— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

CHS NYSE

Chico's FAS, Inc.
1W: +0.1% 1M: +0.5% 3M: +1.6% 1Y: +55.5% 3Y: +377.4% 5Y: +47.1%
$7.59
Last traded 2024-01-04 — delisted
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail · $937.0M mcap · 118M float · 2.44% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
44.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 13.5%  ·  5Y Avg: -33.8%
Cost Advantage
46
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
43
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CHS shows a Weak competitive edge (44.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 13.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 22Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-09-29 Telsey Advisory Dana Telsey $6 $8 +2 +1.5% $7.49
2023-05-31 Telsey Advisory Dana Telsey $7 $6 -1 +36.5% $4.39
2022-09-01 Telsey Advisory Dana Telsey $7 $7 0 +27.4% $5.50
2022-09-01 Telsey Advisory — Initiated $7 — +23.2% $5.68

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 53 Grade C
Profitability
43
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
93
Growth
41
Value
68
Momentum
62
Safety
80
Cash Flow
49
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CHS scores highest in Earnings Quality (93/100) and lowest in Growth (41/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.20
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.26
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.33
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 67.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.02x
Accruals: -0.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CHS scores 3.20, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CHS scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CHS's score of -2.26 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CHS's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CHS receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 67.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CHS's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.34x
PEG
3.79x
P/S
0.44x
P/B
2.71x
P/FCF
16.06x
P/OCF
8.10x
EV/EBITDA
7.99x
EV/Revenue
0.64x
EV/EBIT
10.63x
EV/FCF
23.42x
Earnings Yield
12.16%
FCF Yield
6.23%
Shareholder Yield
2.25%
Graham Number
$8.40
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.3x earnings, CHS trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 12.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $8.40 per share, suggesting a potential 11% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.971
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.913
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.060
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.738
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.249
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
29.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CHS's ROE of 29.9% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.25x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
1.31%
Fair P/E
11.12x
Intrinsic Value
$10.13
Price/Value
0.74x
Margin of Safety
26.03%
Premium
-26.03%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CHS's realized 1.3% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CHS trades at a -26% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $10.13, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 11.1x compares to the current market P/E of 8.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.59
Median 1Y
$5.56
5th Pctile
$1.66
95th Pctile
$18.76
Ann. Volatility
75.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE 5.8% 1.4% -1.8% -4.2% -2.3% -42.9% -56.2% -72.6% -1.0% -76.5% -48.7% -19.4% 23.9% 43.8% 43.7% 42.2% 39.1% 37.6% 36.8% 29.9% 29.92%
ROA 3.4% 0.6% -0.8% -1.9% -1.0% -12.3% -15.8% -19.1% -25.6% -14.2% -9.1% -3.3% 3.7% 7.5% 8.7% 9.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.6% 9.2% 9.21%
ROIC 8.0% 0.7% -1.1% -1.9% -0.8% -19.8% -25.7% -32.7% -39.4% -19.1% -10.8% -1.4% 6.8% 12.6% 14.8% 15.3% 15.8% 15.2% 16.5% 13.5% 13.51%
ROCE 7.4% 1.9% 0.2% -0.7% -0.1% -8.7% -14.8% -21.7% -30.0% -22.8% -12.2% -1.2% 10.0% 17.5% 19.5% 21.0% 19.5% 20.3% 17.2% 15.3% 15.33%
Gross Margin 30.2% 36.9% 33.2% 35.3% 32.5% -4.0% 14.6% 22.0% 19.0% 32.7% 38.4% 40.7% 34.5% 40.0% 41.4% 40.0% 34.9% 42.1% 39.8% 38.9% 38.89%
Operating Margin -4.2% 1.0% -0.5% -2.0% -1.1% -90.8% -20.4% -21.6% -16.6% -1.9% 7.5% 4.8% 3.3% 8.4% 10.4% 6.1% 1.3% 10.0% 8.5% 2.1% 2.08%
Net Margin -3.2% 0.4% -0.5% -1.7% -0.8% -63.6% -15.3% -15.9% -20.5% -2.3% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2% 6.5% 7.5% 4.7% 1.4% 7.5% 10.9% 1.0% 1.00%
EBITDA Margin 1.8% 6.6% 4.6% 2.8% 3.1% -21.2% -11.0% -14.9% -11.4% 1.5% 10.5% 7.6% 6.6% 10.5% 12.4% 8.1% 3.6% 11.8% 10.2% 5.9% 5.93%
FCF Margin 4.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3% -0.0% -5.8% -6.6% -4.0% -8.2% -0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 4.2% 1.5% 5.6% 5.9% 3.6% 2.7% 2.71%
OCF Margin 7.4% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.6% -3.9% -4.9% -2.6% -7.4% -0.3% 1.7% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 2.7% 7.5% 8.1% 6.0% 5.4% 5.38%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.33%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -16.43%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.97%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.73%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.28%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.97%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 13.45%
CROIC snapshot only 6.78%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.46%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 33.03%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.60%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio 16.76 42.14 -29.46 -15.06 -33.69 -0.82 -0.62 -0.44 -0.71 -1.83 -6.44 -15.40 11.75 7.26 5.88 6.59 5.97 5.46 5.53 8.23 8.341
P/S Ratio 0.28 0.17 0.15 0.19 0.21 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.19 0.24 0.47 0.40 0.30 0.33 0.30 0.35 0.30 0.29 0.34 0.44 0.437
P/B Ratio 1.03 0.65 0.56 0.69 0.81 0.46 0.50 0.51 1.56 2.21 4.05 3.24 2.45 2.59 2.09 2.28 1.94 1.76 1.75 2.18 2.712
P/FCF 5.75 7.27 9.90 55.43 -722.20 -1.53 -1.39 -2.10 -2.35 -34.35 42.00 15.19 11.00 12.40 7.21 23.30 5.44 4.93 9.39 16.06 16.061
P/OCF 3.78 3.57 3.87 8.11 12.89 — — — — — 28.71 12.37 8.67 9.78 5.95 12.76 4.03 3.59 5.67 8.10 8.101
EV/EBITDA 3.24 9.13 10.36 12.76 12.08 -147.90 -13.78 -6.55 -5.32 -8.57 -34.07 26.82 8.82 6.65 5.50 5.82 5.47 5.35 6.25 7.99 7.986
EV/Revenue 0.22 0.51 0.47 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.55 0.58 0.76 0.74 0.87 0.72 0.60 0.59 0.52 0.55 0.48 0.49 0.53 0.64 0.636
EV/EBIT 8.61 43.57 458.76 -129.95 -1189.32 -10.19 -6.30 -4.27 -3.99 -5.80 -14.17 -138.74 15.20 9.31 7.26 7.50 7.14 6.84 8.04 10.63 10.634
EV/FCF 4.51 21.11 31.05 151.41 -1776.99 -8.68 -8.24 -14.31 -9.22 -104.15 76.85 27.71 21.89 21.91 12.34 36.93 8.57 8.21 14.52 23.42 23.420
Earnings Yield 6.0% 2.4% -3.4% -6.6% -3.0% -1.2% -1.6% -2.3% -1.4% -54.5% -15.5% -6.5% 8.5% 13.8% 17.0% 15.2% 16.7% 18.3% 18.1% 12.2% 12.16%
FCF Yield 17.4% 13.7% 10.1% 1.8% -0.1% -65.5% -71.9% -47.5% -42.5% -2.9% 2.4% 6.6% 9.1% 8.1% 13.9% 4.3% 18.4% 20.3% 10.7% 6.2% 6.23%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 3.795
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.291
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.813
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.632
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 11.425
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.25%
Graham Number snapshot only $8.40
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 1.76 1.09 1.08 1.09 1.04 1.12 1.09 1.03 0.93 0.95 1.05 0.98 1.01 1.10 1.18 1.21 1.14 1.11 1.21 1.20 1.197
Quick Ratio 0.91 0.51 0.52 0.43 0.43 0.50 0.55 0.50 0.46 0.46 0.56 0.41 0.35 0.38 0.48 0.48 0.53 0.43 0.51 0.42 0.423
Debt/Equity 0.10 1.54 1.49 1.44 1.43 2.52 2.86 3.57 5.20 5.14 4.10 3.33 2.95 2.39 2.07 1.77 1.64 1.55 1.32 1.30 1.296
Net Debt/Equity -0.22 1.24 1.20 1.20 1.18 2.18 2.44 2.97 4.54 4.49 3.36 2.67 2.43 1.98 1.49 1.33 1.11 1.18 0.96 1.00 0.997
Debt/Assets 0.06 0.51 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.59 0.62 0.62 0.67 0.66 0.63 0.57 0.55 0.52 0.50 0.49 0.46 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.433
Debt/EBITDA 0.40 7.44 8.81 9.67 8.63 -141.21 -13.42 -6.71 -4.54 -6.57 -18.82 15.12 5.33 3.49 3.18 2.85 2.94 2.82 3.04 3.26 3.264
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.89 5.98 7.06 8.09 7.17 -121.91 -11.46 -5.59 -3.96 -5.74 -15.45 12.12 4.39 2.89 2.29 2.15 1.99 2.14 2.21 2.51 2.509
Interest Coverage 269.15 118.83 8.21 -43.09 -7.47 -755.91 -2131.06 -4955.07 — -107.33 -28.58 -1.71 10.83 21.26 28.38 34.70 36.39 42.08 47.17 55.44 55.435
Equity Multiplier 1.74 3.02 2.96 2.95 2.91 4.27 4.63 5.74 7.72 7.77 6.48 5.89 5.40 4.59 4.14 3.58 3.54 3.33 2.98 2.99 2.993
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.286
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 73.819
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.231
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.104
Defensive Interval snapshot only 66.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 2.03 1.49 1.52 1.51 1.60 1.14 1.07 0.98 0.94 1.07 1.24 1.30 1.46 1.64 1.68 1.77 1.80 1.83 1.72 1.74 1.738
Inventory Turnover 5.83 5.48 5.98 4.95 5.54 5.05 5.27 4.43 5.06 4.60 5.20 4.24 4.35 4.52 4.61 4.43 4.34 4.16 4.04 3.98 3.982
Receivables Turnover 142.68 -42.21 -39.39 -35.50 120.89 -24.38 82.98 -55.18 125.82 -28.00 37.18 — 228.25 — — — 225.49 — — — —
Payables Turnover 10.45 9.91 9.77 8.92 9.63 9.41 9.96 7.91 9.09 8.26 10.01 7.08 7.71 8.36 8.50 9.19 7.73 8.65 7.90 9.88 9.875
DSO 3 -9 -9 -10 3 -15 4 -7 3 -13 10 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0.0 days
DIO 63 67 61 74 66 72 69 82 72 79 70 86 84 81 79 82 84 88 90 92 91.7 days
DPO 35 37 37 41 38 39 37 46 40 44 36 52 47 44 43 40 47 42 46 37 37.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 30 21 14 22 31 19 37 30 35 22 44 34 38 37 36 43 38 46 44 55 54.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.158
Cash Velocity snapshot only 16.653
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.600
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue -6.6% -7.7% -7.9% -7.2% -4.4% -13.7% -22.1% -28.0% -35.0% -20.5% -0.0% 16.0% 36.7% 37.1% 28.3% 24.4% 18.3% 8.8% 3.5% -0.2% -0.25%
Net Income -64.7% -91.0% -1.1% -1.3% -1.4% -23.4% -21.8% -10.4% -27.2% 1.2% 50.4% 84.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 3.6% 1.4% 26.5% 24.1% -0.4% -0.44%
EPS -62.8% -90.2% -1.1% -1.3% -1.4% -23.2% -21.5% -10.3% -27.0% 2.1% 53.2% 85.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 3.5% 1.3% 26.5% 26.0% 1.3% 1.31%
FCF -12.2% -69.3% -79.1% -94.9% -1.0% -3.1% -4.4% -9.7% -182.5% 90.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 6.2% 3.8% -28.4% 1.4% 1.4% -10.3% 80.4% 80.39%
EBITDA -40.2% -48.4% -55.7% -56.8% -39.4% -1.1% -1.7% -2.6% -3.2% -19.3% 35.7% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 5.8% 3.4% 53.1% 11.6% -7.0% -16.6% -16.61%
Op. Income -69.9% -93.4% -1.1% -1.3% -1.3% -32.5% -19.1% -12.9% -36.8% 22.8% 66.3% 96.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 11.9% 1.1% 25.6% -2.6% -22.7% -22.68%
OCF Growth snapshot only 95.87%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.75%
Equity Growth snapshot only 30.21%
Debt Growth snapshot only -4.43%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.72%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y -6.9% -7.0% -7.0% -6.7% -6.3% -9.4% -12.2% -13.9% -16.6% -14.1% -10.5% -8.2% -5.3% -2.0% -0.0% 1.3% 1.7% 5.9% 9.9% 12.9% 12.92%
Revenue 5Y -3.8% -4.3% -4.8% -5.0% -5.3% -7.7% -9.9% -11.3% -12.9% -11.2% -8.9% -7.4% -6.1% -4.1% -2.8% -1.6% -1.3% -1.1% -1.0% -0.8% -0.79%
EPS 3Y 1.8% 1.7% — — — — — — — — — — 7.5% 1.1% — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y -7.3% -27.2% — — — — — — — — — — -12.3% -0.4% 2.8% 5.4% 1.4% 3.7% 8.2% 6.8% 6.77%
Net Income 3Y 1.6% 1.6% — — — — — — — — — — 9.1% 1.2% — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y -11.6% -30.9% — — — — — — — — — — -12.7% -0.8% 2.5% 5.3% 1.5% 3.4% 7.7% 6.9% 6.85%
EBITDA 3Y 47.8% 14.1% -12.9% -30.1% -28.9% — — — — — — -37.5% -5.4% 14.5% 27.6% 35.6% 28.9% — — — —
EBITDA 5Y -9.0% -11.6% -13.4% -22.1% -5.5% — — — — — — -28.0% -12.9% -6.1% -5.8% -3.5% -4.9% -2.9% -3.1% -2.1% -2.14%
Gross Profit 3Y -18.9% -17.5% -15.8% -13.1% -9.5% -18.5% -25.0% -30.9% -40.3% -27.8% -18.3% -11.8% -4.5% 1.2% 4.8% 6.3% 6.1% 19.2% 30.3% 42.8% 42.77%
Gross Profit 5Y -11.6% -12.4% -13.1% -13.3% -13.2% -19.1% -23.7% -27.8% -33.6% -24.3% -17.1% -11.7% -6.9% -3.9% -2.0% -0.7% -0.6% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.12%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.1% 1.4% — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y -20.9% -41.3% — — — — — — — — — — -13.9% -3.8% -0.1% 2.1% -0.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 4.23%
FCF 3Y -2.5% -23.1% -39.4% -64.9% — — — — — — -50.5% -30.7% -22.0% 1.8% 40.6% 67.1% — — — — —
FCF 5Y 1.1% -13.3% -23.3% -43.6% — — — — — — -33.5% -22.4% -23.0% -20.9% -8.7% -25.9% 0.2% -5.0% -12.3% -15.5% -15.49%
OCF 3Y -7.1% -18.5% -27.3% -39.6% -47.5% — — — — — -49.0% -34.2% -26.6% -13.1% 9.6% 7.6% 69.2% — — — —
OCF 5Y -7.8% -15.8% -20.2% -28.1% -34.8% — — — — — -33.7% -23.8% -23.0% -20.8% -9.9% -20.4% -0.6% -3.9% -8.4% -9.9% -9.87%
Assets 3Y -4.8% 14.2% 13.2% 13.0% 11.6% 9.6% 8.8% 9.0% 5.4% 3.3% 4.5% 3.8% 5.9% -11.8% -8.8% -10.1% -8.3% -6.9% -3.4% -3.2% -3.20%
Assets 5Y -6.0% 3.4% 2.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.0% 2.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 3.1% 3.0% 2.98%
Equity 3Y -3.2% -3.0% -3.4% -4.3% -4.5% -17.8% -21.7% -27.4% -36.9% -37.9% -33.7% -31.8% -27.4% -23.3% -18.4% -15.8% -14.1% 1.2% 11.8% 20.3% 20.29%
Book Value 3Y 1.2% 1.5% 0.5% -0.5% -1.4% -15.4% -19.6% -25.6% -35.4% -36.4% -33.3% -31.9% -28.5% -25.1% -20.5% -18.1% -16.5% -1.0% 10.0% 18.1% 18.11%
Dividend 3Y 5.1% 4.5% 3.1% 2.6% 1.6% 2.2% -6.8% -18.5% -34.7% -92.7% — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.76 0.85 0.92 0.96 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.90 0.86 0.96 0.94 0.83 0.66 0.53 0.35 0.17 0.09 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.007
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.47 0.60 0.55 0.43 0.26 0.17 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.082
Margin Stability 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.75 0.71 0.66 0.59 0.70 0.75 0.74 0.68 0.78 0.80 0.76 0.68 0.77 0.79 0.75 0.751
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.04 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.19 0.77 0.79 1.00 0.996
ROE Trend -0.09 -0.13 -0.17 -0.18 -0.13 -0.65 -0.86 -1.21 -2.20 -0.93 -0.22 0.40 1.31 1.24 1.07 1.04 1.31 0.75 0.45 0.20 0.197
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.09 -0.12 -0.16 -0.21 -0.09 -0.00 0.07 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.027
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.07 -0.11 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.08 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.007
Sustainable Growth Rate -1.2% -5.5% — — — — — — — — — — 23.9% 43.8% 43.7% 42.2% 39.1% 37.6% 36.8% 29.9% 29.92%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.9% 8.1% 9.5% 10.4% 10.1% 10.8% 11.9% 10.1% 10.14%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 4.44 11.80 -7.61 -1.86 -2.61 0.37 0.33 0.13 0.27 0.02 -0.22 -1.25 1.35 0.74 0.99 0.52 1.48 1.52 0.98 1.02 1.015
FCF/OCF 0.66 0.49 0.39 0.15 -0.02 1.46 1.36 1.57 1.12 2.83 0.68 0.81 0.79 0.79 0.83 0.55 0.74 0.73 0.60 0.50 0.504
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.512
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.676
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 2.67%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.345
Accruals Ratio -0.12 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.08 -0.11 -0.17 -0.19 -0.14 -0.11 -0.07 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.05 -0.04 -0.05 0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.034
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.018
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 7.2% 11.7% 13.6% 11.0% 9.6% 26.2% 21.2% 16.8% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.36 $0.37 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.27 $0.18 $0.09 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 1.2% 4.9% — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 41.6% 84.9% 1.3% 6.1% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 3.6% 14.6% — — — — — — — — — — 4.1% 9.7% 8.3% 7.9% 8.1% 18.4% 16.0% 18.5% 18.51%
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.07 0.05 0.24 -0.04 -0.33 -0.70 -1.00 — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 14.1% 22.9% 17.9% 14.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 3.4% 2.9% 2.3% 2.25%
Net Buyback Yield 13.8% 22.6% 17.5% 13.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 3.3% 2.8% 2.2% 2.21%
Total Shareholder Return 21.1% 34.3% 31.1% 24.7% 9.9% 26.2% 21.3% 17.3% 4.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 3.3% 2.8% 2.2% 2.21%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.82 1.01 0.64 0.88 1.07 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.78 0.89 1.00 2.09 0.77 0.79 0.77 0.76 0.79 0.78 0.97 0.97 0.971
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.80 0.35 -7.72 3.59 13.45 3.08 2.40 2.02 1.82 1.17 1.20 2.36 0.84 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.91 0.913
EBIT Margin 0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.05 -0.09 -0.14 -0.19 -0.13 -0.06 -0.01 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.060
Asset Turnover 2.03 1.49 1.52 1.51 1.60 1.14 1.07 0.98 0.94 1.07 1.24 1.30 1.46 1.64 1.68 1.77 1.80 1.83 1.72 1.74 1.738
Equity Multiplier 1.69 2.30 2.26 2.25 2.30 3.50 3.55 3.81 4.05 5.38 5.34 5.81 6.39 5.82 5.04 4.48 4.28 3.86 3.46 3.25 3.249
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.30 $0.08 $-0.09 $-0.22 $-0.11 $-1.67 $-2.05 $-2.46 $-3.10 $-1.63 $-0.96 $-0.35 $0.37 $0.73 $0.85 $0.90 $0.87 $0.92 $1.08 $0.91 $0.91
Book Value/Share $4.90 $4.87 $4.78 $4.72 $4.60 $2.95 $2.56 $2.09 $1.42 $1.36 $1.52 $1.69 $1.79 $2.05 $2.40 $2.60 $2.68 $2.86 $3.40 $3.44 $2.80
Tangible Book/Share $3.75 $3.69 $3.60 $3.54 $3.42 $2.75 $2.37 $1.90 $1.24 $1.17 $1.35 $1.51 $1.62 $1.88 $2.23 $2.43 $2.51 $2.69 $3.23 $3.27 $3.27
Revenue/Share $17.99 $18.18 $17.86 $17.70 $17.69 $15.58 $13.79 $12.61 $11.38 $12.27 $13.02 $13.80 $14.63 $15.92 $16.54 $16.93 $17.07 $17.31 $17.40 $17.18 $17.86
FCF/Share $0.88 $0.44 $0.27 $0.06 $-0.01 $-0.90 $-0.91 $-0.51 $-0.94 $-0.09 $0.15 $0.36 $0.40 $0.43 $0.70 $0.25 $0.95 $1.02 $0.63 $0.47 $1.00
OCF/Share $1.33 $0.89 $0.69 $0.40 $0.29 $-0.61 $-0.67 $-0.32 $-0.84 $-0.03 $0.22 $0.44 $0.51 $0.54 $0.84 $0.46 $1.29 $1.41 $1.05 $0.92 $1.35
Cash/Share $1.57 $1.46 $1.42 $1.11 $1.11 $1.02 $1.07 $1.25 $0.94 $0.88 $1.12 $1.12 $0.93 $0.84 $1.39 $1.13 $1.42 $1.06 $1.24 $1.03 $1.48
EBITDA/Share $1.22 $1.01 $0.81 $0.70 $0.76 $-0.05 $-0.55 $-1.11 $-1.63 $-1.06 $-0.33 $0.37 $0.99 $1.41 $1.56 $1.61 $1.49 $1.57 $1.48 $1.37 $1.37
Debt/Share $0.49 $7.49 $7.14 $6.79 $6.56 $7.44 $7.33 $7.46 $7.39 $6.97 $6.25 $5.62 $5.27 $4.91 $4.96 $4.59 $4.40 $4.42 $4.49 $4.46 $4.46
Net Debt/Share $-1.09 $6.03 $5.72 $5.68 $5.45 $6.42 $6.26 $6.21 $6.45 $6.10 $5.13 $4.50 $4.34 $4.06 $3.57 $3.46 $2.98 $3.36 $3.26 $3.43 $3.43
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.198
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.350
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 3 3 4 2 2 1 1 2 5 6 8 7 7 6 8 8 7 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.34 -2.86 -2.87 -2.83 -3.06 -6.12 -6.71 -4.46 -3.68 -4.47 -3.85 -2.90 -2.85 -2.13 -2.37 -2.17 -2.12 -2.68 -2.25 -2.26 -2.258
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.325
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 16.69%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.55
EVA snapshot only $29583278.41
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 94.31 51.73 47.23 25.15 24.23 26.13 25.33 17.85 24.67 15.13 24.44 19.78 46.55 56.43 62.18 68.29 71.38 70.41 69.55 67.09 67.092
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.202
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 58
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 59

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms