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Also trades as: CNR.TO (TSX) · $vol 170M

CNI NYSE

Canadian National Railway Company
1W: +3.5% 1M: +3.6% 3M: -2.8% YTD: +27.3% 1Y: +34.9% 3Y: +26.3% 5Y: +12.3%
$125.53
+2.25 (+1.83%)
After Hours: $124.34 (-1.19, -0.95%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$116 $120 $123 $127 $130
NYSE · Industrials · Railroads · Tech Score Buy · Power 62 · $76.0B mcap · 603M float · 0.226% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 86% of companies Debt: 17.8% of company value Bonds: $153.2M held by 175 funds, 58 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $1.35 (down 99%), Canadian National Railway Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $16.15B against a stock market value of $74.60B.
Distance to default 11.75 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $8.13B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 22.0%; Altman Z'' 2.37. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+13.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+13.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+27.3%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
29%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
☁️
+1.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
45% win 27% vol
Feb
20yr
☀️
+2.8%
Midterm
⛅
+2.5%
70% win 23% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+4.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.7%
60% win 33% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+6.3%
Midterm
⛅
+4.0%
55% win 27% vol
May
20yr
☀️
+7.5%
Midterm
⛅
+4.4%
65% win 24% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+7.1%
Midterm
⛅
+4.9%
50% win 22% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+9.9%
Midterm
☀️
+9.9%
80% win 23% vol
Aug
20yr
☁️
+10.2%
Midterm
☀️
+10.7%
45% win 21% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+10.2%
Midterm
☀️
+9.9%
45% win 24% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+11.1%
Midterm
☀️
+12.2%
43% win 29% vol
Now: +5.6%
Nov
20yr
☁️
+11.5%
Midterm
☀️
+14.6%
55% win 26% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-0.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.4%
55% win 24% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +27.3%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms