— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: ALSEA.MX (MEX) · $vol 3M

ALSSF OTC

Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.
1W: +5.0% 1M: +5.0% 3M: -0.8% YTD: -9.6% 1Y: -24.9% 3Y: -27.7% 5Y: +30.4%
$2.53
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Tech Score Buy · Power 66 · $2.0B mcap · 429M float · 0.0018% daily turnover · Short 92% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ALSSF receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B A-
2026-08-14 B+ B
2026-08-11 B B+
2026-07-23 B+ B
2026-07-01 None ADDED
2026-06-30 EXISTED None
2026-06-24 None ADDED
2026-06-20 EXISTED None
2026-06-12 None ADDED
2026-05-24 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
46
Balance Sheet
27
Earnings Quality
68
Growth
43
Value
—
Momentum
72
Safety
—
Cash Flow
48

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.14
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.32
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 40.0/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 7.62x
Accruals: -13.5%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ALSSF scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ALSSF's score of -1.14 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ALSSF's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ALSSF receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 40.0/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ALSSF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
22.34x
PEG
4.86x
P/S
0.43x
P/B
4.37x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$22.02
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 22.3x earnings, ALSSF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $22.02 per share, suggesting a potential 771% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.557
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.354
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.099
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.051
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.620
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
19.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ALSSF's ROE of 19.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.62x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.56 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
4.68%
Fair P/E
17.86x
Intrinsic Value
$36.79
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ALSSF's realized 4.7% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ALSSF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $36.79, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 17.9x compares to the current market P/E of 22.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.53
Median 1Y
$2.23
5th Pctile
$0.87
95th Pctile
$5.74
Ann. Volatility
56.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 1.8% 11.6% 23.3% 24.3% 26.0% 20.8% 22.7% 26.3% 28.7% 36.0% 40.6% 35.4% 26.9% 8.6% 7.7% 20.6% 24.0% 26.4% 25.2% 19.6% 19.63%
ROA 0.1% 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 2.0% 2.04%
ROIC 4.1% 5.7% 7.3% 8.7% 17.1% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 11.0% 11.6% 10.6% 10.3% 9.8% 8.8% 9.9% 9.4% 7.8% 9.5% 9.0% 9.05%
ROCE 8.4% 6.8% 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 10.5% 9.1% 11.7% 12.3% 14.1% 16.5% 15.3% 13.1% 12.4% 11.5% 13.3% 14.5% 18.1% 15.3% 14.0% 14.02%
Gross Margin 69.1% 66.1% 68.2% 67.3% 67.1% 62.5% 66.9% 66.8% 67.3% 59.4% 57.3% 68.2% 68.0% 67.6% 67.3% 67.4% 67.3% 68.9% 66.9% 67.1% 67.09%
Operating Margin 8.8% 12.0% 9.4% 9.9% 8.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.2% 9.9% 13.0% 9.1% 10.1% 9.2% 12.2% 7.9% 10.0% 8.8% 12.4% 8.2% 10.0% 9.99%
Net Margin 1.2% 5.0% 3.5% 1.2% 1.8% 3.4% 3.5% 2.3% 2.5% 7.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% 1.1% 5.3% 1.7% 3.0% 0.4% 2.5% 2.52%
EBITDA Margin 22.5% 25.5% 24.0% 21.4% 19.9% 18.4% 17.9% 20.4% 20.2% 2.8% 20.5% 20.7% 17.3% 20.4% 17.6% 23.4% 20.1% 23.8% 19.3% 20.5% 20.54%
FCF Margin 19.4% 22.1% 19.4% 19.7% 17.5% 15.4% 16.2% 14.2% 13.3% 13.4% 12.4% 9.5% 10.3% 9.8% 8.6% 12.3% 11.5% 8.6% 9.5% 9.7% 9.67%
OCF Margin 24.0% 27.5% 25.0% 25.5% 23.5% 21.7% 22.2% 20.3% 19.8% 20.4% 19.7% 17.3% 18.6% 17.8% 16.7% 19.9% 18.4% 14.6% 15.0% 14.8% 14.79%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 25.04%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 24.86%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.42%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.41%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.44%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.95%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 23.46%
CROIC snapshot only 15.33%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.70%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.48%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 57.66%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 22.337
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.431
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.370
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 4.864
Graham Number snapshot only $22.02
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.18 0.59 0.53 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.65 0.50 0.58 0.56 0.50 0.48 0.52 0.56 0.49 0.46 0.47 0.36 0.56 0.71 0.713
Quick Ratio 0.14 0.49 0.42 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.49 0.37 0.44 0.44 0.39 0.36 0.40 0.44 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.26 0.41 0.53 0.528
Debt/Equity 8.02 6.87 6.49 6.42 3.47 5.95 6.17 6.08 5.82 5.32 6.94 7.06 7.15 5.42 5.95 6.31 5.99 7.36 5.76 6.05 6.053
Net Debt/Equity 7.50 6.02 5.88 5.79 2.80 5.22 5.58 5.50 5.16 4.56 6.10 6.48 6.53 4.73 5.49 5.73 5.45 6.71 5.17 5.39 5.394
Debt/Assets 0.70 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.34 0.63 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.60 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.80 0.65 0.64 0.644
Debt/EBITDA 4.09 4.45 3.85 3.50 1.75 3.48 3.39 3.22 3.15 4.00 3.72 4.03 4.52 3.18 3.38 3.18 3.00 3.56 2.80 2.84 2.841
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.82 3.90 3.48 3.16 1.41 3.05 3.06 2.90 2.80 3.43 3.27 3.70 4.13 2.77 3.11 2.89 2.73 3.25 2.51 2.53 2.532
Interest Coverage 0.82 1.22 1.58 1.63 1.64 1.52 1.34 1.48 1.59 1.61 2.02 1.68 1.45 1.41 1.19 1.54 1.73 1.99 1.92 1.73 1.733
Equity Multiplier 11.52 10.28 9.84 9.94 10.24 9.40 10.17 10.18 9.71 8.95 11.44 11.25 11.33 9.03 9.22 9.83 9.44 9.22 8.88 9.41 9.405
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.289
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.695
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.109
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.162
Defensive Interval snapshot only 72.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.58 0.64 0.71 0.78 0.84 0.85 0.90 0.94 0.98 0.97 1.01 1.00 0.97 0.99 1.05 1.05 1.02 1.03 1.05 1.05 1.051
Inventory Turnover 9.12 9.53 10.38 9.14 9.36 9.51 9.94 8.97 8.96 9.40 10.68 9.73 9.30 9.30 9.47 9.13 8.32 8.23 8.60 8.34 8.341
Receivables Turnover 52.33 54.45 106.40 101.17 100.47 59.40 84.57 80.73 87.03 56.73 60.04 62.25 58.66 46.77 51.68 50.69 51.55 46.72 51.74 48.90 48.896
Payables Turnover 5.73 5.84 5.14 5.27 5.94 6.46 5.60 5.33 5.35 6.23 5.69 5.55 5.16 4.97 4.58 5.08 5.02 4.23 4.75 4.97 4.972
DSO 7 7 3 4 4 6 4 5 4 6 6 6 6 8 7 7 7 8 7 7 7.5 days
DIO 40 38 35 40 39 38 37 41 41 39 34 38 39 39 39 40 44 44 42 44 43.8 days
DPO 64 63 71 69 61 57 65 69 68 59 64 66 71 73 80 72 73 86 77 73 73.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -17 -18 -32 -26 -19 -12 -24 -23 -23 -13 -24 -22 -25 -26 -34 -25 -22 -34 -27 -22 -22.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.542
Operating Cycle snapshot only 51.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 15.392
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.928
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 8.6% 33.3% 59.5% 43.2% 38.5% 28.9% 22.0% 16.6% 13.3% 10.2% 7.2% 4.6% 3.6% 5.8% 7.4% 9.9% 8.7% 5.6% 3.3% 0.1% 0.08%
Net Income 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 4.3% 15.2% 1.0% 7.4% 16.3% 16.8% 79.4% 58.6% 25.4% -6.5% -74.9% -79.3% -37.9% -6.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.58%
EPS 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 4.3% 15.6% 1.1% 10.5% 18.5% 17.8% 84.6% 58.6% 25.5% -6.2% -74.8% -79.0% -37.0% -5.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 4.68%
FCF 14.7% 1.6% 1.2% 55.9% 24.8% -10.1% 1.8% -15.9% -13.8% -4.0% -17.9% -29.9% -19.7% -23.1% -25.3% 42.3% 21.7% -6.4% 14.0% -21.3% -21.30%
EBITDA 28.7% 32.1% 53.2% 18.4% 10.3% 14.6% -1.1% -4.7% -3.8% -19.4% -12.4% -12.9% -18.0% 37.4% 29.2% 36.1% 45.8% 14.2% 18.1% 6.6% 6.61%
Op. Income 4.4% 4.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2% 54.1% 18.8% 4.5% 5.3% 23.7% 20.0% 21.8% 14.8% 3.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 1.9% 3.5% 0.6% 0.62%
OCF Growth snapshot only -25.76%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.92%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.60%
Debt Growth snapshot only -4.59%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.05%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.4% 5.1% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 5.8% 7.0% 14.6% 19.4% 23.7% 27.8% 20.4% 17.6% 14.5% 12.0% 10.3% 8.5% 7.2% 5.9% 4.8% 4.80%
Revenue 5Y 5.8% 7.2% 8.3% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 10.4% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 9.4% 8.0% 7.0% 6.6% 7.1% 11.6% 13.9% 16.2% 18.3% 14.0% 13.96%
EPS 3Y -55.9% -2.5% 28.1% 31.9% 43.1% 22.5% 24.9% — — — — — 1.6% -1.4% -28.3% -2.1% 1.6% 13.3% 8.3% -6.1% -6.11%
EPS 5Y -33.3% -3.6% 8.0% 12.6% 13.3% 9.8% 10.6% 10.6% 10.9% 28.6% 29.8% 27.8% 26.5% -3.1% -8.3% — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y -55.9% -1.9% 28.2% 31.8% 42.5% 22.6% 23.9% — — — — — 1.6% -2.8% -29.3% -3.2% 0.9% 11.7% 7.6% -6.9% -6.89%
Net Income 5Y -33.3% -3.5% 8.1% 12.2% 13.0% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 10.3% 28.2% 29.1% 27.3% 25.9% -3.7% -9.0% — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 25.2% 24.2% 20.9% 25.1% 22.7% 3.4% 3.3% 8.6% 11.0% 6.8% 9.9% -0.6% -4.5% 8.3% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 8.1% 10.1% 8.1% 8.13%
EBITDA 5Y 22.8% 19.4% 20.6% 21.1% 21.2% 17.4% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 12.1% 8.9% 10.2% 7.8% 4.2% 4.5% 8.7% 10.3% 13.9% 15.1% 7.4% 7.37%
Gross Profit 3Y 2.5% 6.0% 7.1% 6.8% 6.0% 5.1% 6.2% 14.2% 19.2% 22.3% 25.4% 18.1% 15.7% 13.3% 12.0% 10.3% 8.6% 8.0% 6.9% 5.7% 5.73%
Gross Profit 5Y 5.1% 7.9% 8.9% 9.6% 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 10.5% 10.8% 10.2% 8.3% 6.8% 5.7% 6.0% 7.2% 12.0% 14.3% 16.3% 18.7% 14.2% 14.16%
Op. Income 3Y -5.0% 7.8% 16.9% 19.1% 15.8% 10.5% 13.5% 1.6% — — — 62.3% 38.4% 25.5% 13.6% 9.3% 7.4% 9.3% 8.5% 8.0% 7.97%
Op. Income 5Y 10.9% 8.4% 13.8% 16.2% 17.3% 13.8% 14.1% 13.8% 14.7% 19.0% 17.9% 16.5% 13.4% 11.6% 12.5% 85.3% — — — 34.6% 34.60%
FCF 3Y 1.1% 70.0% 54.8% 83.0% 25.5% -0.9% 1.1% -0.7% 7.3% 30.2% 22.6% -2.8% -4.8% -12.7% -14.5% -5.7% -5.6% -11.6% -11.2% -7.8% -7.77%
FCF 5Y 39.8% 59.9% — 4.2% — — — 1.5% 59.9% 33.5% 25.4% 29.3% 6.5% -6.4% -8.7% -0.5% 3.8% 9.7% 9.5% 0.5% 0.55%
OCF 3Y 25.0% 27.9% 24.9% 39.0% 19.2% 1.3% 2.9% 2.2% 10.7% 31.5% 29.1% 10.4% 8.0% -0.8% -2.0% 1.6% -0.1% -6.2% -6.9% -5.7% -5.75%
OCF 5Y 15.5% 20.7% 24.7% 25.1% 32.7% 26.4% 25.7% 24.8% 20.4% 17.1% 15.0% 17.4% 9.5% -0.1% -1.1% 3.8% 7.2% 12.7% 12.6% 4.8% 4.83%
Assets 3Y 26.6% 15.2% 1.6% 13.3% 12.7% 0.9% 7.9% -3.6% -3.4% -2.5% -3.6% -0.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1.1% 1.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.23%
Assets 5Y 17.6% 16.8% 16.9% 16.0% 14.8% 14.7% 14.2% 13.4% 14.1% 7.3% -0.9% 7.4% 9.5% 1.9% 5.9% -0.4% -0.7% -0.7% -0.8% -0.6% -0.60%
Equity 3Y -9.3% -11.3% -4.1% -9.7% -10.9% -4.5% -10.6% 4.2% 7.7% 11.2% 2.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.7% 2.3% 1.4% 4.7% 1.6% 5.7% 3.9% 3.94%
Book Value 3Y -9.3% -11.9% -4.2% -9.7% -10.5% -4.6% -9.9% 5.0% 8.5% 12.2% 3.0% 4.1% 3.7% 6.2% 3.8% 2.6% 5.5% 3.0% 6.3% 4.8% 4.81%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.36 0.27 0.20 0.47 0.45 0.41 0.39 0.69 0.74 0.73 0.63 0.68 0.68 0.75 0.87 0.99 0.96 0.92 0.88 0.88 0.879
Earnings Stability 0.33 0.19 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.11 0.21 0.20 0.52 0.47 0.24 0.18 0.69 0.66 0.49 0.38 0.30 0.302
Margin Stability 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.972
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.97 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.98 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.986
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.31 0.93 0.85 0.84 0.43 0.55 0.77 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.965
ROE Trend 0.18 0.28 0.43 0.40 0.44 0.38 0.40 0.21 0.15 0.20 0.22 0.12 0.01 -0.20 -0.27 -0.13 -0.05 0.05 -0.00 -0.08 -0.080
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.022
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 0.07 0.03 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 0.00 -0.00 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.012
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.8% 11.6% 23.3% 24.3% 26.0% 20.8% 22.7% 26.3% 28.7% 36.0% 40.6% 35.4% 26.9% 8.6% 7.7% 20.6% 24.0% 21.6% 20.3% 4.9% 4.88%
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.51%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 98.94 17.55 8.73 9.17 8.27 8.77 8.79 7.34 6.76 5.05 5.29 5.21 7.03 18.64 23.25 10.63 8.04 5.20 5.68 7.62 7.617
FCF/OCF 0.81 0.80 0.78 0.77 0.74 0.71 0.73 0.70 0.67 0.66 0.63 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.62 0.63 0.59 0.63 0.65 0.654
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 4.978
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.704
CapEx/Revenue 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 6.5% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 5.9% 5.5% 5.1% 5.13%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.460
Accruals Ratio -0.14 -0.17 -0.16 -0.18 -0.17 -0.16 -0.18 -0.17 -0.17 -0.16 -0.16 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.17 -0.19 -0.16 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.135
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.009
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.246
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.52%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.53 $0.54 $1.55 $2.07
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.0% 19.2% 75.1% 75.13%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 5.3% 15.1% 15.09%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19.3% 81.9% 89.0% 78.8% 62.6% 11.4% 17.8% 19.9% 22.7% 61.2% 57.5% 22.8% 26.0% 44.0% 36.4% 97.5% 97.51%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -0.20 0.84 0.71 0.67 0.70 0.67 0.64 0.64 0.60 0.69 0.70 0.72 0.79 0.55 0.51 0.63 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.56 0.557
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.21 0.23 0.41 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.58 0.49 0.43 0.34 0.20 0.18 0.35 0.42 0.46 0.42 0.35 0.354
EBIT Margin 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.099
Asset Turnover 0.58 0.64 0.71 0.78 0.84 0.85 0.90 0.94 0.98 0.97 1.01 1.00 0.97 0.99 1.05 1.05 1.02 1.03 1.05 1.05 1.051
Equity Multiplier 12.45 11.58 11.42 11.16 10.85 9.83 10.00 10.06 9.97 9.17 10.76 10.70 10.50 8.99 10.16 10.48 10.32 9.12 9.05 9.62 9.620
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.14 $0.99 $2.00 $2.10 $2.30 $2.03 $2.20 $2.49 $2.71 $3.76 $3.50 $3.12 $2.54 $0.95 $0.73 $1.97 $2.41 $2.96 $2.80 $2.06 $2.06
Book Value/Share $8.28 $9.57 $9.86 $9.65 $9.20 $9.95 $9.29 $9.09 $9.63 $10.62 $7.94 $8.55 $9.23 $11.47 $11.01 $10.42 $10.79 $10.89 $11.17 $10.46 $10.50
Tangible Book/Share $-25.44 $-23.38 $-22.49 $-22.04 $-22.66 $-21.85 $-22.22 $-21.31 $-20.48 $-19.95 $-21.61 $-21.92 $-22.98 $-20.85 $9.41 $-22.09 $-21.52 $-20.91 $-20.22 $-20.43 $-20.43
Revenue/Share $57.17 $63.27 $69.67 $75.67 $80.85 $82.08 $87.44 $89.90 $92.30 $93.04 $93.70 $94.08 $95.99 $99.14 $102.07 $104.89 $105.50 $105.56 $105.98 $106.09 $106.13
FCF/Share $11.08 $13.96 $13.50 $14.89 $14.11 $12.62 $14.14 $12.75 $12.27 $12.47 $11.61 $8.94 $9.88 $9.67 $8.80 $12.90 $12.16 $9.12 $10.08 $10.26 $10.26
OCF/Share $13.73 $17.37 $17.42 $19.27 $19.02 $17.84 $19.37 $18.28 $18.31 $18.96 $18.51 $16.27 $17.87 $17.67 $17.08 $20.92 $19.40 $15.39 $15.91 $15.69 $15.70
Cash/Share $4.28 $8.17 $6.05 $6.07 $6.24 $7.26 $5.48 $5.34 $6.32 $8.09 $6.68 $4.95 $5.67 $7.99 $5.07 $5.96 $5.82 $7.09 $6.54 $6.89 $6.90
EBITDA/Share $16.25 $14.77 $16.63 $17.70 $18.30 $17.02 $16.91 $17.19 $17.75 $14.11 $14.81 $14.98 $14.61 $19.54 $19.40 $20.69 $21.54 $22.49 $23.02 $22.29 $22.29
Debt/Share $66.41 $65.78 $63.99 $61.92 $31.97 $59.16 $57.30 $55.28 $56.00 $56.48 $55.13 $60.39 $65.98 $62.20 $65.48 $65.68 $64.69 $80.16 $64.35 $63.33 $63.33
Net Debt/Share $62.13 $57.61 $57.95 $55.85 $25.73 $51.91 $51.82 $49.95 $49.68 $48.39 $48.45 $55.44 $60.31 $54.20 $60.41 $59.72 $58.87 $73.07 $57.81 $56.44 $56.44
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 5 8 9 8 8 7 8 7 8 7 6 7 5 6 6 5 5 7 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.85 -3.06 -3.14 -3.19 -3.35 -3.15 -2.10 -3.30 -3.20 -3.37 -3.63 -3.04 -1.94 -2.30 -2.21 -2.66 -1.85 -3.00 -2.90 -1.14 -1.140
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.321
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-70.93
EVA snapshot only $-507593060.59
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 29.80 33.80 37.80 37.80 52.00 38.80 36.30 36.30 38.80 37.30 41.30 36.40 32.90 35.40 35.40 36.90 37.90 36.30 38.80 40.00 40.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only 3.100
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000

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