BLDR NYSE
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
1W: +6.1%
1M: -5.0%
3M: -23.7%
YTD: -46.3%
1Y: -54.8%
3Y: -49.5%
5Y: -2.8%
$56.70
+0.49 (+0.87%)
After Hours: $56.22 (-0.48, -0.86%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$50
$53
$57
$61
$64
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 70% of companies Debt: 46.4% of company value Bonds: $421.9M held by 342 funds, 198 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $3.50 (down 94%), Builders FirstSource, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.24B against a stock market value of $6.05B.
Distance to default 3.44 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.30B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 49.7%; Altman Z 2.05. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $3.50 (down 94%), Builders FirstSource, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.24B against a stock market value of $6.05B.
Distance to default 3.44 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.30B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 49.7%; Altman Z 2.05. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+20.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-33.4% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+20.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-33.4%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-45.8%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
70%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.4%
55% win
54% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+6.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
55% win
62% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+11.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.9%
65% win
83% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+19.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.5%
50% win
80% vol
May
20yr
💨
+23.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.3%
50% win
68% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+21.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.5%
45% win
57% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+27.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-24.6%
60% win
55% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+38.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-28.3%
60% win
63% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+23.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.1%
45% win
58% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+21.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-34.1%
43% win
70% vol
Now:
-0.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+25.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-32.6%
60% win
70% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+5.8%
Midterm
💨
+5.1%
75% win
82% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -45.8%