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BLBD NASDAQ

Blue Bird Corporation
1W: -2.7% 1M: -8.4% 3M: -27.5% YTD: +20.9% 1Y: +1.8% 3Y: +174.8% 5Y: +179.6%
$56.53
+0.93 (+1.67%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$52 $54 $57 $59 $61
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 35 · $1.8B mcap · 31M float · 1.63% daily turnover · Short 57% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 25.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 15.8%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
31
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
75
Scale ★
95
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. BLBD shows a Weak competitive edge (42.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 25.1% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$93
Low
$94
Avg Target
$95
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 5, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 11Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$91.00
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-08-10 Roth Capital — $94 $93 -1 +43.8% $64.66
2026-08-06 BTIG Gregory Lewis Initiated $95 — +23.5% $76.93
2026-07-20 Barclays — $75 $85 +10 +8.5% $78.34
2026-06-25 Roth Capital Craig Irwin $48 $94 +46 +24.7% $75.37
2026-06-09 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky $76 $86 +10 +19.7% $71.86
2026-05-07 Needham — $78 $86 +8 +8.9% $78.94
2026-05-07 Barclays — $55 $75 +20 +15.3% $65.04
2026-02-05 Needham — $70 $78 +8 +45.5% $53.60
2026-02-05 Barclays — $43 $55 +12 +10.7% $49.69
2025-11-25 D.A. Davidson — $66 $76 +10 +44.8% $52.50
2025-11-03 Needham Chris Pierce $66 $70 +4 +40.1% $49.96
2024-11-11 Needham Chris Pierce $52 $66 +14 +53.8% $42.91
2024-10-03 Roth Capital Craig Irwin $29 $48 +19 +4.4% $45.99
2024-08-08 Bank of America Securities Sherif El-Sabbahy Initiated $66 — +36.0% $48.52
2024-05-24 Craig-Hallum Eric Stine Initiated $65 — +18.2% $55.01
2024-05-22 Barclays Adam Seiden Initiated $43 — -21.0% $54.45
2024-05-20 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky Initiated $66 — +24.3% $53.08
2024-05-09 Needham Chris Pierce Initiated $52 — +7.7% $48.27
2022-05-12 Roth Capital Craig Irwin Initiated $29 — +118.7% $13.26

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
4
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. BLBD receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-02 A+ A
2026-08-06 A A+
2026-07-01 A- A
2026-06-29 A A-
2026-04-16 A- A
2026-04-14 A A-
2026-04-13 A- A
2026-04-09 B+ A-
2026-04-01 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 68 Grade B
Profitability
73
Balance Sheet
77
Earnings Quality
56
Growth
74
Value
65
Momentum
74
Safety
100
Cash Flow
56
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BLBD scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (56/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
5.38
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-0.28
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.81
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 91.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.64x
Accruals: 11.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BLBD scores 5.38, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BLBD scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BLBD's score of -0.28 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BLBD's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BLBD receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 91.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). BLBD's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
6.69x
PEG
0.05x
P/S
1.11x
P/B
2.96x
P/FCF
18.09x
P/OCF
15.35x
EV/EBITDA
33.70x
EV/Revenue
1.72x
EV/EBIT
46.75x
EV/FCF
18.08x
Earnings Yield
10.17%
FCF Yield
5.53%
Shareholder Yield
0.94%
Graham Number
$57.97
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 6.7x earnings, BLBD trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 10.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $57.97 per share, suggesting a potential 3% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.866
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
5.496
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.037
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.851
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.987
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
64.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BLBD's ROE of 64.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.851), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$308.66
Price/Value
0.26x
Margin of Safety
74.47%
Premium
-74.47%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with BLBD's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. BLBD trades at a -74% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $308.66, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 6.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$56.53
Median 1Y
$55.81
5th Pctile
$22.26
95th Pctile
$140.91
Ann. Volatility
57.2%
Analyst Target
$91.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Philip Horlock,
Former President and Chief Executive Officer
$420,513 $4,588,447 $6,567,615
John Wyskiel, Director,
President and Chief Executive Officer
$524,712 $1,176,374 $3,432,264
Razvan Radulescu, Financial
ancial Officer
$574,821 $686,745 $2,854,652
Ted Scartz, SVP
and General Counsel
$428,758 $242,508 $1,399,014

CEO Pay Ratio

97:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $6,567,615
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $67,902
Employees: 2,008

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
2,008
+3.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$737,101
Rev: $1,480,099,000
Profit / Employee
$63,606
NI: $127,720,000
SGA / Employee
$67,902
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 0.5% 35.0% 1.1% 1.8% 3.4% -3.4% -2.5% -1.2% 71.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 84.7% 73.0% 64.5% 61.6% 57.5% 54.5% 64.3% 64.29%
ROA -0.1% -0.8% -3.6% -5.4% -10.3% -13.9% -8.7% -4.4% 5.0% 15.2% 19.5% 23.2% 22.4% 22.4% 21.6% 22.2% 22.2% 22.0% 21.6% 32.4% 32.36%
ROIC 4.4% 1.8% -5.9% -7.1% -14.7% -27.4% -11.7% -0.5% 39.6% 54.9% 81.7% 71.3% 79.5% 73.8% 75.1% 87.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 25.1% 25.13%
ROCE 4.0% 2.4% -5.0% -6.6% -13.9% -27.9% -11.2% -4.2% 23.3% 37.1% 47.9% 51.0% 47.6% 45.4% 43.9% 43.8% 45.5% 43.9% 42.1% 6.9% 6.94%
Gross Margin 6.8% 12.5% 1.5% 10.5% -1.7% 3.2% 11.9% 15.5% 16.5% 20.0% 18.3% 20.8% 17.0% 19.2% 19.7% 21.6% 21.1% 21.4% 20.0% 20.0% 19.99%
Operating Margin -1.3% -1.6% -8.0% 0.9% -8.9% -4.0% 4.2% 6.6% 9.6% 11.9% 10.4% 11.9% 7.3% 10.5% 9.4% 12.6% 12.3% 11.3% 11.1% 12.1% 12.12%
Net Margin -1.2% -3.2% -5.3% -2.4% -8.7% -4.8% 1.8% 3.2% 6.1% 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 7.0% 9.2% 7.3% 9.2% 8.9% 9.2% 8.3% 35.8% 35.82%
EBITDA Margin 1.0% 1.1% -6.1% 2.5% -6.7% -2.9% 5.3% 6.2% 10.9% 12.6% 11.2% 12.5% 9.1% 13.2% 10.9% 13.8% 13.9% 13.0% 12.5% -12.0% -11.99%
FCF Margin -9.7% -12.6% -8.7% -13.8% -3.9% 2.5% 2.5% 9.8% 9.8% 7.4% 9.5% 6.1% 7.1% 9.0% 7.1% 10.7% 11.0% 11.4% 12.3% 9.5% 9.50%
OCF Margin -7.9% -11.1% -7.5% -12.8% -3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 10.5% 10.6% 8.3% 10.3% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 8.1% 11.7% 11.9% 12.4% 13.8% 11.2% 11.20%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 55.92%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -23.09%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 21.85%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 40.15%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 22.25%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.47%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 27.61%
CROIC snapshot only 23.42%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 10.19%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 20.19%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 8.80%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.46%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio -1963.63 -159.51 -46.40 -13.07 -6.29 -6.89 -19.88 -38.75 31.20 14.65 15.82 18.21 15.33 12.17 10.01 12.12 14.90 12.76 13.49 9.83 6.690
P/S Ratio 0.83 0.64 0.84 0.40 0.33 0.38 0.66 0.67 0.61 0.72 1.01 1.39 1.20 0.98 0.80 0.99 1.29 1.10 1.20 1.72 1.110
P/B Ratio -12.12 11.43 22.16 13.34 12.16 -37.30 -590.65 70.17 17.28 11.57 11.99 13.20 10.14 7.32 5.69 6.33 7.45 6.10 6.02 4.23 2.955
P/FCF -8.54 -5.10 -9.68 -2.90 -8.66 15.22 26.44 6.91 6.20 9.72 10.61 22.86 16.88 10.93 11.24 9.24 11.72 9.64 9.76 18.09 18.089
P/OCF — — — — — 12.01 20.84 6.42 5.76 8.72 9.76 19.79 14.56 9.58 9.80 8.44 10.80 8.88 8.69 15.35 15.348
EV/EBITDA 33.28 30.20 289.88 -121.95 -19.84 -15.54 -256.87 82.15 12.34 8.72 9.80 11.88 10.44 8.28 6.77 7.90 9.17 7.73 8.07 33.70 33.697
EV/Revenue 1.07 0.89 1.05 0.66 0.58 0.54 0.78 0.75 0.66 0.77 1.01 1.40 1.18 0.95 0.77 0.93 1.19 1.00 1.08 1.72 1.718
EV/EBIT 94.81 100.77 -66.11 -26.77 -12.01 -10.47 -42.17 -114.26 16.98 10.34 11.24 13.20 11.57 9.18 7.52 8.71 9.98 8.41 8.77 46.75 46.754
EV/FCF -10.99 -7.03 -12.03 -4.81 -14.91 21.67 31.39 7.72 6.68 10.37 10.65 22.98 16.60 10.58 10.85 8.70 10.87 8.75 8.74 18.08 18.082
Earnings Yield -0.1% -0.6% -2.2% -7.7% -15.9% -14.5% -5.0% -2.6% 3.2% 6.8% 6.3% 5.5% 6.5% 8.2% 10.0% 8.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.4% 10.2% 10.17%
FCF Yield -11.7% -19.6% -10.3% -34.5% -11.6% 6.6% 3.8% 14.5% 16.1% 10.3% 9.4% 4.4% 5.9% 9.1% 8.9% 10.8% 8.5% 10.4% 10.2% 5.5% 5.53%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.050
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 12.887
EV/OCF snapshot only 15.342
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.349
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.589
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.94%
Graham Number snapshot only $57.97
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.94 1.46 1.15 1.43 1.43 0.86 0.87 0.92 1.03 1.30 1.23 1.40 1.37 1.44 1.45 1.58 1.74 1.81 1.83 1.64 1.639
Quick Ratio 0.17 0.20 0.23 0.26 0.26 0.16 0.22 0.33 0.44 0.54 0.56 0.66 0.83 0.73 0.73 0.92 1.15 1.21 1.27 0.67 0.674
Debt/Equity -3.72 4.44 5.93 10.00 10.00 -16.44 -126.49 13.09 3.30 1.80 0.93 0.72 0.63 0.52 0.49 0.41 0.35 0.33 0.30 0.18 0.177
Net Debt/Equity — 4.33 5.39 8.79 8.79 — — 8.25 1.32 0.78 0.05 0.07 -0.17 -0.23 -0.20 -0.37 -0.54 -0.56 -0.63 -0.00 -0.002
Debt/Assets 0.48 0.47 0.41 0.47 0.47 0.43 0.39 0.35 0.32 0.32 0.22 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.099
Debt/EBITDA 7.93 8.51 62.38 -55.08 -9.47 -4.81 -46.33 13.71 2.19 1.27 0.76 0.64 0.66 0.61 0.60 0.55 0.47 0.46 0.44 1.41 1.409
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.42 8.30 56.71 -48.44 -8.32 -4.63 -40.51 8.64 0.88 0.55 0.04 0.07 -0.18 -0.27 -0.24 -0.49 -0.72 -0.78 -0.94 -0.01 -0.013
Interest Coverage 0.80 0.56 -1.05 -1.50 -2.62 -2.96 -1.01 -0.38 2.43 5.17 7.52 10.90 13.00 15.66 17.68 20.28 24.54 26.07 27.82 8.70 8.696
Equity Multiplier -7.75 9.46 14.43 21.07 21.07 -38.23 -325.89 37.34 10.44 5.71 4.32 3.41 3.29 2.98 2.86 2.59 2.45 2.37 2.31 1.78 1.781
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.373
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 12.066
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.009
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.323
Defensive Interval snapshot only 438.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.82 2.03 2.01 1.78 1.94 2.54 2.62 2.55 2.57 3.10 3.07 3.03 2.86 2.78 2.71 2.72 2.57 2.55 2.42 1.85 1.851
Inventory Turnover 4.23 5.77 5.39 3.89 4.36 6.49 6.59 5.80 5.65 7.51 7.56 7.70 8.30 7.14 7.09 7.74 8.80 7.79 7.64 5.65 5.647
Receivables Turnover 56.66 123.67 81.98 62.69 68.27 118.85 80.47 89.02 88.58 120.08 100.62 57.22 37.59 107.03 99.69 51.56 37.12 121.09 103.95 43.22 43.220
Payables Turnover 5.86 10.80 6.92 5.61 6.29 9.45 7.56 7.54 7.44 8.54 7.54 7.97 7.79 8.67 7.49 8.22 7.99 9.13 8.39 7.88 7.878
DSO 6 3 4 6 5 3 5 4 4 3 4 6 10 3 4 7 10 3 4 8 8.4 days
DIO 86 63 68 94 84 56 55 63 65 49 48 47 44 51 51 47 41 47 48 65 64.6 days
DPO 62 34 53 65 58 39 48 48 49 43 48 46 47 42 49 44 46 40 43 46 46.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 30 32 19 35 31 21 12 19 20 9 3 8 7 12 6 10 6 10 8 27 26.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.320
Operating Cycle snapshot only 73.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 13.801
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.724
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue -22.2% -20.3% -5.2% -4.9% 17.1% 32.9% 37.7% 47.9% 41.5% 33.9% 26.2% 19.5% 18.9% 10.6% 7.6% 9.3% 9.9% 11.6% 10.1% 13.5% 13.46%
Net Income -1.0% -1.3% -2.2% -2.6% -146.1% -17.1% -1.5% 15.7% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 6.3% 3.8% 81.2% 34.9% 16.5% 21.0% 20.0% 23.0% 1.4% 1.43%
EPS -1.0% -1.2% -2.0% -2.4% -123.9% -14.9% -1.5% 17.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 6.1% 3.6% 76.2% 35.7% 20.3% 24.3% 22.7% 24.2% 1.3% 1.25%
FCF -3.3% -2.3% -3.2% -2.8% 53.5% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 4.6% 3.0% 3.8% -25.2% -14.0% 33.8% -19.4% 91.9% 69.4% 42.6% 90.8% 0.7% 0.67%
EBITDA -40.9% -44.2% -92.0% -1.1% -2.1% -2.6% -2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 4.4% 43.6% 14.4% 1.5% 43.8% 18.8% 9.3% 26.3% 26.4% 29.1% -51.0% -50.97%
Op. Income -70.3% -77.5% -1.7% -1.9% -7.1% -11.0% -38.4% 97.1% 2.3% 3.1% 7.8% 256.2% 1.7% 35.8% 7.7% -0.4% 20.0% 27.8% 34.2% 33.3% 33.29%
OCF Growth snapshot only 8.44%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.03%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.95%
Debt Growth snapshot only 26.51%
Shares Change snapshot only 7.89%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -12.6% -12.4% -10.5% -10.0% -7.7% -3.7% -2.0% 4.9% 8.8% 12.4% 18.1% 18.9% 25.3% 25.3% 23.2% 24.6% 22.7% 18.2% 14.3% 14.0% 14.03%
Revenue 5Y -6.0% -6.1% -5.3% -5.3% -4.2% -2.3% -0.5% 1.6% 2.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 5.7% 5.0% 8.6% 11.0% 11.9% 14.3% 15.8% 15.83%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — 15.1% 65.5% 81.5% 79.4% — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — -8.7% 5.3% 13.0% 23.4% 28.2% 27.9% 28.6% 52.1% 54.0% 57.9% 58.7% 73.4% 73.37%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — 22.0% 75.8% 93.9% 92.1% — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — -6.4% 9.8% 18.1% 29.2% 34.1% 33.9% 33.9% 57.8% 60.0% 63.9% 64.6% 82.2% 82.19%
EBITDA 3Y -19.8% -25.8% -62.2% — — — — -37.4% 17.5% 43.8% 58.3% 60.0% 90.7% 97.1% 2.9% — — — — 1.0% 1.02%
EBITDA 5Y -8.8% -2.7% -34.7% — — — — -25.6% 7.2% 16.8% 21.7% 23.4% 23.6% 23.4% 22.3% 32.8% 38.9% 40.1% 43.5% 17.0% 17.01%
Gross Profit 3Y -16.1% -15.0% -22.3% -25.3% -35.1% -41.0% -23.3% -9.3% 13.0% 29.7% 38.6% 40.5% 52.5% 50.7% 64.4% 72.4% 1.0% 1.2% 73.4% 57.8% 57.77%
Gross Profit 5Y -11.0% -10.5% -14.5% -15.7% -22.1% -26.5% -13.8% -6.6% 2.6% 10.1% 12.3% 13.7% 13.9% 13.2% 14.2% 19.6% 25.8% 28.6% 30.3% 30.2% 30.16%
Op. Income 3Y -41.9% -51.1% — — — — — — 32.9% 67.8% 90.3% 85.0% 1.8% 2.1% — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y -25.3% -29.1% — — — — — — 9.2% 19.7% 24.8% 25.9% 26.0% 25.7% 24.5% 39.9% 50.0% 52.3% 58.4% 53.1% 53.07%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — 51.3% — — 11.5% 60.8% 13.0% — — — — — 96.8% 94.5% 13.0% 13.03%
FCF 5Y — — — — — -9.1% 14.3% 27.7% 47.0% — 77.2% — 36.5% — 67.9% — — 21.5% 44.9% 22.7% 22.74%
OCF 3Y — — — — — 16.8% -2.6% — 2.3% 8.7% 47.5% 10.7% — — — — — 86.9% 86.7% 16.5% 16.50%
OCF 5Y — — — — — -9.1% 5.8% 18.5% 19.9% 24.2% 18.9% 32.7% 14.8% 50.3% 26.4% — 1.2% 19.0% 38.5% 21.7% 21.73%
Assets 3Y 5.7% 6.9% 3.8% 4.3% 8.2% -0.9% -2.7% -0.0% 2.3% 11.9% 11.9% 8.8% 13.1% 13.7% 11.0% 7.5% 10.5% 22.2% 23.7% 44.1% 44.08%
Assets 5Y 3.2% 7.1% 5.2% 4.8% 9.4% 7.2% 5.6% 3.3% 6.3% 7.7% 5.1% 2.8% 7.5% 8.2% 6.5% 8.1% 9.9% 15.9% 16.2% 26.3% 26.30%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 67.2% 90.4% 1.2% 1.3% — — 3.0% 2.97%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 57.9% 88.6% 1.1% 1.2% — — 2.9% 2.87%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.39 0.43 0.43 0.68 0.61 0.40 0.17 0.01 0.00 0.06 0.16 0.24 0.29 0.36 0.37 0.63 0.79 0.90 0.98 1.00 0.997
Earnings Stability 0.18 0.09 0.18 0.68 0.79 0.79 0.87 0.86 0.26 0.03 0.00 0.08 0.19 0.26 0.35 0.49 0.61 0.64 0.72 0.75 0.747
Margin Stability 0.88 0.88 0.82 0.79 0.67 0.59 0.71 0.77 0.69 0.55 0.60 0.60 0.56 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.48 0.58 0.64 0.637
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.42 0.70 0.85 0.81 0.82 0.79 0.17 0.166
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — 2.14 1.35 — — 1.07 -0.11 -0.22 -0.22 -0.19 -0.193
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.03 -0.02 0.05 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.014
FCF Margin Trend -0.10 -0.16 -0.11 -0.16 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.13 0.17 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.011
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — 71.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 84.7% 73.0% 64.5% 61.6% 57.5% 54.5% 64.3% 64.29%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — 5.3% 18.0% 24.3% 30.2% 28.9% 28.8% 27.6% 28.6% 28.6% 28.3% 27.5% 47.8% 47.83%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 187.69 27.50 4.13 4.21 0.57 -0.57 -0.95 -6.04 5.42 1.68 1.62 0.92 1.05 1.27 1.02 1.44 1.38 1.44 1.55 0.64 0.640
FCF/OCF 1.23 1.14 1.16 1.07 1.26 0.79 0.79 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.92 0.87 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.89 0.85 0.848
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.543
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.196
CapEx/Revenue 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.70%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.192
Accruals Ratio 0.14 0.22 0.11 0.17 -0.04 -0.22 -0.17 -0.31 -0.22 -0.10 -0.12 0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.00 -0.10 -0.08 -0.10 -0.12 0.12 0.116
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.052
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 6.599
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — 1.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 10.6% 27.8% 33.6% 35.2% 39.2% 28.2% 9.2% 9.21%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.94%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% -16.7% -12.0% -25.1% -27.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.89%
Total Shareholder Return 0.1% -16.7% -12.0% -25.1% -27.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.89%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.20 0.64 0.60 0.74 0.80 0.80 0.90 0.80 0.71 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.83 0.75 0.87 0.866
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.19 -0.71 1.91 1.67 1.38 1.34 1.99 3.31 0.71 0.89 0.93 0.96 1.00 0.99 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.97 5.50 5.496
EBIT Margin 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 -0.01 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.04 0.037
Asset Turnover 1.82 2.03 2.01 1.78 1.94 2.54 2.62 2.55 2.57 3.10 3.07 3.03 2.86 2.78 2.71 2.72 2.57 2.55 2.42 1.85 1.851
Equity Multiplier -6.92 -42.61 -28.94 -33.28 -33.28 24.45 28.81 26.31 14.21 11.79 7.84 5.81 4.72 3.79 3.38 2.91 2.77 2.61 2.53 1.99 1.987
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.01 $-0.10 $-0.41 $-0.70 $-1.33 $-1.55 $-1.03 $-0.58 $0.68 $1.84 $2.42 $2.96 $3.13 $3.24 $3.29 $3.56 $3.89 $3.98 $4.09 $8.02 $8.02
Book Value/Share $-1.72 $1.37 $0.86 $0.69 $0.69 $-0.29 $-0.03 $0.32 $1.24 $2.33 $3.20 $4.08 $4.73 $5.39 $5.79 $6.81 $7.78 $8.32 $9.15 $18.63 $19.13
Tangible Book/Share $-4.25 $-1.04 $-1.24 $-1.40 $-1.40 $-2.34 $-2.05 $-1.67 $-0.75 $0.36 $1.28 $2.21 $2.88 $3.53 $3.92 $4.94 $5.93 $6.48 $7.32 $6.12 $6.12
Revenue/Share $25.14 $24.28 $22.69 $22.98 $25.00 $28.33 $30.92 $33.36 $35.00 $37.46 $38.12 $38.63 $39.94 $40.27 $41.24 $43.61 $45.07 $45.96 $45.86 $45.87 $47.09
FCF/Share $-2.44 $-3.07 $-1.97 $-3.16 $-0.96 $0.70 $0.77 $3.25 $3.44 $2.77 $3.61 $2.36 $2.84 $3.61 $2.93 $4.67 $4.94 $5.26 $5.65 $4.36 $4.47
OCF/Share $-1.99 $-2.70 $-1.70 $-2.95 $-0.76 $0.89 $0.98 $3.50 $3.71 $3.09 $3.93 $2.72 $3.29 $4.12 $3.36 $5.11 $5.37 $5.71 $6.34 $5.13 $5.27
Cash/Share $0.41 $0.14 $0.46 $0.83 $0.83 $0.18 $0.55 $1.55 $2.44 $2.38 $2.81 $2.63 $3.79 $4.08 $3.98 $5.31 $6.98 $7.41 $8.47 $3.32 $3.41
EBITDA/Share $0.81 $0.71 $0.08 $-0.12 $-0.73 $-0.98 $-0.09 $0.31 $1.86 $3.30 $3.93 $4.56 $4.52 $4.61 $4.69 $5.14 $5.86 $5.96 $6.12 $2.34 $2.34
Debt/Share $6.40 $6.07 $5.11 $6.87 $6.87 $4.72 $4.38 $4.19 $4.08 $4.20 $2.98 $2.92 $2.99 $2.83 $2.83 $2.81 $2.75 $2.73 $2.70 $3.29 $3.29
Net Debt/Share $5.99 $5.93 $4.65 $6.04 $6.04 $4.54 $3.83 $2.64 $1.64 $1.81 $0.17 $0.30 $-0.80 $-1.25 $-1.15 $-2.50 $-4.23 $-4.68 $-5.77 $-0.03 $-0.03
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.381
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 8.030
Piotroski F-Score 1 3 2 2 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 8 6 8 8 9 9 8 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.73 -1.42 1.97 -1.42 -5.04 -1.29 -3.50 -4.18 -4.17 -3.19 -3.31 -0.92 0.40 -2.45 -2.20 -3.14 -3.43 -3.19 -3.16 -0.28 -0.282
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.807
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 15.03%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.06
EVA snapshot only $98935190.43
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 20.00 27.29 22.68 29.06 29.06 20.00 20.00 49.84 68.27 83.39 89.45 91.93 91.83 94.83 94.66 95.82 95.77 97.31 97.13 91.86 91.859
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.964
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 97
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 85

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms