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AUGO NASDAQ

Aura Minerals
1W: -1.9% 1M: -3.1% 3M: +21.0% YTD: +63.9% 1Y: +124.5%
$81.95
+3.10 (+3.93%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±7.0%
$71 $76 $82 $88 $93
NASDAQ · Basic Materials · Gold · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · $6.9B mcap · 35M float · 2.99% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 64.4%
Cost Advantage
67
Intangibles
35
Switching Cost
74
Network Effect
19
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AUGO shows a Weak competitive edge (48.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 64.4% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$110
Low
$112
Avg Target
$115
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 5, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$112.35
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-17 Scotiabank — Initiated $110 — +28.0% $85.96
2026-08-31 Banco Santander — Initiated $115 — +35.7% $84.53
2025-12-03 Goldman Sachs Marcio Farid $47 $53 +6 +32.7% $39.80
2025-10-13 Goldman Sachs — Initiated $47 — +26.2% $36.93

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AUGO receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-10 B B+
2026-05-11 C- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 61 Grade A
Profitability
95
Balance Sheet
70
Earnings Quality
82
Growth
—
Value
46
Momentum
—
Safety
90
Cash Flow
54
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AUGO scores highest in Profitability (95/100) and lowest in Value (46/100). An overall grade of A places AUGO among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.93
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-7.00
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 83.5/100
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.27x
Accruals: -4.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AUGO scores 3.93, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AUGO scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AUGO's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AUGO receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 83.5/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AUGO's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
22.77x
PEG
0.14x
P/S
5.33x
P/B
15.05x
P/FCF
30.39x
P/OCF
14.05x
EV/EBITDA
9.37x
EV/Revenue
4.30x
EV/EBIT
11.37x
EV/FCF
31.58x
Earnings Yield
5.60%
FCF Yield
3.29%
Shareholder Yield
3.63%
Graham Number
$20.66
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 22.8x earnings, AUGO commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 5.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $20.66 per share, 297% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.666
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.919
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.379
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.756
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.734
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
65.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AUGO's ROE of 65.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.73x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$29.95
Price/Value
2.10x
Margin of Safety
-110.20%
Premium
110.20%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AUGO's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AUGO trades at a 110% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $29.95, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 22.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 307 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$81.95
Median 1Y
$179.30
5th Pctile
$60.35
95th Pctile
$533.83
Ann. Volatility
69.5%
Analyst Target
$112.35
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,462
Revenue / Employee
$630,460
Rev: $921,733,000
Profit / Employee
$-54,268
NI: $-79,340,000
SGA / Employee
$34,235
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 1.7% -5.4% 26.8% 65.4% 65.42%
ROA 0.4% -0.9% 4.9% 17.5% 17.52%
ROIC 5.3% -14.4% 39.0% 64.4% 64.40%
ROCE 3.7% 8.4% 21.4% 39.3% 39.31%
Gross Margin 58.2% 63.1% 50.6% 57.0% 56.99%
Operating Margin 54.0% 51.1% 45.0% 51.6% 51.59%
Net Margin 2.3% -6.2% 24.9% 64.8% 64.79%
EBITDA Margin 23.8% 23.9% 47.4% 81.7% 81.69%
FCF Margin 21.8% 14.2% 15.5% 13.6% 13.63%
OCF Margin 34.6% 27.5% 28.1% 29.5% 29.49%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 48.27%
Cash ROA snapshot only 22.29%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 57.02%
CROIC snapshot only 26.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 33.30%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 34.80%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.18%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.04%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 539.63 -292.94 83.42 17.87 22.771
P/S Ratio 12.25 7.32 7.09 4.14 5.331
P/B Ratio 9.42 15.70 22.36 11.69 15.047
P/FCF 56.22 51.61 45.63 30.39 30.390
P/OCF 35.39 26.62 25.19 14.05 14.045
EV/EBITDA 53.32 31.62 21.78 9.37 9.373
EV/Revenue 12.67 7.54 7.26 4.30 4.305
EV/EBIT 77.14 47.08 28.83 11.37 11.373
EV/FCF 58.16 53.16 46.71 31.58 31.585
Earnings Yield 0.2% -0.3% 1.2% 5.6% 5.60%
FCF Yield 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.29%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.145
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 11.688
EV/OCF snapshot only 14.597
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.575
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 8.612
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.63%
Graham Number snapshot only $20.66
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.62 0.97 0.98 1.06 1.065
Quick Ratio 1.37 0.75 0.75 0.82 0.819
Debt/Equity 1.41 1.55 1.43 1.00 1.003
Net Debt/Equity 0.32 0.47 0.53 0.46 0.459
Debt/Assets 0.32 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.269
Debt/EBITDA 7.74 3.03 1.36 0.77 0.774
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.77 0.92 0.50 0.35 0.354
Interest Coverage 5.66 5.77 8.63 12.39 12.395
Equity Multiplier 4.43 6.05 5.45 3.73 3.734
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.535
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 15.040
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.542
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.383
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1471.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.17 0.35 0.58 0.76 0.756
Inventory Turnover 1.35 1.92 3.40 4.88 4.877
Receivables Turnover 19.30 28.37 68.69 108.81 108.808
Payables Turnover 1.37 1.17 4.91 5.27 5.271
DSO 19 13 5 3 3.4 days
DIO 270 190 107 75 74.8 days
DPO 267 311 74 69 69.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 22 -108 38 9 8.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.260
Operating Cycle snapshot only 78.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.187
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.323
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate -6.9% — -13.7% 24.3% 24.33%
Internal Growth Rate — — — 7.0% 6.97%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 15.25 -11.01 3.31 1.27 1.272
FCF/OCF 0.63 0.52 0.55 0.46 0.462
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.588
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.642
CapEx/Revenue 12.8% 13.3% 12.6% 15.9% 15.86%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.963
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.11 -0.11 -0.05 -0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.151
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.969
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.5% 3.22%
Dividend/Share $0.34 $0.81 $1.48 $2.21 $2.64
Payout Ratio 4.9% — 1.5% 62.8% 62.80%
FCF Payout Ratio 51.6% 82.9% 82.6% 1.1% 1.07%
Total Payout Ratio 4.9% — 1.6% 64.8% 64.84%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
Net Buyback Yield -6.7% -4.8% -2.9% -3.7% -3.66%
Total Shareholder Return -5.8% -3.2% -1.1% -0.1% -0.15%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.17 -0.19 0.38 0.67 0.666
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.82 0.83 0.88 0.92 0.919
EBIT Margin 0.16 0.16 0.25 0.38 0.379
Asset Turnover 0.17 0.35 0.58 0.76 0.756
Equity Multiplier 4.43 6.05 5.45 3.73 3.734
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.07 $-0.17 $0.98 $3.52 $3.52
Book Value/Share $3.90 $3.21 $3.65 $5.39 $5.45
Tangible Book/Share $3.90 $3.21 $3.65 $5.39 $5.39
Revenue/Share $3.00 $6.88 $11.51 $15.20 $15.37
FCF/Share $0.65 $0.98 $1.79 $2.07 $2.09
OCF/Share $1.04 $1.89 $3.24 $4.48 $4.53
Cash/Share $4.25 $3.46 $3.28 $2.93 $2.96
EBITDA/Share $0.71 $1.64 $3.83 $6.98 $6.98
Debt/Share $5.51 $4.97 $5.20 $5.40 $5.40
Net Debt/Share $1.26 $1.51 $1.92 $2.47 $2.47
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — 3.929
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.697
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.004
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 46.32%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-8.89
EVA snapshot only $362366527.24
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 45.97 47.62 77.99 83.49 83.487
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 74
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 79

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms