— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 600030.SS (SHH) · $vol 602M · 6030.HK (HKSE) · $vol 38M · CIIHF (OTC) · $vol 0M

CIIHY OTC

CITIC Securities Company Limited
1W: +0.0% 1M: -6.3% 3M: +0.5% YTD: -5.5% 1Y: -3.7% 3Y: +73.4% 5Y: +53.3%
$32.80
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · Tech Score Sell · Power 41 · $48.6B mcap · 1.07B float · 0.0000% daily turnover · Short 49% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
4
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CIIHY receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-03 None ADDED
2026-10-03 EXISTED None
2026-09-29 None ADDED
2026-09-26 EXISTED None
2026-09-22 None ADDED
2026-09-22 EXISTED None
2026-09-09 None ADDED
2026-09-06 EXISTED None
2026-09-02 None ADDED
2026-08-30 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A+
Profitability
71
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
84
Growth
67
Value
—
Momentum
93
Safety
—
Cash Flow
95

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
6.52
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.04
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
—
—
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 93.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 5.54x
Accruals: -8.0%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. CIIHY scores 6.52, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CIIHY scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CIIHY's score of -3.04 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CIIHY receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 93.5/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CIIHY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
9.69x
PEG
0.16x
P/S
3.99x
P/B
1.30x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$377.79
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.7x earnings, CIIHY trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $377.79 per share, suggesting a potential 1052% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.759
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.504
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.046
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
6.518
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CIIHY's ROE of 11.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 6.52x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1001.33
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CIIHY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CIIHY actually compounded EPS at 21.5% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. CIIHY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1001.33, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 9.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$32.80
Median 1Y
$32.23
5th Pctile
$12.98
95th Pctile
$80.44
Ann. Volatility
52.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 10.0% 10.4% 11.8% 10.8% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.8% 11.5% 11.46%
ROA 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 1.76%
ROIC -30.0% -24.8% -61.7% -20.3% -15.5% -19.5% -22.1% -21.5% -18.9% -51.5% 4.6% -35.0% 2.0% -27.7% -23.0% -21.6% -16.7% 29.6% -2.8% -2.8% -2.82%
ROCE 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 3.5% 2.0% 2.00%
Gross Margin 84.5% 83.5% 83.0% 79.3% 84.3% 79.3% 79.8% 76.5% 80.2% 76.0% 75.9% 73.8% 78.9% 77.6% 77.9% 78.1% 77.7% 79.9% 82.4% 97.9% 97.94%
Operating Margin 38.2% 31.8% 36.2% 37.1% 35.1% 38.6% 34.9% 36.8% 39.1% 36.1% 23.4% 35.7% 35.5% 38.6% 28.6% 36.6% 48.8% 39.7% 47.6% 65.2% 65.16%
Net Margin 28.4% 22.9% 24.5% 27.4% 25.2% 28.7% 26.1% 27.2% 29.7% 27.4% 17.8% 26.7% 27.2% 30.2% 21.6% 28.9% 37.1% 29.1% 36.8% 48.8% 48.85%
EBITDA Margin 38.2% 31.8% 36.2% 37.1% 35.1% 38.6% 34.9% 36.8% 39.1% 36.1% 23.4% 35.7% 35.5% 38.6% 28.6% 36.6% 48.8% 39.7% 47.6% 64.0% 64.03%
FCF Margin 92.1% 80.0% 30.5% 1.4% 1.4% 72.1% 96.9% -3.1% -20.3% -50.8% -55.1% 40.3% -20.2% 1.6% 2.1% 54.8% 1.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.10%
OCF Margin 92.9% 80.9% 31.3% 1.4% 1.5% 73.5% 98.6% -1.4% -18.4% -49.0% -53.0% 42.1% -18.3% 1.6% 2.1% 56.2% 1.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.12%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.41%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.60%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.35%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.63%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.39%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 39.47%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 50.44%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only -4.60%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 9.685
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.992
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.297
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.157
Graham Number snapshot only $377.79
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.13 1.07 1.07 1.17 1.12 1.08 1.00 1.04 1.04 0.98 1.05 3.05 0.97 0.97 1.04 0.99 1.00 2.10 1.59 — —
Quick Ratio 1.13 1.07 1.07 1.17 1.12 1.08 1.00 1.04 1.04 0.98 1.05 1.26 0.97 0.97 1.04 0.99 1.00 2.10 1.59 — —
Debt/Equity 1.16 1.08 1.23 0.95 0.94 0.82 0.71 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.99 0.78 0.83 0.77 0.84 0.70 0.71 2.61 0.90 0.66 0.663
Net Debt/Equity -1.34 -1.41 -1.19 -1.48 -1.61 -1.47 -1.40 -1.40 -1.46 -1.16 -0.98 -1.20 -0.96 -1.26 -1.34 -1.37 -1.51 -0.68 -4.34 -4.90 -4.895
Debt/Assets 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.14 0.16 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.35 0.13 0.09 0.094
Debt/EBITDA 8.72 8.03 8.04 7.26 7.38 6.63 6.25 6.87 6.96 7.22 10.13 8.61 9.30 8.42 8.71 7.01 6.77 21.84 7.48 4.72 4.717
Net Debt/EBITDA -10.06 -10.51 -7.78 -11.29 -12.62 -11.95 -12.20 -12.41 -13.11 -10.84 -10.10 -13.27 -10.75 -13.77 -13.77 -13.78 -14.27 -5.72 -35.92 -34.83 -34.834
Interest Coverage 1.74 1.82 2.09 2.07 2.02 2.00 1.90 1.83 1.77 1.68 1.49 1.43 1.38 1.44 1.51 1.59 1.70 1.76 2.13 2.64 2.643
Equity Multiplier 6.24 5.95 6.11 5.58 5.78 5.37 5.17 5.57 5.53 5.38 5.41 5.58 5.35 6.04 5.84 5.92 5.92 7.39 6.71 7.04 7.036
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.643
Cash to Debt snapshot only 8.385
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.883
Defensive Interval snapshot only 20986.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.046
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — 0.10 — — — 0.10 — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 1.50 1.51 2.45 1.47 1.38 1.41 1.73 1.24 1.13 1.25 1.23 1.04 1.00 0.82 1.18 0.99 0.92 0.41 2.59 2.00 1.996
Payables Turnover 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.08 0.05 0.055
DSO 243 242 149 249 264 258 211 295 322 291 297 352 366 444 310 368 397 897 141 183 182.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3834 0 0 0 3593 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 3074 3318 3531 4058 4345 4585 4571 4626 4867 4512 4187 4283 4277 4311 3835 3905 4042 2235 4430 6664 6663.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -2832 -3076 -3383 -3809 -4081 -4327 -4360 -4331 -4545 -4221 -3890 -96 -3911 -3867 -3525 56 -3646 -1338 -4289 -6481 -6480.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.849
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.050
Capital Intensity snapshot only 25.254
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 32.1% 31.4% 36.1% 27.0% 12.7% -0.7% -12.3% -10.4% -13.7% -8.5% -3.3% -6.0% -0.2% 2.4% 7.2% 14.5% 11.7% 12.9% 13.4% 12.9% 12.91%
Net Income 23.6% 38.4% 55.0% 44.9% 21.6% 10.7% -7.7% -7.2% -3.0% -3.9% -7.5% -10.4% -11.4% -5.0% 10.1% 20.9% 30.9% 27.0% 42.2% 60.7% 60.73%
EPS 21.9% 46.4% 37.4% 28.8% 8.1% -1.6% -9.6% -9.0% -5.0% -5.8% -7.5% -14.3% -11.4% -5.0% 6.0% 20.2% 24.5% 27.0% 43.5% 74.0% 74.02%
FCF 4.7% -8.2% -72.6% 1.3% 77.1% -10.6% 1.8% -1.0% -1.1% -1.6% -1.5% 13.0% 0.5% 4.2% 5.0% 55.8% 11.6% -16.2% -28.8% 3.3% 3.33%
EBITDA 24.8% 40.0% 55.8% 47.5% 24.6% 12.2% -9.2% -9.1% -7.6% -8.1% -9.6% -12.8% -12.6% -6.7% 8.5% 18.1% 28.6% 28.2% 42.2% 64.0% 63.97%
Op. Income 24.8% 40.0% 55.8% 47.5% 24.6% 12.2% -9.2% -9.1% -7.6% -8.1% -9.6% -12.8% -12.6% -6.7% 8.5% 18.1% 28.6% 28.2% 42.2% 65.0% 64.98%
OCF Growth snapshot only 3.25%
Asset Growth snapshot only 38.04%
Equity Growth snapshot only 16.07%
Debt Growth snapshot only 10.35%
Shares Change snapshot only -7.64%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -0.95%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 12.5% 16.9% 21.5% 20.7% 22.0% 16.6% 14.2% 12.4% 8.7% 6.1% 4.9% 2.3% -1.0% -2.4% -3.1% -1.2% -1.3% 1.9% 5.5% 6.7% 6.71%
Revenue 5Y 13.0% 16.1% 19.3% 18.4% 18.5% 15.0% 12.0% 10.3% 6.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 7.4% 6.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.69%
EPS 3Y 12.5% 23.6% 28.4% 23.4% 21.7% 15.2% 12.1% 17.6% 7.8% 10.7% 4.8% 0.1% -3.1% -4.1% -3.9% -2.1% 1.6% 4.4% 12.0% 21.5% 21.47%
EPS 5Y 5.6% 10.3% 12.5% 13.2% 12.9% 14.2% 9.5% 9.7% 7.9% 11.8% 12.1% 7.9% 8.7% 6.5% 6.7% 10.9% 6.7% 10.4% 11.8% 16.0% 16.00%
Net Income 3Y 14.6% 22.5% 35.0% 28.3% 29.1% 20.5% 20.4% 21.3% 13.4% 13.8% 9.8% 6.4% 1.5% 0.4% -2.1% 0.2% 4.0% 5.1% 13.1% 20.3% 20.29%
Net Income 5Y 7.6% 11.1% 17.4% 16.0% 17.1% 16.3% 13.3% 12.7% 12.2% 14.4% 16.0% 11.9% 13.1% 9.8% 12.2% 14.1% 11.1% 12.2% 15.7% 18.5% 18.54%
EBITDA 3Y 14.2% 22.4% 36.8% 30.2% 30.3% 21.1% 19.4% 20.3% 12.8% 13.0% 8.6% 5.4% 0.2% -1.3% -3.8% -2.2% 1.3% 3.2% 11.8% 19.1% 19.09%
EBITDA 5Y 7.1% 11.0% 17.5% 16.3% 17.6% 16.7% 12.3% 12.0% 11.4% 13.6% 16.0% 11.8% 12.3% 8.8% 10.8% 12.4% 10.1% 11.5% 14.6% 17.8% 17.76%
Gross Profit 3Y 11.1% 16.0% 21.2% 19.8% 24.1% 17.6% 15.0% 12.9% 8.4% 5.0% 3.4% 0.4% -3.3% -4.6% -5.6% -3.1% -3.3% 0.5% 5.0% 8.9% 8.87%
Gross Profit 5Y 8.5% 11.6% 15.0% 14.0% 14.1% 11.9% 10.1% 9.6% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 8.7% 7.4% 8.5% 8.6% 6.9% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.77%
Op. Income 3Y 14.2% 22.4% 36.8% 30.2% 30.3% 21.1% 19.4% 20.3% 12.8% 13.0% 8.6% 5.4% 0.2% -1.3% -3.8% -2.2% 1.3% 3.2% 11.8% 19.3% 19.33%
Op. Income 5Y 7.1% 11.0% 17.5% 16.3% 17.6% 16.7% 12.3% 12.0% 11.4% 13.6% 16.0% 11.8% 12.3% 8.8% 10.8% 12.4% 10.1% 11.5% 14.6% 17.9% 17.91%
FCF 3Y — 60.9% -21.4% 21.8% 28.1% 37.9% 53.0% — — — — -16.8% — 23.1% 83.5% -27.1% 8.5% 20.4% 16.4% — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — -14.8% — 40.5% 51.4% 12.6% 66.8% 7.5% 3.8% 31.2% 31.18%
OCF 3Y — 59.9% -21.0% 21.8% 28.1% 38.0% 52.9% — — — — -15.9% — 23.1% 82.4% -26.7% 8.5% 20.3% 16.3% — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — -14.2% — 40.2% 51.0% 12.8% 66.1% 7.7% 3.9% 31.1% 31.07%
Assets 3Y 21.1% 25.4% 25.1% 26.5% 24.7% 22.3% 18.2% 16.0% 13.5% 10.6% 11.3% 10.9% 8.5% 12.6% 10.2% 9.5% 8.8% 16.0% 19.7% 19.7% 19.70%
Assets 5Y 15.4% 17.2% 16.4% 16.9% 18.3% 16.1% 15.9% 16.9% 16.7% 18.1% 17.3% 18.4% 15.6% 18.9% 16.7% 14.2% 13.1% 14.8% 16.3% 16.5% 16.55%
Equity 3Y 7.7% 10.1% 11.0% 15.7% 15.9% 15.8% 16.1% 13.4% 13.6% 13.4% 13.9% 14.7% 14.2% 12.0% 11.9% 7.4% 7.9% 4.2% 9.7% 10.7% 10.74%
Book Value 3Y 5.8% 11.1% 5.5% 11.2% 9.2% 10.8% 8.2% 9.9% 8.0% 10.4% 8.7% 8.0% 9.1% 7.0% 9.8% 4.9% 5.4% 3.5% 8.7% 11.8% 11.83%
Dividend 3Y 2.5% -4.5% -8.8% -5.2% -6.9% 3.8% 0.3% 3.2% 1.8% -4.8% -7.3% -9.1% -7.7% -7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 8.4% -6.0% -12.8% -2.0% -1.97%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.74 0.86 0.87 0.92 0.94 0.93 0.80 0.82 0.67 0.69 0.57 0.54 0.46 0.44 0.39 0.44 0.43 0.66 0.87 0.79 0.791
Earnings Stability 0.49 0.68 0.67 0.69 0.86 0.92 0.79 0.81 0.87 0.91 0.73 0.68 0.66 0.68 0.56 0.60 0.63 0.67 0.58 0.58 0.582
Margin Stability 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.93 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.959
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.91 0.85 0.50 0.82 0.91 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.98 0.96 0.92 0.88 0.89 0.83 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.79 0.68 0.57 0.63 0.81 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.97 0.96 0.92 0.89 0.88 0.95 0.90 0.81 0.73 0.76 0.65 0.53 0.534
ROE Trend 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.034
Gross Margin Trend 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.078
FCF Margin Trend 0.19 0.01 -0.65 0.76 0.88 -0.25 0.06 -1.09 -1.39 -1.27 -1.19 -0.26 -0.82 1.50 1.87 0.36 2.13 0.64 0.54 1.63 1.627
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.0% 4.1% 5.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.29%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 0.97%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 4.03 3.43 1.23 5.34 5.86 2.79 3.68 -0.05 -0.66 -1.77 -2.07 1.65 -0.74 6.32 7.95 2.09 6.66 4.20 4.00 5.54 5.536
FCF/OCF 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 2.29 1.10 1.04 1.04 0.96 1.10 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.992
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 5.492
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 4.201
CapEx/Revenue 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.69%
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.04 -0.00 -0.08 -0.08 -0.03 -0.04 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 -0.01 0.02 -0.07 -0.10 -0.02 -0.09 -0.04 -0.05 -0.08 -0.080
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.004
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 11.174
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.71%
Dividend/Share $9.84 $9.31 $8.32 $8.76 $8.42 $10.58 $10.17 $10.35 $10.13 $9.69 $9.32 $8.94 $9.15 $8.93 $11.67 $11.85 $11.90 $7.57 $8.03 $11.73 $7.00
Payout Ratio 69.9% 60.5% 52.3% 54.9% 55.4% 69.8% 70.7% 71.3% 70.1% 67.9% 70.0% 71.9% 71.4% 65.8% 82.8% 79.3% 74.6% 43.9% 39.7% 45.1% 45.12%
FCF Payout Ratio 17.5% 17.8% 43.6% 10.4% 9.5% 25.5% 19.5% — — — — 45.5% — 10.5% 10.5% 38.9% 11.3% 10.7% 10.0% 8.2% 8.22%
Total Payout Ratio 69.9% 60.5% 52.3% 54.9% 55.4% 69.8% 70.7% 71.3% 70.1% 67.9% 70.0% 71.9% 71.4% 65.8% 82.8% 79.3% 74.6% 43.9% 39.7% 45.1% 45.12%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.72 0.71 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.759
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.32 0.32 0.35 0.36 0.35 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.43 0.50 0.504
Asset Turnover 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.046
Equity Multiplier 5.90 5.88 5.97 5.84 5.98 5.63 5.60 5.57 5.65 5.38 5.29 5.58 5.44 5.73 5.63 5.75 5.65 6.71 6.30 6.52 6.518
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $14.08 $15.40 $15.90 $15.95 $15.21 $15.16 $14.38 $14.51 $14.46 $14.28 $13.31 $12.43 $12.81 $13.57 $14.10 $14.95 $15.95 $17.23 $20.23 $26.01 $26.01
Book Value/Share $145.14 $157.90 $144.01 $168.20 $167.17 $171.28 $170.79 $174.39 $173.99 $177.09 $181.40 $181.28 $188.44 $193.32 $190.42 $194.07 $196.00 $190.17 $219.42 $243.89 $203.40
Tangible Book/Share $134.69 $148.06 $135.56 $159.83 $158.80 $162.91 $162.79 $166.45 $166.08 $169.20 $173.44 $173.70 $180.53 $185.44 $182.77 $186.56 $188.50 $182.29 $211.80 $235.86 $235.86
Revenue/Share $61.00 $65.28 $62.53 $61.86 $61.13 $57.63 $53.75 $54.31 $51.70 $51.67 $51.96 $48.82 $51.57 $52.91 $53.62 $55.58 $54.77 $59.72 $61.37 $67.95 $64.78
FCF/Share $56.17 $52.24 $19.10 $84.47 $88.43 $41.53 $52.10 $-1.71 $-10.49 $-26.27 $-28.62 $19.65 $-10.43 $84.85 $111.27 $30.44 $105.30 $71.09 $79.97 $142.83 $118.47
OCF/Share $56.66 $52.79 $19.59 $85.09 $89.14 $42.36 $52.98 $-0.75 $-9.53 $-25.32 $-27.55 $20.56 $-9.46 $85.74 $112.11 $31.26 $106.19 $72.33 $80.94 $143.98 $119.52
Cash/Share $361.93 $392.44 $347.24 $410.30 $426.73 $392.17 $360.49 $380.07 $388.09 $343.16 $357.42 $359.81 $338.72 $393.74 $415.00 $401.26 $435.00 $626.38 $1150.52 $1355.58 $69.98
EBITDA/Share $19.28 $21.16 $21.96 $22.12 $21.34 $21.11 $19.53 $19.71 $19.33 $19.01 $17.67 $16.44 $16.90 $17.74 $18.46 $19.31 $20.67 $22.73 $26.51 $34.27 $34.27
Debt/Share $168.10 $169.91 $176.47 $160.59 $157.44 $139.91 $122.08 $135.42 $134.59 $137.17 $179.04 $141.56 $157.11 $149.43 $160.73 $135.32 $139.94 $496.43 $198.40 $161.67 $161.67
Net Debt/Share $-193.83 $-222.52 $-170.77 $-249.71 $-269.29 $-252.26 $-238.41 $-244.65 $-253.50 $-205.99 $-178.39 $-218.25 $-181.61 $-244.31 $-254.27 $-265.94 $-295.06 $-129.95 $-952.11 $-1193.91 $-1193.91
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.518
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 6 7 6 6 4 2 2 2 2 4 1 6 6 7 7 8 8 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.10 -2.76 -2.44 -2.80 -2.88 -2.62 -1.93 -2.24 -2.13 -2.09 -2.03 -2.31 -2.18 -1.90 -2.73 -2.30 -1.86 -1.26 -3.32 -3.04 -3.038
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 4.46%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1468.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 86.80 86.80 80.20 90.55 90.55 81.25 86.35 76.45 76.45 73.90 72.00 82.50 69.45 86.25 86.85 76.05 90.10 80.50 87.55 93.55 93.550
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only 17.500
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000

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