.4% 18.44%
ROA 4.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 5.6% 4.1% 4.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 1.6% -1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 3.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.93%
ROIC 13.5% 15.4% 14.7% 13.0% 12.3% 13.7% 15.6% 16.2% 15.5% 5.7% 0.1% 5.2% 4.4% 7.6% 0.5% 3.1% 5.6% 6.6% 14.6% 19.1% 19.11%
ROCE 7.4% 8.8% 8.7% 9.8% 9.1% 10.7% 9.8% 8.2% 8.7% 3.1% 1.4% 1.4% -5.7% -4.4% -2.2% 2.1% 12.2% 15.8% 17.8% 18.9% 18.87%
Gross Margin 79.1% 78.8% 77.3% 78.0% 73.9% 81.1% 79.2% 79.8% 79.2% 74.7% 74.3% 74.5% 80.7% 82.1% 81.0% 83.3% 81.3% 73.6% 73.9% 70.7% 70.67%
Operating Margin 19.2% 19.2% 20.2% 8.6% 14.3% 23.3% 22.0% 15.1% 17.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.1% 6.5% 13.7% -22.5% 13.8% 18.7% 20.5% 21.8% 17.6% 17.59%
Net Margin 9.4% 12.6% 17.9% -2.8% 6.5% 18.8% 12.0% -13.0% 8.8% -0.4% 3.4% -8.0% 7.9% 7.8% -18.9% 16.3% 13.5% 15.1% 17.6% 9.0% 8.95%
EBITDA Margin 17.1% 22.6% 29.7% 3.7% 18.6% 29.7% 21.3% -6.4% 19.4% 11.9% 15.9% 1.0% -14.3% 19.0% 24.4% 22.2% 30.0% 29.4% 32.5% -8.1% -8.13%
FCF Margin 21.4% 20.0% 16.4% 14.0% 14.2% 13.6% 12.6% 16.1% 13.9% 9.8% 8.7% 6.2% 5.9% 7.9% 6.5% 8.2% 10.3% 18.6% 20.0% 22.8% 22.75%
OCF Margin 25.7% 25.8% 22.4% 19.9% 19.8% 18.4% 17.9% 21.9% 19.6% 16.1% 14.6% 11.1% 10.4% 11.4% 8.9% 10.2% 9.4% 17.6% 19.9% 22.9% 22.93%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.99%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.20%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.50%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.21%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 16.89%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 28.84%
CROIC snapshot only 28.62%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 15.19%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.60%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 40.22%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 11.021
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.768
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.071
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.032
Graham Number snapshot only $1989.97
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.49 1.58 1.57 1.34 1.34 1.39 1.52 1.45 1.33 0.96 0.91 0.93 0.90 1.10 1.04 1.13 1.17 1.03 1.09 1.17 1.167
Quick Ratio 1.22 1.31 1.32 1.12 1.11 1.17 1.29 1.21 1.13 0.78 0.71 0.74 0.72 0.86 0.80 0.85 0.89 0.80 0.84 0.90 0.895
Debt/Equity 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.07 0.05 0.09 0.13 0.23 0.60 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.61 0.61 0.55 0.60 0.46 0.41 0.13 0.134
Net Debt/Equity -0.07 -0.08 -0.10 -0.09 -0.13 -0.17 -0.15 -0.13 -0.13 0.40 0.41 0.35 0.41 0.39 0.49 0.41 0.45 0.28 0.27 -0.02 -0.019
Debt/Assets 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.13 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.27 0.21 0.20 0.07 0.069
Debt/EBITDA 0.77 0.71 0.68 0.88 0.43 0.28 0.53 0.81 1.44 5.44 5.32 4.83 19.85 10.14 6.09 3.35 1.90 1.40 1.21 0.56 0.555
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.38 -0.39 -0.50 -0.52 -0.78 -0.94 -0.83 -0.80 -0.81 3.60 3.77 2.91 13.79 6.54 4.89 2.47 1.44 0.86 0.79 -0.08 -0.080
Interest Coverage 40.04 36.61 31.54 32.70 28.14 33.02 23.99 16.08 17.21 7.49 3.19 2.74 -14.03 -8.81 -4.44 4.91 19.54 28.23 32.65 29.83 29.825
Equity Multiplier 1.63 1.60 1.61 1.60 1.61 1.57 1.60 1.63 1.77 2.16 2.24 2.24 2.23 2.26 2.31 2.21 2.25 2.14 2.04 1.95 1.948
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.231
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 29.825
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.145
FCF to Debt snapshot only 2.089
Defensive Interval snapshot only 307.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.60 0.63 0.57 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.59 0.66 0.655
Inventory Turnover 1.67 1.77 1.82 1.77 1.94 1.99 2.05 2.00 1.67 1.74 1.83 1.85 1.77 1.64 1.47 1.28 1.26 1.43 1.50 1.83 1.833
Receivables Turnover 3.50 3.72 3.62 3.57 3.37 3.47 3.56 3.75 3.36 3.24 3.26 3.33 3.24 3.39 3.27 3.28 3.10 3.17 2.92 3.28 3.281
Payables Turnover 2.17 2.40 2.25 2.20 2.40 2.45 2.38 2.41 2.10 2.26 2.51 2.40 5.80 2.52 2.13 1.87 4.23 2.47 2.40 2.97 2.972
DSO 104 98 101 102 108 105 103 97 109 113 112 110 113 108 111 111 118 115 125 111 111.2 days
DIO 218 206 201 206 188 183 178 183 218 210 199 197 206 223 248 285 290 255 243 199 199.1 days
DPO 169 152 162 166 152 149 154 151 174 161 146 152 63 145 171 195 86 148 152 123 122.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 154 152 140 142 144 139 127 129 153 161 165 155 256 186 188 202 322 223 216 188 187.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 6.301
Operating Cycle snapshot only 310.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.020
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.579
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -0.4% 1.6% 3.8% 3.7% 6.6% 9.4% 12.9% 17.2% 11.8% 8.3% 5.1% 5.6% 12.6% 16.3% 21.0% 19.2% 14.3% 13.8% 11.4% 18.6% 18.61%
Net Income -46.2% -14.6% -13.1% 2.9% 17.2% 24.8% 13.5% -20.4% -9.5% -77.2% -100.0% -86.9% -83.8% 61.3% -991.1% 2.9% 3.7% 1.3% 6.7% 5.1% 5.09%
EPS -46.0% -14.4% -12.9% 3.8% 19.0% 26.8% 15.4% -19.1% -8.1% -76.8% -100.0% -86.8% -83.7% 60.8% -996.9% 2.9% 3.7% 1.3% 6.7% 5.2% 5.16%
FCF 39.8% 30.5% -12.3% -31.6% -29.3% -25.5% -13.3% 34.2% 9.3% -22.0% -27.6% -59.5% -52.3% -5.9% -10.0% 59.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.28%
EBITDA -12.3% 17.2% 20.9% -15.3% -2.0% 2.8% -5.0% 2.2% -3.1% -38.6% -41.7% -22.8% -79.9% -49.8% -8.1% 30.1% 8.4% 4.9% 3.0% 79.4% 79.41%
Op. Income -16.8% 28.0% 28.5% 6.5% 1.9% -2.5% 7.2% 29.7% 38.9% 1.7% -25.0% -37.6% -51.0% -29.5% -92.1% -77.0% -27.2% -11.5% 24.9% 9.8% 9.84%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.67%
Asset Growth snapshot only 7.28%
Equity Growth snapshot only 21.51%
Debt Growth snapshot only -70.29%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.16%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 6.22%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -1.0% -0.6% -0.1% -0.3% 1.0% 2.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 8.7% 10.3% 11.3% 12.8% 13.8% 12.9% 12.7% 12.3% 14.3% 14.31%
Revenue 5Y -1.5% -0.8% -0.2% -0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 8.0% 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 12.7% 12.67%
EPS 3Y -15.3% -12.6% -16.4% -16.7% -18.6% -14.5% -14.0% -19.6% -16.1% -36.8% -92.4% -52.0% -43.8% -22.1% — -25.5% -11.1% -4.9% 34.3% 46.6% 46.64%
EPS 5Y -11.7% -7.8% -8.0% -8.5% -7.2% -2.1% -3.7% -7.9% -7.9% -27.8% -80.4% -42.7% -39.5% -25.3% — -23.3% -14.7% -1.4% 19.5% 21.5% 21.50%
Net Income 3Y -17.1% -13.8% -17.4% -17.7% -19.5% -15.5% -14.8% -20.4% -17.0% -37.6% -92.5% -52.5% -44.4% -22.9% — -25.8% -11.6% -5.4% 33.7% 46.3% 46.30%
Net Income 5Y -14.1% -10.3% -10.4% -10.7% -9.5% -4.3% -5.7% -9.7% -9.5% -28.9% -80.6% -43.4% -40.1% -26.0% — -23.6% -15.3% -2.0% 18.7% 20.7% 20.72%
EBITDA 3Y -4.5% -2.6% -1.8% -8.3% -7.8% -5.2% -6.4% -7.8% -5.9% -9.5% -12.5% -12.6% -42.4% -31.8% -20.2% 0.9% 22.1% 21.9% 28.7% 21.7% 21.70%
EBITDA 5Y -5.6% -3.3% -2.2% -6.3% -2.1% 1.6% -0.2% -2.5% -3.7% -10.2% -12.1% -9.5% -31.3% -23.4% -15.1% -4.7% 9.4% 16.9% 19.6% 9.3% 9.31%
Gross Profit 3Y -0.4% -0.1% -0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 2.2% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 5.7% 5.5% 6.7% 8.8% 10.9% 13.4% 15.5% 15.3% 13.7% 12.1% 12.4% 12.37%
Gross Profit 5Y -0.8% -0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 4.9% 6.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.8% 11.1% 11.15%
Op. Income 3Y -10.6% -6.8% -7.2% -8.0% -10.5% -9.2% -6.1% 2.2% 5.6% 8.3% 1.1% -4.8% -11.5% -11.2% -60.1% -42.9% -20.9% -14.0% 15.2% 16.0% 15.96%
Op. Income 5Y -7.1% -3.7% -3.4% -4.3% -1.1% 2.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% -4.3% -8.4% -8.8% -13.4% -11.7% -45.3% -31.3% -15.9% -4.5% 16.1% 16.6% 16.58%
FCF 3Y 1.2% -3.5% -8.7% -8.0% -1.5% -3.9% 0.3% 10.5% 2.6% -8.8% -18.1% -28.1% -28.3% -18.2% -17.3% -4.7% 1.5% 25.2% 31.0% 28.4% 28.40%
FCF 5Y 0.1% -1.3% -6.5% -2.5% -5.3% -4.3% -4.8% -3.2% -4.4% -12.2% -13.7% -15.8% -13.0% -8.2% -8.0% -2.7% 0.6% 13.8% 11.3% 14.2% 14.19%
OCF 3Y 3.9% 2.4% -1.0% -0.1% 5.3% 1.5% 5.3% 14.4% 7.9% 1.4% -6.7% -16.5% -18.3% -15.2% -17.2% -9.0% -12.0% 11.0% 16.3% 16.1% 16.10%
OCF 5Y 1.5% 1.5% -2.2% 1.8% -0.7% -0.1% -0.1% 1.2% 0.4% -4.6% -5.7% -7.1% -4.9% -4.0% -6.0% -2.6% -5.0% 8.5% 8.4% 11.1% 11.09%
Assets 3Y 6.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 8.8% 9.3% 8.1% 2.0% 7.4% 16.6% 13.6% 16.2% 18.4% 15.3% 13.6% 12.7% 10.4% 10.7% 12.8% 13.4% 13.40%
Assets 5Y 5.8% 5.7% 4.9% 5.2% 5.5% 6.4% 5.4% 5.7% 8.4% 13.4% 11.8% 13.5% 14.2% 11.8% 11.6% 7.6% 8.1% 9.4% 9.4% 9.5% 9.52%
Equity 3Y 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.1% 7.2% 8.4% 6.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.2% 3.2% 4.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.6% 1.2% -1.3% -0.2% 4.0% 6.8% 6.84%
Book Value 3Y 4.9% 4.9% 5.6% 6.3% 8.4% 9.6% 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 8.5% 4.3% 6.0% 7.8% 3.6% 1.8% 1.6% -0.7% 0.2% 4.5% 7.1% 7.08%
Dividend 3Y 3.5% 2.8% 5.1% 5.0% 6.9% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 4.6% 3.8% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 1.9% 1.87%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.93 0.76 0.28 0.31 0.08 0.23 0.30 0.33 0.46 0.57 0.63 0.63 0.69 0.74 0.78 0.80 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.92 0.923
Earnings Stability 0.43 0.35 0.51 0.56 0.52 0.33 0.54 0.60 0.63 0.66 0.80 0.92 0.86 0.77 0.88 0.82 0.59 0.18 0.01 0.11 0.110
Margin Stability 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.962
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.82 0.94 0.95 0.99 0.93 0.90 0.95 0.92 0.96 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.40 0.84 0.86 0.97 0.84 0.78 0.87 0.77 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 — 0.00 0.00 0.21 — 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.01 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.02 -0.08 -0.00 0.02 0.05 0.20 0.15 0.147
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.041
FCF Margin Trend 0.06 0.04 -0.00 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.04 -0.07 -0.06 -0.09 -0.08 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 0.00 0.10 0.12 0.16 0.156
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.7% 3.0% 2.5% 2.7% 1.8% 3.7% 2.4% -0.1% -0.1% -4.5% -7.6% -6.7% -6.6% -4.5% — -5.0% -3.2% -0.4% 11.5% 10.4% 10.36%
Internal Growth Rate 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.1% 2.4% 1.5% — — — — — — — — — — — 5.6% 5.3% 5.28%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.23 2.78 2.43 2.08 2.26 1.74 1.93 3.37 2.77 7.22 3876.52 13.85 10.23 3.70 -2.88 3.83 2.23 2.81 1.27 1.68 1.682
FCF/OCF 0.83 0.77 0.73 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.70 0.73 0.71 0.61 0.60 0.55 0.56 0.69 0.73 0.81 1.10 1.06 1.01 0.99 0.992
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.669
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.169
CapEx/Revenue 4.2% 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 5.1% 4.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.58%
Accruals Ratio -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.10 -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.04 -0.03 -0.07 -0.02 -0.06 -0.061
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.019
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.682
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.52%
Dividend/Share $42.03 $42.03 $45.98 $46.32 $50.39 $50.46 $55.03 $55.46 $60.37 $60.56 $64.80 $65.06 $69.89 $69.82 $72.07 $70.94 $73.79 $73.53 $77.29 $75.36 $79.00
Payout Ratio 77.3% 65.3% 70.9% 68.7% 77.8% 61.8% 73.6% 1.0% 1.0% 3.2% 2011.3% 9.0% 7.2% 2.3% — 2.5% 1.6% 1.0% 42.6% 43.8% 43.81%
FCF Payout Ratio 28.6% 30.4% 39.9% 46.9% 47.8% 48.1% 54.2% 41.2% 51.7% 72.9% 87.0% 1.2% 1.3% 89.5% 1.1% 81.9% 65.9% 35.3% 33.4% 26.2% 26.24%
Total Payout Ratio 86.2% 72.8% 78.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 5.0% 3058.4% 9.9% 7.6% 2.4% — 2.7% 1.6% 1.1% 42.8% 44.0% 44.04%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.75 0.73 0.52 0.00 0.61 0.68 0.95 0.74 1.62 1.15 0.91 0.83 0.77 0.774
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.94 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.64 -0.19 -0.55 1.57 0.64 0.26 0.41 0.97 0.90 0.897
EBIT Margin 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.02 -0.08 -0.06 -0.03 0.03 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.196
Asset Turnover 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.60 0.63 0.57 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.59 0.66 0.655
Equity Multiplier 1.68 1.64 1.64 1.62 1.62 1.58 1.60 1.61 1.69 1.86 1.91 1.94 2.01 2.21 2.28 2.22 2.24 2.20 2.17 2.07 2.065
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $54.41 $64.39 $64.82 $67.44 $64.74 $81.67 $74.82 $54.55 $59.51 $18.94 $0.03 $7.20 $9.68 $30.45 $-32.09 $27.91 $45.43 $70.23 $181.40 $172.01 $172.01
Book Value/Share $745.97 $764.72 $790.97 $793.63 $842.93 $904.65 $861.22 $833.34 $877.59 $914.38 $835.04 $890.12 $933.56 $850.99 $834.64 $832.28 $825.34 $911.24 $981.61 $1023.21 $1085.11
Tangible Book/Share $252.69 $265.21 $280.72 $290.13 $309.42 $352.53 $345.39 $341.00 $351.56 $-165.67 $-187.23 $-154.23 $-150.57 $-106.35 $-83.99 $-14.12 $23.73 $89.46 $153.10 $219.51 $219.51
Revenue/Share $684.39 $693.56 $701.76 $704.42 $740.38 $771.47 $805.18 $839.23 $840.56 $849.80 $857.30 $894.41 $947.68 $985.78 $1043.51 $1051.76 $1083.33 $1121.39 $1157.27 $1262.17 $1269.22
FCF/Share $146.79 $138.44 $115.35 $98.75 $105.30 $104.81 $101.63 $134.72 $116.86 $83.10 $74.52 $55.12 $55.79 $78.02 $67.47 $86.63 $111.92 $208.57 $231.68 $287.16 $301.63
OCF/Share $175.83 $179.12 $157.30 $140.30 $146.27 $142.24 $144.23 $183.65 $165.03 $136.73 $124.90 $99.69 $98.98 $112.62 $92.42 $106.98 $101.54 $197.22 $230.13 $289.38 $333.73
Cash/Share $162.87 $171.70 $188.92 $183.30 $171.44 $198.02 $209.39 $219.19 $312.18 $186.29 $141.08 $203.27 $168.69 $183.15 $100.50 $120.07 $119.97 $162.22 $141.58 $157.38 $136.56
EBITDA/Share $141.34 $155.57 $159.52 $131.26 $140.63 $162.60 $154.05 $136.43 $138.30 $101.60 $90.94 $106.34 $27.85 $50.90 $84.05 $136.42 $260.52 $298.45 $333.50 $247.62 $247.62
Debt/Share $108.62 $110.50 $108.71 $115.62 $61.13 $45.19 $81.57 $110.53 $199.60 $552.43 $483.82 $513.12 $552.78 $515.93 $511.45 $457.28 $495.43 $418.51 $403.79 $137.45 $137.45
Net Debt/Share $-54.24 $-61.20 $-80.20 $-67.68 $-110.30 $-152.84 $-127.82 $-108.66 $-112.58 $366.14 $342.74 $309.84 $384.09 $332.78 $410.95 $337.21 $375.46 $256.28 $262.21 $-19.93 $-19.93
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 6 4 4 4 5 8 6 8 8 6 7 8 8
Beneish M-Score -2.97 -2.86 -2.76 -2.64 -2.51 -2.44 -2.55 -2.83 -2.82 -2.48 -2.50 -2.24 -2.21 -2.62 -2.58 -2.63 -2.57 -2.49 -2.35 -2.42 -2.424
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.291
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 78.85%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-175.61
EVA snapshot only $164248350446.07
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 81.50 80.00 55.35 51.20 47.85 33.35 35.90 35.70 54.15 68.05 76.50 79.65 82.75 82.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 28.600
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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