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CZBS OTC

Citizens Bancshares Corporation
1W: +1.1% 1M: +3.5% 3M: +21.6% YTD: +47.7% 1Y: +42.9% 3Y: +85.4% 5Y: +580.6%
$65.75
+0.65 (+1.00%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±0.8%
$65 $65 $66 $66 $67
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Buy · Power 56 · $118.4M mcap · 2M float · 0.156% daily turnover · Short 29% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CZBS receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-08 None ADDED
2026-07-05 EXISTED None
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-01-04 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 52 Grade A
Profitability
17
Balance Sheet
70
Earnings Quality
99
Growth
49
Value
88
Momentum
79
Safety
65
Cash Flow
85
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CZBS scores highest in Earnings Quality (99/100) and lowest in Profitability (17/100). An overall grade of A places CZBS among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
2.52
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
517.13
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.25
Bankruptcy prob: 1.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 71.3/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.85x
Accruals: -0.5%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. CZBS scores 2.52, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CZBS scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CZBS's score of 517.13 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CZBS's implied 1.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CZBS receives an estimated rating of A (score: 71.3/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CZBS's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
13.93x
PEG
0.14x
P/S
1.93x
P/B
1.15x
P/FCF
5.18x
P/OCF
3.98x
EV/EBITDA
-6.63x
EV/Revenue
-1.29x
EV/EBIT
-3.66x
EV/FCF
-7.37x
Earnings Yield
13.57%
FCF Yield
19.32%
Shareholder Yield
3.09%
Graham Number
$21.35
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.9x earnings, CZBS trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 13.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $21.35 per share, 208% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.772
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.452
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.351
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.044
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
8.040
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
4.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CZBS's ROE of 4.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 8.04x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$36.67
Price/Value
0.19x
Margin of Safety
80.85%
Premium
-80.85%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CZBS's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. CZBS actually compounded EPS at 15.2% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $36.67, CZBS appears undervalued with a 81% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 13.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$65.75
Median 1Y
$79.54
5th Pctile
$39.69
95th Pctile
$160.21
Ann. Volatility
40.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
ROE 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 4.33%
ROA 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.54%
ROIC -6.0% -2.0% -3.2% -1.3% 21.5% 13.8% 10.1% 7.9% -83.1% -43.1% -24.8% 1.7% -19.9% 41.7% 21.9% 8.2% 27.7% 1.9% 11.7% 20.1% 20.12%
ROCE -1.9% -1.3% -1.1% -0.3% 0.2% 1.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 3.6% 3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 4.6% 4.9% 1.5% 1.55%
Gross Margin 80.6% 82.1% 85.4% 88.0% 89.8% 93.9% 91.2% 95.9% 95.1% 95.2% 95.1% 94.2% 94.0% 94.6% 94.4% 98.5% 93.9% 1.0% 95.2% 0.1% 0.10%
Operating Margin -0.3% -12.4% 4.1% 7.4% 5.3% 5.3% 7.5% 8.2% 11.5% 12.9% 8.2% 11.0% 12.0% 9.8% 11.9% 15.2% 10.8% 23.7% 16.4% 8.3% 8.32%
Net Margin 2.5% -4.3% 5.1% 12.1% 6.0% 5.9% 7.3% 10.4% 9.6% 10.7% 8.7% 11.5% 9.9% 8.2% 9.5% 14.3% 8.9% 17.2% 12.4% 10.3% 10.26%
EBITDA Margin 7.4% -2.0% 14.2% 18.3% 17.2% 15.8% 17.3% 18.9% 19.6% 23.0% 15.8% 19.4% 20.8% 19.4% 19.4% 24.0% 20.8% 28.6% 22.9% 5.8% 5.75%
FCF Margin 27.6% 38.8% 40.3% 38.7% 38.1% 33.4% 29.8% 23.9% 21.6% 15.2% 13.9% 18.7% 17.9% 19.0% 15.9% 11.9% 15.5% 14.7% 3.8% 17.5% 17.45%
OCF Margin 29.6% 40.5% 41.9% 40.5% 40.1% 35.4% 31.8% 25.2% 22.8% 15.9% 14.5% 20.7% 20.1% 21.5% 19.0% 13.6% 17.3% 20.4% 8.9% 22.7% 22.71%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.91%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.24%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.49%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.01%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.04%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.99%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 41.43%
CROIC snapshot only 31.84%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 11.03%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 15.88%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 44.94%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.17%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
P/E Ratio 34.27 21.45 13.42 9.84 9.73 8.02 5.96 7.70 9.13 8.81 8.29 8.41 8.31 10.23 9.21 7.92 6.53 5.98 5.56 7.37 13.930
P/S Ratio 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.35 0.43 0.59 0.47 0.57 0.75 0.84 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.99 0.90 0.83 0.67 0.75 0.74 0.90 1.925
P/B Ratio 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.25 0.19 0.22 0.29 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.32 0.29 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.33 1.154
P/FCF 1.05 0.78 0.74 0.91 1.13 1.75 1.59 2.39 3.49 5.51 5.87 4.57 4.76 5.19 5.70 6.99 4.33 5.08 19.53 5.18 5.177
P/OCF 0.98 0.74 0.71 0.87 1.07 1.65 1.49 2.26 3.31 5.26 5.66 4.13 4.23 4.59 4.76 6.12 3.88 3.67 8.28 3.98 3.978
EV/EBITDA -40.38 -8.35 -18.32 -16.98 -15.42 -7.80 -7.24 -5.97 -11.03 -10.67 -12.06 -9.61 -12.63 -8.51 -7.62 -3.76 -9.59 -9.74 -4.99 -6.63 -6.626
EV/Revenue -1.39 -0.41 -1.34 -1.56 -1.75 -1.27 -1.24 -1.03 -1.97 -2.10 -2.33 -1.87 -2.50 -1.60 -1.50 -0.79 -2.01 -2.26 -1.21 -1.29 -1.286
EV/EBIT 32.80 10.99 56.31 254.58 -296.50 -23.13 -19.46 -15.74 -24.42 -21.04 -22.89 -17.14 -22.60 -15.61 -13.44 -6.42 -16.77 -14.63 -7.24 -3.66 -3.664
EV/FCF -5.03 -1.06 -3.32 -4.02 -4.61 -3.81 -4.17 -4.33 -9.12 -13.84 -16.73 -10.00 -13.96 -8.45 -9.48 -6.61 -12.96 -15.35 -31.87 -7.37 -7.368
Earnings Yield 2.9% 4.7% 7.5% 10.2% 10.3% 12.5% 16.8% 13.0% 10.9% 11.3% 12.1% 11.9% 12.0% 9.8% 10.9% 12.6% 15.3% 16.7% 18.0% 13.6% 13.57%
FCF Yield 95.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 88.6% 57.0% 63.0% 41.9% 28.7% 18.2% 17.0% 21.9% 21.0% 19.3% 17.5% 14.3% 23.1% 19.7% 5.1% 19.3% 19.32%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.139
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.333
EV/OCF snapshot only -5.662
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -1.798
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -8.653
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.09%
Graham Number snapshot only $21.35
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Current Ratio 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.09 0.09 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.17 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.15 0.16 0.11 8.35 8.350
Quick Ratio 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.09 0.09 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.17 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.15 0.16 0.11 8.35 8.350
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.32 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.33 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.005
Net Debt/Equity -0.75 -0.33 -0.74 -0.83 -0.91 -0.78 -0.69 -0.63 -1.04 -1.08 -1.14 -0.98 -1.18 -0.92 -0.84 -0.56 -0.88 -0.98 -0.63 -0.80 -0.800
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.001
Debt/EBITDA 0.41 14.08 0.18 0.15 0.12 4.80 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 1.44 1.47 1.31 1.26 0.06 0.064
Net Debt/EBITDA -48.82 -14.48 -22.39 -20.83 -19.20 -11.39 -10.00 -9.27 -15.25 -14.92 -16.29 -14.00 -16.94 -13.74 -12.20 -7.73 -12.80 -12.97 -8.05 -11.28 -11.282
Interest Coverage -0.66 -0.66 -0.46 -0.12 0.12 1.13 1.30 1.33 1.66 2.08 2.12 2.33 2.44 2.34 2.70 3.04 2.98 3.96 4.25 11.93 11.933
Equity Multiplier 8.39 8.23 8.06 8.05 8.02 8.82 8.34 8.37 8.43 8.38 8.26 7.98 7.91 7.88 7.53 7.71 7.80 7.83 7.70 8.39 8.388
Cash Ratio snapshot only 8.350
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.598
Cash to Debt snapshot only 176.571
FCF to Debt snapshot only 13.995
Defensive Interval snapshot only 985.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.044
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.696
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.454
Capital Intensity snapshot only 22.963
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Revenue -4.6% -2.1% -0.1% -0.3% -5.2% -11.7% -14.5% -15.0% -12.1% -8.4% -5.9% -2.4% -1.7% -1.5% 0.4% -2.4% -4.2% -2.5% -3.3% -0.8% -0.77%
Net Income -17.0% -67.3% 6.2% 1.9% 3.9% 3.6% 2.1% 75.2% 64.3% 18.8% 16.9% 34.1% 22.0% 0.1% -0.1% 0.6% -3.9% 26.8% 30.9% 16.1% 16.13%
EPS -18.1% -68.0% 3.9% 1.9% 3.9% 3.2% 2.1% 77.3% 62.8% 29.2% 15.7% 33.2% 19.8% -0.9% -1.1% -3.5% -3.8% 27.0% 29.7% 18.8% 18.84%
FCF 5.2% 43.0% 27.4% 32.8% 30.8% -23.9% -36.7% -47.6% -50.1% -58.4% -56.0% -23.5% -18.7% 23.1% 14.2% -38.1% -17.1% -24.2% -76.9% 45.8% 45.80%
EBITDA -18.6% -44.7% 38.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.0% 60.4% 38.1% 10.4% 6.0% 9.8% 8.7% -5.7% 2.4% 4.8% 1.4% 20.2% 18.4% -7.9% -7.87%
Op. Income -5.3% -4.1% -18.2% 83.9% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 10.1% 11.0% 66.1% 50.1% 62.1% 34.5% 1.3% 10.2% 9.4% 3.8% 46.9% 44.0% 20.5% 20.54%
OCF Growth snapshot only 66.21%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.84%
Equity Growth snapshot only -6.34%
Debt Growth snapshot only -95.89%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.28%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 5.39%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.1% -3.3% -4.0% -5.1% -6.8% -7.5% -8.1% -8.4% -7.4% -7.5% -7.0% -6.2% -6.4% -7.3% -6.9% -6.8% -6.1% -4.2% -3.0% -1.9% -1.88%
Revenue 5Y -3.9% -3.5% -3.9% -4.7% -5.6% -6.4% -6.7% -6.4% -6.0% -6.1% -6.6% -6.6% -6.9% -6.5% -6.0% -6.1% -5.6% -5.3% -4.8% -4.4% -4.37%
EPS 3Y -32.9% -24.2% -1.8% -9.7% -10.5% 56.5% 43.7% 29.6% 87.5% 19.9% 54.3% 89.0% 1.1% 74.8% 51.8% 31.6% 23.3% 17.6% 14.1% 15.2% 15.19%
EPS 5Y -42.6% -35.8% -29.8% -23.8% -21.9% -10.6% -7.7% 5.0% 19.4% 18.6% 27.4% 11.7% 6.9% 37.5% 27.7% 22.9% 50.0% 16.8% 36.4% 50.6% 50.60%
Net Income 3Y -32.4% -23.5% -0.8% -9.1% -12.7% 63.1% 44.7% 28.9% 89.0% 21.2% 56.0% 89.1% 1.1% 76.1% 52.9% 33.2% 24.4% 14.6% 15.2% 16.1% 16.13%
Net Income 5Y -42.2% -35.3% -29.3% -23.1% -21.4% -8.3% -7.1% 5.7% 20.2% 19.5% 28.4% 12.0% 5.9% 38.8% 28.8% 23.7% 51.2% 17.7% 37.8% 51.2% 51.17%
EBITDA 3Y -17.5% -13.9% 2.1% -5.0% -6.5% 39.3% 32.0% 28.1% 52.3% 21.4% 43.5% 57.4% 67.7% 45.1% 29.7% 22.7% 15.0% 7.8% 8.7% 2.0% 1.95%
EBITDA 5Y -31.6% -25.5% -19.7% -16.0% -14.2% -3.3% -2.7% 9.1% 19.4% 15.6% 17.8% 8.6% 4.2% 23.0% 20.1% 19.3% 31.2% 15.2% 29.1% 30.4% 30.36%
Gross Profit 3Y -0.3% 1.1% 0.9% -0.5% -1.8% -2.1% -3.0% -3.5% -2.3% -1.6% -0.3% 1.5% 1.4% -1.5% -1.8% -2.8% -2.8% -1.5% -0.8% -10.0% -10.02%
Gross Profit 5Y -2.9% -1.1% -0.9% -1.0% -1.5% -0.8% -1.1% 0.6% 0.8% -0.0% -0.4% -1.6% -2.1% -2.1% -2.2% -2.5% -2.3% -1.2% -0.4% -5.3% -5.25%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — -53.9% — — — — 88.0% — — — — — — 1.6% 35.2% 33.6% 28.8% 28.83%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — -50.3% -17.3% -15.4% 2.4% 30.0% 28.0% 70.2% 17.9% 9.6% — — — — 58.2% — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — 54.7% 58.0% 41.8% -6.2% -11.7% -23.2% -29.2% -19.0% -19.0% -27.0% -31.7% -37.1% -30.4% -27.1% -51.2% -11.6% -11.61%
FCF 5Y 20.0% 33.3% 38.4% 20.2% 23.0% 15.1% 5.6% 9.7% — — — — 8.5% 15.1% 7.5% -17.1% -14.3% -15.8% -37.8% -13.6% -13.62%
OCF 3Y 2.3% — — — 50.2% 50.2% 35.8% -6.9% -11.7% -23.4% -29.5% -18.0% -17.8% -25.0% -28.4% -35.3% -29.1% -20.3% -36.5% -5.3% -5.27%
OCF 5Y 13.7% 21.8% 23.5% 16.3% 18.3% 13.7% 4.2% 5.9% 85.8% — — — 8.0% 13.1% 7.2% -16.2% -13.2% -11.1% -26.8% -10.1% -10.13%
Assets 3Y 0.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.7% -1.6% 1.4% -0.4% -0.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% -0.1% -0.7% -0.5% -1.0% -0.6% 0.9% 0.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.69%
Assets 5Y 3.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 3.4% 3.2% 2.2% -0.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% -0.7% -0.2% -0.8% 0.0% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% -0.1% -0.07%
Equity 3Y 5.4% 5.3% 4.1% 5.2% 4.8% 3.4% -0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 1.8% 4.3% 4.0% 0.6% 0.63%
Book Value 3Y 4.6% 4.3% 3.1% 4.5% 7.5% -0.8% -1.2% 0.9% -0.2% -0.4% -0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% -0.4% 0.9% 6.9% 3.0% -0.2% -0.19%
Dividend 3Y -5.2% -2.9% -0.4% -0.6% 2.6% -3.8% -0.6% 0.7% -0.6% -1.0% -1.0% -0.0% -0.9% -0.7% -0.7% -1.1% -0.8% 2.5% -0.9% 0.2% 0.16%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Revenue Stability 0.83 0.92 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.94 0.91 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.95 0.92 0.88 0.85 0.846
Earnings Stability 0.76 0.72 0.72 0.60 0.42 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.09 0.51 0.70 0.41 0.28 0.72 0.83 0.84 0.90 0.73 0.90 0.93 0.934
Margin Stability 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.86 0.864
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.50 0.98 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.93 0.86 0.91 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.89 0.88 0.94 0.935
Earnings Smoothness 0.81 0.00 0.94 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.51 0.83 0.84 0.71 0.80 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.96 0.76 0.73 0.85 0.851
ROE Trend -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.008
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.24 -0.236
FCF Margin Trend 0.11 0.22 0.20 0.13 0.12 0.01 -0.06 -0.10 -0.11 -0.21 -0.21 -0.13 -0.12 -0.05 -0.06 -0.09 -0.04 -0.02 -0.11 0.02 0.022
Sustainable Growth Rate -0.5% -0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 3.47%
Internal Growth Rate — — 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.43%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
OCF/Net Income 35.04 28.81 18.87 11.30 9.07 4.85 4.00 3.41 2.76 1.68 1.47 2.04 1.97 2.23 1.93 1.29 1.68 1.63 0.67 1.85 1.853
FCF/OCF 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.83 0.88 0.90 0.72 0.42 0.77 0.768
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.424
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.170
CapEx/Revenue 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 1.7% 1.8% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 5.26%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.721
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.005
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.848
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.948
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Dividend Yield 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 5.4% 4.6% 3.6% 4.6% 3.9% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.7% 1.83%
Dividend/Share $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.17 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.19 $0.18 $0.19 $0.18 $0.18 $0.19 $0.19 $0.18 $0.19 $1.20
Payout Ratio 2.2% 1.3% 83.5% 52.7% 44.7% 28.7% 27.4% 30.3% 27.4% 24.2% 23.5% 22.6% 22.4% 24.2% 23.5% 22.5% 23.4% 19.0% 18.0% 19.9% 19.95%
FCF Payout Ratio 6.8% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 9.4% 10.4% 15.1% 16.7% 12.3% 12.9% 12.3% 14.6% 19.8% 15.5% 16.2% 63.3% 14.0% 14.01%
Total Payout Ratio 2.2% 1.3% 84.2% 54.0% 52.3% 33.5% 32.0% 34.8% 27.4% 24.2% 23.6% 22.6% 22.4% 24.2% 23.5% 22.5% 26.8% 21.8% 20.6% 22.7% 22.74%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Chowder Number -0.06 0.00 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.057
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.38%
Net Buyback Yield -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -1.3% -1.0% -1.3% -1.1% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.8% -0.8% -0.7% -0.7% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.38%
Total Shareholder Return 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 5.0% 3.3% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 4.1% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1% 3.09%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -0.20 -0.38 -0.93 -5.87 7.46 1.33 1.24 1.13 1.02 0.95 0.97 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.81 0.80 0.77 0.772
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.45 0.452
EBIT Margin -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.17 0.35 0.351
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.044
Equity Multiplier 8.41 8.30 8.07 8.12 8.20 8.52 8.20 8.21 8.22 8.59 8.30 8.17 8.16 8.13 7.89 7.85 7.85 7.86 7.62 8.04 8.040
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.09 $0.14 $0.22 $0.35 $0.42 $0.60 $0.69 $0.62 $0.69 $0.77 $0.79 $0.83 $0.82 $0.77 $0.79 $0.80 $0.79 $0.97 $1.02 $0.95 $0.95
Book Value/Share $22.58 $22.28 $22.46 $22.45 $22.85 $19.57 $21.65 $21.39 $21.88 $22.17 $22.15 $22.75 $22.79 $22.44 $22.84 $22.19 $23.50 $23.93 $23.63 $21.27 $56.98
Tangible Book/Share $22.58 $22.28 $22.46 $22.45 $22.85 $19.57 $21.65 $21.39 $21.88 $22.17 $21.66 $22.75 $22.79 $22.44 $22.84 $22.19 $23.50 $23.93 $23.63 $21.11 $21.11
Revenue/Share $10.11 $10.22 $10.12 $9.81 $9.56 $8.19 $8.65 $8.43 $8.33 $8.16 $8.05 $8.17 $8.05 $7.96 $8.00 $7.65 $7.72 $7.77 $7.67 $7.77 $34.66
FCF/Share $2.79 $3.97 $4.07 $3.79 $3.64 $2.74 $2.58 $2.01 $1.80 $1.24 $1.12 $1.53 $1.44 $1.51 $1.27 $0.91 $1.19 $1.15 $0.29 $1.36 $8.19
OCF/Share $3.00 $4.14 $4.23 $3.97 $3.83 $2.90 $2.75 $2.13 $1.90 $1.30 $1.16 $1.69 $1.62 $1.71 $1.52 $1.04 $1.33 $1.59 $0.68 $1.76 $8.67
Cash/Share $17.09 $14.35 $16.67 $18.85 $21.02 $21.65 $14.96 $13.64 $22.83 $24.09 $25.47 $22.38 $27.05 $20.71 $19.36 $14.67 $23.01 $25.78 $17.23 $17.11 $83.10
EBITDA/Share $0.35 $0.50 $0.74 $0.90 $1.09 $1.34 $1.48 $1.46 $1.49 $1.61 $1.56 $1.59 $1.59 $1.50 $1.58 $1.60 $1.61 $1.81 $1.85 $1.51 $1.51
Debt/Share $0.14 $7.07 $0.14 $0.13 $0.13 $6.41 $0.13 $0.13 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $2.31 $2.37 $2.37 $2.33 $0.10 $0.10
Net Debt/Share $-16.95 $-7.27 $-16.53 $-18.72 $-20.89 $-15.23 $-14.83 $-13.51 $-22.71 $-23.96 $-25.35 $-22.27 $-26.93 $-20.60 $-19.26 $-12.36 $-20.65 $-23.41 $-14.90 $-17.01 $-17.01
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.516
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.963
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 4 7 4 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.48 -2.60 -2.66 -2.79 -2.82 -2.82 -2.71 -2.66 -2.56 -2.55 -2.57 -2.50 -2.52 -2.56 -2.48 -2.88 -2.57 -2.48 -2.45 517.13 517.127
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.250
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 15.20%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-140.04
EVA snapshot only $955918.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 60.29 60.14 62.01 58.45 58.60 56.68 61.20 57.96 67.67 67.54 69.74 69.63 70.08 69.41 69.99 64.98 70.05 68.26 52.66 71.31 71.310
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only 6.330
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 76
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 60

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