— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: BFS (NYSE) · $vol 3M · BFS-PE (NYSE) · $vol 0M

BFS-PD NYSE

Saul Centers, Inc.
1W: +2.8% 1M: -7.9% 3M: -8.0% YTD: -7.1% 1Y: -12.9% 3Y: +5.7% 5Y: -2.8%
$19.15
+0.15 (+0.79%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$18 $19 $19 $20 $20
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Retail · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 34 · $709.7M mcap · 20M float · 0.012% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. BFS-PD receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-08-12 B+ B
2026-08-10 B B+
2026-08-07 B+ B
2026-07-06 B- B+
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-02-02 B- B
2026-01-30 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 40 Grade C
Profitability
60
Balance Sheet
21
Earnings Quality
73
Growth
33
Value
62
Momentum
64
Safety
15
Cash Flow
63
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BFS-PD scores highest in Earnings Quality (73/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.28
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.40
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 26.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.95x
Accruals: -3.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BFS-PD scores 0.28, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BFS-PD scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BFS-PD's score of -2.44 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BFS-PD's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BFS-PD receives an estimated rating of B (score: 26.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). BFS-PD's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
21.09x
PEG
2.53x
P/S
2.45x
P/B
2.47x
P/FCF
5.73x
P/OCF
4.83x
EV/EBITDA
11.62x
EV/Revenue
6.93x
EV/EBIT
17.73x
EV/FCF
24.14x
Earnings Yield
7.01%
FCF Yield
17.46%
Shareholder Yield
13.80%
Graham Number
$19.89
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 21.1x earnings, BFS-PD commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 7.0% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $19.89 per share, suggesting a potential 4% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.825
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.358
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.391
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.141
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
6.953
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BFS-PD's ROE of 11.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 6.95x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$12.24
Price/Value
1.68x
Margin of Safety
-67.79%
Premium
67.79%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with BFS-PD's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. BFS-PD trades at a 68% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $12.24, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 21.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$19.15
Median 1Y
$18.87
5th Pctile
$12.18
95th Pctile
$29.27
Ann. Volatility
26.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
D. Todd Pearson
President and Chief Operating Officer
$1,101,469 $883,947 $2,266,842
Carlos L. Heard
Senior Vice President - Chief Financial Officer
$547,186 $101,023 $787,177
John F. Collich
Senior Vice President-Chief Acquisitions and Development Officer
$521,219 $75,767 $771,592
Zachary M. Friedlis
Senior Vice President- Retail Leasing
$514,593 $75,767 $754,395

CEO Pay Ratio

4:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,384,835
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $384,743
Employees: 70

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
70
+1.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$4,165,214
Rev: $291,565,000
Profit / Employee
$535,871
NI: $37,511,000
SGA / Employee
$384,743
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 11.3% 12.6% 12.2% 12.2% 11.9% 12.5% 12.6% 12.6% 12.9% 14.1% 14.2% 14.6% 15.2% 14.8% 13.9% 12.9% 11.9% 11.7% 11.7% 11.3% 11.28%
ROA 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.62%
ROIC 7.6% 7.9% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 6.9% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 7.5% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8% 5.7% 10.9% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 6.81%
ROCE 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 10.2% 10.6% 6.0% 5.6% 5.61%
Gross Margin 74.5% 75.0% 72.7% 75.5% 73.7% 73.2% 74.2% 74.2% 72.8% 56.4% 72.8% 74.2% 73.6% 72.2% 69.8% 72.6% 88.7% 69.2% 69.1% 70.9% 70.88%
Operating Margin 28.0% 65.0% 65.0% 66.1% 25.4% 24.7% 65.8% 65.3% 26.2% 44.9% 46.0% 47.2% 29.1% 39.9% 41.2% 43.6% 79.4% 37.4% 15.4% 41.1% 41.12%
Net Margin 21.8% 20.3% 21.5% 21.6% 19.6% 19.0% 21.4% 20.7% 20.1% 19.7% 20.4% 21.6% 21.5% 11.9% 13.6% 15.1% 14.6% 8.7% 11.7% 11.4% 11.40%
EBITDA Margin 66.1% 63.1% 63.3% 64.4% 62.8% 62.2% 64.2% 63.5% 63.9% 63.1% 64.1% 64.6% 64.4% 61.1% 60.6% 62.8% 57.9% 57.7% 60.8% 62.1% 62.11%
FCF Margin 46.6% 49.5% 50.9% 48.6% 55.5% 55.0% 53.2% 54.9% 45.2% 45.7% 44.2% 43.5% 46.7% 45.1% 43.0% 40.4% 37.6% 34.4% 33.3% 28.7% 28.73%
OCF Margin 46.6% 49.5% 50.9% 48.6% 49.8% 49.3% 47.5% 49.3% 45.2% 45.7% 44.2% 43.5% 46.7% 45.1% 43.0% 40.4% 37.6% 34.4% 33.3% 34.0% 34.04%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.60%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.26%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.08%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.26%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.81%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.76%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.43%
CROIC snapshot only 4.58%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 42.66%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 13.99%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.19%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.74%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 10.35 9.84 9.06 8.40 8.14 8.23 8.60 8.92 8.54 9.48 9.18 8.23 9.20 9.53 10.23 11.36 13.82 13.19 13.30 14.26 21.091
P/S Ratio 1.99 1.99 1.92 1.79 1.69 1.68 1.75 1.80 1.73 1.94 1.86 1.68 1.91 1.80 1.75 1.76 1.91 1.71 1.65 1.65 2.448
P/B Ratio 1.07 1.18 1.15 1.07 1.02 1.03 1.09 1.14 1.11 1.43 1.40 1.29 1.50 1.44 1.46 1.52 1.71 1.61 1.62 1.68 2.466
P/FCF 4.26 4.02 3.78 3.68 3.04 3.06 3.30 3.28 3.84 4.24 4.20 3.87 4.10 3.98 4.07 4.36 5.08 4.96 4.96 5.73 5.727
P/OCF 4.26 4.02 3.78 3.68 3.39 3.41 3.69 3.65 3.84 4.24 4.20 3.87 4.10 3.98 4.07 4.36 5.08 4.96 4.96 4.83 4.833
EV/EBITDA 10.47 10.41 10.19 10.18 10.33 10.45 10.69 10.96 11.06 11.45 11.35 11.13 11.65 11.74 11.75 11.85 9.06 12.11 11.73 11.62 11.621
EV/Revenue 6.73 6.71 6.57 6.54 6.55 6.60 6.78 6.93 7.02 7.29 7.22 7.11 7.46 7.46 7.36 7.37 5.49 7.23 7.01 6.93 6.934
EV/EBIT 15.43 15.11 14.50 14.49 14.72 14.97 15.23 15.51 15.54 15.96 15.86 15.59 16.21 16.67 17.00 17.39 13.59 18.35 17.77 17.73 17.729
EV/FCF 14.42 13.57 12.91 13.45 11.80 12.01 12.74 12.62 15.55 15.95 16.34 16.36 15.97 16.54 17.13 18.26 14.58 21.01 21.05 24.14 24.135
Earnings Yield 9.7% 10.2% 11.0% 11.9% 12.3% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 11.7% 10.5% 10.9% 12.1% 10.9% 10.5% 9.8% 8.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.01%
FCF Yield 23.4% 24.8% 26.5% 27.2% 32.8% 32.7% 30.3% 30.5% 26.0% 23.6% 23.8% 25.8% 24.4% 25.1% 24.6% 22.9% 19.7% 20.2% 20.2% 17.5% 17.46%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.531
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.680
EV/OCF snapshot only 20.369
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 9.340
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 16.254
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 13.80%
Graham Number snapshot only $19.89
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.52 0.49 0.35 0.25 0.32 0.31 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.21 0.07 0.06 0.35 1.35 1.353
Quick Ratio 0.52 0.49 0.35 0.25 0.32 0.31 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.21 0.07 0.06 0.35 1.35 1.353
Debt/Equity 2.57 2.82 2.81 2.87 2.95 3.05 3.16 3.27 3.41 3.98 4.06 4.17 4.37 4.56 4.70 4.85 3.23 5.23 5.29 5.42 5.421
Net Debt/Equity 2.54 2.79 2.78 2.84 2.92 3.02 3.13 3.24 3.40 3.96 4.04 4.15 4.35 4.53 4.68 4.84 3.19 5.20 5.26 5.40 5.401
Debt/Assets 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.47 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.743
Debt/EBITDA 7.45 7.42 7.29 7.47 7.73 7.88 8.00 8.19 8.37 8.46 8.47 8.54 8.70 8.97 9.00 9.05 5.97 9.31 9.02 8.90 8.896
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.37 7.32 7.21 7.40 7.66 7.79 7.92 8.12 8.33 8.41 8.43 8.50 8.66 8.91 8.96 9.02 5.90 9.26 8.97 8.86 8.864
Interest Coverage 8.63 4.65 10.12 10.09 9.98 — — — — — — 10.29 5.15 2.96 2.06 1.90 1.71 1.63 1.61 1.54 1.540
Equity Multiplier 3.93 4.31 4.33 4.39 4.47 4.58 4.71 4.82 4.98 5.72 5.85 5.99 6.18 6.33 6.49 6.64 6.85 7.03 7.15 7.30 7.298
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.116
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.350
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.004
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.054
Defensive Interval snapshot only 262.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.141
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 3.72 3.87 4.08 4.21 4.04 4.28 4.53 4.65 4.38 4.59 4.91 5.02 4.59 5.03 5.24 5.25 4.76 5.19 5.29 5.24 5.237
Payables Turnover 2.25 2.47 1.85 1.74 1.90 1.88 1.34 1.36 1.34 1.59 1.37 1.30 1.37 1.40 1.32 1.32 2.30 1.75 1.62 1.78 1.779
DSO 98 94 90 87 90 85 81 78 83 80 74 73 79 73 70 70 77 70 69 70 69.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 162 148 197 210 193 194 273 268 273 230 267 281 266 261 276 276 158 209 226 205 205.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -64 -54 -108 -124 -102 -109 -192 -190 -190 -150 -193 -209 -186 -189 -206 -206 -82 -138 -157 -135 -135.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 51.421
Capital Intensity snapshot only 7.146
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 3.9% 2.7% 2.8% 1.7% 3.0% 3.7% 4.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 4.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.74%
Net Income 4.1% 19.8% 37.8% 23.8% 11.0% 3.7% -2.3% -2.5% 1.5% 5.0% 4.9% 7.2% 8.6% -3.9% -11.4% -20.4% -29.9% -25.9% -21.3% -19.1% -19.09%
EPS 2.6% 17.5% 35.7% 22.0% 9.6% 2.8% -2.8% -2.7% 1.3% 4.7% 4.6% 6.9% 8.2% -4.7% -11.7% -20.7% -30.1% -25.7% -21.4% -19.1% -19.09%
FCF 22.8% 51.0% 41.8% 14.4% 22.3% 14.2% 6.2% 16.2% -15.6% -12.9% -12.0% -16.3% 9.6% 3.0% 2.0% -2.4% -15.0% -17.7% -16.2% -22.6% -22.65%
EBITDA 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.7% -0.0% 1.3% 3.8% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 6.9% 4.2% 3.2% 2.3% -0.2% 1.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.28%
Op. Income 60.3% 25.0% 62.9% 19.3% 12.9% -8.3% -18.0% -16.4% -14.6% 16.9% 6.1% -4.3% -2.8% -16.1% -9.4% -1.7% 29.3% 33.7% 18.8% 20.3% 20.27%
OCF Growth snapshot only -8.34%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.92%
Equity Growth snapshot only -8.21%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.52%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 0.56%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 11.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.8% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 6.5% 6.50%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — 34.3% 17.3% 8.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 5.3% 5.27%
EPS 3Y 10.1% 3.5% 7.5% 7.2% 4.8% 2.0% 0.2% 1.7% 4.4% 8.1% 11.3% 8.2% 6.3% 0.8% -3.5% -6.2% -8.5% -9.5% -10.1% -11.8% -11.82%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — 29.9% 16.1% 8.2% 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 4.8% 1.1% -1.5% -2.3% -2.9% -2.2% -0.9% -4.0% -4.04%
Net Income 3Y 12.1% 5.1% 9.1% 8.7% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 2.7% 5.5% 9.3% 12.2% 9.0% 7.0% 1.5% -3.1% -5.9% -8.2% -9.3% -9.9% -11.6% -11.61%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — 31.9% 17.9% 9.7% 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 2.0% -0.7% -1.6% -2.2% -1.5% -0.3% -3.6% -3.56%
EBITDA 3Y 4.2% -1.9% -7.3% -8.0% -8.7% -9.6% -5.8% -1.2% 3.7% 4.3% 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 3.5% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 3.7% 4.2% 4.5% 4.49%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — 42.8% 14.5% 3.6% 0.1% -3.3% -3.4% -3.3% -4.0% -1.7% 1.1% 3.6% 3.7% 4.1% 3.8% 3.76%
Gross Profit 3Y 10.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.0% 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 3.5% 5.8% 6.2% 6.6% 6.7% 6.70%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — 33.9% 16.7% 7.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.7% 5.2% 5.4% 5.9% 5.4% 5.44%
Op. Income 3Y 36.5% 24.7% 28.4% 27.3% 27.8% 20.1% 9.8% 13.3% 15.6% 10.2% 12.3% -1.5% -2.1% -3.5% -7.6% -7.7% 2.4% 9.5% 4.5% 4.2% 4.19%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — 49.7% 30.3% 19.6% 15.7% 13.0% 10.6% 11.6% 11.2% 4.9% 6.5% 14.2% 8.5% 8.8% 2.4% 2.45%
FCF 3Y 13.9% 2.4% 2.1% -0.6% 4.8% 5.4% 6.1% 13.7% 8.2% 14.5% 9.8% 3.6% 4.2% 0.8% -1.6% -1.7% -7.7% -9.6% -9.1% -14.2% -14.17%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — 38.5% 20.7% 8.8% 1.3% -0.1% -0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.9% 2.5% -3.4% -3.41%
OCF 3Y 13.9% 2.4% 2.1% -0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 9.8% 8.2% 14.5% 9.8% 3.6% 4.2% 0.8% -1.6% -1.7% -4.3% -6.3% -5.6% -5.9% -5.87%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — 35.4% 18.1% 8.8% 1.3% -0.1% -0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.9% 2.5% -0.1% -0.08%
Assets 3Y 4.9% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 6.6% 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.2% 5.7% 4.9% 4.2% 4.24%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — 5.5% 5.7% 5.4% 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% 5.1% 5.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.45%
Equity 3Y 8.4% 4.4% 4.0% 3.4% -5.2% 2.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% -1.5% -7.7% -7.9% -8.3% -6.1% -6.8% -7.4% -7.9% -8.4% -8.7% -9.2% -9.21%
Book Value 3Y 6.6% 2.8% 2.4% 2.0% -6.4% 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% -2.5% -8.4% -8.5% -8.8% -6.7% -7.2% -7.7% -8.2% -8.7% -8.9% -9.4% -9.43%
Dividend 3Y -1.5% -0.7% -0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% -0.5% -0.5% -0.6% -0.6% -0.6% -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.05%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.63 0.34 0.35 0.42 0.48 0.67 0.75 0.81 0.91 0.80 0.75 0.82 0.86 0.93 0.95 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.951
Earnings Stability 0.80 0.26 0.61 0.73 0.88 0.54 0.61 0.72 0.89 0.71 0.49 0.75 0.96 0.58 0.12 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.173
Margin Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.970
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.92 0.85 0.90 0.96 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.95 0.92 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.924
Earnings Smoothness 0.96 0.82 0.68 0.79 0.90 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.96 0.88 0.77 0.65 0.70 0.76 0.79 0.789
ROE Trend -0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.027
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.037
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.08 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.09 -0.08 -0.11 -0.10 -0.13 -0.132
Sustainable Growth Rate -3.9% -3.6% -2.8% -3.0% -3.5% -4.1% -4.2% -4.3% -4.1% -4.1% -4.1% -3.8% -3.3% -5.1% -6.3% -7.5% -8.9% -9.6% -10.0% -10.9% -10.91%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.43 2.45 2.40 2.28 2.40 2.41 2.33 2.44 2.22 2.23 2.19 2.13 2.24 2.39 2.52 2.60 2.72 2.66 2.68 2.95 2.951
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.84 0.844
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.490
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.571
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 5.31%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.258
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.032
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.078
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.215
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 13.0% 13.1% 13.6% 14.8% 15.9% 16.2% 15.6% 15.1% 15.5% 13.6% 14.0% 15.3% 13.3% 14.1% 14.2% 13.9% 12.6% 13.8% 14.0% 13.8% 7.82%
Dividend/Share $2.60 $2.61 $2.65 $2.69 $2.73 $2.78 $2.80 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.80 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.82 $2.83 $2.36
Payout Ratio 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 1.97%
FCF Payout Ratio 55.6% 52.5% 51.2% 54.5% 48.5% 49.4% 51.3% 49.4% 59.4% 57.7% 58.9% 59.1% 54.4% 56.2% 57.9% 60.8% 64.2% 68.5% 69.3% 79.0% 79.01%
Total Payout Ratio 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 1.97%
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.20 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.144
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -2.4% -3.0% -3.2% -3.6% -3.2% -2.0% -1.3% -0.5% -0.5% -0.4% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.4% -0.6% -2.0% -3.3% -3.31%
Total Shareholder Return 10.6% 10.0% 10.4% 11.2% 12.7% 14.2% 14.3% 14.6% 15.0% 13.1% 13.5% 14.7% 12.8% 13.6% 13.7% 13.4% 12.2% 13.2% 12.0% 10.5% 10.49%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.825
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.56 0.53 0.48 0.42 0.40 0.38 0.36 0.358
EBIT Margin 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.391
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.141
Equity Multiplier 4.22 4.41 4.12 4.15 4.19 4.44 4.52 4.60 4.72 5.11 5.24 5.37 5.54 6.02 6.16 6.30 6.50 6.66 6.80 6.95 6.953
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.92 $2.03 $2.15 $2.16 $2.11 $2.09 $2.09 $2.10 $2.13 $2.19 $2.19 $2.24 $2.31 $2.08 $1.94 $1.78 $1.61 $1.55 $1.52 $1.44 $1.44
Book Value/Share $18.69 $17.03 $16.97 $16.93 $16.87 $16.68 $16.50 $16.44 $16.36 $14.47 $14.40 $14.33 $14.15 $13.82 $13.57 $13.31 $13.07 $12.71 $12.46 $12.22 $19.40
Tangible Book/Share $18.69 $17.03 $16.97 $16.93 $16.87 $16.68 $16.50 $16.44 $16.36 $14.47 $14.40 $14.33 $14.15 $13.82 $13.57 $13.31 $13.07 $12.34 $12.46 $12.22 $12.22
Revenue/Share $10.01 $10.06 $10.15 $10.13 $10.16 $10.24 $10.27 $10.41 $10.51 $10.70 $10.84 $10.97 $11.09 $11.06 $11.33 $11.47 $11.67 $11.97 $12.23 $12.48 $12.49
FCF/Share $4.67 $4.97 $5.17 $4.93 $5.64 $5.63 $5.46 $5.71 $4.75 $4.89 $4.79 $4.77 $5.18 $4.99 $4.87 $4.63 $4.39 $4.12 $4.08 $3.58 $3.59
OCF/Share $4.67 $4.97 $5.17 $4.93 $5.06 $5.05 $4.88 $5.13 $4.75 $4.89 $4.79 $4.77 $5.18 $4.99 $4.87 $4.63 $4.39 $4.12 $4.08 $4.25 $4.25
Cash/Share $0.50 $0.61 $0.52 $0.47 $0.43 $0.55 $0.49 $0.48 $0.27 $0.35 $0.29 $0.28 $0.30 $0.42 $0.27 $0.22 $0.49 $0.36 $0.39 $0.24 $0.24
EBITDA/Share $6.43 $6.48 $6.54 $6.51 $6.44 $6.46 $6.51 $6.57 $6.67 $6.81 $6.90 $7.01 $7.10 $7.03 $7.09 $7.14 $7.07 $7.15 $7.31 $7.45 $7.45
Debt/Share $47.94 $48.09 $47.70 $48.60 $49.76 $50.93 $52.07 $53.82 $55.83 $57.59 $58.46 $59.82 $61.80 $63.06 $63.84 $64.61 $42.21 $66.49 $65.96 $66.23 $66.23
Net Debt/Share $47.43 $47.47 $47.18 $48.13 $49.33 $50.38 $51.57 $53.35 $55.55 $57.24 $58.16 $59.53 $61.51 $62.64 $63.57 $64.39 $41.72 $66.13 $65.58 $65.99 $65.99
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.277
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.196
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 3 3 5 5 6 7 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.69 -2.76 -2.75 -2.73 -2.72 -2.67 -2.71 -2.67 -2.60 -2.46 -2.57 -2.57 -2.58 -2.81 -2.64 -2.62 -2.73 -2.41 -2.42 -2.44 -2.443
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.399
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.60%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-66.94
EVA snapshot only $-60493400.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 36.40 30.45 39.20 39.20 36.70 37.10 37.10 36.10 35.20 35.20 35.20 35.20 30.20 22.70 22.70 20.20 19.20 14.70 19.20 26.85 26.850
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only 6.650
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000

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