— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: ALD.AX (ASX) · $vol 39M · CTXAF (OTC) · $vol 0M · ALD.NZ (NZE) · $vol 0M

CTXAY OTC

Ampol Limited
1W: -2.5% 1M: +4.2% 3M: +32.3% YTD: +42.9% 1Y: +48.2% 3Y: +54.9% 5Y: +79.6%
$61.34
+1.22 (+2.03%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
$55 $58 $61 $65 $68
OTC · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Tech Score Neutral · Power 56 · $7.3B mcap · 119M float · 0.0033% daily turnover · Short 19% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-10-01 RBC Capital Gordon Ramsay Initiated $35 — -11.5% $39.55
2024-07-11 Goldman Sachs Henry Meyer Initiated $37 — -16.9% $45.01

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CTXAY receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- A
2026-08-25 C+ A-
2026-08-03 B- C+
2026-06-24 C+ B-
2026-06-23 None ADDED
2026-06-23 EXISTED None
2026-06-18 B- C+
2026-06-01 None ADDED
2026-05-31 EXISTED None
2026-04-30 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
45
Balance Sheet
44
Earnings Quality
84
Growth
51
Value
—
Momentum
78
Safety
—
Cash Flow
35

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.01
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.25
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 54.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.69x
Accruals: -6.5%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CTXAY scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CTXAY's score of -3.01 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CTXAY's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CTXAY receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 54.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CTXAY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
7.14x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.29x
P/B
2.50x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$94.46
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 7.1x earnings, CTXAY trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $94.46 per share, suggesting a potential 54% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.678
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.783
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.037
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
4.722
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.813
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
35.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CTXAY's ROE of 35.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.81x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$434.51
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CTXAY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CTXAY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $434.51, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 7.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$61.34
Median 1Y
$59.75
5th Pctile
$28.29
95th Pctile
$125.67
Ann. Volatility
45.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 42.6% 36.2% 41.9% 43.5% 38.2% 35.7% 29.7% -2.2% -3.2% 2.2% 2.4% 44.6% 40.0% 34.1% 39.4% 23.8% 19.8% 17.6% 6.2% 35.7% 35.70%
ROA 21.7% 18.8% 21.4% 21.2% 19.6% 15.9% 12.8% -0.9% -1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0% 12.7% 10.4% 12.1% 6.2% 5.1% 4.6% 1.6% 9.4% 9.36%
ROIC 37.6% 31.2% 34.4% 32.1% 29.4% 20.6% 16.7% -4.4% -6.8% -10.3% -0.8% 17.3% 19.7% 18.3% 22.1% 17.0% 13.9% 13.4% 7.0% 18.2% 18.18%
ROCE 45.0% 40.8% 46.7% 42.6% 39.1% 30.3% 28.3% 0.7% -0.1% 4.3% 4.4% 28.1% 25.6% 22.9% 26.8% 21.2% 20.4% 20.7% 12.5% 26.0% 25.97%
Gross Margin 36.7% 12.9% 13.6% 11.7% 8.1% 7.8% 6.6% 1.2% 11.6% 11.1% 8.4% 10.2% 3.6% 5.4% 8.4% 7.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 14.9% 14.91%
Operating Margin 4.7% 5.4% 6.2% 5.6% 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% -10.5% 2.0% 4.1% 2.6% 5.8% 0.4% 0.7% 3.5% 2.7% -0.2% 0.7% 2.2% 9.8% 9.76%
Net Margin 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 3.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% -7.8% 2.0% 3.4% 2.1% 4.0% 0.3% 0.4% 2.5% 1.3% -0.7% -0.2% 0.7% 6.7% 6.72%
EBITDA Margin 5.6% 6.8% 7.4% 6.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.6% -7.9% 6.0% 7.4% 5.0% 7.1% 1.8% 2.5% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9% 1.8% 4.7% 11.0% 10.97%
FCF Margin 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 2.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.48%
OCF Margin 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 4.1% 3.5% 3.7% 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 2.5% 3.4% 3.36%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 31.55%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 26.20%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.16%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.48%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 18.18%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.00%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 24.30%
CROIC snapshot only 10.75%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.51%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 2.92%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.25%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.144
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.291
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.500
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.002
Graham Number snapshot only $94.46
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.43 1.43 1.16 1.35 1.31 1.26 1.14 1.16 1.29 1.27 1.45 1.13 1.16 1.18 1.21 1.13 1.07 0.93 1.04 1.13 1.131
Quick Ratio 0.71 0.63 0.44 0.53 0.57 0.47 0.48 0.55 0.63 0.64 0.74 0.55 0.50 0.59 0.58 0.55 0.49 0.39 0.46 0.46 0.456
Debt/Equity 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.32 0.28 0.70 0.55 0.84 0.58 0.61 0.74 1.18 1.00 1.08 1.04 1.12 1.29 1.14 1.74 1.27 1.265
Net Debt/Equity 0.16 0.25 0.26 0.31 0.28 0.70 0.54 0.83 0.46 0.58 0.55 1.11 0.96 1.05 0.95 1.11 1.25 1.12 1.72 1.24 1.237
Debt/Assets 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.27 0.21 0.31 0.23 0.22 0.26 0.30 0.27 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.29 0.42 0.33 0.326
Debt/EBITDA 0.33 0.40 0.38 0.45 0.43 1.00 0.85 2.81 2.09 1.70 2.11 1.50 1.26 1.37 1.20 1.50 1.65 1.55 2.66 1.48 1.483
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.22 0.37 0.36 0.44 0.43 0.99 0.84 2.78 1.64 1.64 1.58 1.41 1.22 1.34 1.10 1.48 1.60 1.52 2.63 1.45 1.449
Interest Coverage — — — — — 29.26 12.93 0.20 -0.03 1.09 1.23 8.97 6.46 4.33 4.47 2.87 2.55 2.43 1.64 4.19 4.187
Equity Multiplier 1.90 1.88 2.05 2.14 1.99 2.58 2.56 2.69 2.50 2.71 2.88 3.95 3.67 3.78 3.60 3.73 4.07 3.92 4.18 3.88 3.882
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.018
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.907
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.023
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.190
Defensive Interval snapshot only 223.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 7.26 6.56 5.97 5.90 6.32 6.03 5.96 5.99 5.30 4.59 4.21 4.21 5.71 6.61 6.99 5.62 5.52 5.58 5.16 4.72 4.722
Inventory Turnover 21.95 17.77 18.88 18.01 25.01 22.23 21.08 24.16 23.46 18.15 15.92 15.35 22.07 27.75 27.93 20.66 20.67 22.56 21.89 17.01 17.006
Receivables Turnover 52.28 43.42 49.34 35.92 50.28 40.38 43.99 37.04 41.89 27.01 25.62 22.74 33.45 31.62 37.95 27.44 36.66 30.59 30.18 27.71 27.711
Payables Turnover 34.84 — 24.73 27.24 30.24 32.76 21.58 21.39 29.13 15.65 16.78 13.13 27.33 19.77 30.35 16.36 21.86 29.61 18.99 15.36 15.361
DSO 7 8 7 10 7 9 8 10 9 14 14 16 11 12 10 13 10 12 12 13 13.2 days
DIO 17 21 19 20 15 16 17 15 16 20 23 24 17 13 13 18 18 16 17 21 21.5 days
DPO 10 0 15 13 12 11 17 17 13 23 22 28 13 18 12 22 17 12 19 24 23.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 13 29 12 17 10 14 9 8 12 10 15 12 14 6 11 9 11 16 10 11 10.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.901
Operating Cycle snapshot only 34.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 568.451
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.240
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -22.6% -24.2% -22.5% -9.7% 0.4% 13.5% 28.0% 15.9% -1.7% -9.7% -17.4% 8.9% 58.3% 85.7% 1.1% 69.0% 22.3% 1.9% -13.1% -11.2% -11.20%
Net Income 1.1% 40.0% 1.3% 85.6% 4.2% 4.8% -23.3% -1.1% -1.1% -93.6% -92.0% 22.3% 13.9% 14.8% 16.4% -39.5% -49.0% -47.0% -84.5% 59.7% 59.67%
EPS 1.1% 44.9% 1.3% 89.3% 3.9% 6.7% -20.3% -1.1% -1.1% -93.2% -91.6% 23.5% 14.3% 14.9% 16.4% -39.4% -48.8% -46.9% -84.5% 59.7% 59.67%
FCF 1.9% 2.1% 35.1% -8.5% -36.1% -7.2% -11.2% -15.3% -10.6% -38.1% -59.5% -14.4% 40.9% 1.3% 3.3% 1.6% 40.7% -9.6% -79.5% -33.3% -33.31%
EBITDA 40.1% 19.5% 57.4% 42.2% 6.3% 8.9% -8.4% -68.2% -63.0% -51.8% -48.5% 2.9% 2.5% 1.5% 1.9% -14.2% -13.8% -12.5% -35.6% 42.5% 42.48%
Op. Income 76.1% 39.9% 1.1% 71.3% 2.6% -6.6% -38.7% -1.1% -1.2% -1.1% -1.0% 8.1% 5.8% 12.3% 91.6% -25.1% -29.5% -18.6% -51.7% 76.5% 76.46%
OCF Growth snapshot only -13.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only 30.30%
Equity Growth snapshot only 25.10%
Debt Growth snapshot only 40.70%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -69.95%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — 52.3% 21.1% 3.6% -8.6% -8.1% -6.4% 4.4% 16.0% 23.9% 30.3% 28.7% 23.9% 19.5% 14.5% 17.8% 17.80%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 42.7% 25.1% 15.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.3% 11.3% 11.32%
EPS 3Y — — — — — 79.5% 24.1% — — -52.9% -46.1% 30.6% 8.1% 4.6% 5.1% -10.7% -14.6% -17.1% -39.0% — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 44.1% 22.7% 6.6% 6.7% -2.5% -15.8% 16.6% 16.58%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — 76.4% 21.2% — — -54.7% -48.2% 26.1% 5.2% 1.6% 2.1% -13.2% -17.1% -19.1% -40.1% — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 40.6% 19.8% 4.1% 4.1% -4.9% -17.8% 14.1% 14.14%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — 71.5% 26.8% -17.9% -18.0% -14.4% -9.4% 20.5% 11.1% 9.5% 10.7% 1.9% 3.6% 1.8% -1.6% 67.9% 67.87%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 43.5% 24.7% 12.9% 10.6% 6.5% 6.5% 16.5% 16.46%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — 7.9% -18.3% -36.6% -43.0% -41.5% -39.9% -30.3% -31.0% -26.4% -17.5% -11.3% 5.4% 8.1% 8.8% 35.0% 35.01%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.4% -5.6% -14.1% -18.0% -17.9% -18.9% -14.0% -14.00%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — 63.4% 10.2% — — — — 17.0% 0.8% -2.3% -0.0% -11.2% -11.0% -6.7% -7.7% — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 34.2% 16.9% 4.2% 4.9% 1.2% -0.0% 16.2% 16.16%
FCF 3Y — — — — — 1.3% 1.1% 66.5% 18.8% 21.2% -21.4% -12.8% -7.0% 9.2% 15.5% 23.6% 21.0% 8.2% -29.2% 14.2% 14.16%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 77.4% 75.6% 59.4% 27.2% 29.6% -15.7% 2.9% 2.89%
OCF 3Y — — — — — 83.5% 33.3% 15.0% -4.3% -4.8% -16.4% -11.2% -4.4% 6.4% 14.0% 21.3% 21.9% 19.0% 5.1% 22.8% 22.78%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 53.4% 32.3% 26.6% 13.7% 15.9% 1.6% 6.5% 6.51%
Assets 3Y — — — — — 12.0% 11.5% 3.5% 12.8% 13.5% 20.1% 42.6% 36.0% 32.3% 26.3% 20.8% 24.1% 15.1% 15.0% 33.8% 33.79%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 17.2% 16.3% 15.3% 20.2% 17.5% 20.0% 26.2% 26.25%
Equity 3Y — — — — — 10.8% 8.0% -2.2% 5.4% 2.3% 3.5% 12.6% 9.1% 4.9% 4.8% 0.4% -2.1% 0.2% -2.3% 18.5% 18.46%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — 12.7% 10.6% -0.0% 8.7% 6.4% 7.7% 16.6% 12.1% 8.0% 7.9% 3.3% 0.8% 2.6% -0.6% 20.7% 20.68%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — 4.1% -1.4% -1.9% -7.8% -16.4% -8.7% -9.9% 12.5% 43.5% 42.7% 61.6% 31.5% -0.2% -10.0% -31.8% -31.76%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — 0.44 0.24 0.15 0.74 0.40 0.44 0.20 0.64 0.44 0.13 0.54 0.58 0.83 0.66 0.58 0.38 0.42 0.43 0.67 0.666
Earnings Stability — 0.97 0.76 0.76 0.81 0.88 0.54 0.15 0.17 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.10 0.104
Margin Stability — 0.95 0.92 0.72 0.49 0.60 0.57 0.45 0.32 0.36 0.36 0.29 0.10 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.26 0.21 0.15 0.11 0.106
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — 0.84 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.98 0.91 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.31 0.67 0.22 0.40 0.96 0.95 0.74 — — 0.00 0.00 — — 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.35 0.39 0.00 0.54 0.540
ROE Trend — 0.18 0.20 0.13 0.04 0.04 -0.01 -0.35 -0.41 -0.33 -0.32 0.19 0.21 0.14 0.21 0.08 0.05 0.01 -0.13 0.01 0.008
Gross Margin Trend — 0.02 -0.03 -0.12 -0.21 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20 -0.17 -0.13 -0.09 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.012
FCF Margin Trend — 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.001
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.7% 15.6% 21.0% 24.0% 18.8% 14.9% 12.5% — — -8.5% -9.3% 33.8% 22.9% 6.2% 9.9% -13.1% -14.6% -7.5% -14.4% 25.3% 25.29%
Internal Growth Rate 11.8% 8.8% 12.1% 13.2% 10.7% 7.1% 5.7% — — — — 10.9% 7.9% 1.9% 3.1% — — — — 7.1% 7.10%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.60 1.68 1.35 1.14 1.13 1.41 1.53 -18.83 -10.89 15.42 12.01 0.84 1.20 1.94 1.89 3.12 3.59 4.48 8.24 1.69 1.692
FCF/OCF 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.54 0.51 0.60 0.60 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.39 0.50 0.54 0.61 0.61 0.57 0.50 0.45 0.18 0.44 0.442
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.748
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.637
CapEx/Revenue 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.87%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.220
Accruals Ratio -0.13 -0.13 -0.08 -0.03 -0.03 -0.06 -0.07 -0.19 -0.17 -0.12 -0.10 0.02 -0.03 -0.10 -0.11 -0.13 -0.13 -0.16 -0.12 -0.06 -0.065
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.056
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.370
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.54%
Dividend/Share $4.47 $4.46 $4.68 $4.46 $4.60 $4.86 $4.35 $4.07 $3.48 $2.70 $3.08 $2.83 $4.70 $7.35 $8.20 $10.95 $9.80 $6.80 $5.68 $3.29 $4.90
Payout Ratio 51.4% 57.0% 49.8% 45.0% 50.9% 58.2% 58.0% — — 4.8% 4.9% 24.2% 42.7% 81.9% 75.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 3.3% 29.2% 29.17%
FCF Payout Ratio 54.9% 59.8% 62.6% 72.5% 88.7% 69.0% 63.0% 75.8% 70.9% 58.0% 1.0% 58.3% 66.0% 69.2% 65.0% 86.5% 97.4% 70.7% 2.2% 39.0% 38.97%
Total Payout Ratio 75.2% 83.4% 71.7% 45.0% 50.9% 82.5% 85.6% — — 9.2% 8.9% 45.7% 65.5% 81.9% 75.4% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 3.6% 33.2% 33.18%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.71 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.45 0.47 3.32 1.52 0.73 0.77 0.80 0.78 0.79 0.69 0.66 0.50 0.68 0.678
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.94 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.89 -4.40 34.59 0.09 0.19 0.89 0.85 0.77 0.77 0.66 0.61 0.58 0.39 0.78 0.783
EBIT Margin 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.037
Asset Turnover 7.26 6.56 5.97 5.90 6.32 6.03 5.96 5.99 5.30 4.59 4.21 4.21 5.71 6.61 6.99 5.62 5.52 5.58 5.16 4.72 4.722
Equity Multiplier 1.96 1.93 1.95 2.05 1.95 2.24 2.31 2.38 2.23 2.64 2.72 3.44 3.14 3.28 3.27 3.84 3.86 3.85 3.87 3.81 3.813
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $8.70 $7.83 $9.41 $9.92 $9.04 $8.35 $7.50 $-0.52 $-0.83 $0.57 $0.63 $11.67 $11.00 $8.97 $10.94 $7.07 $5.64 $4.76 $1.70 $11.29 $11.29
Book Value/Share $21.52 $22.22 $23.69 $25.48 $25.89 $24.20 $25.90 $20.00 $23.95 $24.48 $25.72 $31.21 $30.33 $27.99 $29.81 $28.09 $26.55 $26.15 $25.40 $35.14 $38.88
Tangible Book/Share $20.02 $20.27 $19.74 $21.45 $21.64 $19.86 $18.03 $15.61 $16.13 $19.84 $18.08 $19.09 $11.35 $16.70 $17.88 $17.91 $14.97 $16.22 $15.28 $19.14 $19.14
Revenue/Share $291.22 $274.10 $262.02 $275.72 $291.53 $316.66 $348.27 $329.32 $303.19 $304.85 $302.59 $378.91 $493.76 $569.77 $633.96 $640.97 $606.82 $581.36 $550.79 $569.20 $304.67
FCF/Share $8.14 $7.47 $7.48 $6.15 $5.19 $7.05 $6.90 $5.37 $4.91 $4.66 $2.94 $4.85 $7.11 $10.61 $12.61 $12.67 $10.06 $9.61 $2.58 $8.45 $2.89
OCF/Share $13.94 $13.20 $12.74 $11.33 $10.21 $11.76 $11.46 $9.76 $9.02 $8.72 $7.55 $9.75 $13.22 $17.37 $20.65 $22.07 $20.24 $21.31 $14.01 $19.10 $7.56
Cash/Share $1.88 $0.54 $0.34 $0.26 $0.05 $0.14 $0.28 $0.14 $2.98 $0.54 $4.74 $2.28 $1.05 $0.83 $2.52 $0.45 $1.04 $0.68 $0.48 $1.00 $1.01
EBITDA/Share $16.07 $15.32 $17.42 $18.27 $17.02 $16.97 $16.58 $5.99 $6.67 $8.73 $8.98 $24.50 $23.93 $21.97 $25.83 $21.05 $20.73 $19.26 $16.63 $29.98 $29.98
Debt/Share $5.37 $6.13 $6.58 $8.24 $7.37 $17.02 $14.16 $16.83 $13.93 $14.82 $18.93 $36.80 $30.18 $30.20 $30.94 $31.60 $34.22 $29.87 $44.21 $44.46 $44.46
Net Debt/Share $3.49 $5.60 $6.24 $7.98 $7.32 $16.88 $13.88 $16.69 $10.94 $14.29 $14.20 $34.52 $29.13 $29.37 $28.43 $31.15 $33.18 $29.19 $43.73 $43.46 $43.46
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 8 5 6 5 3 4 5 4 4 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 7
Beneish M-Score -3.31 -2.07 -1.90 -0.51 -0.27 -1.81 -1.36 1.19 -3.07 -2.82 -2.96 -1.30 0.55 -1.26 -2.09 -3.17 -3.53 -3.61 -3.14 -3.01 -3.006
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.249
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 35.79%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-36.05
EVA snapshot only $768957614.34
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 79.25 79.25 79.25 79.25 79.25 75.60 76.10 51.00 50.60 56.50 47.65 62.80 60.60 63.75 64.35 60.60 51.60 59.10 44.20 54.45 54.450
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.150
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000

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