— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

CNBA OTC

Chester Bancorp, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.9% YTD: +54.0% 1Y: +30.0% 3Y: +6499900.2% 5Y: -87.8%
$5.85
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Buy · Power 59 · $26.1M mcap · 359989 float · 0.015% daily turnover · Short 100% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 30 Grade C
Profitability
66
Balance Sheet
46
Earnings Quality
49
Growth
17
Value
80
Momentum
25
Safety
100
Cash Flow
47
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CNBA scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (17/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
4.53
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.87
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 75.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.37x
Accruals: 0.5%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. CNBA scores 4.53, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CNBA scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CNBA's score of -2.57 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CNBA's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CNBA receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 75.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CNBA's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
7312.50x
PEG
1974.38x
P/S
10797.11x
P/B
0.29x
P/FCF
20.90x
P/OCF
20.82x
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
-3.49x
EV/EBIT
41.01x
EV/FCF
-3.63x
Earnings Yield
13.02%
FCF Yield
4.78%
Shareholder Yield
39.80%
Graham Number
$20.11
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 7312.5x earnings, CNBA is priced for high growth expectations. An earnings yield of 13.0% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $20.11 per share, suggesting a potential 244% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.806
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-38.140
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.085
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.003
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.792
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CNBA's ROE of 6.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.79x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
2.64%
Fair P/E
13.77x
Intrinsic Value
$14.88
Price/Value
0.56x
Margin of Safety
44.22%
Premium
-44.22%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CNBA's realized 2.6% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CNBA trades at a -44% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $14.88, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 13.8x compares to the current market P/E of 7312.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.85
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
638.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
ROE 4.4% 5.1% 4.5% 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% 5.7% 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 5.8% 5.8% 5.6% 6.1% 7.0% 6.1% 6.13%
ROA 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.79%
ROIC -3.5% -2.0% 4.5% -2.1% -2.1% -1.9% 5.3% 3.5% 4.3% 1.4% -10.1% 25.1% -8.4% 3.7% -36.9% 25.9% -68.3% -7.1% -8.9% 15.7% 15.65%
ROCE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.3% -0.4% -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -0.0% -0.03%
Gross Margin 1.0% 10.0% 1.0% 20.1% 21.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 4.0% 4.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.2% 33.3% 82.4% -44.3% 8.9% -12.4% -3.3% -8.4% 3.9% 3.2% 2.8% 4.3% 5.3% 3.3% 2.1% 6.5% 6.50%
Net Margin 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.8% 22.2% 52.1% 19.3% 6.5% 6.1% 2.2% 4.0% 2.9% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.9% 4.4% 4.44%
EBITDA Margin 4.0% 4.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.2% 33.3% 82.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Margin 2.5% 2.3% 1.2% 1.1% -30.1% 21.7% 49.4% 58.1% 68.5% 97.6% 5.3% 5.6% 4.5% 3.4% 2.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 1.1% 96.1% 96.13%
OCF Margin 2.5% 2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 11.0% 31.3% 52.8% 58.0% 68.4% 98.4% 5.5% 5.9% 4.9% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 1.1% 96.5% 96.51%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.22%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 5.96%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.86%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.10%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.74%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.29%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.78%
CROIC snapshot only 5.75%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.62%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.24%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.15%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
P/E Ratio 7.84 8.63 6.75 7.03 8.32 7.39 4.85 6.01 5.52 5.13 6.38 6.73 6.76 7.75 5.58 6.56 7.38 8.49 7.41 7.68 7312.500
P/S Ratio 18.36 21.87 21.75 24.48 32.50 6.02 2.72 3.57 3.49 5.68 29.64 25.78 21.63 20.43 14.69 16.93 20.21 24.47 19.69 20.09 10797.105
P/B Ratio 0.38 0.50 0.36 0.35 0.38 0.30 0.28 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.35 0.37 0.37 0.57 0.38 0.44 0.47 0.55 0.54 0.50 0.295
P/FCF 7.43 9.60 18.17 22.57 -107.98 27.67 5.51 6.15 5.10 5.82 5.62 4.63 4.76 5.93 5.11 9.32 8.13 7.09 18.34 20.90 20.901
P/OCF 7.43 9.60 18.17 17.28 295.00 19.20 5.16 6.16 5.10 5.77 5.40 4.37 4.38 5.07 4.15 7.38 6.95 6.90 18.29 20.82 20.819
EV/EBITDA -34.29 -41.66 7.57 -44.35 -41.78 -46.38 4.21 3.77 3.29 -0.55 — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue -107.58 -146.82 33.20 -215.50 -234.36 -56.20 3.64 2.78 1.95 -0.41 -20.08 -55.31 -9.48 -24.91 -26.78 -11.62 -26.68 -60.60 -46.29 -3.49 -3.487
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — -62.46 -14.11 1.28 8.67 29.63 8.12 25.67 30.36 12.39 21.38 48.80 99.00 41.01 41.012
EV/FCF -43.53 -64.46 27.74 -198.67 778.58 -258.49 7.36 4.78 2.85 -0.42 -3.81 -9.93 -2.08 -7.23 -9.31 -6.39 -10.73 -17.55 -43.13 -3.63 -3.627
Earnings Yield 12.8% 11.6% 14.8% 14.2% 12.0% 13.5% 20.6% 16.6% 18.1% 19.5% 15.7% 14.9% 14.8% 12.9% 17.9% 15.2% 13.5% 11.8% 13.5% 13.0% 13.02%
FCF Yield 13.5% 10.4% 5.5% 4.4% -0.9% 3.6% 18.1% 16.3% 19.6% 17.2% 17.8% 21.6% 21.0% 16.9% 19.6% 10.7% 12.3% 14.1% 5.5% 4.8% 4.78%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 1974.375
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.499
EV/OCF snapshot only -3.613
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -3.487
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -1.075
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 39.80%
Graham Number snapshot only $20.11
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Current Ratio 4.36 221.25 0.86 6.13 5.64 7.44 0.90 2.38 — — — 5.83 3.40 5.00 — 3.40 4.53 6.26 — — —
Quick Ratio 4.36 221.25 0.86 6.13 5.64 7.44 0.90 2.38 — — — 5.83 3.40 5.00 — 3.40 4.53 6.26 — — —
Debt/Equity 0.77 0.01 0.96 0.66 0.68 0.48 0.37 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.28 0.37 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.369
Net Debt/Equity -2.58 -3.86 0.19 -3.41 -3.14 -3.14 0.09 -0.08 -0.16 -0.39 -0.59 -1.16 -0.53 -1.26 -1.07 -0.74 -1.09 -1.91 -1.82 -0.59 -0.585
Debt/Assets 0.14 0.00 0.15 0.10 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.045
Debt/EBITDA 11.96 0.16 13.35 9.56 10.26 7.91 4.19 1.18 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Debt/EBITDA -40.14 -47.86 2.61 -49.38 -47.58 -51.34 1.06 -1.08 -2.58 -8.03 — — — — — — — — — — —
Interest Coverage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.07 -0.10 -0.13 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.11 -0.15 -0.14 -0.07 -0.01 -0.012
Equity Multiplier 5.57 6.20 6.58 6.39 6.35 6.14 5.77 5.66 5.62 5.89 5.91 6.26 6.13 7.56 7.48 7.37 7.20 8.34 8.30 8.26 8.260
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.000
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.587
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.065
Defensive Interval snapshot only 6583.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.003
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover (trade) 0.54 0.54 0.37 0.35 0.22 1.04 1.95 2.56 1.87 1.21 0.21 0.36 0.34 0.46 0.41 0.53 0.39 0.48 0.49 0.55 0.548
Payables Turnover 0.00 -6.00 — -7.02 -13.07 -11.42 — -8.58 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO (trade) 671 671 999 1030 1651 350 188 143 195 301 1754 1026 1087 796 892 686 939 764 740 667 666.6 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.245
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.026
Capital Intensity snapshot only 332.759
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Revenue 72.0% 29.0% -31.0% -41.7% -53.0% 1.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.7% 21.5% -89.1% -86.7% -84.1% -67.3% 64.3% 38.9% 5.7% -27.0% -2.1% -14.5% -14.53%
Net Income 1.3% -6.1% -18.5% -19.9% -21.5% -35.2% 5.1% 20.1% 41.6% 65.1% -9.7% -13.9% -19.6% -22.2% -6.9% -6.4% -9.6% -20.1% -1.1% -13.4% -13.43%
EPS 35.0% 25.2% 13.4% 6.8% -7.1% 15.5% 40.1% 19.0% 54.0% 48.4% -21.7% -7.5% -15.4% -14.7% 31.1% 24.7% 18.2% -4.7% -0.5% -6.3% -6.27%
FCF 14.9% -26.9% -74.6% -80.5% -1.1% -80.7% 1.5% 2.8% 20.9% 4.5% 16.5% 28.0% 5.6% 15.4% -10.4% -54.6% -42.2% -26.8% -63.5% -54.8% -54.80%
EBITDA -4.8% -4.3% -18.6% -19.6% -15.9% -30.6% 19.1% 6.7% -7.4% -23.8% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% — — — — — — —
Op. Income 2.1% 1.5% -18.6% -19.6% -15.9% -30.6% 19.1% -32.9% -21.4% -80.2% -1.6% -2.1% -2.0% -1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 6.6% 1.2% -19.8% -19.84%
OCF Growth snapshot only -64.03%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.11%
Equity Growth snapshot only -10.62%
Debt Growth snapshot only 0.00%
Shares Change snapshot only -7.63%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 10.46%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — 1.8% 1.2% 91.9% 46.8% -23.1% -18.1% -13.2% -7.1% 2.7% 9.3% 13.7% -33.8% -44.0% -45.9% -45.88%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 30.9% 14.4% 3.5% -5.5% -6.1% -8.2% -8.22%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — 89.4% 40.8% 24.6% 29.0% 7.6% 5.5% 6.6% 13.5% 12.9% 11.1% 15.5% 6.5% 0.7% 2.6% 2.64%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 47.5% 26.4% 14.1% 11.8% 10.2% 6.6% 6.57%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — 45.2% 16.6% 4.0% 0.2% -8.2% -6.1% -3.7% -5.9% -4.0% -1.1% 1.0% 0.9% -6.0% -11.3% -11.29%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 20.8% 5.0% -3.9% -9.0% -6.6% -7.6% -7.65%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — 45.6% 12.3% -9.5% -20.3% — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — 2.4% 1.5% 91.9% 46.8% -23.1% -18.1% -13.2% -33.6% -32.5% -42.4% -50.0% -52.1% -53.9% -51.7% -51.67%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 30.9% 14.4% 3.5% -5.5% -6.1% -8.2% -8.22%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — 26.5% -30.0% — — — — -29.5% -2.4% -1.5% -3.6% -13.4% 3.6% 3.56%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 19.7% 9.2% -8.8% -9.7% -9.74%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — 71.4% 34.1% 9.4% -8.4% -9.6% -2.0% 6.4% 6.6% 37.6% 29.9% — 66.4% -27.5% -36.0% -35.98%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 39.3% 6.9% -4.4% -8.3% -24.7% -28.0% -28.04%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — 75.1% 34.0% 9.3% -8.2% -8.4% -0.1% 9.3% 12.3% 47.4% 28.4% 2.4% 48.6% -29.0% -35.9% -35.86%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 45.2% 12.0% -1.3% -7.8% -24.7% -28.0% -27.99%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — -6.2% -6.8% -5.7% -4.3% -4.2% -4.4% -4.7% -7.1% -7.8% -6.2% -5.7% -4.0% -1.8% -0.9% -0.91%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -5.2% -4.7% -4.0% -3.1% -3.2% -4.7% -4.67%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — -12.8% -13.7% -12.3% -11.5% -11.8% -9.4% -7.7% -13.0% -11.7% -10.6% -9.5% -13.3% -13.1% -12.7% -12.65%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — 13.8% 4.2% 5.0% 13.9% 3.3% 1.8% 2.1% 4.9% 3.9% 0.5% 3.4% -8.5% -6.9% 1.1% 1.06%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — 29.8% 22.2% 22.9% 34.7% 24.6% 18.6% 17.3% 24.8% 18.8% 11.7% 10.1% 2.7% 6.4% 16.5% 16.48%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Revenue Stability — — 0.37 0.10 0.04 0.88 0.69 0.63 0.56 0.95 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.10 0.097
Earnings Stability — — 0.51 0.24 0.70 0.86 0.40 0.39 0.02 0.05 0.24 0.17 0.01 0.12 0.12 0.03 0.14 0.33 0.81 0.66 0.655
Margin Stability — — 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.69 0.83 0.833
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.86 0.98 0.92 0.83 0.50 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.91 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.92 1.00 0.95 0.946
Earnings Smoothness 0.99 0.94 0.80 0.78 0.76 0.57 0.95 0.82 0.66 0.51 0.90 0.85 0.78 0.75 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.78 0.99 0.86 0.856
ROE Trend — — 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.004
Gross Margin Trend — — 2.52 5.83 10.75 0.77 -0.47 -2.51 -5.37 -1.69 -1.66 -3.12 -5.37 -0.82 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Margin Trend — — -1.48 -1.81 -3.39 -2.93 -1.73 -1.58 -0.40 -0.27 4.43 4.73 4.36 2.85 -0.01 -1.26 -0.13 1.24 -3.00 -2.73 -2.731
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.7% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 2.3% 2.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 2.5% 2.51%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.32%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.06 0.90 0.37 0.41 0.03 0.38 0.94 0.98 1.08 0.89 1.18 1.54 1.54 1.53 1.35 0.89 1.06 1.23 0.41 0.37 0.369
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.77 -2.73 0.69 0.94 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.86 0.81 0.79 0.85 0.97 1.00 1.00 0.996
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.368
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33.2% 41.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 21.4% 33.2% 38.6% 58.1% 66.5% 47.5% 42.3% 9.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.38%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.329
Accruals Ratio -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.00 0.005
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.013
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.623
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Dividend Yield 5.0% 4.2% 5.5% 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 7.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 6.4% 9.2% 7.6% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.7% 14.02%
Dividend/Share $0.30 $0.25 $0.32 $0.34 $0.32 $0.40 $0.43 $0.35 $0.38 $0.42 $0.45 $0.44 $0.47 $0.51 $0.65 $0.58 $0.55 $0.56 $0.64 $0.64 $0.82
Payout Ratio 39.4% 36.4% 37.0% 40.5% 44.8% 50.1% 34.7% 35.0% 34.2% 34.8% 46.2% 47.8% 50.7% 49.5% 51.2% 50.1% 50.0% 57.1% 50.7% 59.1% 59.07%
FCF Payout Ratio 37.3% 40.5% 99.7% 1.3% — 1.9% 39.4% 35.8% 31.6% 39.4% 40.7% 32.9% 35.7% 37.8% 46.8% 71.2% 55.0% 47.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.61%
Total Payout Ratio 39.4% 36.4% 37.0% 40.5% 44.8% 50.1% 34.7% 90.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 2.0% 1.7% 5.8% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8% 2.8% 2.4% 3.1% 3.06%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 1.43 0.63 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 0.06 0.10 0.14 0.21 0.28 0.25 0.27 0.17 0.12 0.06 -0.04 -0.01 0.05 0.10 0.097
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 16.8% 27.2% 29.3% 22.0% 17.6% 67.9% 1.0% 81.7% 72.3% 26.1% 25.3% 32.1% 32.11%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 16.8% 27.2% 29.3% 22.0% 17.6% 67.9% 1.0% 81.4% 72.0% 25.8% 25.0% 29.8% 29.85%
Total Shareholder Return 5.0% 4.2% 5.5% 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 7.1% 15.0% 23.0% 34.0% 36.5% 29.1% 25.1% 74.3% 1.1% 89.0% 78.8% 32.5% 31.8% 37.5% 37.54%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.85 0.72 0.74 0.72 0.70 0.67 0.65 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.77 0.83 0.81 0.806
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) — — — — — — — -20.28 -6.81 -5.04 -2.81 -2.88 -3.85 -3.82 -4.14 -3.69 -2.92 -3.02 -6.85 -38.14 -38.140
EBIT Margin 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.14 -0.32 -2.32 -1.87 -1.17 -0.97 -0.88 -0.94 -1.25 -1.24 -0.47 -0.09 -0.085
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.003
Equity Multiplier 5.01 5.34 5.46 5.80 5.92 6.17 6.18 6.03 5.99 6.02 5.84 5.96 5.87 6.61 6.59 6.74 6.59 7.93 7.87 7.79 7.792
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.77 $0.70 $0.88 $0.84 $0.71 $0.81 $1.23 $1.00 $1.10 $1.20 $0.96 $0.92 $0.93 $1.02 $1.26 $1.15 $1.10 $0.97 $1.26 $1.08 $1.08
Book Value/Share $15.96 $12.05 $16.57 $16.96 $15.53 $19.66 $21.24 $16.13 $16.41 $16.80 $17.55 $16.92 $17.00 $13.93 $18.57 $17.20 $17.19 $15.08 $17.14 $16.64 $157.52
Tangible Book/Share $15.96 $12.05 $16.57 $16.96 $15.53 $19.66 $21.24 $16.13 $16.41 $16.80 $17.55 $16.92 $17.00 $13.93 $18.57 $17.20 $17.19 $15.08 $17.14 $16.64 $16.64
Revenue/Share $0.33 $0.28 $0.27 $0.24 $0.18 $0.99 $2.19 $1.68 $1.73 $1.08 $0.21 $0.24 $0.29 $0.39 $0.48 $0.45 $0.40 $0.34 $0.47 $0.41 $0.00
FCF/Share $0.81 $0.63 $0.33 $0.26 $-0.05 $0.22 $1.08 $0.98 $1.19 $1.06 $1.09 $1.34 $1.32 $1.34 $1.38 $0.81 $1.00 $1.17 $0.51 $0.40 $0.55
OCF/Share $0.81 $0.63 $0.33 $0.34 $0.02 $0.31 $1.16 $0.98 $1.19 $1.07 $1.14 $1.42 $1.43 $1.56 $1.70 $1.02 $1.17 $1.20 $0.51 $0.40 $0.59
Cash/Share $53.51 $46.67 $12.82 $69.04 $59.19 $71.13 $5.94 $2.80 $2.66 $6.60 $10.32 $24.19 $13.78 $22.73 $26.11 $18.42 $24.41 $34.34 $37.45 $15.88 $43.34
EBITDA/Share $1.03 $0.97 $1.19 $1.17 $1.02 $1.20 $1.90 $1.24 $1.03 $0.82 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Debt/Share $12.29 $0.16 $15.94 $11.20 $10.50 $9.50 $7.94 $1.47 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $4.62 $4.76 $5.15 $6.21 $5.67 $5.61 $5.59 $6.25 $6.14 $6.14
Net Debt/Share $-41.23 $-46.51 $3.12 $-57.84 $-48.69 $-61.63 $2.00 $-1.34 $-2.66 $-6.60 $-10.32 $-19.56 $-9.02 $-17.58 $-19.90 $-12.75 $-18.80 $-28.75 $-31.20 $-9.74 $-9.74
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.534
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.676
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 3 6 6 4 7 5 7 5 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 6 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.38 -2.88 -0.16 -2.83 -2.02 8.77 14.31 9.63 8.84 14.27 2.23 0.12 -1.87 -1.56 -2.89 -2.43 -2.49 -2.64 -2.16 -2.57 -2.567
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.866
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -0.19%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $10.33
EVA snapshot only $317875.80
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'98 Q3'98 Q4'98 Q1'99 Q2'99 Q3'99 Q4'99 Q1'00 Q2'00 Q3'00 Q4'00 Q1'01 Q2'01 Q3'01 Q4'01 Q1'02 Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 80.47 88.90 61.09 78.04 77.29 80.19 74.17 90.73 75.80 75.91 76.48 88.46 85.56 85.98 81.61 87.34 86.87 85.72 77.45 75.88 75.880
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only -11.457
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 84
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 75

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms