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Also trades as: LISN.SW (SIX) · $vol 14M · 0QKN.L (LSE) · $vol 4M · LDSVF (OTC) · $vol 0M · COCXF (OTC)

CHLSY OTC

Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG
1W: -11.8% 1M: -14.5% 3M: -22.6% YTD: -38.4% 1Y: -39.5% 3Y: -25.2%
$9.05
-0.40 (-4.23%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.6%
$8 $9 $9 $10 $10
OTC · Consumer Defensive · Food Confectioners · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $20.9B mcap · 2.12B float · 0.0063% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
4
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CHLSY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-08-12 B+ A-
2026-08-03 A- B+
2026-07-27 A A-
2026-07-01 A+ A
2026-06-24 A A+
2026-06-09 B A
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-03-16 A- B-
2026-03-13 A A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A+
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
75
Earnings Quality
83
Growth
53
Value
—
Momentum
79
Safety
—
Cash Flow
70

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.92
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.28
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 80.5/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.33x
Accruals: -5.6%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CHLSY scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CHLSY's score of -1.92 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CHLSY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CHLSY receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 80.5/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CHLSY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
24.83x
PEG
1.75x
P/S
3.00x
P/B
4.17x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$5.08
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 24.8x earnings, CHLSY commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.08 per share, 78% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.795
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.940
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.159
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.438
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.847
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
31.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CHLSY's ROE of 31.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.438), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
5.95%
Fair P/E
20.40x
Intrinsic Value
$12.26
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CHLSY's realized 6.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CHLSY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $12.26, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 20.4x compares to the current market P/E of 24.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 915 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$9.05
Median 1Y
$2.21
5th Pctile
$0.28
95th Pctile
$17.66
Ann. Volatility
123.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 9.8% 14.6% 25.9% 30.5% 29.1% 29.1% 30.4% 31.6% 31.63%
ROA 5.4% 8.4% 14.0% 16.6% 15.7% 16.4% 16.3% 17.1% 17.13%
ROIC 8.9% 12.3% 21.9% 24.2% 25.0% 22.4% 24.1% 25.0% 25.03%
ROCE 4.5% 6.4% 18.4% 22.8% 24.1% 25.9% 24.8% 27.6% 27.63%
Gross Margin 42.4% 40.2% 42.9% 69.2% 62.4% 67.0% 39.4% 35.3% 35.35%
Operating Margin 18.8% 12.2% 17.7% 13.2% 18.2% 10.9% 20.0% 11.2% 11.16%
Net Margin 14.5% 9.8% 14.8% 9.8% 14.0% 8.0% 15.1% 8.2% 8.24%
EBITDA Margin 14.2% 12.3% 23.5% 19.1% 23.7% 17.0% 24.4% 17.8% 17.83%
FCF Margin 10.8% 9.1% 9.7% 8.7% 12.6% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.81%
OCF Margin 14.5% 14.1% 14.7% 14.0% 18.3% 13.9% 14.9% 15.8% 15.81%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 24.28%
Cash ROA snapshot only 22.44%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 31.48%
CROIC snapshot only 21.52%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 12.57%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 14.98%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.05%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.01%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — 24.831
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — 3.000
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — 4.172
P/FCF — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 1.746
Graham Number snapshot only $5.08
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.83 1.84 1.42 1.34 1.77 1.70 1.83 1.78 1.780
Quick Ratio 1.28 0.90 0.92 0.69 1.30 0.73 1.16 0.79 0.786
Debt/Equity 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.39 0.34 0.36 0.36 0.42 0.420
Net Debt/Equity 0.13 0.22 0.22 0.29 0.15 0.30 0.22 0.33 0.327
Debt/Assets 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.21 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.226
Debt/EBITDA 3.38 2.09 0.99 0.91 0.76 0.72 0.72 0.75 0.746
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.35 1.38 0.66 0.69 0.33 0.61 0.45 0.58 0.580
Interest Coverage 16.73 14.30 20.43 18.46 20.66 21.07 19.54 17.85 17.845
Equity Multiplier 1.81 1.75 1.85 1.83 1.89 1.80 1.87 1.86 1.862
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.276
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 23.905
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.222
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.679
Defensive Interval snapshot only 96.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.37 0.67 1.04 1.31 1.25 1.36 1.33 1.44 1.438
Inventory Turnover 1.96 2.60 5.16 4.57 5.45 3.53 4.59 4.28 4.282
Receivables Turnover 3.13 12.92 8.23 20.49 10.01 23.46 10.44 22.50 22.505
Payables Turnover 5.90 13.99 15.55 22.37 14.02 18.35 14.93 21.74 21.744
DSO 117 28 44 18 36 16 35 16 16.2 days
DIO 186 140 71 80 67 103 80 85 85.2 days
DPO 62 26 23 16 26 20 24 17 16.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 241 143 92 81 77 99 90 85 84.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.655
Operating Cycle snapshot only 101.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 28.261
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.705
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 2.6% 1.2% 38.9% 10.9% 10.91%
Net Income — — — — 2.1% 1.1% 26.9% 4.3% 4.33%
EPS — — — — 2.2% 20.1% 11.8% 6.0% 5.95%
FCF — — — — 3.2% 98.7% 39.6% 38.4% 38.37%
EBITDA — — — — 4.2% 2.4% 73.6% 33.9% 33.89%
Op. Income — — — — 2.0% 1.1% 35.2% 9.8% 9.84%
OCF Growth snapshot only 25.34%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.62%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.01%
Debt Growth snapshot only 9.53%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.53%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 28.69%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.29 0.76 0.96 0.958
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 9.8% 7.6% 18.8% 16.0% 15.5% 14.5% 15.4% 13.4% 13.44%
Internal Growth Rate 5.7% 4.6% 11.3% 9.6% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 7.8% 7.85%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.00 1.13 1.10 1.10 1.46 1.15 1.22 1.33 1.327
FCF/OCF 0.75 0.64 0.66 0.62 0.69 0.60 0.66 0.68 0.684
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.907
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.741
CapEx/Revenue 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.2% 5.0% 5.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.925
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.056
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.011
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.334
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — 2.28%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.13 $0.13 $0.27 $0.27 $2.85 $3.01 $0.35 $1.80
Payout Ratio 0.0% 47.8% 27.5% 47.3% 46.5% 50.2% 49.4% 57.5% 57.51%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 66.1% 38.0% 69.2% 46.5% 73.0% 62.0% 63.4% 63.39%
Total Payout Ratio 54.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 96.3% 1.0% 1.00%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.80 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.795
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.91 1.93 1.20 1.16 0.95 0.88 0.95 0.94 0.940
EBIT Margin 0.10 0.08 0.13 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.159
Asset Turnover 0.37 0.67 1.04 1.31 1.25 1.36 1.33 1.44 1.438
Equity Multiplier 1.81 1.75 1.85 1.83 1.85 1.77 1.86 1.85 1.847
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.18 $0.27 $0.47 $0.57 $0.58 $5.67 $6.09 $0.60 $0.60
Book Value/Share $1.85 $1.84 $1.83 $1.86 $2.09 $20.31 $21.58 $1.91 $18.94
Tangible Book/Share $1.29 $1.29 $1.30 $1.30 $1.52 $15.03 $16.41 $1.38 $1.38
Revenue/Share $1.25 $2.14 $3.53 $4.48 $4.62 $46.90 $49.58 $5.05 $25.40
FCF/Share $0.14 $0.19 $0.34 $0.39 $0.58 $3.90 $4.85 $0.55 $3.34
OCF/Share $0.18 $0.30 $0.52 $0.63 $0.85 $6.51 $7.40 $0.80 $4.48
Cash/Share $0.36 $0.20 $0.20 $0.17 $0.40 $1.16 $2.91 $0.18 $1.77
EBITDA/Share $0.18 $0.29 $0.61 $0.79 $0.95 $9.98 $10.72 $1.08 $1.08
Debt/Share $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.72 $0.72 $7.23 $7.68 $0.80 $0.80
Net Debt/Share $0.24 $0.40 $0.41 $0.55 $0.32 $6.07 $4.77 $0.62 $0.62
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.33 -2.89 -2.24 -1.92 -1.915
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.277
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 57.51%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.49
EVA snapshot only $872759860.12
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 71.05 72.50 81.75 80.50 81.75 81.75 81.50 80.50 80.500
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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