ASTL NASDAQ
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
1W: +17.7%
1M: +14.1%
3M: +10.7%
YTD: +24.0%
1Y: +5.0%
3Y: -22.7%
5Y: -52.6%
$4.80
-0.06 (-1.23%)
After Hours: $4.74 (-0.06, -1.25%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.3%
$4
$4
$5
$5
$5
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 87% of companies Debt: 60.2% of company value Bonds: $33.9M held by 33 funds, 728 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.68 (down 86%), Algoma Steel Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $776.8M against a stock market value of $513.5M.
Distance to default 1.93 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $414.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.3%; Altman Z'' -2.38. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $776.8M against a stock market value of $513.5M.
Distance to default 1.93 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $414.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.3%; Altman Z'' -2.38. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
⛈️
Stormy
-14.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-33.4% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-14.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-33.4%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+22.4%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
52%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-1.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.6%
40% win
51% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-3.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.6%
40% win
56% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-2.2%
Midterm
☀️
+7.3%
50% win
56% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-10.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.8%
33% win
47% vol
May
20yr
💨
-10.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.9%
83% win
41% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-6.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.8%
50% win
54% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-8.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.5%
67% win
44% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
-3.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.1%
50% win
59% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-14.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-38.0%
0% win
43% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
-11.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-34.4%
100% win
52% vol
Now:
+15.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
-10.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-35.7%
60% win
54% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-4.3%
20% win
44% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +22.4%