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Also trades as: 2285.HK (HKSE) · $vol 6M

CHRHF OTC

Chervon Holdings Limited
1W: -5.9% 1M: +45.5% 3M: +66.7% YTD: +3.9% 1Y: -11.1% 3Y: -6.7%
$3.20
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Tech Score Buy · Power 71 · $1.6B mcap · 126M float · 0.0006% daily turnover · Short 94% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 74 Grade A+
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
91
Earnings Quality
68
Growth
69
Value
88
Momentum
93
Safety
90
Cash Flow
58
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CHRHF scores highest in Momentum (93/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (58/100). An overall grade of A+ places CHRHF among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.60
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
9/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.82
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.23
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 93.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.59x
Accruals: -7.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CHRHF scores 3.60, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CHRHF scores 9/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CHRHF's score of -2.82 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CHRHF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CHRHF receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 93.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CHRHF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.17x
PEG
-0.62x
P/S
1.08x
P/B
1.71x
P/FCF
4.62x
P/OCF
2.66x
EV/EBITDA
2.10x
EV/Revenue
0.26x
EV/EBIT
2.83x
EV/FCF
4.03x
Earnings Yield
23.63%
FCF Yield
21.64%
Shareholder Yield
16.18%
Graham Number
$4.93
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.2x earnings, CHRHF trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 23.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $4.93 per share, suggesting a potential 54% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.827
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.928
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.092
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.855
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.883
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
24.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CHRHF's ROE of 24.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.855), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$19.38
Price/Value
0.11x
Margin of Safety
89.01%
Premium
-89.01%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CHRHF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $19.38, CHRHF appears undervalued with a 89% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1006 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.20
Median 1Y
$2.39
5th Pctile
$0.68
95th Pctile
$8.47
Ann. Volatility
75.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 8.0% 12.1% 4.0% 10.2% 7.6% 11.9% 21.2% 24.6% 24.61%
ROA 4.1% 6.9% 2.2% 5.2% 3.9% 6.7% 11.5% 13.1% 13.07%
ROIC 12.0% 16.4% 8.4% 16.4% 11.0% 19.1% 25.4% 28.2% 28.16%
ROCE 9.5% 15.1% 6.9% 14.7% 12.0% 16.3% 23.2% 27.4% 27.41%
Gross Margin 31.8% 32.1% 23.5% 32.9% 36.2% 33.3% 32.4% 39.3% 39.28%
Operating Margin 11.1% 8.1% -14.3% 10.7% 7.1% 13.1% -0.2% 13.3% 13.33%
Net Margin 7.7% 6.7% -13.6% 7.5% 5.3% 10.4% 0.3% 10.3% 10.33%
EBITDA Margin 12.4% 10.0% -12.1% 13.0% 12.5% 15.3% 2.7% 16.5% 16.53%
FCF Margin 11.4% -1.2% -6.3% -1.6% -5.3% 5.0% 7.3% 6.5% 6.45%
OCF Margin 11.3% 1.5% -2.6% 1.8% -0.2% 10.1% 11.6% 11.2% 11.22%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 20.50%
Cash ROA snapshot only 20.72%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 42.69%
CROIC snapshot only 24.54%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 7.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.52%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 4.94%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 22.20%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 23.95 15.35 28.22 11.36 13.67 7.35 6.95 4.23 17.167
P/S Ratio 1.84 1.11 0.46 0.36 0.33 0.27 0.43 0.30 1.076
P/B Ratio 1.92 1.86 1.14 1.16 0.99 0.89 1.43 0.99 1.715
P/FCF 16.10 -95.66 -7.33 -21.88 -6.13 5.40 5.88 4.62 4.622
P/OCF 16.22 75.34 — 19.83 — 2.65 3.69 2.66 2.658
EV/EBITDA 13.72 9.11 9.44 4.84 4.53 2.52 3.52 2.10 2.096
EV/Revenue 1.70 1.04 0.48 0.34 0.32 0.22 0.40 0.26 0.260
EV/EBIT 15.39 10.60 14.50 6.64 6.97 3.79 4.81 2.83 2.835
EV/FCF 14.90 -89.41 -7.60 -21.02 -6.01 4.41 5.46 4.03 4.033
Earnings Yield 4.2% 6.5% 3.5% 8.8% 7.3% 13.6% 14.4% 23.6% 23.63%
FCF Yield 6.2% -1.0% -13.6% -4.6% -16.3% 18.5% 17.0% 21.6% 21.64%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.001
EV/OCF snapshot only 2.319
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.731
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 2.910
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 16.18%
Graham Number snapshot only $4.93
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.02 1.99 1.98 1.79 1.93 2.15 2.18 1.98 1.976
Quick Ratio 1.17 1.16 1.18 1.09 1.16 1.41 1.47 1.48 1.482
Debt/Equity 0.37 0.26 0.35 0.35 0.30 0.33 0.29 0.27 0.267
Net Debt/Equity -0.14 -0.12 0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.16 -0.10 -0.13 -0.126
Debt/Assets 0.19 0.15 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.148
Debt/EBITDA 2.87 1.38 2.80 1.51 1.39 1.15 0.77 0.65 0.647
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.10 -0.64 0.33 -0.20 -0.09 -0.57 -0.27 -0.31 -0.306
Interest Coverage — — — — 72.43 41.12 31.01 25.52 25.520
Equity Multiplier 1.97 1.75 1.87 1.98 1.92 1.81 1.81 1.80 1.800
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.572
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 34.506
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.474
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.804
Defensive Interval snapshot only 394.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.53 0.96 1.31 1.64 1.63 1.83 1.87 1.85 1.855
Inventory Turnover 1.12 2.08 3.13 3.86 3.55 4.32 4.60 4.95 4.949
Receivables Turnover 4.51 5.92 6.58 7.03 8.94 10.25 8.32 6.80 6.796
Payables Turnover 2.29 5.40 7.39 7.45 7.01 11.62 10.39 8.41 8.408
DSO 81 62 55 52 41 36 44 54 53.7 days
DIO 325 176 117 95 103 85 79 74 73.8 days
DPO 160 68 49 49 52 31 35 43 43.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 246 170 123 97 91 89 88 84 84.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.069
Operating Cycle snapshot only 127.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.457
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.541
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 2.2% 92.5% 44.1% 13.7% 13.71%
Net Income — — — — -0.7% -2.9% 4.4% 1.5% 1.54%
EPS — — — — -4.6% -3.0% 4.4% 1.6% 1.56%
FCF — — — — -2.5% 9.2% 2.7% 5.5% 5.47%
EBITDA — — — — 82.0% 46.7% 2.2% 98.3% 98.29%
Op. Income — — — — 13.7% 8.8% 2.5% 95.2% 95.18%
OCF Growth snapshot only 6.05%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.88%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.74%
Debt Growth snapshot only -15.33%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.02%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.33%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.99 0.97 0.00 0.13 0.130
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.3% 8.7% -3.4% 2.9% 2.1% -5.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.59%
Internal Growth Rate 2.2% 5.2% — 1.5% 1.1% — 4.2% 4.8% 4.78%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.48 0.20 -1.59 0.57 -0.08 2.78 1.88 1.59 1.593
FCF/OCF 1.01 -0.79 2.42 -0.91 27.94 0.49 0.63 0.57 0.575
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.916
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.904
CapEx/Revenue 0.1% 2.6% 3.7% 3.4% 5.1% 5.2% 4.3% 4.8% 4.77%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.476
Accruals Ratio -0.02 0.06 0.06 0.02 0.04 -0.12 -0.10 -0.08 -0.077
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.017
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.199
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.9% 1.8% 6.6% 6.3% 5.3% 19.4% 9.4% 15.4% 2.67%
Dividend/Share $0.07 $0.07 $0.14 $0.14 $0.11 $0.34 $0.27 $0.33 $0.10
Payout Ratio 46.2% 28.0% 1.9% 71.5% 72.7% 1.4% 65.2% 65.1% 65.11%
FCF Payout Ratio 31.0% — — — — 1.0% 55.2% 71.1% 71.10%
Total Payout Ratio 46.2% 28.0% 1.9% 73.3% 76.1% 1.5% 68.3% 68.5% 68.48%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — 0.62 4.14 1.00 1.46 1.464
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.80%
Net Buyback Yield -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% -0.4% -0.42%
Total Shareholder Return 1.9% 1.8% 6.5% 6.4% 5.6% 20.2% 9.6% 15.0% 14.96%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.89 0.88 1.07 0.93 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.83 0.827
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.78 0.84 0.46 0.65 0.58 0.72 0.88 0.93 0.928
EBIT Margin 0.11 0.10 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.092
Asset Turnover 0.53 0.96 1.31 1.64 1.63 1.83 1.87 1.85 1.855
Equity Multiplier 1.97 1.75 1.87 1.98 1.94 1.78 1.84 1.88 1.883
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.15 $0.25 $0.08 $0.20 $0.15 $0.24 $0.41 $0.50 $0.50
Book Value/Share $1.93 $2.02 $1.88 $1.92 $2.03 $1.97 $1.99 $2.15 $2.15
Tangible Book/Share $1.93 $2.02 $1.88 $1.91 $2.02 $1.96 $1.97 $2.13 $2.13
Revenue/Share $2.02 $3.39 $4.62 $6.22 $6.17 $6.52 $6.65 $7.14 $3.44
FCF/Share $0.23 $-0.04 $-0.29 $-0.10 $-0.33 $0.32 $0.48 $0.46 $0.07
OCF/Share $0.23 $0.05 $-0.12 $0.11 $-0.01 $0.66 $0.77 $0.80 $0.20
Cash/Share $0.99 $0.78 $0.58 $0.76 $0.64 $0.97 $0.78 $0.84 $0.84
EBITDA/Share $0.25 $0.39 $0.23 $0.44 $0.44 $0.57 $0.75 $0.89 $0.89
Debt/Share $0.72 $0.53 $0.66 $0.67 $0.61 $0.65 $0.58 $0.57 $0.57
Net Debt/Share $-0.28 $-0.25 $0.08 $-0.09 $-0.04 $-0.32 $-0.20 $-0.27 $-0.27
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — 3.597
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.883
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 2 3 4 6 8 9 9
Beneish M-Score — — — — -1.30 -3.00 -2.91 -2.82 -2.824
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.231
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 29.43%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.20
EVA snapshot only $172472996.85
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 78.05 79.40 69.80 77.60 78.30 87.75 93.75 93.75 93.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only 16.150
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000

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