ASTL Smart Money
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
1W: +16.8%
1M: +10.3%
3M: +12.4%
YTD: +22.4%
1Y: +6.7%
3Y: -22.9%
5Y: -53.7%
$4.80
-0.06 (-1.23%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.3%
$4
$4
$5
$5
$5
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 87% of companies Debt: 60.4% of company value Bonds: $33.9M held by 33 funds, 728 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.67 (down 86%), Algoma Steel Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $775.0M against a stock market value of $507.2M.
Distance to default 1.93 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $413.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.2%; Altman Z'' -2.38. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $775.0M against a stock market value of $507.2M.
Distance to default 1.93 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $413.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.2%; Altman Z'' -2.38. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026112
Institutions Holding
-11 vs prior
57.5%
Ownership
-1.07%
13
New
30
Increased
50
Reduced
14
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
0 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No insider trades found | |||||||
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. | 16,861,818 | $68M | +931,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MMCAP International Inc. SPC | 10,954,738 | $44M | -1,890,884 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. | 5,277,631 | $21M | -751,298 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 4,143,265 | $17M | +27,812 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment | 3,846,390 | $16M | +638,910 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2,958,350 | $12M | +1,474,639 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AEGIS FINANCIAL CORP | 1,786,122 | $7M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CDC Financial, Inc. | 1,745,647 | $7M | +131,898 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BRIGHTLINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,660,000 | $7M | +1,660,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| LITTLEJOHN & CO LLC | 1,518,714 | $6M | -1,927,789 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Manageme | 1,387,320 | $6M | -338,438 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sourcerock Group LLC | 1,247,507 | $5M | -58,896 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP | 1,329,806 | $5M | +1,231,033 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 1,041,811 | $4M | +771,911 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| LM Asset Management Inc. | 1,016,000 | $4M | -749,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bracebridge Capital, LLC | 924,931 | $4M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JB CAPITAL PARTNERS LP | 872,277 | $4M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 845,935 | $3M | +578,192 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bain Capital Credit, LP | 825,777 | $3M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 810,208 | $3M | +579,391 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |