— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: ATD.TO (TSX) · $vol 84M · ATD-B.TO (TSX) · $vol 50M · CJA.F (FSX) · $vol 0M

ANCTF OTC

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
1W: -3.0% 1M: -9.1% 3M: -15.6% YTD: -2.3% 1Y: +0.9% 3Y: +5.0% 5Y: +43.7%
$53.85
-0.47 (-0.87%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.4%
$51 $53 $54 $55 $56
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Tech Score Sell · Power 38 · $49.4B mcap · 742M float · 0.025% daily turnover · Short 17% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ANCTF receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B+ A-
2026-08-20 A- B+
2026-06-29 B+ A-
2026-06-23 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-03-30 A- B+
2026-03-19 B+ A-
2026-03-12 A- B+
2026-03-04 B+ A-
2026-02-18 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 62 Grade B
Profitability
37
Balance Sheet
56
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
59
Value
56
Momentum
86
Safety
90
Cash Flow
58
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ANCTF scores highest in Safety (90/100) and lowest in Profitability (37/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.88
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.07
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 71.7/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.71x
Accruals: -5.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ANCTF scores 3.88, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ANCTF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ANCTF's score of -2.31 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ANCTF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ANCTF receives an estimated rating of A (score: 71.7/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ANCTF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.74x
PEG
0.58x
P/S
0.62x
P/B
2.97x
P/FCF
16.27x
P/OCF
10.23x
EV/EBITDA
9.52x
EV/Revenue
0.89x
EV/EBIT
14.22x
EV/FCF
20.21x
Earnings Yield
5.72%
FCF Yield
6.15%
Shareholder Yield
3.85%
Graham Number
$36.39
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.7x earnings, ANCTF trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $36.39 per share, 48% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.770
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.850
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.063
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.866
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.629
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
20.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ANCTF's ROE of 20.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.866), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
2.53%
Fair P/E
13.56x
Intrinsic Value
$45.80
Price/Value
1.29x
Margin of Safety
-29.02%
Premium
29.02%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ANCTF's realized 2.5% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ANCTF trades at a 29% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $45.80, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 13.6x compares to the current market P/E of 15.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$53.85
Median 1Y
$43.03
5th Pctile
$11.86
95th Pctile
$156.55
Ann. Volatility
78.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 22.9% 21.2% 22.2% 24.1% 22.4% 22.7% 23.3% 25.0% 24.6% 23.7% 23.3% 21.2% 20.4% 19.1% 18.9% 18.3% 17.4% 17.7% 18.2% 20.2% 20.15%
ROA 9.7% 9.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.5% 9.9% 10.1% 10.8% 10.4% 10.3% 9.2% 8.3% 8.1% 7.6% 7.1% 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.0% 7.7% 7.67%
ROIC 15.8% 15.1% 15.2% 15.4% 15.3% 16.0% 15.3% 15.8% 16.9% 15.5% 12.3% 11.7% 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 11.2% 10.4% 10.4% 10.5% 12.1% 12.11%
ROCE 15.4% 14.9% 15.9% 16.6% 16.5% 17.0% 17.6% 18.0% 18.3% 17.8% 15.3% 13.6% 13.4% 13.1% 13.3% 12.8% 12.8% 12.4% 12.7% 13.9% 13.86%
Gross Margin 19.1% 18.2% 17.5% 15.6% 15.5% 16.9% 17.0% 17.9% 18.8% 17.9% 14.8% 13.0% 17.4% 18.1% 18.0% 18.0% 19.1% 16.1% 19.4% 18.0% 17.97%
Operating Margin 7.7% 6.6% 5.5% 4.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.1% 5.7% 7.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.7% 6.2% 6.0% 4.6% 4.1% 6.6% 6.1% 5.3% 6.5% 6.53%
Net Margin 5.6% 4.9% 4.0% 2.9% 4.7% 4.8% 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 5.0% 3.2% 2.6% 4.3% 4.1% 3.1% 2.7% 4.5% 4.1% 3.5% 4.4% 4.43%
EBITDA Margin 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 7.6% 8.1% 9.9% 9.4% 7.5% 6.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.1% 7.4% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.5% 9.46%
FCF Margin 5.3% 4.9% 3.9% 3.6% 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.6% 4.4% 4.42%
OCF Margin 8.0% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 7.0% 7.03%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.12%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 20.79%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.11%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.05%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 11.48%
Cash ROA snapshot only 12.32%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 18.19%
CROIC snapshot only 11.44%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.68%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.34%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.36%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio 15.46 15.13 15.01 16.92 15.97 15.39 15.38 15.61 15.94 16.95 19.02 19.41 21.67 19.17 19.24 19.19 19.07 18.31 17.80 17.49 15.739
P/S Ratio 0.84 0.75 0.71 0.72 0.66 0.63 0.62 0.67 0.71 0.76 0.82 0.77 0.81 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.66 0.66 0.72 0.616
P/B Ratio 3.34 3.09 3.24 3.73 3.59 3.50 3.69 3.84 3.92 3.97 4.24 4.02 4.19 3.53 3.51 3.31 3.14 3.09 3.10 3.39 2.973
P/FCF 15.97 15.40 17.99 19.91 20.73 18.60 17.19 19.13 19.29 23.62 22.72 21.05 24.77 18.61 19.98 18.27 16.49 16.39 14.46 16.27 16.268
P/OCF 10.54 9.98 10.50 11.51 11.67 11.01 10.72 11.15 11.25 12.65 12.60 11.78 13.25 10.31 10.57 9.83 9.22 9.15 8.75 10.23 10.230
EV/EBITDA 9.43 9.16 9.23 9.86 9.53 9.19 9.36 9.77 9.53 10.12 11.72 11.54 12.22 10.64 10.40 10.11 10.07 9.73 9.58 9.52 9.519
EV/Revenue 0.96 0.86 0.83 0.83 0.76 0.73 0.73 0.79 0.81 0.88 1.01 0.95 0.98 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.86 0.84 0.85 0.89 0.893
EV/EBIT 13.01 12.75 12.74 13.98 13.37 12.76 13.00 13.21 12.98 13.82 16.18 16.54 17.78 15.86 15.85 15.52 15.66 15.22 14.91 14.22 14.217
EV/FCF 18.32 17.78 20.98 22.79 24.00 21.35 20.32 22.52 22.09 27.33 27.96 26.06 29.87 23.11 24.83 22.56 20.86 21.03 18.72 20.21 20.213
Earnings Yield 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 5.9% 6.3% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.9% 5.3% 5.2% 4.6% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% 5.72%
FCF Yield 6.3% 6.5% 5.6% 5.0% 4.8% 5.4% 5.8% 5.2% 5.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.8% 4.0% 5.4% 5.0% 5.5% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.1% 6.15%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.582
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 13.549
EV/OCF snapshot only 12.711
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.906
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.720
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.85%
Graham Number snapshot only $36.39
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.48 1.53 1.42 1.20 1.26 1.36 1.16 1.10 1.26 1.14 0.86 0.96 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.82 0.95 0.95 1.12 1.124
Quick Ratio 1.13 1.16 0.98 0.90 0.85 0.93 0.68 0.68 0.85 0.78 0.57 0.66 0.71 0.69 0.65 0.70 0.57 0.66 0.62 0.77 0.773
Debt/Equity 0.77 0.74 0.74 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.78 1.10 1.10 1.02 1.02 0.98 0.93 0.97 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.017
Net Debt/Equity 0.49 0.48 0.54 0.54 0.57 0.52 0.67 0.68 0.57 0.62 0.98 0.96 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.78 0.83 0.87 0.91 0.82 0.822
Debt/Assets 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.32 0.31 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.34 0.41 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.36 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.378
Debt/EBITDA 1.89 1.90 1.81 1.82 1.72 1.64 1.65 1.63 1.59 1.73 2.48 2.55 2.47 2.46 2.33 2.31 2.47 2.49 2.42 2.30 2.296
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.21 1.23 1.32 1.25 1.30 1.18 1.44 1.47 1.20 1.37 2.20 2.22 2.09 2.08 2.03 1.92 2.11 2.15 2.18 1.86 1.858
Interest Coverage 10.34 9.95 10.51 11.48 12.35 12.84 12.03 11.74 10.98 10.49 8.90 7.77 6.91 6.27 6.17 6.01 6.03 6.00 5.90 6.75 6.752
Equity Multiplier 2.34 2.28 2.25 2.33 2.36 2.28 2.35 2.31 2.36 2.33 2.73 2.80 2.68 2.66 2.57 2.56 2.59 2.64 2.62 2.69 2.690
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.352
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 10.085
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.191
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.205
Defensive Interval snapshot only 261.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.79 1.90 2.08 2.32 2.32 2.41 2.52 2.50 2.34 2.30 2.12 2.09 2.15 2.16 2.04 1.94 1.85 1.86 1.89 1.87 1.866
Inventory Turnover 23.62 25.16 24.29 34.48 26.46 27.73 25.61 30.33 23.65 24.58 22.98 25.75 25.42 27.36 26.20 26.47 25.02 25.40 24.16 23.47 23.468
Receivables Turnover 28.23 30.09 33.45 49.34 30.38 33.42 36.00 43.58 28.50 28.88 27.56 33.11 26.32 27.47 27.58 33.71 23.33 24.83 26.92 37.87 37.872
Payables Turnover 9.96 11.24 13.50 16.28 12.04 13.31 15.63 17.16 11.98 12.42 12.18 14.97 11.80 12.20 11.92 13.71 9.99 10.38 11.20 13.66 13.659
DSO 13 12 11 7 12 11 10 8 13 13 13 11 14 13 13 11 16 15 14 10 9.6 days
DIO 15 15 15 11 14 13 14 12 15 15 16 14 14 13 14 14 15 14 15 16 15.6 days
DPO 37 32 27 22 30 27 23 21 30 29 30 24 31 30 31 27 37 35 33 27 26.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -8 -6 -1 -4 -5 -3 1 -1 -2 -2 -1 1 -3 -3 -3 -2 -6 -6 -4 -2 -1.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.728
Operating Cycle snapshot only 25.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 24.308
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.570
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -0.1% 14.0% 35.6% 37.3% 36.8% 32.6% 22.9% 14.4% 1.4% -3.1% -5.5% -3.8% 4.3% 6.4% 8.6% 5.4% 0.2% -0.7% -1.1% 4.8% 4.76%
Net Income 3.9% -5.0% 1.9% -0.8% 3.7% 10.5% 4.6% 15.2% 9.4% 5.3% 1.7% -11.7% -12.0% -15.9% -12.0% -5.5% -4.3% 0.8% 4.6% 21.5% 21.54%
EPS 7.7% -1.3% 6.5% 4.6% 8.4% 15.9% 10.4% 22.4% 14.6% 11.3% 6.2% -9.0% -9.9% -14.2% -10.6% -4.6% -3.4% 1.7% 7.3% 24.2% 24.17%
FCF -7.8% -9.4% -13.7% -20.4% -17.5% -7.0% 12.2% 10.6% 17.2% -8.7% -4.9% -0.2% -6.8% 20.8% 1.3% 7.7% 26.6% 9.3% 33.6% 24.4% 24.43%
EBITDA 4.4% -1.0% 4.5% 4.3% 7.0% 11.3% 7.2% 10.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% -2.1% -1.7% -2.9% 1.4% 6.4% 7.3% 8.8% 9.4% 18.4% 18.40%
Op. Income 5.5% -3.7% 2.4% 0.1% 4.1% 10.9% 5.1% 15.0% 10.1% 5.9% 3.7% -9.7% -9.0% -10.5% -8.0% -0.4% -0.3% 2.2% 6.2% 21.7% 21.68%
OCF Growth snapshot only 6.47%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.61%
Equity Growth snapshot only 8.24%
Debt Growth snapshot only 17.84%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.11%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 11.65%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.1% -3.3% -0.6% 2.0% 5.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.9% 11.5% 13.6% 16.3% 14.7% 13.1% 11.0% 8.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 2.0% 2.03%
Revenue 5Y 8.1% 9.6% 10.4% 10.6% 11.5% 10.4% 8.7% 6.9% 4.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 9.1% 11.1% 10.8% 10.77%
EPS 3Y 17.1% 15.4% 14.8% 16.4% 17.0% 16.6% 16.1% 14.4% 10.2% 8.4% 7.7% 5.2% 3.8% 3.4% 1.6% 2.0% -0.1% -1.0% 0.6% 2.5% 2.53%
EPS 5Y 18.5% 19.9% 21.1% 19.1% 19.8% 18.8% 16.1% 16.2% 14.8% 14.7% 12.1% 11.9% 10.6% 8.6% 8.2% 5.4% 3.1% 2.1% 3.7% 6.7% 6.65%
Net Income 3Y 15.1% 13.4% 12.4% 13.5% 13.3% 12.9% 11.9% 9.5% 5.6% 3.4% 2.7% 0.3% -0.1% -0.7% -2.2% -1.3% -2.7% -3.7% -2.2% 0.5% 0.49%
Net Income 5Y 17.2% 18.4% 19.4% 17.2% 17.4% 16.3% 13.5% 13.1% 11.6% 11.2% 8.6% 8.3% 7.0% 5.0% 4.6% 1.9% -0.2% -1.3% -0.0% 3.0% 3.00%
EBITDA 3Y 17.0% 16.3% 13.3% 14.3% 13.7% 12.4% 11.3% 8.3% 6.4% 5.4% 5.4% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 4.7% 4.4% 3.9% 5.0% 7.2% 7.23%
EBITDA 5Y 16.4% 16.8% 17.6% 17.5% 17.6% 16.3% 15.8% 14.7% 13.1% 13.2% 10.3% 10.0% 9.3% 7.9% 7.9% 5.8% 4.9% 4.3% 5.3% 7.2% 7.24%
Gross Profit 3Y 5.9% 5.8% 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 4.86%
Gross Profit 5Y 10.5% 10.7% 11.0% 11.2% 11.0% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 7.1% 6.9% 4.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 6.56%
Op. Income 3Y 19.8% 18.8% 14.2% 13.9% 13.0% 12.7% 12.3% 10.2% 6.5% 4.2% 3.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 0.1% 1.1% -0.1% -1.1% 0.5% 3.1% 3.05%
Op. Income 5Y 16.2% 16.8% 18.2% 16.7% 16.8% 15.5% 15.3% 15.7% 14.5% 14.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 6.3% 6.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 1.8% 4.7% 4.73%
FCF 3Y 30.7% 23.1% 5.7% 5.6% 1.7% 3.6% 9.6% 2.9% -3.8% -8.4% -2.7% -4.2% -3.4% 0.9% 2.6% 5.9% 11.4% 6.4% 8.8% 10.2% 10.18%
FCF 5Y 22.3% 24.8% 19.5% 19.6% 16.8% 21.7% 22.8% 20.5% 16.7% 9.6% 4.8% 5.4% 2.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 4.5% 3.3% 3.32%
OCF 3Y 18.8% 16.0% 8.6% 8.6% 5.7% 5.3% 6.7% 5.1% 1.0% -0.6% 4.2% 3.3% 3.6% 6.3% 6.0% 8.5% 11.6% 8.5% 9.9% 7.4% 7.43%
OCF 5Y 15.8% 17.3% 16.1% 15.4% 13.4% 15.3% 15.3% 14.9% 12.9% 9.9% 7.5% 7.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 6.2% 4.8% 4.5% 7.0% 5.6% 5.59%
Assets 3Y 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 7.9% 4.9% 4.9% 4.5% 8.7% 3.8% 4.3% 9.4% 12.9% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 13.0% 14.4% 14.42%
Assets 5Y 18.4% 16.6% 15.9% 14.9% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 10.1% 10.3% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 11.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 11.1% 11.13%
Equity 3Y 16.7% 15.8% 13.3% 10.9% 9.7% 9.8% 6.5% 12.1% 3.8% 3.1% 2.8% 9.4% 3.7% 2.8% 3.5% 7.1% 8.0% 6.3% 8.9% 8.8% 8.79%
Book Value 3Y 18.7% 17.9% 15.7% 13.7% 13.2% 13.4% 10.5% 17.0% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 14.8% 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 10.7% 10.9% 9.3% 12.0% 11.0% 11.00%
Dividend 3Y 9.4% 11.7% 10.3% 9.8% 10.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.4% 17.8% 11.5% 11.9% 12.2% 3.5% 10.5% 8.2% 7.4% 6.2% 5.0% 6.0% 5.1% 5.10%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.42 0.56 0.56 0.46 0.49 0.39 0.31 0.29 0.38 0.52 0.63 0.76 0.87 0.82 0.74 0.72 0.79 0.786
Earnings Stability 0.95 0.94 0.97 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.93 0.95 0.92 0.87 0.86 0.69 0.56 0.34 0.33 0.13 0.00 0.06 0.04 0.12 0.116
Margin Stability 0.87 0.85 0.83 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.83 0.87 0.88 0.85 0.83 0.85 0.89 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.87 0.84 0.87 0.870
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.98 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.96 0.98 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.98 1.00 0.98 0.91 0.914
Earnings Smoothness 0.96 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.96 0.90 0.95 0.86 0.91 0.95 0.98 0.88 0.87 0.83 0.87 0.94 0.96 0.99 0.96 0.81 0.806
ROE Trend -0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.05 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 0.00 0.004
Gross Margin Trend 0.03 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.013
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.007
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.6% 18.8% 19.7% 21.2% 19.8% 20.0% 20.4% 22.0% 20.8% 20.5% 19.9% 17.7% 16.9% 15.4% 15.3% 14.8% 13.9% 14.1% 14.6% 16.6% 16.60%
Internal Growth Rate 9.6% 9.1% 9.6% 9.5% 9.2% 9.6% 9.8% 10.5% 9.6% 9.8% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.6% 6.1% 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.9% 6.7% 6.74%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.47 1.52 1.43 1.47 1.37 1.40 1.43 1.40 1.42 1.34 1.51 1.65 1.63 1.86 1.82 1.95 2.07 2.00 2.04 1.71 1.710
FCF/OCF 0.66 0.65 0.58 0.58 0.56 0.59 0.62 0.58 0.58 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.54 0.55 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.60 0.63 0.629
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.075
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.749
CapEx/Revenue 2.7% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.6% 2.61%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.841
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.054
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.029
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.109
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.12%
Dividend/Share $0.25 $0.28 $0.30 $0.31 $0.32 $0.34 $0.36 $0.37 $0.48 $0.43 $0.45 $0.47 $0.49 $0.52 $0.52 $0.53 $0.55 $0.56 $0.58 $0.59 $0.60
Payout Ratio 10.0% 11.4% 11.3% 12.3% 11.8% 11.8% 12.4% 11.9% 15.5% 13.5% 14.8% 16.5% 17.4% 19.1% 19.0% 19.6% 20.1% 20.2% 19.9% 17.6% 17.61%
FCF Payout Ratio 10.3% 11.6% 13.6% 14.5% 15.3% 14.2% 13.8% 14.6% 18.8% 18.8% 17.7% 17.9% 19.9% 18.6% 19.7% 18.6% 17.4% 18.1% 16.2% 16.4% 16.37%
Total Payout Ratio 60.6% 72.2% 70.8% 81.0% 85.7% 81.0% 1.1% 89.3% 84.0% 97.6% 67.5% 66.4% 60.5% 57.7% 50.4% 40.8% 40.6% 53.5% 76.7% 67.4% 67.44%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.25 0.33 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.45 0.21 0.23 0.23 -0.01 0.20 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.08 0.11 0.10 0.103
Buyback Yield 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 4.5% 6.1% 5.0% 4.3% 5.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 2.85%
Net Buyback Yield 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 4.5% 6.1% 5.0% 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 2.84%
Total Shareholder Return 3.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.4% 5.3% 6.9% 5.7% 5.1% 5.5% 3.4% 3.2% 2.8% 3.0% 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 3.8% 3.85%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.770
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.850
EBIT Margin 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.063
Asset Turnover 1.79 1.90 2.08 2.32 2.32 2.41 2.52 2.50 2.34 2.30 2.12 2.09 2.15 2.16 2.04 1.94 1.85 1.86 1.89 1.87 1.866
Equity Multiplier 2.35 2.26 2.26 2.43 2.35 2.28 2.30 2.32 2.36 2.30 2.54 2.56 2.53 2.50 2.65 2.67 2.63 2.65 2.60 2.63 2.629
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.51 $2.45 $2.61 $2.56 $2.72 $2.84 $2.88 $3.13 $3.11 $3.16 $3.06 $2.85 $2.81 $2.71 $2.73 $2.72 $2.71 $2.76 $2.93 $3.38 $3.38
Book Value/Share $11.60 $12.00 $12.07 $11.62 $12.09 $12.51 $12.00 $12.74 $12.67 $13.50 $13.71 $13.78 $14.52 $14.72 $14.97 $15.76 $16.49 $16.35 $16.86 $17.42 $18.30
Tangible Book/Share $5.43 $5.75 $5.70 $5.26 $5.58 $5.85 $5.17 $5.25 $5.85 $5.91 $2.19 $2.54 $3.43 $3.76 $4.08 $4.46 $3.82 $3.61 $3.67 $4.36 $4.36
Revenue/Share $46.19 $49.60 $55.21 $59.92 $66.09 $68.98 $71.60 $72.85 $70.23 $70.62 $70.60 $72.21 $74.97 $76.67 $77.92 $76.80 $75.82 $76.77 $79.08 $82.20 $87.69
FCF/Share $2.43 $2.41 $2.18 $2.18 $2.09 $2.35 $2.58 $2.56 $2.57 $2.27 $2.56 $2.63 $2.46 $2.80 $2.63 $2.86 $3.14 $3.08 $3.61 $3.63 $3.99
OCF/Share $3.68 $3.72 $3.73 $3.76 $3.72 $3.97 $4.13 $4.39 $4.41 $4.23 $4.62 $4.70 $4.59 $5.05 $4.98 $5.31 $5.61 $5.52 $5.97 $5.78 $6.06
Cash/Share $3.22 $3.14 $2.43 $2.89 $2.20 $2.46 $1.17 $0.94 $2.31 $2.17 $1.73 $1.95 $2.29 $2.35 $1.88 $2.44 $2.36 $2.30 $1.69 $3.38 $3.54
EBITDA/Share $4.71 $4.68 $4.95 $5.03 $5.28 $5.46 $5.60 $5.89 $5.96 $6.13 $6.11 $5.94 $6.00 $6.07 $6.29 $6.38 $6.50 $6.67 $7.06 $7.71 $7.71
Debt/Share $8.93 $8.88 $8.95 $9.16 $9.05 $8.93 $9.24 $9.60 $9.49 $10.59 $15.15 $15.12 $14.82 $14.95 $14.66 $14.71 $16.07 $16.61 $17.07 $17.71 $17.71
Net Debt/Share $5.72 $5.74 $6.51 $6.27 $6.85 $6.47 $8.07 $8.66 $7.18 $8.42 $13.41 $13.17 $12.53 $12.60 $12.79 $12.27 $13.71 $14.31 $15.38 $14.33 $14.33
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.877
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.234
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 6 4 4 4 5 8 8 6 4 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.19 -2.24 -2.31 -2.22 -2.06 -2.48 -2.55 -2.79 -2.86 -2.57 -2.13 -2.12 -2.17 -2.52 -2.94 -3.04 -2.89 -2.46 -2.72 -2.31 -2.308
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.071
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 22.22%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-18.50
EVA snapshot only $622591803.54
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 85.55 84.40 85.85 84.50 85.85 85.85 83.30 83.30 85.85 82.70 74.95 74.95 73.80 72.45 72.45 72.45 69.45 69.45 70.35 71.70 71.700
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.750
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000

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