— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 6186.HK (HKSE) · $vol 8M · CFEIY (OTC) · $vol 0M

CHFLF OTC

China Feihe Limited
1W: +0.0% 1M: +26.9% 3M: +11.4% YTD: -21.2% 1Y: -25.5% 3Y: -18.1%
$0.31
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · Tech Score Neutral · Power 61 · $2.7B mcap · 3.81B float · 0.0001% daily turnover · Short 100% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
62
Balance Sheet
97
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
16
Value
—
Momentum
50
Safety
—
Cash Flow
59

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.14
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.80
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.53x
Accruals: -6.7%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CHFLF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CHFLF's score of -2.14 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CHFLF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CHFLF receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CHFLF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.96x
PEG
-0.39x
P/S
1.12x
P/B
0.85x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$5.59
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.0x earnings, CHFLF trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.59 per share, suggesting a potential 1703% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.610
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.105
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.174
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.079
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.406
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
17.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CHFLF's ROE of 17.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.079), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4.28
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CHFLF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CHFLF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $4.28, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1147 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.39
Median 1Y
$0.25
5th Pctile
$0.07
95th Pctile
$0.96
Ann. Volatility
75.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 10.3% 20.6% 27.2% 33.4% 33.5% 27.9% 25.0% 22.2% 17.8% 17.81%
ROA 7.1% 13.9% 19.0% 23.0% 23.5% 19.5% 18.2% 15.6% 12.7% 12.67%
ROIC 29.0% 67.3% 73.5% 89.3% 81.3% 65.5% 50.7% 51.8% 41.9% 41.92%
ROCE 10.5% 20.6% 27.9% 34.3% 33.6% 30.4% 29.5% 28.1% 24.4% 24.42%
Gross Margin 67.6% 63.7% 65.3% 64.3% 67.9% 64.9% 61.6% 68.5% 62.0% 61.95%
Operating Margin 27.8% 26.6% 21.6% 14.7% 25.5% 16.3% 18.4% 13.9% 15.9% 15.93%
Net Margin 23.3% 23.1% 17.4% 17.3% 18.6% 15.9% 10.9% 10.5% 8.9% 8.94%
EBITDA Margin 30.1% 28.7% 24.3% 23.5% 28.2% 23.9% 21.6% 15.6% 21.8% 21.83%
FCF Margin -2.4% 17.8% 13.3% 15.7% 18.0% 13.1% 14.2% 11.9% 11.9% 11.88%
OCF Margin 10.7% 29.5% 23.9% 25.5% 26.6% 20.7% 20.7% 18.9% 18.0% 17.97%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.88%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.08%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 35.69%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 16.43%
Cash ROA snapshot only 19.68%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 72.13%
CROIC snapshot only 47.66%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 10.45%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 19.25%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 1.55%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 46.50%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.15%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — 11.957
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — 1.122
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — 0.847
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $5.59
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.01 2.98 3.19 3.06 3.34 3.38 3.85 3.00 2.61 2.607
Quick Ratio 2.77 2.71 2.89 2.75 3.02 3.05 3.46 2.63 2.29 2.294
Debt/Equity 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.022
Net Debt/Equity -0.70 -0.73 -0.68 -0.70 -0.69 -0.69 -0.63 -0.63 -0.61 -0.612
Debt/Assets 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.016
Debt/EBITDA 0.41 0.24 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.10 0.07 0.068
Net Debt/EBITDA -5.27 -2.82 -1.93 -1.60 -1.63 -1.78 -1.65 -1.76 -1.88 -1.875
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — 505.67 270.25 270.252
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.48 1.43 1.45 1.39 1.38 1.32 1.39 1.42 1.423
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.036
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 324.718
Cash to Debt snapshot only 28.443
FCF to Debt snapshot only 8.305
Defensive Interval snapshot only 320.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.60 0.89 1.13 1.22 1.13 1.15 1.10 1.08 1.079
Inventory Turnover 2.03 3.69 5.32 6.30 7.79 6.68 6.88 5.57 6.02 6.021
Receivables Turnover 21.72 49.49 59.25 96.39 109.47 100.62 92.43 97.03 87.54 87.544
Payables Turnover 3.17 4.15 6.33 7.74 10.89 8.30 8.93 7.59 8.07 8.074
DSO 17 7 6 4 3 4 4 4 4 4.2 days
DIO 179 99 69 58 47 55 53 66 61 60.6 days
DPO 115 88 58 47 34 44 41 48 45 45.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 81 18 17 15 17 14 16 21 20 19.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.901
Operating Cycle snapshot only 64.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.459
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.913
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.3% 89.0% 27.9% -5.2% -8.3% -8.27%
Net Income — — — — 2.5% 40.8% -5.6% -34.1% -44.1% -44.10%
EPS — — — — 2.5% 39.6% -5.5% -33.8% -42.6% -42.64%
FCF — — — — 32.7% 39.2% 37.1% -28.4% -39.4% -39.35%
EBITDA — — — — 2.7% 61.1% 12.3% -19.9% -27.0% -27.02%
Op. Income — — — — 2.4% 35.8% -5.6% -22.5% -33.5% -33.54%
OCF Growth snapshot only -37.91%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.93%
Equity Growth snapshot only -5.20%
Debt Growth snapshot only -59.86%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.55%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -38.38%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.66 0.660
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.15 0.145
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.97 0.974
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.82 0.824
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.66 0.94 0.59 0.43 0.434
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — -0.02 -0.024
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.02 -0.022
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.04 0.041
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.3% 11.7% 12.6% 14.6% 8.5% 7.2% 7.5% 5.4% 3.5% 3.54%
Internal Growth Rate 7.6% 8.6% 9.7% 11.2% 6.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.6% 2.58%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.46 1.27 1.12 1.25 1.38 1.20 1.31 1.33 1.53 1.531
FCF/OCF -0.23 0.61 0.56 0.61 0.68 0.64 0.69 0.63 0.66 0.661
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.011
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.859
CapEx/Revenue 13.1% 11.6% 10.6% 9.8% 8.6% 7.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.1% 6.10%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.737
Accruals Ratio 0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.06 -0.09 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.067
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.139
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.159
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — 7.74%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.24 $0.39 $0.52 $0.66 $0.57 $0.48 $0.46 $0.40 $0.18
Payout Ratio 0.0% 43.2% 53.5% 56.2% 74.6% 74.0% 70.0% 75.7% 80.1% 80.13%
FCF Payout Ratio — 56.1% 86.2% 73.1% 80.0% 97.4% 77.7% 90.5% 79.2% 79.22%
Total Payout Ratio 3.3% 46.1% 55.7% 59.5% 77.4% 76.2% 72.4% 94.4% 1.0% 1.03%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.70 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.70 0.67 0.64 0.62 0.61 0.610
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.20 1.15 1.15 1.17 1.16 1.17 1.15 1.16 1.11 1.105
EBIT Margin 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.17 0.174
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.60 0.89 1.13 1.22 1.13 1.15 1.10 1.08 1.079
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.48 1.43 1.45 1.42 1.43 1.38 1.42 1.41 1.406
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.25 $0.55 $0.73 $0.92 $0.88 $0.77 $0.69 $0.61 $0.50 $0.50
Book Value/Share $2.41 $2.67 $2.69 $2.75 $2.83 $2.86 $2.83 $2.70 $2.75 $2.96
Tangible Book/Share $2.40 $2.66 $2.68 $2.73 $2.82 $2.85 $2.81 $2.69 $2.74 $2.74
Revenue/Share $1.07 $2.37 $3.42 $4.49 $4.56 $4.45 $4.38 $4.28 $4.29 $2.08
FCF/Share $-0.03 $0.42 $0.45 $0.71 $0.82 $0.58 $0.62 $0.51 $0.51 $0.20
OCF/Share $0.11 $0.70 $0.82 $1.15 $1.21 $0.92 $0.91 $0.81 $0.77 $0.49
Cash/Share $1.83 $2.13 $2.00 $2.10 $2.11 $2.10 $1.86 $1.80 $1.75 $1.75
EBITDA/Share $0.32 $0.70 $0.95 $1.20 $1.20 $1.11 $1.07 $0.97 $0.90 $0.90
Debt/Share $0.13 $0.17 $0.17 $0.18 $0.15 $0.12 $0.09 $0.09 $0.06 $0.06
Net Debt/Share $-1.69 $-1.96 $-1.84 $-1.92 $-1.96 $-1.98 $-1.77 $-1.71 $-1.68 $-1.68
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 4 8 8 7 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score — — — — -3.17 -2.10 -3.04 -3.59 -2.14 -2.139
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.801
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 26.17%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.27
EVA snapshot only $3010923923.45
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 77.10 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 82.75 82.75 82.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 2.500
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms