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Also trades as: BDEV.L (LSE) · $vol 49M · BTRW.L (LSE) · $vol 38M

BTDPF OTC

Barratt Redrow plc
1W: +10.5% 1M: +3.6% 3M: +22.9% YTD: -14.0% 1Y: -13.5% 3Y: -17.0% 5Y: -43.3%
$4.30
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · Tech Score Buy · Power 69 · $6.0B mcap · 1.31B float · 0.0002% daily turnover · Short 64% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. BTDPF receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-03 B+ A-
2026-10-02 A B+
2026-09-23 A- A
2026-09-22 A A-
2026-09-17 A- A
2026-09-03 B+ A-
2026-08-21 A- B+
2026-08-18 B+ A-
2026-08-15 A- B+
2026-08-13 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 60 Grade A
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
79
Earnings Quality
95
Growth
41
Value
96
Momentum
70
Safety
90
Cash Flow
61
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BTDPF scores highest in Value (96/100) and lowest in Profitability (24/100). An overall grade of A places BTDPF among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.73
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.85
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-10.27
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA
Score: 87.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.31x
Accruals: -1.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BTDPF scores 3.73, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BTDPF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BTDPF's score of -1.85 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BTDPF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BTDPF receives an estimated rating of AA (score: 87.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). BTDPF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.48x
PEG
0.86x
P/S
0.74x
P/B
0.57x
P/FCF
7.32x
P/OCF
6.70x
EV/EBITDA
3.03x
EV/Revenue
0.26x
EV/EBIT
3.25x
EV/FCF
5.93x
Earnings Yield
11.35%
FCF Yield
13.66%
Shareholder Yield
17.27%
Graham Number
$8.01
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.5x earnings, BTDPF trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 11.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $8.01 per share, suggesting a potential 86% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.675
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.676
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.081
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.251
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.438
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BTDPF's ROE of 6.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.251), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$3.38
Price/Value
1.04x
Margin of Safety
-3.61%
Premium
3.61%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with BTDPF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. BTDPF trades at a 4% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $3.38, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 18.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.30
Median 1Y
$3.66
5th Pctile
$1.61
95th Pctile
$8.46
Ann. Volatility
50.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 7.0% 9.5% 11.0% 11.9% 5.1% 4.4% 5.1% 6.6% 6.65%
ROA 4.8% 6.6% 7.9% 8.2% 3.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 4.62%
ROIC 7.3% 12.5% 15.7% 16.5% 8.1% 5.9% 6.0% 8.3% 8.33%
ROCE 8.1% 11.1% 13.5% 14.8% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 10.2% 10.16%
Gross Margin 22.6% 19.8% 16.0% 17.0% 14.9% 13.5% 14.5% 14.5% 14.54%
Operating Margin 17.6% 14.3% 7.9% 8.3% 6.9% 5.2% 7.2% 10.3% 10.33%
Net Margin 13.7% 5.9% 3.7% 2.0% 3.3% 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 4.11%
EBITDA Margin 18.6% 9.6% 7.5% 5.0% 7.0% 8.2% 7.9% 10.9% 10.85%
FCF Margin 7.6% 9.4% 6.2% 6.7% 0.2% 2.2% -0.8% 4.4% 4.44%
OCF Margin 8.0% 9.8% 6.6% 7.1% 0.5% 2.7% -0.3% 4.9% 4.85%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.54%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.09%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.03%
CROIC snapshot only 7.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.04%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.48%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.03%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.09%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio 8.92 7.25 9.27 6.68 12.40 24.25 16.44 8.81 18.479
P/S Ratio 1.22 0.72 0.77 0.45 0.47 0.75 0.52 0.33 0.735
P/B Ratio 0.63 0.69 1.02 0.79 0.54 0.88 0.70 0.49 0.572
P/FCF 16.12 7.71 12.53 6.73 221.46 33.70 -68.50 7.32 7.321
P/OCF 15.18 7.37 11.81 6.43 92.34 28.11 — 6.70 6.704
EV/EBITDA 5.88 4.38 5.40 4.11 5.81 9.52 7.12 3.03 3.033
EV/Revenue 1.09 0.63 0.68 0.44 0.42 0.67 0.51 0.26 0.263
EV/EBIT 6.05 4.56 5.69 4.38 6.50 10.49 7.80 3.25 3.251
EV/FCF 14.46 6.68 10.94 6.53 200.86 30.22 -66.94 5.93 5.926
Earnings Yield 11.2% 13.8% 10.8% 15.0% 8.1% 4.1% 6.1% 11.4% 11.35%
FCF Yield 6.2% 13.0% 8.0% 14.9% 0.5% 3.0% -1.5% 13.7% 13.66%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.862
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.612
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.427
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.843
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 3.530
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 17.27%
Graham Number snapshot only $8.01
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 4.04 4.62 4.92 4.55 4.53 4.08 4.66 5.03 5.029
Quick Ratio 0.94 1.02 0.86 0.90 0.43 0.55 -1.18 0.70 0.700
Debt/Equity 0.18 0.14 0.05 0.13 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.032
Net Debt/Equity -0.06 -0.09 -0.13 -0.02 -0.05 -0.09 -0.02 -0.09 -0.093
Debt/Assets 0.12 0.09 0.03 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.022
Debt/EBITDA 1.83 1.00 0.27 0.70 0.39 0.39 0.34 0.24 0.244
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.68 -0.67 -0.79 -0.12 -0.60 -1.10 -0.17 -0.71 -0.714
Interest Coverage 28.74 20.95 13.86 10.76 5.93 5.29 5.07 6.09 6.086
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.43 1.39 1.45 1.41 1.47 1.45 1.43 1.430
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.534
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.523
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.921
FCF to Debt snapshot only 2.094
Defensive Interval snapshot only 583.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.35 0.66 0.94 1.21 0.95 0.97 1.12 1.25 1.251
Inventory Turnover 0.42 0.80 1.10 1.46 1.12 1.19 1.06 1.55 1.550
Receivables Turnover 24.13 58.16 57.76 121.94 64.30 56.66 52.97 68.50 68.496
Payables Turnover 6.93 13.50 6.46 38.50 8.61 8.49 6.52 13.80 13.799
DSO 15 6 6 3 6 6 7 5 5.3 days
DIO 860 456 330 250 327 307 345 236 235.5 days
DPO 53 27 57 9 42 43 56 26 26.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 822 436 280 244 290 271 296 214 214.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 93.239
Operating Cycle snapshot only 240.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 12.014
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.953
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 2.2% 87.5% 52.1% 28.4% 28.43%
Net Income — — — — -11.1% -41.8% -41.9% -30.2% -30.15%
EPS — — — — -12.7% -61.6% -60.5% -52.1% -52.12%
FCF — — — — -91.0% -55.5% -1.2% -15.3% -15.28%
EBITDA — — — — 26.3% -7.2% -12.5% 4.2% 4.21%
Op. Income — — — — 75.1% -20.2% -26.6% -23.6% -23.60%
OCF Growth snapshot only -11.68%
Asset Growth snapshot only 47.72%
Equity Growth snapshot only 49.92%
Debt Growth snapshot only -63.72%
Shares Change snapshot only 45.87%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -44.69%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.88 0.47 0.47 0.64 0.645
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.2% 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% -3.1% -3.1% -1.9% -0.9% -0.87%
Internal Growth Rate 1.6% 2.2% 0.1% 0.2% — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.59 0.98 0.79 1.04 0.13 0.86 -0.10 1.31 1.314
FCF/OCF 0.94 0.96 0.94 0.95 0.42 0.83 2.31 0.92 0.916
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.203
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.559
CapEx/Revenue 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.26%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.445
Accruals Ratio 0.02 0.00 0.02 -0.00 0.03 0.00 0.04 -0.01 -0.014
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.253
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.094
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 7.7% 9.4% 10.6% 14.7% 12.9% 7.0% 8.3% 12.8% 5.53%
Dividend/Share $0.34 $0.47 $0.76 $0.81 $0.69 $0.45 $0.42 $0.45 $0.18
Payout Ratio 68.3% 67.9% 98.2% 97.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.13%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.2% 72.2% 1.3% 98.7% 28.5% 2.4% — 94.0% 94.03%
Total Payout Ratio 94.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.52%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — 1.20 0.53 -0.10 -0.06 -0.065
Buyback Yield 3.0% 5.6% 4.0% 5.5% 3.3% 1.0% 2.1% 4.4% 4.43%
Net Buyback Yield 3.0% 5.6% 4.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0% 2.1% 4.4% 4.39%
Total Shareholder Return 10.6% 15.0% 14.6% 20.2% 16.1% 8.0% 10.4% 17.2% 17.24%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.76 0.76 0.74 0.68 0.68 0.66 0.67 0.675
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.97 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.85 0.71 0.73 0.68 0.676
EBIT Margin 0.18 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.081
Asset Turnover 0.35 0.66 0.94 1.21 0.95 0.97 1.12 1.25 1.251
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.43 1.39 1.45 1.43 1.45 1.43 1.44 1.438
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.50 $0.69 $0.77 $0.83 $0.43 $0.27 $0.30 $0.40 $0.40
Book Value/Share $7.06 $7.32 $7.01 $6.98 $9.99 $7.36 $7.18 $7.17 $5.56
Tangible Book/Share $5.74 $5.95 $5.66 $5.65 $8.06 $5.88 $5.22 $5.72 $5.72
Revenue/Share $3.64 $6.96 $9.22 $12.22 $11.51 $8.63 $9.53 $10.76 $4.33
FCF/Share $0.28 $0.65 $0.57 $0.82 $0.02 $0.19 $-0.07 $0.48 $0.32
OCF/Share $0.29 $0.68 $0.60 $0.86 $0.06 $0.23 $-0.03 $0.52 $0.33
Cash/Share $1.70 $1.66 $1.22 $1.08 $0.83 $0.91 $0.35 $0.90 $0.69
EBITDA/Share $0.68 $0.99 $1.15 $1.31 $0.84 $0.61 $0.69 $0.93 $0.93
Debt/Share $1.24 $0.99 $0.32 $0.92 $0.33 $0.24 $0.23 $0.23 $0.23
Net Debt/Share $-0.46 $-0.67 $-0.91 $-0.16 $-0.50 $-0.67 $-0.11 $-0.67 $-0.67
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — 3.729
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 8.244
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 4 5 4 3 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.12 -1.85 -1.01 -1.85 -1.851
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -10.273
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 12.69%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $5.35
EVA snapshot only $-156411419.52
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA
Credit Score 86.20 94.75 95.25 95.25 79.00 84.25 75.40 87.25 87.250
Credit Grade snapshot only 3
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 80.000

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