— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0267.HK (HKSE) · $vol 34M · CTPCF (OTC) · $vol 0M

CTPCY OTC

CITIC Limited
1W: +1.7% 1M: +1.2% 3M: +28.8% YTD: +10.7% 1Y: +19.0% 3Y: +110.5% 5Y: +101.9%
$8.40
-0.60 (-6.67%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±11.5%
$6 $7 $8 $9 $10
OTC · Industrials · Conglomerates · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · $48.9B mcap · 4.94B float · 0.0000% daily turnover · Short 38% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CTPCY receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (4/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- A
2026-09-15 B+ A-
2026-09-11 A- B+
2026-06-22 None ADDED
2026-06-13 EXISTED None
2026-06-04 None ADDED
2026-05-03 EXISTED None
2026-04-28 None ADDED
2026-04-26 EXISTED None
2026-04-21 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
45
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
66
Growth
77
Value
—
Momentum
100
Safety
—
Cash Flow
76

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-0.63
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.75
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 6.24x
Accruals: -4.4%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CTPCY scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CTPCY's score of -0.63 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CTPCY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CTPCY receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CTPCY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
5.43x
PEG
0.11x
P/S
0.41x
P/B
0.46x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$240.96
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 5.4x earnings, CTPCY trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $240.96 per share, suggesting a potential 2769% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.401
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.685
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.254
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.121
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
16.322
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
13.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CTPCY's ROE of 13.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 16.32x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.40 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
10.46%
Fair P/E
29.41x
Intrinsic Value
$551.26
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CTPCY's realized 10.5% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CTPCY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $551.26, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 29.4x compares to the current market P/E of 5.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.40
Median 1Y
$8.68
5th Pctile
$4.66
95th Pctile
$16.27
Ann. Volatility
37.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 5.8% 9.1% 13.6% 16.4% 18.7% 18.9% 22.2% 18.9% 15.4% 12.5% 8.1% 8.5% 10.5% 11.3% 13.7% 13.72%
ROA 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.84%
ROIC 8.4% 4.3% 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.6% 18.3% 11.9% 17.0% 21.0% 17.1% 26.7% 20.6% 27.3% 27.35%
ROCE 2.1% 3.8% 5.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.3% 6.4% 6.7% 7.2% 7.3% 5.2% 6.3% 8.1% 6.8% 6.8% 6.80%
Gross Margin 51.0% 49.1% 54.4% 46.2% 46.1% 41.7% 46.1% 56.8% 58.1% 54.2% 52.7% 53.1% 53.4% 43.9% 45.8% 45.84%
Operating Margin 19.2% 10.5% 16.6% 15.1% 17.3% 11.9% 18.0% 48.8% 37.7% 32.1% 45.7% 47.6% 47.3% 15.5% 20.8% 20.75%
Net Margin 12.1% 7.0% 10.6% 10.0% 12.5% 7.3% 12.8% 5.4% 7.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 8.3% 8.26%
EBITDA Margin 27.6% 25.1% 28.5% 27.3% 24.7% 22.9% 24.5% 35.6% 40.2% 34.7% 36.5% 33.9% 36.8% 18.9% 24.0% 24.01%
FCF Margin 43.2% 20.6% 24.8% 37.5% 2.6% 11.5% -6.4% -16.9% -3.1% -8.8% -12.0% -7.8% 0.5% 3.5% 38.0% 38.00%
OCF Margin 45.8% 24.0% 28.2% 41.2% 6.3% 15.1% -3.3% -14.0% -0.4% -6.4% -9.1% -4.9% 5.0% 8.7% 43.5% 43.46%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.83%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.85%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.89%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.08%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.98%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 45.49%
CROIC snapshot only 39.78%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 26.13%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.39%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.17%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.434
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.411
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.464
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.105
Graham Number snapshot only $240.96
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.43 0.25 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.27 0.26 0.27 1.20 1.64 1.22 1.22 0.29 0.31 0.312
Quick Ratio 0.42 0.24 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.26 0.24 0.27 1.18 1.62 1.20 1.20 0.27 0.30 0.298
Debt/Equity 2.22 2.35 2.06 2.39 2.44 2.52 2.91 3.19 2.85 3.79 3.57 3.38 3.88 3.67 3.27 3.266
Net Debt/Equity -0.12 1.58 1.30 1.74 1.95 2.03 2.11 0.77 2.25 1.28 1.04 1.66 1.03 1.43 0.87 0.867
Debt/Assets 0.16 0.17 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.18 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.24 0.22 0.19 0.192
Debt/EBITDA 16.81 9.30 5.54 5.32 5.56 5.86 6.34 6.69 5.36 8.02 7.72 6.98 7.18 7.20 5.86 5.862
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.90 6.26 3.48 3.86 4.45 4.73 4.59 1.61 4.23 2.72 2.24 3.43 1.91 2.80 1.56 1.556
Interest Coverage 9.98 9.77 9.78 10.56 11.70 12.93 14.60 4.61 5.25 5.81 6.46 6.52 2.82 2.62 2.52 2.518
Equity Multiplier 13.79 14.01 14.20 14.45 14.31 14.22 16.07 16.00 16.03 16.11 15.58 15.94 16.34 16.64 17.05 17.051
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.246
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.827
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.735
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.227
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3281.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.121
Inventory Turnover 2.19 5.17 5.95 6.96 7.54 9.14 7.67 7.01 12.46 4.40 3.50 3.72 8.79 4.99 6.82 6.816
Receivables Turnover 5.09 11.02 15.92 16.80 19.57 19.54 21.56 14.36 16.85 13.23 9.07 9.62 11.42 6.00 5.76 5.764
Payables Turnover 1.76 3.87 5.75 6.48 7.54 7.83 9.39 7.58 7.00 4.76 4.57 4.41 5.73 2.14 2.42 2.418
DSO 72 33 23 22 19 19 17 25 22 28 40 38 32 61 63 63.3 days
DIO 167 71 61 52 48 40 48 52 29 83 104 98 42 73 54 53.6 days
DPO 207 94 63 56 48 47 39 48 52 77 80 83 64 171 151 151.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 31 9 21 18 19 12 26 29 -1 34 65 53 10 -37 -34 -34.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.325
Operating Cycle snapshot only 116.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.814
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.725
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.3% 1.2% 70.1% 20.2% 3.8% -10.8% -29.1% -25.0% 2.1% 26.1% 57.9% 57.93%
Net Income — — — — 2.6% 1.4% 85.2% 20.7% -11.2% -24.9% -58.2% -52.1% -25.9% -2.3% 74.2% 74.24%
EPS — — — — 2.6% 1.4% 85.2% 20.7% -11.2% -24.9% -58.2% -52.1% -25.9% -2.1% 74.2% 74.24%
FCF — — — — -73.9% 25.0% -1.4% -1.5% -2.2% -1.7% -32.8% 65.4% 1.1% 1.5% 6.0% 6.01%
EBITDA — — — — 3.1% 1.2% 55.5% 16.0% 16.1% 13.6% 5.5% 4.2% 24.3% 21.1% 22.4% 22.41%
Op. Income — — — — 2.4% 1.3% 73.5% 71.4% 82.3% 89.1% 86.2% 40.9% 71.5% 50.5% 24.7% 24.74%
OCF Growth snapshot only 8.52%
Asset Growth snapshot only 11.21%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.63%
Debt Growth snapshot only -7.02%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 31.73%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 66.0% 35.8% 23.9% 23.94%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 33.5% 20.0% 10.5% 10.46%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 33.5% 20.0% 10.5% 10.46%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 80.8% 43.8% 26.2% 26.18%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 68.4% 36.3% 22.0% 22.00%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.2% 86.5% 59.1% 59.14%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -63.4% -24.8% 42.8% 42.80%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -20.9% -3.2% 43.2% 43.18%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 19.6% 20.5% 17.2% 17.23%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.0% 13.8% 10.3% 10.30%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.0% 13.9% 10.3% 10.30%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -10.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.62%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.79 0.58 0.08 0.10 0.66 0.71 0.46 0.462
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.62 0.32 0.04 0.43 0.17 0.14 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.98 0.94 0.90 0.92 0.96 0.95 0.91 0.913
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.96 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.99 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.19 0.40 0.81 0.88 0.72 0.18 0.29 0.70 0.98 0.46 0.459
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.04 -0.01 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.04 -0.00 -0.003
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.00 0.04 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.01 -0.01 -0.012
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.26 -0.25 -0.21 -0.18 0.01 0.02 0.47 0.472
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.5% 6.9% 11.4% 12.8% 16.2% 14.9% 18.2% 15.4% 11.8% 10.0% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.3% 10.6% 10.65%
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.66%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.78 2.52 2.86 4.17 0.62 1.51 -0.31 -1.41 -0.05 -0.75 -1.45 -0.78 0.79 1.32 6.24 6.238
FCF/OCF 0.94 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.42 0.76 1.94 1.21 7.81 1.39 1.31 1.58 0.09 0.40 0.87 0.874
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 5.455
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.524
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.46%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.750
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.04 -0.044
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.699
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 6.193
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.37%
Dividend/Share $1.28 $2.20 $2.20 $4.12 $2.84 $4.62 $4.62 $4.29 $4.29 $3.19 $3.19 $3.05 $3.05 $4.21 $4.20 $3.43
Payout Ratio 22.3% 23.7% 15.8% 21.7% 13.6% 21.2% 17.9% 18.7% 23.2% 19.5% 29.7% 27.8% 22.2% 26.3% 22.4% 22.42%
FCF Payout Ratio 6.2% 11.0% 6.3% 5.7% 52.8% 18.4% — — — — — — 3.0% 49.4% 4.1% 4.11%
Total Payout Ratio 22.3% 23.7% 15.8% 21.7% 13.6% 21.2% 17.9% 18.7% 23.2% 19.5% 29.7% 27.8% 22.2% 26.3% 22.4% 22.42%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.68 0.66 0.62 0.56 0.53 0.45 0.45 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.401
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.76 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.65 0.66 0.75 0.69 0.59 0.54 0.41 0.42 0.44 0.56 0.68 0.685
EBIT Margin 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.28 0.25 0.254
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.121
Equity Multiplier 13.79 14.01 14.20 14.45 14.07 14.13 15.24 15.26 15.15 15.18 15.82 15.97 16.20 16.39 16.32 16.322
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.76 $9.26 $13.91 $19.00 $20.83 $21.80 $25.76 $22.94 $18.50 $16.37 $10.76 $10.98 $13.71 $16.03 $18.74 $18.74
Book Value/Share $99.81 $101.67 $102.61 $115.89 $122.91 $129.15 $129.26 $126.72 $117.67 $133.24 $135.47 $130.20 $144.02 $150.08 $137.68 $270.18
Tangible Book/Share $93.48 $93.11 $97.05 $106.65 $116.54 $119.56 $120.25 $114.67 $109.84 $124.04 $126.49 $121.71 $134.96 $140.60 $129.30 $129.30
Revenue/Share $47.64 $97.37 $141.34 $192.41 $205.43 $216.89 $240.37 $231.31 $213.29 $193.45 $170.37 $173.42 $217.76 $244.48 $269.07 $155.46
FCF/Share $20.60 $20.01 $35.11 $72.25 $5.38 $25.02 $-15.37 $-39.10 $-6.71 $-17.08 $-20.41 $-13.55 $1.01 $8.53 $102.25 $92.07
OCF/Share $21.80 $23.39 $39.84 $79.21 $12.88 $32.82 $-7.94 $-32.40 $-0.86 $-12.29 $-15.55 $-8.55 $10.79 $21.23 $116.92 $100.34
Cash/Share $233.32 $78.19 $78.53 $75.80 $59.79 $62.83 $104.14 $306.94 $70.93 $333.65 $343.12 $223.42 $410.45 $336.19 $330.36 $330.18
EBITDA/Share $13.17 $25.66 $38.19 $52.12 $53.92 $55.44 $59.40 $60.43 $62.62 $62.97 $62.67 $62.98 $77.81 $76.41 $76.72 $76.72
Debt/Share $221.43 $238.69 $211.57 $277.05 $299.82 $324.84 $376.52 $404.31 $335.83 $504.80 $483.69 $439.67 $558.92 $550.31 $449.71 $449.71
Net Debt/Share $-11.89 $160.51 $133.04 $201.25 $240.03 $262.01 $272.38 $97.37 $264.90 $171.15 $140.56 $216.25 $148.47 $214.12 $119.36 $119.36
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 6 5 4 4 3 4 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.89 -2.03 -1.81 -1.33 -1.47 93.90 -1.36 37.66 -2.07 -2.08 -0.63 -0.627
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.753
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1657.91
EVA snapshot only $259449922976.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 44.70 44.70 48.80 52.80 48.30 49.80 45.80 35.55 41.80 44.60 49.20 46.95 40.95 33.30 38.80 38.800
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -10.400
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000

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