CHDN NASDAQ
Churchill Downs Incorporated
1W: -1.8%
1M: +7.7%
3M: -7.9%
YTD: -27.2%
1Y: -19.0%
3Y: -25.7%
5Y: -34.9%
$81.52
-2.52 (-3.00%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.5%
$75
$79
$84
$88
$93
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 54% of companies Debt: 45.7% of company value Bonds: $507.5M held by 283 funds, 146 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.46 (down 95%), Churchill Downs Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.78B against a stock market value of $5.68B.
Distance to default 4.79 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.72B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.4%; Altman Z'' 0.83. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.46 (down 95%), Churchill Downs Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.78B against a stock market value of $5.68B.
Distance to default 4.79 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.72B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.4%; Altman Z'' 0.83. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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📊 Key Metrics
TTM$3B
Revenue
+5.7% YoY
$410M
Net Income
-4.7% YoY
$708M
Free Cash Flow
+93.4% YoY
51.9%
Gross Margin
36.4%
Op. Margin
24.6%
Net Margin
💰 Income Flow
How revenue becomes profit💵 Cash Flow
Where cash goes🏦 Balance Sheet
Assets = Liabilities + Equity📈 Financial Health
Profitability
ROE34.4%
ROA5.5%
ROIC8.7%
Valuation
P/E14.0
P/B4.3
EV/EBITDA9.7
Leverage
Debt/Equity3.57
Current Ratio0.36
Interest Cov.3.0x
Quality Scores
Piotroski F7/9
Altman Z1.51
Beneish M-2.81