BF-B NYSE
Brown-Forman Corporation
1W: +1.5%
1M: +9.5%
3M: -2.6%
YTD: +11.9%
1Y: +5.5%
3Y: -44.2%
5Y: -54.3%
$28.51
-0.44 (-1.52%)
After Hours: $29.15 (+0.64, +2.24%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$27
$28
$29
$31
$32
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 66% of companies Debt: 15.2% of company value Bonds: $36.6M held by 67 funds, 65 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.46 (down 98%), Brown-Forman Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.44B against a stock market value of $13.66B.
Distance to default 6.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-31, debt counted $1.40B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 37.2%; Altman Z 4.35. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.46 (down 98%), Brown-Forman Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.44B against a stock market value of $13.66B.
Distance to default 6.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-31, debt counted $1.40B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 37.2%; Altman Z 4.35. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Weather
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+4.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+3.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+4.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+3.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+11.9%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
26%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
-1.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
45% win
23% vol
Feb
20yr
☀️
-0.1%
Midterm
⛅
+2.4%
70% win
22% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+0.1%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
50% win
36% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+1.6%
Midterm
☀️
+6.5%
70% win
27% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+2.8%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
55% win
23% vol
Jun
20yr
⛅
+3.4%
Midterm
☀️
+5.9%
60% win
30% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+4.7%
Midterm
☀️
+9.4%
60% win
22% vol
Aug
20yr
☁️
+5.6%
Midterm
☀️
+9.6%
50% win
23% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+5.0%
Midterm
☀️
+7.4%
50% win
25% vol
Oct
20yr
☁️
+4.3%
Midterm
⛅
+4.7%
52% win
26% vol
Now:
+8.8%
Nov
20yr
☀️
+7.9%
Midterm
☀️
+10.3%
70% win
25% vol
Dec
20yr
☁️
-0.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.1%
45% win
27% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +11.9%