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BAER NASDAQ

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1W: -15.9% 1M: -38.0% 3M: -75.4% YTD: -74.5% 1Y: -73.3% 3Y: -88.4% 5Y: -95.2%
$0.47
+0.00 (+0.54%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±13.5%
$0 $0 $0 $1 $1
NASDAQ · Industrials · Security & Protection Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 31 · $27.4M mcap · 40M float · 2.16% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 93% of companies Debt: 90.7% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the riskiest tenth, about 1 in 20 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.18 (down 60%), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $267.9M against a stock market value of $27.4M.
Distance to default 1.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $119.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 80.0%; Altman Z -1.16. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
#15 of 41
Security & Protection Services
Industrials · Micro Cap · 36 peers
Market Share
0.3%
Top 4 Concentration: 63.1%

Technical Signal Map

5 Bullish
6 Neutral
26 Bearish
BAER $30M
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
BEARISH -82
NSSC $1.4B
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
BULLISH +84
SPCB $60M
SuperCom Ltd.
BULLISH +43
WCCP $10M
Wealthcraft Capital, Inc.
BULLISH +32
HCGS —
HighCom Global Security, Inc.
LEAN BULL +18
GKPRF $140M
Gatekeeper Systems Inc.
LEAN BULL +11
PTEFF —
Pioneering Technology Corp.
NEUTRAL +9
RSKIA $100M
George Risk Industries, Inc.
NEUTRAL +2
BLPG —
Blue Line Protection Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL +2
EVLV $830M
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL -5
DRNG —
Drone Guarder, Inc.
NEUTRAL -7
CIX $450M
CompX International Inc.
NEUTRAL -8
DIGTF $10M
Thruvision Group plc
LEAN BEAR -12
SKVY —
Sentry Technology Corp.
LEAN BEAR -16
SNT $30M
Senstar Technologies Ltd.
LEAN BEAR -23
NL $330M
NLI Holdings, Inc.
LEAN BEAR -26
HWSY —
Hawk Systems, Inc.
BEARISH -33
WOAM —
World Am, Inc.
BEARISH -33
ALXXF $20M
Avante Logixx Inc.
BEARISH -34
EKCS —
Electronic Control Security Inc.
BEARISH -40
SUGP —
SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
BEARISH -41
MIHL —
Montague International Holding Ltd.
BEARISH -42
ZDCAF $390M
Zedcor Inc
BEARISH -50
DETX $10M
Liberty Defense Holdings, Ltd.
BEARISH -56
SNTL $20M
Sentinel Holdings Ltd.
BEARISH -58
GFAI $10M
Guardforce AI Co., Limited
BEARISH -58
MG $690M
Mistras Group, Inc.
BEARISH -60
RZAI $150M
Roze AI Inc.
BEARISH -62
CVAS —
Creative Vistas, Inc.
BEARISH -65
AGSS —
Ameriguard Security Services, Inc.
BEARISH -65
SHGI —
Sparx Holdings Group, Inc.
BEARISH -82
BAERW $20M
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant
BEARISH -91
KSCP $10M
Knightscope, Inc.
BEARISH -91
IVDA —
Iveda Solutions, Inc.
BEARISH -91
GWSN —
Gulf West Security Network, Inc.
BEARISH -91
EBWK —
Enigma-Bulwark, Limited
BEARISH -91
ABPR —
Airborne Security & Protective Services, Inc.
BEARISH -100

Peer Comparison

Symbol Mkt Cap P/E ROE % ROIC % Net Mgn % Rev Grw % Piotroski Signal 1Y Ret %
BAER Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock $30M -0.6 -32.4 0.2 -1.6 -8.7 1 BEARISH -73.3
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc. $1.4B 32.8 23.9 67.2 31.8 11.4 7 BULLISH -9.6
SPCB SuperCom Ltd. $60M 60.2 26.1 8.8 13.7 7.0 4 BULLISH -13.6
WCCP Wealthcraft Capital, Inc. $10M -278.8 -182.4 -26.5 — -71.6 3 BULLISH 21704.5
HCGS HighCom Global Security, Inc. — 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.8 20.4 5 LEAN BULL 0.0
GKPRF Gatekeeper Systems Inc. $140M -131.0 -3.4 -3.9 18.7 23.5 4 LEAN BULL -35.3
PTEFF Pioneering Technology Corp. — -2.1 -32.6 -27.2 19.4 -13.2 5 NEUTRAL 1900.0
RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. $100M 10.4 15.5 34.9 32.0 13.9 6 NEUTRAL 23.5
BLPG Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. — 1.9 -109.2 71.4 9.2 -0.4 7 NEUTRAL 12.1
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. $830M -176.2 -4.9 -27.6 -21.3 41.7 6 NEUTRAL -44.4
DRNG Drone Guarder, Inc. — -0.0 227.7 98.2 — — 1 NEUTRAL -66.7
CIX CompX International Inc. $450M 20.4 15.0 21.5 16.7 6.0 6 NEUTRAL 59.8
DIGTF Thruvision Group plc $10M -1.6 -70.7 -95.5 -41.4 44.8 4 LEAN BEAR 60.2
SKVY Sentry Technology Corp. — -0.0 37.4 -114.5 -27.3 -3.8 3 LEAN BEAR 0.0
SNT Senstar Technologies Ltd. $30M 74.3 1.2 1.2 3.4 -3.2 4 LEAN BEAR -68.2
NL NLI Holdings, Inc. $330M -13.0 -6.7 4.4 20.5 6.0 5 LEAN BEAR 11.2
HWSY Hawk Systems, Inc. — -0.0 141.1 132.4 — — 2 BEARISH 0.0
WOAM World Am, Inc. — -0.0 47.6 -93.5 -69.3 204.9 3 BEARISH 0.0
ALXXF Avante Logixx Inc. $20M -15.3 -25.5 1.6 -3.4 11.2 5 BEARISH 92.2
EKCS Electronic Control Security Inc. — 0.1 50.4 39.4 -128.0 20.4 5 BEARISH 100.0
SUGP SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares — -0.4 -19.8 -21.4 -16.5 160.4 4 BEARISH -99.3
MIHL Montague International Holding Ltd. — -0.0 97.0 18.2 -37047.3 -66.9 4 BEARISH 0.0
ZDCAF Zedcor Inc $390M — — — — — — BEARISH —
DETX Liberty Defense Holdings, Ltd. $10M — — — — — — BEARISH —
SNTL Sentinel Holdings Ltd. $20M — — — — — — BEARISH —
GFAI Guardforce AI Co., Limited $10M -0.6 -23.2 -39.4 -17.0 -4.6 1 BEARISH -82.3
MG Mistras Group, Inc. $690M 24.2 11.8 9.8 3.9 5.2 8 BEARISH 103.6
RZAI Roze AI Inc. $150M — — — — — — BEARISH —
CVAS Creative Vistas, Inc. — 0.0 29.3 -110.4 -16.8 -63.9 1 BEARISH 0.0
AGSS Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. — 4.8 84.1 -28.6 -24.6 -11.6 2 BEARISH -66.4
SHGI Sparx Holdings Group, Inc. — -25.7 -69.9 5200.9 — — 4 BEARISH -85.7
BAERW Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant $20M -0.6 -32.4 0.2 -1.6 -8.7 1 BEARISH -35.0
KSCP Knightscope, Inc. $10M -0.1 -201.3 -137.9 -156.1 88.0 5 BEARISH -91.4
IVDA Iveda Solutions, Inc. — -0.3 -91.9 -174.1 -99.0 -36.0 5 BEARISH -82.2
GWSN Gulf West Security Network, Inc. — -0.0 3.3 21.2 -3560.4 -15.4 2 BEARISH 0.0
EBWK Enigma-Bulwark, Limited — -0.0 24.1 35.3 -128.1 154.1 4 BEARISH 0.0
ABPR Airborne Security & Protective Services, Inc. — — — — — — — BEARISH 0.0

Profile Radar

Valuation vs Profitability

Performance Comparison

Industry Market Share

BAER vs Benchmarks

ROIC
BAER
0.2
Industry
4.5
Gross Margin
BAER
37.1
Industry
37.7
Op Margin
BAER
19.7
Industry
7.6
Net Margin
BAER
-1.6
Industry
2.5
Sector
-7.1
Revenue Growth
BAER
-8.7
Sector
1.7
P/E Ratio
BAER
-0.6
Sector
13.9
ROE
BAER
-32.4
Sector
-8.7
Piotroski F
BAER
1.0
Sector
4.0

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms