CHDN Smart Money
Churchill Downs Incorporated
1W: +2.5%
1M: +5.3%
3M: -5.8%
YTD: -24.9%
1Y: -18.6%
3Y: -24.3%
5Y: -33.5%
$81.52
-2.52 (-3.00%)
After Hours: $81.31 (-0.21, -0.26%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.5%
$75
$79
$84
$88
$93
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 53% of companies Debt: 44.9% of company value Bonds: $507.5M held by 283 funds, 146 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.49 (down 95%), Churchill Downs Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.78B against a stock market value of $5.86B.
Distance to default 4.83 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.72B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.4%; Altman Z'' 0.83. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.49 (down 95%), Churchill Downs Incorporated would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.78B against a stock market value of $5.86B.
Distance to default 4.83 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.72B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.4%; Altman Z'' 0.83. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026517
Institutions Holding
-25 vs prior
90.9%
Ownership
+7.76%
67
New
174
Increased
199
Reduced
50
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | GRISSOM DOUGLAS C | director | A-Grant/Award | 454 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-30 | GRISSOM DOUGLAS C | director | A-Grant/Award | 383 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | Carter Andrea M | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,257 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | Lloyd Karole | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,257 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | VARGA PAUL C | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,257 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | GRISSOM DOUGLAS C | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,257 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | HARRINGTON DANIEL P | director | A-Grant/Award | 0 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | HARRINGTON DANIEL P | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,257 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-21 | Rankin Richard Alex | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,257 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Mudd William E. | officer: president and coo | A-Grant/Award | 16,648 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Carstanjen William C. | officer: chief executive officer | A-Grant/Award | 37,727 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Mudd William E. | officer: president and coo | D-Sale to Issuer | 16,648 | $93.69 | $1.6M | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Dall Marcia A | officer: evp, and cfo | A-Grant/Award | 12,207 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Dall Marcia A | officer: evp, and cfo | F-Tax Withholding | 3,944 | $93.69 | $370K | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Carstanjen William C. | officer: chief executive officer | D-Sale to Issuer | 37,727 | $93.69 | $3.5M | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Blackwell Bradley K. | officer: evp, general counsel | F-Tax Withholding | 1,835 | $93.69 | $172K | Filing |
| 2026-02-05 | Blackwell Bradley K. | officer: evp, general counsel | A-Grant/Award | 6,104 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | HARRINGTON DANIEL P | director | A-Grant/Award | 0 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | GRISSOM DOUGLAS C | director | A-Grant/Award | 117 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | HARRINGTON DANIEL P | director | A-Grant/Award | 477 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | Rankin Richard Alex | director | A-Grant/Award | 199 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | VARGA PAUL C | director | A-Grant/Award | 39 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | Lloyd Karole | director | A-Grant/Award | 60 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-06 | Carter Andrea M | director | A-Grant/Award | 17 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-31 | Mudd William E. | officer: president and coo | F-Tax Withholding | 3,676 | $113.78 | $418K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
18 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-03 | James Comer | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-07-02 | James Comer | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-01-13 | Rob Bresnahan | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-01-12 | Robert P. Bresnahan | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-01-02 | James Comer | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-04-05 | Josh Gottheimer | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-11-30 | Susie Lee | House | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2021-08-20 | Susie Lee | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-07-13 | Susie Lee | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-07-07 | Susie Lee | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-06-28 | Susie Lee | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2020-11-12 | Susie Lee | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2020-04-07 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2020-04-03 | Susie Lee | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2020-04-01 | Susie Lee | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2020-02-21 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2019-10-22 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2019-01-29 | Susie Lee | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 6,202,008 | $556M | -251,078 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
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| FMR LLC | 2,947,784 | $264M | +1,239,325 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| LONDON CO OF VIRGINIA | 2,464,527 | $221M | -129,294 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 2,048,801 | $184M | +46,717 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1,714,304 | $154M | +442,976 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1,444,412 | $129M | +67,722 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,342,056 | $120M | -68,034 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC | 1,257,575 | $113M | +122,857 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | 1,221,584 | $110M | +611,740 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Boston Partners | 1,193,534 | $107M | +56,202 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,030,121 | $92M | -63,268 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 843,847 | $76M | +24,004 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 841,176 | $75M | +841,176 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP | 797,387 | $72M | -41,102 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 795,607 | $71M | +528,604 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Clearbridge Investments, LLC | 786,319 | $70M | +42,278 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE | 770,846 | $69M | +142,556 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Jupiter Topco LLC | 756,190 | $68M | +756,190 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |