APLD Smart Money
Applied Digital Corp.
1W: +0.9%
1M: -20.5%
3M: -16.0%
YTD: -30.6%
1Y: -41.6%
3Y: +316.0%
$19.51
+1.68 (+9.42%)
Weekly Expected Move ±12.0%
$14
$16
$18
$20
$23
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 93% of companies Debt: 52.4% of company value Bonds: $363.9M held by 331 funds, 312 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the riskiest tenth, about 1 in 20 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $3.06 (down 84%), Applied Digital Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $6.48B against a stock market value of $5.90B.
Distance to default 1.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $3.24B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 101.0%; Altman Z'' 1.26. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $3.06 (down 84%), Applied Digital Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $6.48B against a stock market value of $5.90B.
Distance to default 1.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $3.24B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 101.0%; Altman Z'' 1.26. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026640
Institutions Holding
+99 vs prior
132.9%
Ownership
+37.90%
176
New
163
Increased
229
Reduced
64
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | P-Purchase | 55,803 | $18.04 | $1.0M | Filing |
| 2026-10-16 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | P-Purchase | 300,000 | $18.86 | $5.7M | Filing |
| 2026-10-13 | Nottenburg Richard N | director | S-Sale | 31,250 | $21.84 | $682K | Filing |
| 2026-10-10 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 39,350 | $23.68 | $932K | Filing |
| 2026-10-04 | Mohmand Mohammad Saidal LaVanway | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 32,136 | $25.38 | $816K | Filing |
| 2026-09-12 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | F-Tax Withholding | 49,188 | $26.42 | $1.3M | Filing |
| 2026-08-04 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | J-J | 714,685 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-04 | Mohmand Mohammad Saidal LaVanway | officer: chief financial officer | J-J | 13,408 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-04 | Nottenburg Richard N | director | S-Sale | 75,000 | $31.15 | $2.3M | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Laltrello Laura | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 260,640 | $27.39 | $7.1M | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | A-Grant/Award | 1,600,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 629,600 | $27.39 | $17.2M | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Mohmand Mohammad Saidal LaVanway | officer: chief financial officer | A-Grant/Award | 245,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Mohmand Mohammad Saidal LaVanway | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 96,408 | $27.39 | $2.6M | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | A-Grant/Award | 600,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | F-Tax Withholding | 236,100 | $27.39 | $6.5M | Filing |
| 2026-07-31 | Laltrello Laura | officer: chief operating officer | A-Grant/Award | 600,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-06 | Laltrello Laura | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 43,440 | $33.50 | $1.5M | Filing |
| 2026-07-01 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | A-Grant/Award | 375,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-01 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | F-Tax Withholding | 147,563 | $35.52 | $5.2M | Filing |
| 2026-07-01 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | F-Tax Withholding | 118,050 | $35.52 | $4.2M | Filing |
| 2026-07-01 | Zhang Jason Gechen | officer: president | A-Grant/Award | 300,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Mohmand Mohammad Saidal LaVanway | officer: chief financial officer | A-Grant/Award | 490,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 314,800 | $45.20 | $14.2M | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Cummins Wes | officer: ceo; chairman | A-Grant/Award | 800,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood River Capital Management LLC | 22,518,887 | $840M | -556,725 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 13,728,812 | $512M | -1,078,983 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 13,375,070 | $499M | -7,521,031 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Situational Awareness LP | 15,384,616 | $469M | +1,906,178 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 11,555,819 | $431M | +780,138 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 10,299,117 | $384M | +8,706,515 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| EQUITEC PROPRIETARY MARKETS, LLC | 8,373,964 | $312M | +8,373,964 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 6,980,959 | $260M | -1,023,407 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 4,877,618 | $222M | -1,533,841 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC | 5,546,030 | $207M | -1,122,281 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Oasis Management Co Ltd. | 5,007,317 | $187M | +3,974,500 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4,482,378 | $167M | -1,086,150 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DBA TRADING, LLC | 5,576,235 | $132M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. | 3,516,146 | $131M | +517,162 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 3,278,874 | $122M | -155,182 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 3,088,677 | $115M | +3,088,677 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | 3,033,821 | $113M | -365,120 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VOLORIDGE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3,033,280 | $113M | +2,949,313 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2,947,256 | $110M | +44,117 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 2,884,430 | $108M | -1,616,457 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |