BAER Smart Money
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1W: -15.9%
1M: -38.0%
3M: -75.4%
YTD: -74.5%
1Y: -73.3%
3Y: -88.4%
5Y: -95.2%
$0.47
+0.00 (+0.54%)
Weekly Expected Move ±13.5%
$0
$0
$0
$1
$1
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 93% of companies Debt: 90.7% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the riskiest tenth, about 1 in 20 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.18 (down 60%), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $267.9M against a stock market value of $27.4M.
Distance to default 1.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $119.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 80.0%; Altman Z -1.16. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.18 (down 60%), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $267.9M against a stock market value of $27.4M.
Distance to default 1.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $119.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 80.0%; Altman Z -1.16. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 202680
Institutions Holding
-2 vs prior
162.3%
Ownership
+3.94%
10
New
15
Increased
37
Reduced
19
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Drohan Dan | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | FASCITELLI ELIZABETH C | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAEL | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | Heller Dean | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | Pasricha Meghan | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | SAVAGE ROBERT F JR | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | Schellenberg David | director | A-Grant/Award | 31,708 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-18 | Gerleman Rebecca | officer: svp, chief accounting officer | A-Grant/Award | 115,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | KELTER JEFFREY E | director | P-Purchase | 100,000 | $1.09 | $109K | Filing |
| 2026-08-20 | KELTER JEFFREY E | director | P-Purchase | 50,000 | $1.16 | $58K | Filing |
| 2026-08-19 | KELTER JEFFREY E | director | P-Purchase | 50,000 | $1.20 | $60K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Associates III - NQ L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 20,933 | $1.04 | $22K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - FD L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 20,933 | $1.04 | $22K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | BTO DE GP - NQ L.L.C. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 20,933 | $1.04 | $22K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Inc. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 20,933 | $1.04 | $22K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Holdings II L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 20,933 | $1.04 | $22K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | SCHWARZMAN STEPHEN A | 10% owner | S-Sale | 46,817 | $1.04 | $49K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | BTO - NQ Side-by-Side GP L.L.C. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 46,817 | $1.04 | $49K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Family Tactical Opportunities Investment Partnership III - NQ - ESC L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 46,817 | $1.04 | $49K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | BTO DE GP - NQ L.L.C. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 46,817 | $1.04 | $49K | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | BTO - NQ Side-by-Side GP L.L.C. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,710,374 | $1.04 | $2.8M | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Family Tactical Opportunities Investment Partnership III - NQ - ESC L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,710,374 | $1.04 | $2.8M | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | BTO DE GP - NQ L.L.C. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,710,374 | $1.04 | $2.8M | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Associates III - NQ L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,710,374 | $1.04 | $2.8M | Filing |
| 2026-08-11 | Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - FD L.P. | 10% owner | S-Sale | 2,710,374 | $1.04 | $2.8M | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc. | 9,624,610 | $18M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FIRST MANHATTAN CO. LLC. | 6,020,430 | $12M | +256,875 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Cerity Partners LLC | 2,445,657 | $5M | +2,230,299 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1,219,770 | $2M | +60,252 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 868,374 | $2M | -153,150 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 326,305 | $627K | -5,090 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Pathstone Holdings, LLC | 296,192 | $569K | +296,192 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 291,470 | $560K | +52,510 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 255,583 | $491K | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Peterson Wealth Advisors, LLC | 233,323 | $448K | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| HighMark Wealth Management LLC | 220,162 | $365K | +90,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 181,987 | $349K | +27,420 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 175,241 | $336K | -1,712 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| KIECKHEFER GROUP LLC | 168,366 | $323K | -40,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 101,280 | $194K | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| XTX Topco Ltd | 87,724 | $168K | +11,881 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 59,136 | $114K | -9,206 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Apollon Wealth Management, LLC | 39,000 | $75K | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Squarepoint Ops LLC | 36,403 | $70K | -16,281 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Ruggaard & Associates LLC | 29,955 | $58K | +29,955 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |